|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-793.0 |
-759.8 |
-1071.9 |
-1340.9 |
-1467.5 |
-1513.8 |
-1495.7 |
-1429.6 |
-1327.5 |
-1198.4 |
-1049.7 |
-887.0 |
-715.4 |
-538.8 |
-360.9 |
-184.8 |
-13.1 |
152.3 |
309.5 |
457.0 |
593.7 |
718.8 |
831.6 |
931.8 |
1019.1 |
1093.7 |
1155.8 |
1205.6 |
1243.8 |
1271.0 |
1287.8 |
1295.1 |
1293.7 |
1284.6 |
1268.8 |
1247.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-45.6 |
-44.5 |
-41.8 |
-35.9 |
-31.6 |
-28.7 |
-27.2 |
-27.0 |
-27.8 |
-29.3 |
-31.5 |
-34.1 |
-37.0 |
-40.1 |
-43.3 |
-46.4 |
-49.4 |
-52.3 |
-54.9 |
-57.3 |
-59.5 |
-61.4 |
-63.0 |
-64.4 |
-65.6 |
-66.4 |
-67.1 |
-67.5 |
-67.8 |
-67.9 |
-67.9 |
-67.8 |
-67.6 |
-67.4 |
-67.1 |
-66.9 |
Investment |
fI |
1215.4 |
1336.3 |
870.9 |
591.8 |
419.0 |
291.4 |
194.0 |
124.8 |
80.9 |
58.6 |
53.7 |
62.1 |
80.0 |
104.1 |
131.6 |
160.2 |
188.0 |
213.7 |
236.4 |
255.4 |
270.3 |
281.0 |
287.4 |
289.8 |
288.3 |
283.3 |
275.1 |
264.2 |
251.1 |
236.0 |
219.5 |
202.0 |
183.9 |
165.6 |
147.3 |
129.5 |
Export |
fE |
3507.5 |
4258.9 |
4810.8 |
5161.5 |
5351.4 |
5404.9 |
5344.7 |
5190.9 |
4961.2 |
4671.1 |
4334.2 |
3962.5 |
3566.8 |
3156.4 |
2739.6 |
2323.5 |
1914.5 |
1518.0 |
1138.7 |
780.3 |
446.1 |
138.6 |
-140.4 |
-389.5 |
-608.0 |
-795.3 |
-951.8 |
-1077.9 |
-1174.3 |
-1242.4 |
-1283.4 |
-1299.2 |
-1291.4 |
-1262.2 |
-1213.6 |
-1147.7 |
Import |
fM |
256.1 |
571.4 |
413.1 |
362.1 |
401.8 |
453.1 |
503.5 |
548.6 |
585.9 |
614.4 |
633.4 |
642.8 |
642.7 |
633.6 |
615.9 |
590.5 |
558.1 |
519.8 |
476.5 |
429.2 |
378.9 |
326.4 |
272.8 |
218.9 |
165.4 |
113.1 |
62.6 |
14.5 |
-30.9 |
-72.9 |
-111.4 |
-146.1 |
-176.7 |
-203.2 |
-225.5 |
-243.6 |
GDP |
fY |
3454.7 |
3805.7 |
3542.1 |
3282.3 |
3060.3 |
2838.4 |
2614.5 |
2389.6 |
2165.4 |
1943.4 |
1724.8 |
1510.8 |
1302.0 |
1099.6 |
904.4 |
716.9 |
538.1 |
368.7 |
209.5 |
61.1 |
-76.0 |
-201.2 |
-314.3 |
-415.1 |
-503.4 |
-579.2 |
-642.7 |
-694.3 |
-734.1 |
-762.9 |
-781.0 |
-789.2 |
-788.1 |
-778.5 |
-761.2 |
-737.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
3.395 |
4.486 |
4.904 |
5.059 |
5.070 |
4.969 |
4.787 |
4.545 |
4.260 |
3.946 |
3.613 |
3.269 |
2.921 |
2.574 |
2.232 |
1.900 |
1.579 |
1.274 |
0.985 |
0.715 |
0.466 |
0.237 |
0.030 |
-0.155 |
-0.318 |
-0.459 |
-0.578 |
-0.676 |
-0.755 |
-0.815 |
-0.857 |
-0.882 |
-0.893 |
-0.890 |
-0.875 |
-0.850 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.852 |
-2.331 |
-2.520 |
-2.590 |
-2.591 |
-2.536 |
-2.440 |
-2.314 |
-2.167 |
-2.005 |
-1.834 |
-1.658 |
-1.480 |
-1.303 |
-1.129 |
-0.959 |
-0.796 |
-0.640 |
-0.493 |
-0.356 |
-0.229 |
-0.113 |
-0.008 |
0.086 |
0.168 |
0.239 |
0.299 |
0.349 |
0.389 |
0.418 |
0.439 |
0.452 |
0.457 |
0.455 |
0.447 |
0.433 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.063 |
0.123 |
0.116 |
0.106 |
0.100 |
0.092 |
0.085 |
0.079 |
0.072 |
0.067 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.052 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.097 |
-0.128 |
-0.085 |
-0.046 |
-0.021 |
0.000 |
0.015 |
0.026 |
0.034 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.036 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.024 |
0.019 |
0.015 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.033 |
-0.005 |
0.031 |
0.060 |
0.079 |
0.092 |
0.100 |
0.105 |
0.106 |
0.105 |
0.102 |
0.097 |
0.091 |
0.084 |
0.077 |
0.069 |
0.061 |
0.053 |
0.046 |
0.038 |
0.031 |
0.025 |
0.019 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.285 |
-0.411 |
-0.441 |
-0.432 |
-0.402 |
-0.354 |
-0.296 |
-0.231 |
-0.164 |
-0.096 |
-0.031 |
0.031 |
0.087 |
0.139 |
0.185 |
0.224 |
0.258 |
0.285 |
0.307 |
0.324 |
0.336 |
0.343 |
0.346 |
0.346 |
0.342 |
0.335 |
0.327 |
0.316 |
0.304 |
0.291 |
0.277 |
0.263 |
0.250 |
0.236 |
0.223 |
0.211 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.141 |
-0.268 |
-0.374 |
-0.468 |
-0.553 |
-0.627 |
-0.691 |
-0.746 |
-0.792 |
-0.831 |
-0.862 |
-0.888 |
-0.908 |
-0.923 |
-0.933 |
-0.940 |
-0.943 |
-0.943 |
-0.940 |
-0.934 |
-0.926 |
-0.917 |
-0.905 |
-0.892 |
-0.878 |
-0.863 |
-0.847 |
-0.831 |
-0.815 |
-0.798 |
-0.781 |
-0.765 |
-0.749 |
-0.733 |
-0.718 |
-0.704 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.198 |
-0.207 |
-0.194 |
-0.181 |
-0.169 |
-0.158 |
-0.146 |
-0.135 |
-0.123 |
-0.112 |
-0.100 |
-0.089 |
-0.078 |
-0.066 |
-0.055 |
-0.044 |
-0.033 |
-0.022 |
-0.011 |
-0.002 |
0.008 |
0.016 |
0.024 |
0.031 |
0.038 |
0.044 |
0.048 |
0.052 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.084 |
-0.067 |
-0.049 |
-0.036 |
-0.025 |
-0.016 |
-0.009 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.007 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
User cost |
uim |
0.504 |
0.542 |
0.580 |
0.616 |
0.651 |
0.685 |
0.717 |
0.747 |
0.777 |
0.804 |
0.830 |
0.854 |
0.876 |
0.897 |
0.915 |
0.932 |
0.947 |
0.960 |
0.972 |
0.981 |
0.989 |
0.996 |
1.001 |
1.005 |
1.007 |
1.009 |
1.009 |
1.008 |
1.007 |
1.005 |
1.002 |
0.999 |
0.995 |
0.991 |
0.987 |
0.983 |
Wage |
lna |
0.088 |
0.160 |
0.240 |
0.324 |
0.408 |
0.491 |
0.572 |
0.649 |
0.722 |
0.791 |
0.854 |
0.911 |
0.964 |
1.010 |
1.052 |
1.087 |
1.118 |
1.143 |
1.164 |
1.180 |
1.192 |
1.199 |
1.203 |
1.204 |
1.202 |
1.197 |
1.190 |
1.182 |
1.171 |
1.160 |
1.147 |
1.134 |
1.120 |
1.106 |
1.092 |
1.079 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.351 |
0.409 |
0.451 |
0.493 |
0.535 |
0.576 |
0.617 |
0.656 |
0.694 |
0.730 |
0.765 |
0.798 |
0.829 |
0.858 |
0.885 |
0.910 |
0.933 |
0.953 |
0.972 |
0.988 |
1.002 |
1.015 |
1.025 |
1.033 |
1.040 |
1.045 |
1.049 |
1.051 |
1.052 |
1.051 |
1.050 |
1.048 |
1.045 |
1.042 |
1.038 |
1.034 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.399 |
-0.361 |
-0.328 |
-0.297 |
-0.267 |
-0.238 |
-0.210 |
-0.184 |
-0.159 |
-0.136 |
-0.114 |
-0.094 |
-0.076 |
-0.059 |
-0.043 |
-0.029 |
-0.017 |
-0.006 |
0.003 |
0.010 |
0.017 |
0.022 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.007 |
0.034 |
0.005 |
-0.026 |
-0.046 |
-0.061 |
-0.071 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.072 |
-0.067 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.024 |
-0.017 |
-0.011 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.069 |
-0.052 |
-0.030 |
-0.012 |
0.004 |
0.019 |
0.033 |
0.045 |
0.056 |
0.065 |
0.073 |
0.079 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.085 |
0.082 |
0.078 |
0.073 |
0.068 |
0.063 |
0.057 |
0.052 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.029 |
0.023 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|