|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1064.9 |
1761.5 |
2242.5 |
2286.3 |
2115.7 |
1796.8 |
1375.0 |
890.0 |
373.7 |
-149.5 |
-660.4 |
-1145.1 |
-1592.9 |
-1996.7 |
-2351.7 |
-2654.6 |
-2904.7 |
-3102.3 |
-3248.4 |
-3345.3 |
-3395.5 |
-3402.4 |
-3369.5 |
-3300.8 |
-3200.5 |
-3072.7 |
-2921.8 |
-2752.1 |
-2568.1 |
-2373.8 |
-2173.5 |
-1971.0 |
-1770.0 |
-1573.8 |
-1385.7 |
-1208.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-61.8 |
-127.7 |
-191.0 |
-237.8 |
-272.3 |
-297.4 |
-315.2 |
-327.8 |
-336.7 |
-343.3 |
-348.7 |
-353.8 |
-359.0 |
-364.9 |
-371.6 |
-379.2 |
-387.9 |
-397.5 |
-408.0 |
-419.2 |
-431.0 |
-443.2 |
-455.8 |
-468.5 |
-481.4 |
-494.1 |
-506.8 |
-519.2 |
-531.4 |
-543.2 |
-554.7 |
-565.9 |
-576.7 |
-587.1 |
-597.1 |
-606.8 |
Investment |
fI |
545.4 |
1291.9 |
2017.4 |
2605.9 |
3040.3 |
3342.8 |
3532.0 |
3632.8 |
3670.1 |
3666.4 |
3640.3 |
3606.5 |
3575.9 |
3555.6 |
3550.2 |
3561.6 |
3590.2 |
3634.9 |
3693.8 |
3764.5 |
3844.6 |
3931.3 |
4022.4 |
4115.6 |
4209.1 |
4301.1 |
4390.7 |
4476.7 |
4558.5 |
4635.6 |
4707.9 |
4775.2 |
4837.7 |
4895.6 |
4949.3 |
4999.2 |
Export |
fE |
577.8 |
1671.6 |
3040.4 |
4650.4 |
6457.3 |
8408.3 |
10455.2 |
12556.7 |
14676.7 |
16784.0 |
18851.7 |
20856.9 |
22780.0 |
24604.8 |
26317.5 |
27907.7 |
29367.2 |
30690.1 |
31873.3 |
32915.7 |
33818.2 |
34583.9 |
35217.7 |
35726.2 |
36117.4 |
36400.6 |
36586.4 |
36686.1 |
36711.7 |
36675.5 |
36590.3 |
36468.7 |
36323.1 |
36165.6 |
36007.9 |
35860.8 |
Import |
fM |
622.6 |
1195.8 |
1760.2 |
2205.2 |
2616.5 |
3011.1 |
3395.4 |
3778.5 |
4167.7 |
4567.6 |
4980.7 |
5407.3 |
5846.1 |
6294.1 |
6747.7 |
7202.4 |
7653.5 |
8096.1 |
8525.6 |
8937.8 |
9329.0 |
9696.1 |
10036.7 |
10348.9 |
10631.6 |
10884.3 |
11107.3 |
11301.1 |
11467.0 |
11606.5 |
11721.6 |
11814.6 |
11888.1 |
11944.6 |
11987.1 |
12018.4 |
GDP |
fY |
1522.4 |
3365.5 |
5207.3 |
6837.8 |
8337.0 |
9723.9 |
11010.9 |
12212.9 |
13342.9 |
14411.6 |
15426.4 |
16392.0 |
17310.8 |
18183.2 |
19008.1 |
19783.7 |
20507.5 |
21176.9 |
21789.8 |
22344.6 |
22840.6 |
23277.9 |
23657.4 |
23981.3 |
24252.4 |
24474.5 |
24652.1 |
24790.2 |
24894.3 |
24970.1 |
25023.7 |
25061.1 |
25088.4 |
25111.5 |
25135.9 |
25167.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.321 |
3.428 |
5.771 |
8.109 |
10.388 |
12.566 |
14.625 |
16.555 |
18.356 |
20.032 |
21.585 |
23.018 |
24.335 |
25.535 |
26.621 |
27.590 |
28.445 |
29.184 |
29.809 |
30.321 |
30.723 |
31.020 |
31.214 |
31.314 |
31.326 |
31.257 |
31.115 |
30.911 |
30.653 |
30.349 |
30.011 |
29.645 |
29.261 |
28.868 |
28.471 |
28.079 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.533 |
12.472 |
11.244 |
10.051 |
8.885 |
7.772 |
6.722 |
5.738 |
4.820 |
3.967 |
3.176 |
2.446 |
1.777 |
1.166 |
0.615 |
0.123 |
-0.310 |
-0.684 |
-1.000 |
-1.258 |
-1.460 |
-1.607 |
-1.704 |
-1.751 |
-1.754 |
-1.716 |
-1.641 |
-1.535 |
-1.401 |
-1.244 |
-1.070 |
-0.882 |
-0.686 |
-0.484 |
-0.281 |
-0.081 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.135 |
-0.109 |
-0.049 |
0.038 |
0.111 |
0.175 |
0.230 |
0.279 |
0.322 |
0.361 |
0.395 |
0.427 |
0.457 |
0.484 |
0.510 |
0.535 |
0.558 |
0.580 |
0.601 |
0.621 |
0.639 |
0.656 |
0.672 |
0.686 |
0.700 |
0.712 |
0.723 |
0.734 |
0.744 |
0.753 |
0.761 |
0.769 |
0.777 |
0.785 |
0.792 |
0.800 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.106 |
0.061 |
-0.007 |
-0.082 |
-0.132 |
-0.163 |
-0.179 |
-0.184 |
-0.179 |
-0.167 |
-0.151 |
-0.132 |
-0.113 |
-0.093 |
-0.074 |
-0.056 |
-0.039 |
-0.025 |
-0.011 |
0.000 |
0.010 |
0.018 |
0.025 |
0.031 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.028 |
-0.048 |
-0.056 |
-0.044 |
-0.021 |
0.012 |
0.051 |
0.096 |
0.144 |
0.194 |
0.244 |
0.295 |
0.344 |
0.391 |
0.437 |
0.479 |
0.519 |
0.556 |
0.590 |
0.621 |
0.649 |
0.674 |
0.697 |
0.717 |
0.735 |
0.750 |
0.764 |
0.775 |
0.786 |
0.794 |
0.802 |
0.809 |
0.815 |
0.820 |
0.825 |
0.830 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.031 |
0.098 |
0.149 |
0.210 |
0.290 |
0.395 |
0.529 |
0.695 |
0.894 |
1.127 |
1.391 |
1.686 |
2.008 |
2.357 |
2.729 |
3.121 |
3.532 |
3.959 |
4.398 |
4.849 |
5.308 |
5.774 |
6.244 |
6.718 |
7.192 |
7.666 |
8.137 |
8.606 |
9.071 |
9.530 |
9.984 |
10.432 |
10.873 |
11.306 |
11.733 |
12.153 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.117 |
0.219 |
0.260 |
0.222 |
0.118 |
-0.042 |
-0.248 |
-0.493 |
-0.770 |
-1.074 |
-1.399 |
-1.742 |
-2.099 |
-2.470 |
-2.850 |
-3.239 |
-3.635 |
-4.036 |
-4.442 |
-4.850 |
-5.259 |
-5.669 |
-6.078 |
-6.485 |
-6.890 |
-7.292 |
-7.689 |
-8.082 |
-8.470 |
-8.853 |
-9.230 |
-9.602 |
-9.968 |
-10.329 |
-10.685 |
-11.035 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.065 |
-0.151 |
-0.230 |
-0.295 |
-0.350 |
-0.396 |
-0.437 |
-0.474 |
-0.507 |
-0.539 |
-0.568 |
-0.597 |
-0.624 |
-0.649 |
-0.672 |
-0.693 |
-0.711 |
-0.727 |
-0.739 |
-0.748 |
-0.754 |
-0.757 |
-0.757 |
-0.754 |
-0.748 |
-0.739 |
-0.729 |
-0.716 |
-0.703 |
-0.688 |
-0.672 |
-0.656 |
-0.639 |
-0.623 |
-0.607 |
-0.591 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.023 |
-0.048 |
-0.066 |
-0.077 |
-0.084 |
-0.087 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.086 |
-0.083 |
-0.080 |
-0.076 |
-0.071 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.020 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.024 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.036 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.046 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.090 |
-0.213 |
-0.323 |
-0.425 |
-0.519 |
-0.605 |
-0.683 |
-0.753 |
-0.816 |
-0.870 |
-0.917 |
-0.956 |
-0.989 |
-1.014 |
-1.033 |
-1.046 |
-1.054 |
-1.056 |
-1.053 |
-1.046 |
-1.036 |
-1.022 |
-1.006 |
-0.987 |
-0.967 |
-0.946 |
-0.924 |
-0.901 |
-0.879 |
-0.857 |
-0.837 |
-0.817 |
-0.798 |
-0.781 |
-0.766 |
-0.753 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.232 |
-0.625 |
-0.960 |
-1.254 |
-1.517 |
-1.747 |
-1.945 |
-2.114 |
-2.256 |
-2.371 |
-2.462 |
-2.531 |
-2.579 |
-2.608 |
-2.619 |
-2.615 |
-2.596 |
-2.565 |
-2.523 |
-2.472 |
-2.413 |
-2.348 |
-2.280 |
-2.208 |
-2.135 |
-2.062 |
-1.991 |
-1.921 |
-1.855 |
-1.793 |
-1.735 |
-1.682 |
-1.635 |
-1.594 |
-1.559 |
-1.530 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.082 |
-0.202 |
-0.316 |
-0.424 |
-0.527 |
-0.624 |
-0.713 |
-0.795 |
-0.870 |
-0.937 |
-0.996 |
-1.048 |
-1.093 |
-1.130 |
-1.160 |
-1.183 |
-1.199 |
-1.209 |
-1.213 |
-1.211 |
-1.204 |
-1.193 |
-1.178 |
-1.160 |
-1.139 |
-1.116 |
-1.091 |
-1.065 |
-1.039 |
-1.013 |
-0.987 |
-0.962 |
-0.938 |
-0.916 |
-0.895 |
-0.876 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.063 |
-0.153 |
-0.234 |
-0.311 |
-0.382 |
-0.448 |
-0.509 |
-0.563 |
-0.611 |
-0.653 |
-0.689 |
-0.719 |
-0.743 |
-0.762 |
-0.775 |
-0.783 |
-0.787 |
-0.786 |
-0.782 |
-0.774 |
-0.763 |
-0.749 |
-0.734 |
-0.717 |
-0.698 |
-0.679 |
-0.660 |
-0.640 |
-0.621 |
-0.602 |
-0.584 |
-0.568 |
-0.552 |
-0.538 |
-0.525 |
-0.514 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.115 |
-0.075 |
-0.027 |
0.022 |
0.050 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.056 |
0.041 |
0.021 |
-0.002 |
-0.027 |
-0.053 |
-0.079 |
-0.105 |
-0.129 |
-0.151 |
-0.171 |
-0.190 |
-0.206 |
-0.220 |
-0.231 |
-0.241 |
-0.248 |
-0.254 |
-0.258 |
-0.260 |
-0.260 |
-0.259 |
-0.257 |
-0.253 |
-0.249 |
-0.244 |
-0.238 |
-0.232 |
-0.226 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.073 |
-0.187 |
-0.274 |
-0.340 |
-0.391 |
-0.430 |
-0.459 |
-0.478 |
-0.490 |
-0.496 |
-0.495 |
-0.489 |
-0.479 |
-0.465 |
-0.447 |
-0.427 |
-0.404 |
-0.380 |
-0.355 |
-0.329 |
-0.304 |
-0.278 |
-0.253 |
-0.229 |
-0.207 |
-0.186 |
-0.167 |
-0.150 |
-0.135 |
-0.122 |
-0.111 |
-0.102 |
-0.095 |
-0.091 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
|
|
|
|
|
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