|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6317.9 |
-1257.6 |
-2221.7 |
-5154.1 |
-8467.0 |
-11734.4 |
-14749.1 |
-17429.1 |
-19751.8 |
-21729.3 |
-23389.3 |
-24767.9 |
-25902.5 |
-26830.0 |
-27583.8 |
-28199.6 |
-28701.1 |
-29110.3 |
-29444.8 |
-29718.8 |
-29944.0 |
-30129.7 |
-30283.2 |
-30411.2 |
-30518.8 |
-30610.9 |
-30691.7 |
-30765.3 |
-30835.9 |
-30906.9 |
-30982.2 |
-31065.4 |
-31159.9 |
-31268.6 |
-31394.7 |
-31540.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-365.5 |
1592.4 |
3130.9 |
4028.2 |
4423.6 |
4447.5 |
4214.6 |
3823.2 |
3354.4 |
2871.7 |
2421.6 |
2036.1 |
1734.3 |
1525.1 |
1409.6 |
1381.8 |
1432.3 |
1549.0 |
1718.0 |
1925.3 |
2156.9 |
2399.5 |
2641.3 |
2871.6 |
3081.7 |
3264.4 |
3414.4 |
3528.3 |
3604.2 |
3641.8 |
3642.3 |
3608.2 |
3543.0 |
3450.8 |
3336.9 |
3206.5 |
Investment |
fI |
8297.1 |
18584.1 |
22185.5 |
22502.3 |
21230.3 |
19115.9 |
16637.9 |
14129.1 |
11813.4 |
9828.5 |
8243.0 |
7074.7 |
6306.6 |
5899.7 |
5803.2 |
5958.9 |
6310.4 |
6805.9 |
7399.0 |
8050.0 |
8725.9 |
9399.9 |
10051.5 |
10665.6 |
11231.8 |
11743.5 |
12197.9 |
12594.8 |
12936.3 |
13226.1 |
13469.6 |
13673.0 |
13843.1 |
13986.8 |
14111.5 |
14223.9 |
Export |
fE |
3414.8 |
6311.4 |
9609.1 |
12799.6 |
15716.4 |
18234.7 |
20318.4 |
21987.7 |
23297.8 |
24319.0 |
25124.6 |
25783.4 |
26354.0 |
26883.2 |
27404.3 |
27939.2 |
28497.6 |
29080.8 |
29681.8 |
30289.3 |
30887.2 |
31459.2 |
31987.9 |
32457.0 |
32852.8 |
33164.2 |
33383.6 |
33507.4 |
33535.7 |
33472.3 |
33324.1 |
33101.7 |
32817.7 |
32486.9 |
32125.5 |
31750.5 |
Import |
fM |
2188.4 |
9689.9 |
10924.8 |
10424.5 |
9540.1 |
8424.6 |
7220.6 |
6038.0 |
4957.6 |
4033.2 |
3295.4 |
2756.1 |
2413.3 |
2255.4 |
2264.6 |
2415.3 |
2684.5 |
3048.3 |
3483.2 |
3967.4 |
4480.4 |
5004.0 |
5521.8 |
6020.0 |
6486.8 |
6912.6 |
7290.4 |
7615.2 |
7883.9 |
8095.8 |
8251.7 |
8354.3 |
8407.5 |
8416.6 |
8387.9 |
8328.4 |
GDP |
fY |
2613.4 |
15419.6 |
21455.8 |
23177.2 |
22551.7 |
20613.2 |
17987.6 |
15098.2 |
12245.0 |
9631.0 |
7383.2 |
5569.4 |
4211.7 |
3299.4 |
2798.3 |
2654.2 |
2808.5 |
3199.6 |
3765.3 |
4447.4 |
5191.1 |
5949.0 |
6679.4 |
7348.2 |
7928.4 |
8400.3 |
8750.7 |
8973.0 |
9066.5 |
9035.4 |
8888.4 |
8638.1 |
8300.1 |
7891.4 |
7431.4 |
6939.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.380 |
9.402 |
17.393 |
21.169 |
21.968 |
20.747 |
18.253 |
15.083 |
11.701 |
8.445 |
5.543 |
3.132 |
1.274 |
-0.023 |
-0.791 |
-1.094 |
-1.006 |
-0.609 |
0.012 |
0.780 |
1.622 |
2.474 |
3.284 |
4.009 |
4.616 |
5.083 |
5.396 |
5.552 |
5.552 |
5.404 |
5.122 |
4.723 |
4.228 |
3.658 |
3.036 |
2.384 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.473 |
-5.924 |
-10.362 |
-12.345 |
-12.673 |
-11.883 |
-10.392 |
-8.539 |
-6.583 |
-4.716 |
-3.062 |
-1.696 |
-0.652 |
0.070 |
0.489 |
0.643 |
0.575 |
0.333 |
-0.034 |
-0.483 |
-0.970 |
-1.461 |
-1.925 |
-2.338 |
-2.682 |
-2.945 |
-3.119 |
-3.201 |
-3.194 |
-3.102 |
-2.934 |
-2.700 |
-2.411 |
-2.080 |
-1.720 |
-1.343 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.735 |
0.315 |
0.626 |
0.736 |
0.742 |
0.682 |
0.586 |
0.475 |
0.364 |
0.261 |
0.173 |
0.102 |
0.047 |
0.007 |
-0.018 |
-0.033 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.031 |
-0.022 |
-0.012 |
-0.002 |
0.008 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.024 |
0.019 |
0.013 |
0.006 |
-0.001 |
-0.009 |
-0.016 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.184 |
-1.603 |
-1.935 |
-1.982 |
-1.887 |
-1.709 |
-1.494 |
-1.275 |
-1.070 |
-0.892 |
-0.746 |
-0.633 |
-0.550 |
-0.494 |
-0.461 |
-0.445 |
-0.443 |
-0.450 |
-0.463 |
-0.479 |
-0.497 |
-0.515 |
-0.531 |
-0.546 |
-0.558 |
-0.568 |
-0.575 |
-0.581 |
-0.584 |
-0.586 |
-0.587 |
-0.586 |
-0.586 |
-0.584 |
-0.583 |
-0.581 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.551 |
-1.288 |
-1.309 |
-1.246 |
-1.145 |
-1.027 |
-0.908 |
-0.800 |
-0.706 |
-0.631 |
-0.573 |
-0.531 |
-0.504 |
-0.487 |
-0.479 |
-0.478 |
-0.481 |
-0.487 |
-0.494 |
-0.501 |
-0.509 |
-0.517 |
-0.524 |
-0.530 |
-0.536 |
-0.541 |
-0.546 |
-0.552 |
-0.557 |
-0.562 |
-0.568 |
-0.573 |
-0.579 |
-0.585 |
-0.591 |
-0.598 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.380 |
-2.861 |
-3.860 |
-4.639 |
-5.276 |
-5.793 |
-6.199 |
-6.511 |
-6.746 |
-6.926 |
-7.069 |
-7.193 |
-7.310 |
-7.433 |
-7.568 |
-7.719 |
-7.888 |
-8.076 |
-8.281 |
-8.501 |
-8.734 |
-8.976 |
-9.226 |
-9.479 |
-9.733 |
-9.987 |
-10.238 |
-10.486 |
-10.728 |
-10.964 |
-11.195 |
-11.419 |
-11.637 |
-11.849 |
-12.055 |
-12.255 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.344 |
2.609 |
1.734 |
0.868 |
0.071 |
-0.615 |
-1.170 |
-1.594 |
-1.894 |
-2.086 |
-2.189 |
-2.221 |
-2.201 |
-2.144 |
-2.066 |
-1.975 |
-1.882 |
-1.791 |
-1.707 |
-1.632 |
-1.568 |
-1.513 |
-1.467 |
-1.429 |
-1.397 |
-1.369 |
-1.343 |
-1.319 |
-1.293 |
-1.266 |
-1.236 |
-1.202 |
-1.164 |
-1.122 |
-1.076 |
-1.027 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.151 |
-0.508 |
-0.557 |
-0.416 |
-0.196 |
0.045 |
0.275 |
0.475 |
0.636 |
0.754 |
0.832 |
0.874 |
0.885 |
0.871 |
0.839 |
0.794 |
0.743 |
0.689 |
0.635 |
0.585 |
0.540 |
0.502 |
0.472 |
0.450 |
0.436 |
0.430 |
0.432 |
0.440 |
0.453 |
0.472 |
0.494 |
0.519 |
0.547 |
0.575 |
0.603 |
0.631 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.354 |
-0.542 |
-0.586 |
-0.574 |
-0.547 |
-0.522 |
-0.505 |
-0.496 |
-0.494 |
-0.498 |
-0.506 |
-0.516 |
-0.526 |
-0.535 |
-0.542 |
-0.548 |
-0.552 |
-0.553 |
-0.552 |
-0.550 |
-0.546 |
-0.541 |
-0.535 |
-0.529 |
-0.522 |
-0.516 |
-0.509 |
-0.504 |
-0.499 |
-0.495 |
-0.491 |
-0.489 |
-0.487 |
-0.486 |
-0.486 |
-0.487 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.872 |
-6.026 |
-6.106 |
-6.143 |
-6.155 |
-6.150 |
-6.138 |
-6.124 |
-6.112 |
-6.104 |
-6.101 |
-6.103 |
-6.110 |
-6.119 |
-6.131 |
-6.143 |
-6.155 |
-6.164 |
-6.171 |
-6.173 |
-6.172 |
-6.166 |
-6.156 |
-6.142 |
-6.124 |
-6.103 |
-6.079 |
-6.054 |
-6.027 |
-5.999 |
-5.972 |
-5.946 |
-5.921 |
-5.898 |
-5.877 |
-5.860 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.084 |
-0.154 |
-0.031 |
0.200 |
0.475 |
0.755 |
1.013 |
1.233 |
1.407 |
1.532 |
1.614 |
1.656 |
1.668 |
1.658 |
1.635 |
1.606 |
1.577 |
1.554 |
1.542 |
1.543 |
1.558 |
1.588 |
1.634 |
1.692 |
1.763 |
1.844 |
1.931 |
2.023 |
2.117 |
2.211 |
2.301 |
2.385 |
2.463 |
2.532 |
2.591 |
2.639 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.115 |
-0.593 |
-0.982 |
-1.278 |
-1.503 |
-1.678 |
-1.819 |
-1.938 |
-2.043 |
-2.139 |
-2.230 |
-2.316 |
-2.399 |
-2.478 |
-2.552 |
-2.620 |
-2.682 |
-2.736 |
-2.783 |
-2.820 |
-2.850 |
-2.871 |
-2.883 |
-2.887 |
-2.884 |
-2.875 |
-2.860 |
-2.840 |
-2.816 |
-2.790 |
-2.761 |
-2.732 |
-2.702 |
-2.674 |
-2.647 |
-2.622 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.102 |
-0.254 |
-0.352 |
-0.410 |
-0.441 |
-0.454 |
-0.457 |
-0.454 |
-0.451 |
-0.448 |
-0.449 |
-0.452 |
-0.458 |
-0.467 |
-0.477 |
-0.488 |
-0.498 |
-0.506 |
-0.513 |
-0.516 |
-0.517 |
-0.514 |
-0.508 |
-0.498 |
-0.485 |
-0.469 |
-0.451 |
-0.431 |
-0.410 |
-0.388 |
-0.366 |
-0.344 |
-0.324 |
-0.304 |
-0.286 |
-0.271 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.708 |
0.687 |
0.767 |
0.692 |
0.544 |
0.361 |
0.171 |
-0.011 |
-0.174 |
-0.315 |
-0.432 |
-0.527 |
-0.601 |
-0.657 |
-0.699 |
-0.729 |
-0.750 |
-0.765 |
-0.774 |
-0.780 |
-0.784 |
-0.786 |
-0.787 |
-0.788 |
-0.788 |
-0.788 |
-0.788 |
-0.788 |
-0.787 |
-0.785 |
-0.783 |
-0.780 |
-0.777 |
-0.773 |
-0.768 |
-0.763 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.112 |
0.019 |
0.288 |
0.586 |
0.859 |
1.090 |
1.277 |
1.421 |
1.530 |
1.607 |
1.661 |
1.697 |
1.721 |
1.736 |
1.747 |
1.756 |
1.766 |
1.779 |
1.795 |
1.814 |
1.838 |
1.865 |
1.894 |
1.926 |
1.959 |
1.993 |
2.026 |
2.058 |
2.089 |
2.116 |
2.141 |
2.161 |
2.178 |
2.191 |
2.200 |
2.205 |
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