|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1104.1 |
2854.3 |
4258.3 |
5119.3 |
5726.7 |
6152.5 |
6451.6 |
6670.9 |
6845.5 |
7000.6 |
7153.1 |
7314.0 |
7489.0 |
7680.4 |
7887.5 |
8107.6 |
8337.1 |
8571.6 |
8806.5 |
9037.3 |
9259.9 |
9471.0 |
9667.7 |
9848.2 |
10011.3 |
10156.8 |
10285.2 |
10397.9 |
10496.8 |
10584.4 |
10663.7 |
10737.9 |
10810.5 |
10885.1 |
10965.2 |
11054.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
276.7 |
877.5 |
1625.0 |
2419.4 |
3212.3 |
3967.3 |
4662.4 |
5283.5 |
5822.8 |
6277.3 |
6647.6 |
6936.8 |
7150.1 |
7294.0 |
7376.0 |
7404.3 |
7387.3 |
7333.8 |
7252.4 |
7151.5 |
7039.1 |
6922.8 |
6809.6 |
6705.6 |
6616.4 |
6546.5 |
6499.7 |
6478.9 |
6486.0 |
6522.1 |
6587.4 |
6681.6 |
6803.2 |
6950.6 |
7121.3 |
7312.4 |
Investment |
fI |
728.0 |
2264.2 |
3937.9 |
5322.5 |
6383.2 |
7165.1 |
7699.8 |
8021.5 |
8165.8 |
8168.2 |
8061.3 |
7874.1 |
7631.0 |
7352.7 |
7056.0 |
6753.8 |
6456.8 |
6173.3 |
5909.4 |
5669.7 |
5457.9 |
5276.1 |
5126.0 |
5008.3 |
4923.4 |
4870.8 |
4849.9 |
4859.4 |
4898.1 |
4963.9 |
5054.8 |
5168.5 |
5302.6 |
5454.5 |
5621.4 |
5800.3 |
Export |
fE |
558.0 |
1585.8 |
2853.6 |
4307.3 |
5870.0 |
7457.5 |
8997.3 |
10432.2 |
11718.9 |
12828.0 |
13741.8 |
14453.4 |
14964.7 |
15285.3 |
15430.8 |
15421.1 |
15279.7 |
15031.9 |
14703.9 |
14322.1 |
13912.1 |
13497.6 |
13100.7 |
12740.8 |
12434.4 |
12194.9 |
12032.8 |
11955.1 |
11966.0 |
12066.5 |
12254.9 |
12527.0 |
12876.4 |
13295.1 |
13773.2 |
14300.0 |
Import |
fM |
740.3 |
2125.6 |
3510.3 |
4676.4 |
5729.9 |
6681.6 |
7529.5 |
8275.3 |
8921.6 |
9472.1 |
9931.2 |
10303.8 |
10595.4 |
10811.9 |
10959.6 |
11045.3 |
11076.4 |
11060.9 |
11006.7 |
10922.5 |
10816.7 |
10697.9 |
10574.2 |
10453.6 |
10343.5 |
10250.5 |
10180.6 |
10138.8 |
10129.1 |
10154.7 |
10217.6 |
10319.0 |
10458.8 |
10636.4 |
10849.8 |
11096.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1943.9 |
5457.5 |
9100.7 |
12348.6 |
15236.6 |
17754.6 |
19901.3 |
21686.5 |
23128.7 |
24252.0 |
25084.4 |
25656.2 |
25998.8 |
26144.3 |
26124.3 |
25969.8 |
25711.3 |
25377.8 |
24996.5 |
24593.3 |
24191.8 |
23813.3 |
23476.4 |
23197.5 |
22990.0 |
22864.2 |
22828.1 |
22886.7 |
23042.5 |
23295.2 |
23642.3 |
24079.4 |
24600.0 |
25196.1 |
25858.5 |
26576.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.017 |
6.072 |
10.719 |
15.237 |
19.415 |
23.118 |
26.283 |
28.886 |
30.933 |
32.454 |
33.490 |
34.092 |
34.313 |
34.210 |
33.838 |
33.251 |
32.500 |
31.633 |
30.693 |
29.719 |
28.747 |
27.806 |
26.922 |
26.115 |
25.401 |
24.792 |
24.294 |
23.912 |
23.645 |
23.489 |
23.439 |
23.487 |
23.621 |
23.831 |
24.103 |
24.424 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.154 |
11.053 |
8.635 |
6.334 |
4.206 |
2.327 |
0.726 |
-0.586 |
-1.616 |
-2.376 |
-2.890 |
-3.183 |
-3.284 |
-3.221 |
-3.022 |
-2.715 |
-2.326 |
-1.880 |
-1.397 |
-0.899 |
-0.402 |
0.077 |
0.527 |
0.937 |
1.298 |
1.606 |
1.857 |
2.048 |
2.180 |
2.256 |
2.278 |
2.250 |
2.179 |
2.069 |
1.928 |
1.762 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.147 |
-0.230 |
-0.171 |
-0.088 |
-0.022 |
0.031 |
0.070 |
0.097 |
0.113 |
0.121 |
0.122 |
0.118 |
0.110 |
0.099 |
0.087 |
0.073 |
0.060 |
0.046 |
0.033 |
0.021 |
0.010 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.026 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.111 |
0.131 |
0.020 |
-0.088 |
-0.164 |
-0.213 |
-0.240 |
-0.249 |
-0.244 |
-0.228 |
-0.206 |
-0.180 |
-0.152 |
-0.124 |
-0.098 |
-0.074 |
-0.053 |
-0.034 |
-0.019 |
-0.007 |
0.002 |
0.009 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.036 |
-0.100 |
-0.151 |
-0.176 |
-0.185 |
-0.182 |
-0.170 |
-0.152 |
-0.130 |
-0.107 |
-0.084 |
-0.062 |
-0.042 |
-0.025 |
-0.011 |
-0.001 |
0.007 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.004 |
-0.077 |
-0.255 |
-0.472 |
-0.706 |
-0.940 |
-1.161 |
-1.360 |
-1.530 |
-1.669 |
-1.776 |
-1.851 |
-1.898 |
-1.919 |
-1.918 |
-1.897 |
-1.861 |
-1.814 |
-1.758 |
-1.696 |
-1.631 |
-1.566 |
-1.502 |
-1.440 |
-1.382 |
-1.328 |
-1.279 |
-1.234 |
-1.195 |
-1.160 |
-1.130 |
-1.103 |
-1.079 |
-1.057 |
-1.036 |
-1.017 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.122 |
0.313 |
0.442 |
0.495 |
0.490 |
0.438 |
0.354 |
0.250 |
0.136 |
0.019 |
-0.093 |
-0.197 |
-0.289 |
-0.367 |
-0.431 |
-0.480 |
-0.515 |
-0.536 |
-0.546 |
-0.544 |
-0.532 |
-0.513 |
-0.486 |
-0.455 |
-0.420 |
-0.383 |
-0.344 |
-0.305 |
-0.267 |
-0.231 |
-0.196 |
-0.165 |
-0.136 |
-0.111 |
-0.090 |
-0.073 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.081 |
-0.222 |
-0.350 |
-0.444 |
-0.508 |
-0.547 |
-0.563 |
-0.561 |
-0.544 |
-0.516 |
-0.480 |
-0.437 |
-0.391 |
-0.343 |
-0.294 |
-0.246 |
-0.200 |
-0.156 |
-0.115 |
-0.078 |
-0.045 |
-0.017 |
0.007 |
0.026 |
0.041 |
0.051 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.053 |
0.046 |
0.037 |
0.025 |
0.013 |
0.000 |
-0.014 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.017 |
-0.041 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.029 |
-0.014 |
0.003 |
0.018 |
0.033 |
0.047 |
0.058 |
0.068 |
0.077 |
0.083 |
0.088 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.089 |
0.086 |
0.082 |
0.079 |
0.075 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.086 |
-0.196 |
-0.281 |
-0.344 |
-0.390 |
-0.418 |
-0.431 |
-0.431 |
-0.420 |
-0.399 |
-0.371 |
-0.338 |
-0.301 |
-0.263 |
-0.224 |
-0.187 |
-0.151 |
-0.119 |
-0.091 |
-0.067 |
-0.048 |
-0.033 |
-0.024 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
-0.034 |
-0.045 |
-0.058 |
-0.072 |
-0.087 |
-0.101 |
-0.116 |
-0.129 |
-0.141 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.226 |
-0.590 |
-0.860 |
-1.058 |
-1.191 |
-1.267 |
-1.292 |
-1.274 |
-1.222 |
-1.143 |
-1.045 |
-0.934 |
-0.816 |
-0.697 |
-0.582 |
-0.473 |
-0.374 |
-0.288 |
-0.214 |
-0.156 |
-0.112 |
-0.082 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.074 |
-0.094 |
-0.122 |
-0.158 |
-0.198 |
-0.242 |
-0.288 |
-0.334 |
-0.379 |
-0.421 |
-0.459 |
-0.493 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.079 |
-0.190 |
-0.283 |
-0.359 |
-0.418 |
-0.459 |
-0.485 |
-0.496 |
-0.494 |
-0.481 |
-0.460 |
-0.432 |
-0.399 |
-0.362 |
-0.324 |
-0.286 |
-0.249 |
-0.214 |
-0.182 |
-0.153 |
-0.129 |
-0.109 |
-0.094 |
-0.084 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.078 |
-0.084 |
-0.093 |
-0.104 |
-0.117 |
-0.132 |
-0.147 |
-0.163 |
-0.179 |
-0.193 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.062 |
-0.144 |
-0.210 |
-0.263 |
-0.303 |
-0.331 |
-0.347 |
-0.352 |
-0.349 |
-0.337 |
-0.320 |
-0.298 |
-0.272 |
-0.244 |
-0.216 |
-0.188 |
-0.161 |
-0.136 |
-0.113 |
-0.094 |
-0.078 |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
-0.050 |
-0.054 |
-0.060 |
-0.068 |
-0.077 |
-0.088 |
-0.099 |
-0.111 |
-0.122 |
-0.133 |
-0.143 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.123 |
-0.152 |
-0.074 |
-0.005 |
0.039 |
0.065 |
0.076 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.058 |
0.042 |
0.026 |
0.010 |
-0.005 |
-0.018 |
-0.028 |
-0.036 |
-0.042 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.070 |
-0.180 |
-0.251 |
-0.288 |
-0.302 |
-0.297 |
-0.279 |
-0.251 |
-0.217 |
-0.180 |
-0.142 |
-0.104 |
-0.068 |
-0.035 |
-0.005 |
0.019 |
0.039 |
0.055 |
0.065 |
0.071 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.065 |
0.056 |
0.045 |
0.032 |
0.019 |
0.004 |
-0.011 |
-0.025 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.062 |
-0.072 |
-0.080 |
-0.086 |
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