|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
283.3 |
726.2 |
964.7 |
1165.6 |
1354.5 |
1539.7 |
1728.6 |
1923.3 |
2123.9 |
2329.1 |
2536.9 |
2745.0 |
2951.0 |
3152.4 |
3347.1 |
3533.0 |
3708.8 |
3873.3 |
4025.6 |
4165.1 |
4291.8 |
4405.6 |
4506.8 |
4595.9 |
4673.6 |
4740.6 |
4797.9 |
4846.4 |
4887.2 |
4921.5 |
4950.3 |
4974.7 |
4995.8 |
5014.8 |
5032.7 |
5050.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2964.5 |
3007.7 |
3057.8 |
3111.5 |
3167.3 |
3224.5 |
3282.5 |
3341.0 |
3399.7 |
3458.5 |
3517.4 |
3576.5 |
3635.8 |
3695.3 |
3755.2 |
3815.7 |
3876.6 |
3938.3 |
4000.7 |
4063.8 |
4127.8 |
4192.7 |
4258.5 |
4325.2 |
4392.9 |
4461.5 |
4531.1 |
4601.7 |
4673.3 |
4745.8 |
4819.4 |
4893.9 |
4969.4 |
5045.9 |
5123.4 |
5201.9 |
Investment |
fI |
498.4 |
710.3 |
663.2 |
633.9 |
619.5 |
598.7 |
569.3 |
535.3 |
500.6 |
467.8 |
438.7 |
413.7 |
392.8 |
375.4 |
360.8 |
348.0 |
336.0 |
324.1 |
311.7 |
298.3 |
283.6 |
267.4 |
249.7 |
230.5 |
210.2 |
188.9 |
166.8 |
144.5 |
122.1 |
100.1 |
78.6 |
58.0 |
38.6 |
20.6 |
4.3 |
-10.4 |
Export |
fE |
-150.6 |
-395.0 |
-705.1 |
-1072.3 |
-1490.4 |
-1951.4 |
-2446.5 |
-2967.2 |
-3504.6 |
-4050.7 |
-4597.8 |
-5139.1 |
-5668.7 |
-6181.3 |
-6672.6 |
-7139.1 |
-7577.8 |
-7986.6 |
-8364.2 |
-8709.6 |
-9022.7 |
-9303.5 |
-9552.9 |
-9771.7 |
-9961.5 |
-10123.9 |
-10260.7 |
-10374.2 |
-10466.6 |
-10540.3 |
-10597.8 |
-10641.5 |
-10674.0 |
-10697.8 |
-10715.2 |
-10728.7 |
Import |
fM |
649.3 |
912.4 |
938.1 |
947.9 |
950.2 |
935.0 |
904.3 |
862.1 |
811.7 |
755.8 |
696.4 |
634.6 |
571.6 |
507.9 |
444.0 |
380.3 |
317.3 |
255.2 |
194.6 |
135.9 |
79.4 |
25.5 |
-25.4 |
-72.9 |
-116.8 |
-156.7 |
-192.4 |
-223.8 |
-250.7 |
-273.1 |
-291.1 |
-304.7 |
-313.9 |
-319.0 |
-320.2 |
-317.7 |
GDP |
fY |
2924.8 |
3146.9 |
3085.4 |
2968.1 |
2814.2 |
2626.8 |
2416.4 |
2192.8 |
1964.7 |
1738.9 |
1520.3 |
1312.6 |
1118.2 |
939.0 |
775.8 |
628.9 |
498.6 |
384.9 |
287.3 |
205.5 |
138.8 |
86.9 |
48.9 |
24.2 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
22.2 |
42.8 |
72.7 |
110.9 |
156.5 |
208.5 |
266.0 |
328.3 |
394.4 |
463.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
5.404 |
5.630 |
5.592 |
5.419 |
5.147 |
4.797 |
4.390 |
3.947 |
3.485 |
3.019 |
2.560 |
2.117 |
1.696 |
1.302 |
0.937 |
0.604 |
0.303 |
0.035 |
-0.202 |
-0.407 |
-0.582 |
-0.728 |
-0.847 |
-0.941 |
-1.010 |
-1.058 |
-1.086 |
-1.095 |
-1.088 |
-1.067 |
-1.033 |
-0.988 |
-0.935 |
-0.874 |
-0.807 |
-0.737 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.947 |
-2.887 |
-2.855 |
-2.763 |
-2.621 |
-2.439 |
-2.229 |
-2.002 |
-1.765 |
-1.527 |
-1.293 |
-1.067 |
-0.852 |
-0.652 |
-0.466 |
-0.297 |
-0.144 |
-0.008 |
0.111 |
0.215 |
0.303 |
0.377 |
0.437 |
0.484 |
0.519 |
0.542 |
0.556 |
0.560 |
0.556 |
0.544 |
0.527 |
0.503 |
0.476 |
0.444 |
0.410 |
0.374 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.075 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.070 |
-0.082 |
-0.095 |
-0.110 |
-0.124 |
-0.139 |
-0.154 |
-0.169 |
-0.182 |
-0.196 |
-0.208 |
-0.220 |
-0.231 |
-0.242 |
-0.252 |
-0.262 |
-0.271 |
-0.279 |
-0.288 |
-0.296 |
-0.303 |
-0.311 |
-0.318 |
-0.324 |
-0.331 |
-0.337 |
-0.343 |
-0.349 |
-0.355 |
-0.361 |
-0.367 |
-0.372 |
-0.378 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.032 |
-0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.062 |
-0.068 |
-0.076 |
-0.085 |
-0.095 |
-0.106 |
-0.118 |
-0.131 |
-0.144 |
-0.158 |
-0.172 |
-0.186 |
-0.200 |
-0.214 |
-0.227 |
-0.241 |
-0.253 |
-0.265 |
-0.277 |
-0.288 |
-0.298 |
-0.307 |
-0.316 |
-0.325 |
-0.332 |
-0.340 |
-0.346 |
-0.353 |
-0.358 |
-0.364 |
-0.369 |
-0.374 |
-0.379 |
-0.384 |
-0.388 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.181 |
-0.321 |
-0.446 |
-0.571 |
-0.699 |
-0.829 |
-0.960 |
-1.095 |
-1.233 |
-1.374 |
-1.520 |
-1.670 |
-1.824 |
-1.984 |
-2.148 |
-2.316 |
-2.489 |
-2.665 |
-2.845 |
-3.028 |
-3.213 |
-3.401 |
-3.591 |
-3.781 |
-3.973 |
-4.166 |
-4.358 |
-4.551 |
-4.743 |
-4.934 |
-5.125 |
-5.314 |
-5.502 |
-5.689 |
-5.875 |
-6.059 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.025 |
0.069 |
0.118 |
0.177 |
0.245 |
0.324 |
0.413 |
0.514 |
0.624 |
0.745 |
0.875 |
1.012 |
1.157 |
1.307 |
1.463 |
1.624 |
1.788 |
1.956 |
2.126 |
2.299 |
2.473 |
2.648 |
2.825 |
3.002 |
3.179 |
3.356 |
3.534 |
3.711 |
3.887 |
4.063 |
4.239 |
4.413 |
4.587 |
4.759 |
4.931 |
5.102 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.117 |
-0.112 |
-0.095 |
-0.075 |
-0.054 |
-0.032 |
-0.009 |
0.013 |
0.035 |
0.056 |
0.075 |
0.093 |
0.110 |
0.125 |
0.140 |
0.152 |
0.164 |
0.174 |
0.183 |
0.190 |
0.197 |
0.203 |
0.207 |
0.211 |
0.213 |
0.215 |
0.216 |
0.216 |
0.216 |
0.215 |
0.213 |
0.211 |
0.209 |
0.206 |
0.203 |
0.200 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.075 |
0.081 |
0.085 |
0.088 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.093 |
0.093 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
User cost |
uim |
0.028 |
0.060 |
0.092 |
0.124 |
0.156 |
0.187 |
0.216 |
0.243 |
0.269 |
0.293 |
0.314 |
0.333 |
0.350 |
0.365 |
0.377 |
0.388 |
0.396 |
0.403 |
0.407 |
0.411 |
0.413 |
0.413 |
0.413 |
0.411 |
0.409 |
0.406 |
0.402 |
0.398 |
0.393 |
0.388 |
0.383 |
0.379 |
0.374 |
0.369 |
0.364 |
0.360 |
Wage |
lna |
0.050 |
0.142 |
0.230 |
0.317 |
0.400 |
0.479 |
0.553 |
0.620 |
0.680 |
0.734 |
0.780 |
0.819 |
0.852 |
0.878 |
0.898 |
0.912 |
0.922 |
0.926 |
0.927 |
0.924 |
0.918 |
0.909 |
0.898 |
0.885 |
0.871 |
0.855 |
0.839 |
0.822 |
0.806 |
0.789 |
0.773 |
0.757 |
0.742 |
0.728 |
0.714 |
0.702 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.018 |
0.047 |
0.077 |
0.108 |
0.140 |
0.172 |
0.203 |
0.234 |
0.263 |
0.291 |
0.316 |
0.339 |
0.360 |
0.379 |
0.396 |
0.410 |
0.422 |
0.431 |
0.439 |
0.445 |
0.449 |
0.452 |
0.452 |
0.452 |
0.450 |
0.448 |
0.444 |
0.440 |
0.435 |
0.430 |
0.424 |
0.418 |
0.412 |
0.406 |
0.399 |
0.394 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.014 |
0.035 |
0.056 |
0.078 |
0.100 |
0.122 |
0.142 |
0.162 |
0.181 |
0.198 |
0.214 |
0.228 |
0.240 |
0.250 |
0.259 |
0.266 |
0.272 |
0.276 |
0.279 |
0.280 |
0.281 |
0.280 |
0.279 |
0.277 |
0.274 |
0.271 |
0.267 |
0.263 |
0.259 |
0.255 |
0.250 |
0.246 |
0.242 |
0.237 |
0.233 |
0.229 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
-0.019 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.024 |
0.030 |
0.037 |
0.043 |
0.050 |
0.056 |
0.062 |
0.067 |
0.072 |
0.076 |
0.080 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.089 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.092 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.037 |
0.062 |
0.087 |
0.109 |
0.129 |
0.146 |
0.160 |
0.171 |
0.179 |
0.184 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.186 |
0.183 |
0.178 |
0.173 |
0.167 |
0.161 |
0.154 |
0.148 |
0.141 |
0.134 |
0.127 |
0.121 |
0.115 |
0.109 |
0.103 |
0.098 |
0.094 |
0.089 |
0.086 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
|
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