|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
848.4 |
1387.3 |
3120.9 |
3920.1 |
4191.9 |
4159.2 |
3893.7 |
3468.9 |
2945.0 |
2368.2 |
1773.2 |
1185.4 |
622.6 |
97.0 |
-383.8 |
-815.2 |
-1195.7 |
-1525.1 |
-1804.8 |
-2036.5 |
-2222.8 |
-2366.3 |
-2469.9 |
-2536.5 |
-2569.3 |
-2571.0 |
-2544.7 |
-2493.2 |
-2419.5 |
-2326.3 |
-2216.5 |
-2092.8 |
-1957.8 |
-1814.1 |
-1664.4 |
-1510.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-118.5 |
-179.2 |
-296.1 |
-390.2 |
-457.8 |
-505.1 |
-535.7 |
-553.4 |
-561.5 |
-563.2 |
-561.0 |
-556.9 |
-552.3 |
-548.3 |
-545.6 |
-544.7 |
-545.8 |
-548.8 |
-553.9 |
-560.8 |
-569.4 |
-579.4 |
-590.7 |
-603.1 |
-616.4 |
-630.4 |
-645.0 |
-660.1 |
-675.5 |
-691.2 |
-707.1 |
-723.1 |
-739.2 |
-755.2 |
-771.3 |
-787.2 |
Investment |
fI |
481.7 |
1146.3 |
2229.8 |
3254.9 |
3968.4 |
4426.8 |
4666.1 |
4727.5 |
4655.5 |
4493.2 |
4278.4 |
4042.8 |
3810.4 |
3598.4 |
3418.1 |
3275.7 |
3173.4 |
3110.8 |
3085.1 |
3092.6 |
3128.8 |
3189.3 |
3269.4 |
3364.9 |
3472.2 |
3587.9 |
3709.2 |
3833.9 |
3960.0 |
4086.0 |
4210.8 |
4333.5 |
4453.3 |
4569.8 |
4682.6 |
4791.5 |
Export |
fE |
636.5 |
1791.5 |
3161.2 |
4612.8 |
6176.8 |
7820.6 |
9507.3 |
11208.7 |
12902.2 |
14570.6 |
16200.3 |
17780.9 |
19304.0 |
20763.1 |
22152.7 |
23468.6 |
24707.5 |
25866.7 |
26944.6 |
27940.2 |
28853.6 |
29685.3 |
30437.0 |
31111.0 |
31710.3 |
32238.9 |
32701.0 |
33101.8 |
33446.6 |
33741.3 |
33992.2 |
34205.4 |
34387.5 |
34544.8 |
34683.9 |
34810.7 |
Import |
fM |
505.1 |
965.6 |
2142.0 |
2900.8 |
3383.6 |
3726.0 |
3956.2 |
4107.3 |
4209.5 |
4287.2 |
4359.4 |
4439.9 |
4537.5 |
4657.4 |
4801.3 |
4968.9 |
5157.8 |
5364.7 |
5585.7 |
5816.7 |
6053.7 |
6293.1 |
6531.6 |
6766.3 |
6994.9 |
7215.5 |
7426.7 |
7627.6 |
7817.5 |
7996.1 |
8163.5 |
8320.0 |
8465.9 |
8601.8 |
8728.5 |
8846.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1351.3 |
3122.7 |
5936.3 |
8253.7 |
10135.6 |
11694.3 |
12975.0 |
14029.3 |
14907.8 |
15655.8 |
16311.4 |
16905.0 |
17459.9 |
17992.2 |
18512.5 |
19026.7 |
19537.2 |
20043.4 |
20543.6 |
21034.7 |
21513.9 |
21977.9 |
22424.1 |
22850.4 |
23255.4 |
23638.4 |
23999.5 |
24339.3 |
24658.9 |
24960.1 |
25244.8 |
25515.4 |
25774.4 |
26024.3 |
26267.9 |
26507.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.439 |
-24.351 |
-21.372 |
-18.405 |
-15.668 |
-13.226 |
-11.095 |
-9.262 |
-7.694 |
-6.353 |
-5.196 |
-4.188 |
-3.298 |
-2.502 |
-1.781 |
-1.123 |
-0.520 |
0.031 |
0.533 |
0.986 |
1.389 |
1.740 |
2.040 |
2.288 |
2.485 |
2.631 |
2.729 |
2.781 |
2.791 |
2.763 |
2.699 |
2.605 |
2.484 |
2.342 |
2.181 |
2.008 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.419 |
12.383 |
10.812 |
9.302 |
7.912 |
6.674 |
5.596 |
4.669 |
3.878 |
3.200 |
2.615 |
2.105 |
1.655 |
1.251 |
0.885 |
0.551 |
0.245 |
-0.035 |
-0.290 |
-0.520 |
-0.724 |
-0.901 |
-1.053 |
-1.178 |
-1.276 |
-1.350 |
-1.398 |
-1.423 |
-1.427 |
-1.411 |
-1.377 |
-1.328 |
-1.265 |
-1.192 |
-1.109 |
-1.020 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.110 |
-0.091 |
-0.166 |
-0.050 |
0.046 |
0.121 |
0.181 |
0.228 |
0.264 |
0.291 |
0.312 |
0.330 |
0.344 |
0.358 |
0.371 |
0.384 |
0.397 |
0.411 |
0.425 |
0.440 |
0.454 |
0.469 |
0.483 |
0.497 |
0.511 |
0.524 |
0.537 |
0.550 |
0.561 |
0.573 |
0.583 |
0.594 |
0.604 |
0.613 |
0.622 |
0.631 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.088 |
0.053 |
0.083 |
-0.047 |
-0.138 |
-0.196 |
-0.228 |
-0.240 |
-0.236 |
-0.220 |
-0.197 |
-0.171 |
-0.143 |
-0.115 |
-0.089 |
-0.065 |
-0.044 |
-0.026 |
-0.011 |
0.001 |
0.011 |
0.019 |
0.026 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.022 |
-0.037 |
-0.082 |
-0.097 |
-0.092 |
-0.074 |
-0.047 |
-0.012 |
0.028 |
0.071 |
0.115 |
0.159 |
0.202 |
0.243 |
0.282 |
0.319 |
0.353 |
0.385 |
0.414 |
0.441 |
0.466 |
0.488 |
0.509 |
0.527 |
0.544 |
0.560 |
0.574 |
0.587 |
0.598 |
0.609 |
0.618 |
0.627 |
0.635 |
0.642 |
0.649 |
0.656 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.055 |
0.165 |
0.173 |
0.152 |
0.141 |
0.148 |
0.183 |
0.251 |
0.353 |
0.489 |
0.660 |
0.862 |
1.092 |
1.348 |
1.627 |
1.925 |
2.239 |
2.568 |
2.907 |
3.257 |
3.614 |
3.977 |
4.344 |
4.714 |
5.086 |
5.459 |
5.832 |
6.203 |
6.573 |
6.941 |
7.306 |
7.667 |
8.025 |
8.379 |
8.729 |
9.074 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.100 |
0.191 |
0.330 |
0.363 |
0.311 |
0.192 |
0.023 |
-0.184 |
-0.417 |
-0.668 |
-0.930 |
-1.200 |
-1.474 |
-1.751 |
-2.031 |
-2.313 |
-2.597 |
-2.883 |
-3.171 |
-3.463 |
-3.757 |
-4.053 |
-4.352 |
-4.652 |
-4.955 |
-5.258 |
-5.562 |
-5.867 |
-6.171 |
-6.475 |
-6.778 |
-7.079 |
-7.379 |
-7.678 |
-7.974 |
-8.268 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.061 |
-0.147 |
-0.260 |
-0.345 |
-0.402 |
-0.440 |
-0.463 |
-0.476 |
-0.484 |
-0.490 |
-0.495 |
-0.502 |
-0.511 |
-0.522 |
-0.535 |
-0.550 |
-0.566 |
-0.583 |
-0.599 |
-0.615 |
-0.629 |
-0.643 |
-0.654 |
-0.663 |
-0.671 |
-0.676 |
-0.680 |
-0.681 |
-0.681 |
-0.679 |
-0.675 |
-0.671 |
-0.665 |
-0.658 |
-0.651 |
-0.643 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.024 |
-0.047 |
-0.078 |
-0.094 |
-0.099 |
-0.098 |
-0.092 |
-0.085 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.047 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.005 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.025 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.098 |
-0.237 |
-0.364 |
-0.470 |
-0.566 |
-0.651 |
-0.727 |
-0.795 |
-0.855 |
-0.907 |
-0.954 |
-0.994 |
-1.030 |
-1.060 |
-1.086 |
-1.108 |
-1.125 |
-1.139 |
-1.149 |
-1.156 |
-1.159 |
-1.160 |
-1.158 |
-1.154 |
-1.148 |
-1.140 |
-1.131 |
-1.120 |
-1.109 |
-1.096 |
-1.084 |
-1.071 |
-1.058 |
-1.045 |
-1.032 |
-1.020 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.692 |
-1.072 |
-1.372 |
-1.632 |
-1.854 |
-2.043 |
-2.203 |
-2.338 |
-2.451 |
-2.545 |
-2.624 |
-2.687 |
-2.738 |
-2.777 |
-2.805 |
-2.824 |
-2.833 |
-2.833 |
-2.826 |
-2.812 |
-2.792 |
-2.767 |
-2.737 |
-2.703 |
-2.666 |
-2.626 |
-2.586 |
-2.544 |
-2.503 |
-2.461 |
-2.421 |
-2.382 |
-2.345 |
-2.310 |
-2.278 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.090 |
-0.226 |
-0.357 |
-0.470 |
-0.574 |
-0.670 |
-0.758 |
-0.837 |
-0.909 |
-0.974 |
-1.034 |
-1.088 |
-1.136 |
-1.180 |
-1.219 |
-1.253 |
-1.283 |
-1.308 |
-1.328 |
-1.344 |
-1.357 |
-1.365 |
-1.369 |
-1.370 |
-1.368 |
-1.363 |
-1.356 |
-1.347 |
-1.336 |
-1.323 |
-1.310 |
-1.295 |
-1.280 |
-1.265 |
-1.250 |
-1.234 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.069 |
-0.171 |
-0.264 |
-0.343 |
-0.416 |
-0.481 |
-0.540 |
-0.593 |
-0.640 |
-0.682 |
-0.718 |
-0.750 |
-0.778 |
-0.802 |
-0.821 |
-0.838 |
-0.851 |
-0.861 |
-0.868 |
-0.872 |
-0.873 |
-0.873 |
-0.870 |
-0.865 |
-0.859 |
-0.851 |
-0.842 |
-0.832 |
-0.821 |
-0.810 |
-0.799 |
-0.788 |
-0.777 |
-0.766 |
-0.755 |
-0.745 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.096 |
-0.067 |
-0.104 |
-0.006 |
0.057 |
0.093 |
0.110 |
0.112 |
0.102 |
0.085 |
0.062 |
0.036 |
0.008 |
-0.019 |
-0.046 |
-0.072 |
-0.095 |
-0.117 |
-0.136 |
-0.153 |
-0.168 |
-0.182 |
-0.193 |
-0.202 |
-0.210 |
-0.216 |
-0.220 |
-0.224 |
-0.226 |
-0.227 |
-0.227 |
-0.226 |
-0.225 |
-0.223 |
-0.220 |
-0.217 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.078 |
-0.205 |
-0.313 |
-0.383 |
-0.429 |
-0.461 |
-0.480 |
-0.492 |
-0.498 |
-0.500 |
-0.499 |
-0.496 |
-0.490 |
-0.482 |
-0.473 |
-0.462 |
-0.449 |
-0.436 |
-0.421 |
-0.406 |
-0.390 |
-0.374 |
-0.357 |
-0.341 |
-0.324 |
-0.309 |
-0.293 |
-0.279 |
-0.265 |
-0.253 |
-0.241 |
-0.231 |
-0.222 |
-0.214 |
-0.207 |
-0.201 |
|
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