|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
890.6 |
1534.8 |
3526.6 |
4732.6 |
5535.0 |
6122.6 |
6545.3 |
6858.3 |
7106.1 |
7320.6 |
7524.1 |
7730.9 |
7949.4 |
8183.3 |
8432.6 |
8694.9 |
8966.3 |
9242.0 |
9516.6 |
9784.9 |
10042.3 |
10284.3 |
10507.8 |
10710.2 |
10890.2 |
11047.4 |
11182.4 |
11296.5 |
11392.2 |
11472.4 |
11540.6 |
11600.8 |
11657.3 |
11714.4 |
11776.5 |
11847.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
273.5 |
803.3 |
1571.0 |
2437.0 |
3324.3 |
4181.5 |
4976.9 |
5689.7 |
6307.8 |
6825.7 |
7242.9 |
7562.4 |
7790.2 |
7934.3 |
8004.0 |
8009.3 |
7961.0 |
7869.9 |
7746.7 |
7601.8 |
7445.0 |
7285.6 |
7131.8 |
6991.0 |
6869.6 |
6772.9 |
6705.2 |
6669.5 |
6667.9 |
6701.4 |
6770.1 |
6873.0 |
7008.5 |
7174.3 |
7367.2 |
7583.9 |
Investment |
fI |
665.1 |
1757.1 |
3437.7 |
5152.2 |
6492.2 |
7495.4 |
8204.9 |
8657.3 |
8890.5 |
8943.8 |
8855.1 |
8659.5 |
8387.7 |
8065.9 |
7715.9 |
7355.2 |
6997.9 |
6655.1 |
6335.2 |
6044.3 |
5787.0 |
5566.3 |
5383.9 |
5240.6 |
5136.4 |
5070.7 |
5042.1 |
5048.9 |
5089.3 |
5160.5 |
5260.1 |
5385.2 |
5532.8 |
5699.9 |
5883.3 |
6079.6 |
Export |
fE |
614.2 |
1789.6 |
3229.5 |
4819.8 |
6537.1 |
8290.3 |
9993.0 |
11576.5 |
12988.8 |
14193.7 |
15169.5 |
15907.8 |
16411.0 |
16690.7 |
16766.0 |
16661.3 |
16405.3 |
16028.8 |
15563.6 |
15041.5 |
14493.2 |
13947.2 |
13429.3 |
12962.6 |
12566.0 |
12255.0 |
12041.1 |
11932.1 |
11932.0 |
12041.0 |
12256.5 |
12572.6 |
12981.1 |
13471.6 |
14032.0 |
14649.1 |
Import |
fM |
630.3 |
1394.3 |
3104.1 |
4577.8 |
5847.2 |
6992.4 |
8008.6 |
8897.6 |
9662.0 |
10305.7 |
10833.9 |
11253.2 |
11571.0 |
11795.4 |
11935.1 |
11999.5 |
11998.3 |
11941.9 |
11840.8 |
11705.4 |
11546.5 |
11374.2 |
11198.4 |
11028.4 |
10872.9 |
10739.4 |
10634.8 |
10564.5 |
10533.1 |
10544.0 |
10599.2 |
10699.7 |
10845.5 |
11035.3 |
11267.0 |
11537.3 |
GDP |
fY |
1819.4 |
4438.8 |
8545.5 |
12365.5 |
15753.8 |
18722.1 |
21255.1 |
23356.0 |
25041.5 |
26337.3 |
27275.9 |
27894.1 |
28231.1 |
28327.1 |
28222.6 |
27956.7 |
27568.2 |
27093.4 |
26566.4 |
26018.9 |
25479.5 |
24973.7 |
24523.5 |
24147.8 |
23861.6 |
23676.4 |
23600.6 |
23639.0 |
23793.4 |
24062.5 |
24442.5 |
24927.3 |
25508.6 |
26176.5 |
26919.6 |
27725.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.658 |
-22.296 |
-17.439 |
-12.405 |
-7.660 |
-3.403 |
0.262 |
3.287 |
5.666 |
7.424 |
8.604 |
9.265 |
9.471 |
9.289 |
8.789 |
8.035 |
7.091 |
6.016 |
4.862 |
3.677 |
2.502 |
1.374 |
0.321 |
-0.632 |
-1.469 |
-2.176 |
-2.747 |
-3.178 |
-3.472 |
-3.633 |
-3.669 |
-3.592 |
-3.413 |
-3.148 |
-2.812 |
-2.421 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.993 |
11.288 |
8.738 |
6.165 |
3.750 |
1.592 |
-0.261 |
-1.784 |
-2.978 |
-3.854 |
-4.438 |
-4.757 |
-4.847 |
-4.741 |
-4.474 |
-4.080 |
-3.591 |
-3.037 |
-2.444 |
-1.838 |
-1.238 |
-0.663 |
-0.128 |
0.356 |
0.780 |
1.137 |
1.423 |
1.639 |
1.784 |
1.862 |
1.876 |
1.833 |
1.738 |
1.600 |
1.425 |
1.223 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.115 |
-0.211 |
-0.115 |
-0.033 |
0.030 |
0.079 |
0.113 |
0.135 |
0.147 |
0.149 |
0.145 |
0.136 |
0.124 |
0.109 |
0.093 |
0.076 |
0.059 |
0.043 |
0.028 |
0.015 |
0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.017 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.094 |
0.055 |
0.085 |
-0.048 |
-0.146 |
-0.210 |
-0.249 |
-0.266 |
-0.265 |
-0.252 |
-0.230 |
-0.203 |
-0.172 |
-0.142 |
-0.112 |
-0.085 |
-0.061 |
-0.040 |
-0.023 |
-0.009 |
0.001 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.030 |
-0.060 |
-0.126 |
-0.163 |
-0.179 |
-0.180 |
-0.170 |
-0.153 |
-0.130 |
-0.106 |
-0.081 |
-0.057 |
-0.036 |
-0.018 |
-0.003 |
0.008 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.005 |
-0.001 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
-0.020 |
-0.026 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.033 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.025 |
0.057 |
-0.076 |
-0.291 |
-0.533 |
-0.783 |
-1.024 |
-1.245 |
-1.437 |
-1.595 |
-1.719 |
-1.807 |
-1.864 |
-1.891 |
-1.893 |
-1.873 |
-1.836 |
-1.786 |
-1.727 |
-1.662 |
-1.595 |
-1.527 |
-1.462 |
-1.400 |
-1.342 |
-1.291 |
-1.245 |
-1.205 |
-1.171 |
-1.142 |
-1.117 |
-1.097 |
-1.080 |
-1.065 |
-1.051 |
-1.039 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.105 |
0.207 |
0.372 |
0.445 |
0.446 |
0.391 |
0.297 |
0.176 |
0.041 |
-0.099 |
-0.234 |
-0.360 |
-0.472 |
-0.569 |
-0.647 |
-0.708 |
-0.752 |
-0.779 |
-0.791 |
-0.789 |
-0.776 |
-0.753 |
-0.721 |
-0.684 |
-0.642 |
-0.596 |
-0.550 |
-0.503 |
-0.456 |
-0.412 |
-0.371 |
-0.332 |
-0.298 |
-0.267 |
-0.241 |
-0.220 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.079 |
-0.194 |
-0.346 |
-0.469 |
-0.555 |
-0.610 |
-0.637 |
-0.641 |
-0.626 |
-0.596 |
-0.555 |
-0.505 |
-0.451 |
-0.393 |
-0.334 |
-0.276 |
-0.220 |
-0.167 |
-0.118 |
-0.074 |
-0.034 |
0.000 |
0.028 |
0.051 |
0.068 |
0.080 |
0.086 |
0.088 |
0.086 |
0.080 |
0.071 |
0.060 |
0.046 |
0.031 |
0.015 |
-0.002 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.016 |
-0.032 |
-0.051 |
-0.056 |
-0.050 |
-0.037 |
-0.020 |
-0.002 |
0.016 |
0.034 |
0.050 |
0.064 |
0.076 |
0.085 |
0.093 |
0.099 |
0.102 |
0.105 |
0.105 |
0.104 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.094 |
-0.222 |
-0.327 |
-0.400 |
-0.451 |
-0.482 |
-0.495 |
-0.493 |
-0.477 |
-0.450 |
-0.414 |
-0.373 |
-0.328 |
-0.281 |
-0.234 |
-0.189 |
-0.147 |
-0.109 |
-0.076 |
-0.048 |
-0.026 |
-0.010 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.006 |
-0.018 |
-0.032 |
-0.048 |
-0.066 |
-0.084 |
-0.102 |
-0.120 |
-0.136 |
-0.151 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.239 |
-0.660 |
-0.990 |
-1.208 |
-1.355 |
-1.436 |
-1.457 |
-1.429 |
-1.360 |
-1.260 |
-1.137 |
-1.000 |
-0.857 |
-0.712 |
-0.573 |
-0.442 |
-0.325 |
-0.222 |
-0.137 |
-0.069 |
-0.019 |
0.012 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.053 |
-0.099 |
-0.150 |
-0.204 |
-0.261 |
-0.317 |
-0.372 |
-0.423 |
-0.470 |
-0.511 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.087 |
-0.215 |
-0.329 |
-0.415 |
-0.482 |
-0.529 |
-0.557 |
-0.568 |
-0.563 |
-0.545 |
-0.517 |
-0.481 |
-0.439 |
-0.394 |
-0.347 |
-0.300 |
-0.254 |
-0.212 |
-0.173 |
-0.139 |
-0.110 |
-0.087 |
-0.070 |
-0.058 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.055 |
-0.063 |
-0.074 |
-0.088 |
-0.105 |
-0.123 |
-0.142 |
-0.162 |
-0.181 |
-0.199 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.067 |
-0.163 |
-0.244 |
-0.303 |
-0.348 |
-0.379 |
-0.396 |
-0.400 |
-0.394 |
-0.378 |
-0.356 |
-0.327 |
-0.296 |
-0.261 |
-0.227 |
-0.192 |
-0.160 |
-0.130 |
-0.103 |
-0.081 |
-0.062 |
-0.048 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.033 |
-0.038 |
-0.046 |
-0.057 |
-0.069 |
-0.082 |
-0.096 |
-0.110 |
-0.124 |
-0.137 |
-0.150 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.105 |
-0.081 |
-0.129 |
-0.040 |
0.019 |
0.053 |
0.071 |
0.076 |
0.071 |
0.059 |
0.044 |
0.027 |
0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.020 |
-0.031 |
-0.040 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.074 |
-0.192 |
-0.284 |
-0.331 |
-0.347 |
-0.341 |
-0.318 |
-0.284 |
-0.242 |
-0.197 |
-0.150 |
-0.104 |
-0.060 |
-0.021 |
0.014 |
0.043 |
0.066 |
0.083 |
0.094 |
0.100 |
0.101 |
0.097 |
0.089 |
0.077 |
0.063 |
0.047 |
0.029 |
0.011 |
-0.007 |
-0.025 |
-0.041 |
-0.056 |
-0.070 |
-0.081 |
-0.090 |
-0.097 |
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