|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
848.4 |
1391.5 |
3146.9 |
3995.5 |
4351.9 |
4436.0 |
4313.8 |
4052.6 |
3707.5 |
3320.6 |
2923.5 |
2539.5 |
2185.3 |
1872.2 |
1607.6 |
1395.5 |
1237.3 |
1132.5 |
1079.4 |
1075.3 |
1116.6 |
1199.5 |
1319.5 |
1472.2 |
1653.2 |
1858.1 |
2082.4 |
2321.9 |
2572.5 |
2830.3 |
3091.7 |
3353.4 |
3612.3 |
3865.6 |
4110.8 |
4345.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-118.5 |
-179.9 |
-299.0 |
-397.8 |
-472.7 |
-529.5 |
-571.2 |
-601.0 |
-621.8 |
-636.2 |
-646.2 |
-653.6 |
-659.6 |
-665.2 |
-671.2 |
-677.9 |
-685.6 |
-694.5 |
-704.6 |
-715.8 |
-728.1 |
-741.2 |
-755.2 |
-769.7 |
-784.8 |
-800.2 |
-815.8 |
-831.5 |
-847.4 |
-863.2 |
-878.9 |
-894.5 |
-909.9 |
-925.2 |
-940.3 |
-955.2 |
Investment |
fI |
481.7 |
1168.5 |
2311.4 |
3441.6 |
4296.3 |
4915.1 |
5323.4 |
5554.1 |
5645.0 |
5633.7 |
5554.4 |
5435.8 |
5301.1 |
5167.4 |
5046.9 |
4947.2 |
4872.5 |
4824.2 |
4801.7 |
4803.1 |
4825.7 |
4866.3 |
4921.6 |
4988.4 |
5063.8 |
5145.1 |
5230.0 |
5316.7 |
5403.7 |
5489.7 |
5573.9 |
5655.6 |
5734.6 |
5810.8 |
5884.1 |
5954.7 |
Export |
fE |
636.5 |
1856.6 |
3382.6 |
5113.8 |
7049.1 |
9121.7 |
11265.6 |
13427.4 |
15563.5 |
17639.7 |
19629.3 |
21512.4 |
23274.4 |
24905.3 |
26398.9 |
27751.8 |
28963.6 |
30035.3 |
30970.4 |
31773.6 |
32451.0 |
33009.8 |
33458.1 |
33805.0 |
34060.2 |
34233.9 |
34336.7 |
34379.5 |
34373.1 |
34328.6 |
34256.7 |
34167.9 |
34072.3 |
33979.4 |
33898.1 |
33836.7 |
Import |
fM |
505.1 |
1006.5 |
2290.9 |
3248.7 |
4006.0 |
4674.1 |
5261.4 |
5784.9 |
6261.5 |
6704.8 |
7125.7 |
7532.3 |
7929.9 |
8321.5 |
8708.2 |
9089.6 |
9464.3 |
9830.1 |
10184.6 |
10525.5 |
10850.3 |
11157.2 |
11444.4 |
11710.7 |
11955.6 |
12178.7 |
12380.4 |
12561.2 |
12722.3 |
12865.0 |
12991.0 |
13102.2 |
13200.6 |
13288.5 |
13368.1 |
13441.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1351.3 |
3171.5 |
6110.0 |
8654.6 |
10847.9 |
12773.8 |
14452.3 |
15912.9 |
17187.3 |
18305.6 |
19294.1 |
20175.5 |
20967.9 |
21686.0 |
22340.2 |
22938.6 |
23486.8 |
23988.4 |
24446.5 |
24863.0 |
25239.6 |
25578.1 |
25880.4 |
26148.9 |
26386.1 |
26595.2 |
26779.5 |
26942.9 |
27089.4 |
27223.2 |
27348.4 |
27469.7 |
27591.2 |
27717.2 |
27851.6 |
27998.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.439 |
-24.314 |
-21.232 |
-18.069 |
-15.048 |
-12.254 |
-9.729 |
-7.487 |
-5.517 |
-3.802 |
-2.316 |
-1.036 |
0.063 |
1.001 |
1.796 |
2.462 |
3.012 |
3.455 |
3.800 |
4.055 |
4.225 |
4.317 |
4.337 |
4.292 |
4.189 |
4.032 |
3.830 |
3.590 |
3.318 |
3.021 |
2.705 |
2.378 |
2.045 |
1.711 |
1.383 |
1.065 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.419 |
12.363 |
10.738 |
9.124 |
7.585 |
6.165 |
4.884 |
3.748 |
2.751 |
1.883 |
1.132 |
0.485 |
-0.070 |
-0.544 |
-0.945 |
-1.281 |
-1.558 |
-1.781 |
-1.954 |
-2.081 |
-2.165 |
-2.209 |
-2.217 |
-2.192 |
-2.137 |
-2.055 |
-1.950 |
-1.826 |
-1.686 |
-1.533 |
-1.371 |
-1.204 |
-1.033 |
-0.863 |
-0.695 |
-0.533 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.110 |
-0.090 |
-0.162 |
-0.041 |
0.063 |
0.148 |
0.219 |
0.277 |
0.323 |
0.361 |
0.391 |
0.416 |
0.437 |
0.455 |
0.470 |
0.485 |
0.498 |
0.510 |
0.522 |
0.533 |
0.544 |
0.554 |
0.564 |
0.573 |
0.581 |
0.590 |
0.597 |
0.604 |
0.611 |
0.618 |
0.624 |
0.630 |
0.636 |
0.642 |
0.648 |
0.655 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.088 |
0.053 |
0.083 |
-0.049 |
-0.143 |
-0.205 |
-0.241 |
-0.257 |
-0.257 |
-0.245 |
-0.225 |
-0.200 |
-0.173 |
-0.145 |
-0.118 |
-0.093 |
-0.070 |
-0.050 |
-0.033 |
-0.018 |
-0.005 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.018 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.013 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.022 |
-0.036 |
-0.079 |
-0.090 |
-0.080 |
-0.057 |
-0.023 |
0.019 |
0.066 |
0.115 |
0.166 |
0.215 |
0.264 |
0.309 |
0.352 |
0.392 |
0.428 |
0.460 |
0.490 |
0.516 |
0.538 |
0.559 |
0.576 |
0.591 |
0.604 |
0.615 |
0.624 |
0.632 |
0.639 |
0.644 |
0.649 |
0.653 |
0.657 |
0.661 |
0.664 |
0.668 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.055 |
0.164 |
0.168 |
0.139 |
0.119 |
0.118 |
0.145 |
0.208 |
0.310 |
0.451 |
0.630 |
0.847 |
1.097 |
1.378 |
1.685 |
2.015 |
2.364 |
2.730 |
3.108 |
3.496 |
3.891 |
4.292 |
4.695 |
5.099 |
5.502 |
5.904 |
6.302 |
6.696 |
7.084 |
7.467 |
7.844 |
8.215 |
8.579 |
8.936 |
9.286 |
9.630 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.100 |
0.189 |
0.325 |
0.347 |
0.277 |
0.132 |
-0.072 |
-0.323 |
-0.609 |
-0.919 |
-1.246 |
-1.585 |
-1.931 |
-2.281 |
-2.633 |
-2.985 |
-3.336 |
-3.686 |
-4.034 |
-4.379 |
-4.721 |
-5.060 |
-5.396 |
-5.727 |
-6.055 |
-6.378 |
-6.697 |
-7.012 |
-7.321 |
-7.627 |
-7.927 |
-8.223 |
-8.514 |
-8.801 |
-9.084 |
-9.363 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.061 |
-0.150 |
-0.268 |
-0.363 |
-0.434 |
-0.484 |
-0.520 |
-0.544 |
-0.560 |
-0.571 |
-0.579 |
-0.584 |
-0.589 |
-0.592 |
-0.596 |
-0.598 |
-0.601 |
-0.602 |
-0.602 |
-0.601 |
-0.599 |
-0.595 |
-0.589 |
-0.582 |
-0.574 |
-0.564 |
-0.553 |
-0.541 |
-0.528 |
-0.515 |
-0.501 |
-0.487 |
-0.473 |
-0.460 |
-0.447 |
-0.434 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.024 |
-0.049 |
-0.082 |
-0.103 |
-0.114 |
-0.118 |
-0.118 |
-0.114 |
-0.109 |
-0.104 |
-0.097 |
-0.090 |
-0.083 |
-0.077 |
-0.070 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.050 |
-0.043 |
-0.037 |
-0.030 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.098 |
-0.237 |
-0.364 |
-0.469 |
-0.563 |
-0.646 |
-0.718 |
-0.779 |
-0.831 |
-0.874 |
-0.908 |
-0.936 |
-0.956 |
-0.970 |
-0.979 |
-0.983 |
-0.982 |
-0.977 |
-0.969 |
-0.958 |
-0.944 |
-0.929 |
-0.911 |
-0.893 |
-0.874 |
-0.854 |
-0.835 |
-0.815 |
-0.796 |
-0.778 |
-0.761 |
-0.745 |
-0.731 |
-0.718 |
-0.706 |
-0.696 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.692 |
-1.070 |
-1.366 |
-1.618 |
-1.828 |
-1.998 |
-2.133 |
-2.236 |
-2.312 |
-2.364 |
-2.395 |
-2.408 |
-2.406 |
-2.389 |
-2.362 |
-2.324 |
-2.279 |
-2.226 |
-2.169 |
-2.108 |
-2.045 |
-1.980 |
-1.915 |
-1.850 |
-1.787 |
-1.727 |
-1.670 |
-1.616 |
-1.567 |
-1.522 |
-1.482 |
-1.447 |
-1.417 |
-1.392 |
-1.372 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.090 |
-0.226 |
-0.356 |
-0.468 |
-0.570 |
-0.662 |
-0.743 |
-0.814 |
-0.875 |
-0.927 |
-0.971 |
-1.007 |
-1.036 |
-1.059 |
-1.075 |
-1.086 |
-1.091 |
-1.092 |
-1.088 |
-1.080 |
-1.068 |
-1.054 |
-1.037 |
-1.018 |
-0.998 |
-0.976 |
-0.954 |
-0.931 |
-0.909 |
-0.887 |
-0.865 |
-0.845 |
-0.826 |
-0.808 |
-0.792 |
-0.777 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.069 |
-0.171 |
-0.264 |
-0.342 |
-0.412 |
-0.475 |
-0.530 |
-0.576 |
-0.616 |
-0.648 |
-0.674 |
-0.693 |
-0.708 |
-0.717 |
-0.722 |
-0.722 |
-0.719 |
-0.713 |
-0.704 |
-0.693 |
-0.680 |
-0.665 |
-0.650 |
-0.633 |
-0.616 |
-0.598 |
-0.581 |
-0.564 |
-0.548 |
-0.533 |
-0.518 |
-0.505 |
-0.493 |
-0.482 |
-0.472 |
-0.464 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.096 |
-0.068 |
-0.107 |
-0.012 |
0.049 |
0.083 |
0.099 |
0.101 |
0.092 |
0.075 |
0.052 |
0.026 |
-0.001 |
-0.029 |
-0.055 |
-0.080 |
-0.103 |
-0.123 |
-0.141 |
-0.156 |
-0.169 |
-0.179 |
-0.187 |
-0.192 |
-0.196 |
-0.198 |
-0.198 |
-0.197 |
-0.195 |
-0.192 |
-0.188 |
-0.183 |
-0.178 |
-0.172 |
-0.167 |
-0.161 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.078 |
-0.206 |
-0.315 |
-0.386 |
-0.434 |
-0.464 |
-0.482 |
-0.489 |
-0.489 |
-0.483 |
-0.473 |
-0.458 |
-0.441 |
-0.422 |
-0.400 |
-0.378 |
-0.355 |
-0.332 |
-0.308 |
-0.285 |
-0.262 |
-0.241 |
-0.220 |
-0.201 |
-0.183 |
-0.167 |
-0.152 |
-0.140 |
-0.129 |
-0.120 |
-0.113 |
-0.107 |
-0.103 |
-0.101 |
-0.100 |
-0.100 |
|
|
|
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