|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6322.8 |
13726.1 |
22679.0 |
26815.7 |
29031.4 |
30091.7 |
30531.7 |
30694.6 |
30804.9 |
30999.0 |
31353.5 |
31902.5 |
32651.6 |
33587.4 |
34684.4 |
35902.6 |
37211.1 |
38574.8 |
39961.6 |
41341.8 |
42690.6 |
43987.4 |
45216.7 |
46366.8 |
47431.5 |
48407.6 |
49296.1 |
50100.8 |
50828.3 |
51487.0 |
52086.8 |
52638.7 |
53155.2 |
53648.2 |
54130.5 |
54614.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.6 |
-3.0 |
-11.7 |
-24.8 |
-41.5 |
-60.4 |
-80.5 |
-100.8 |
-120.6 |
-139.4 |
-156.7 |
-172.4 |
-186.5 |
-198.8 |
-209.5 |
-218.6 |
-226.1 |
-232.3 |
-237.2 |
-241.0 |
-243.7 |
-245.5 |
-246.5 |
-246.8 |
-246.5 |
-245.7 |
-244.5 |
-242.9 |
-241.1 |
-239.1 |
-236.9 |
-234.7 |
-232.6 |
-230.5 |
-228.6 |
Investment |
fI |
6969.4 |
19937.6 |
29298.5 |
34961.4 |
38116.9 |
39378.3 |
39242.0 |
38133.8 |
36410.1 |
34359.8 |
32204.0 |
30103.0 |
28164.5 |
26453.3 |
25001.0 |
23811.0 |
22871.8 |
22162.2 |
21654.1 |
21317.2 |
21122.1 |
21040.5 |
21047.3 |
21122.2 |
21248.2 |
21412.2 |
21605.0 |
21819.1 |
22052.4 |
22301.1 |
22566.2 |
22848.0 |
23150.3 |
23473.0 |
23819.8 |
24190.9 |
Export |
fE |
3418.2 |
6139.9 |
9295.3 |
12392.8 |
15157.9 |
17307.9 |
18670.1 |
19167.2 |
18797.2 |
17611.2 |
15695.9 |
13161.1 |
10125.7 |
6712.2 |
3039.4 |
-780.8 |
-4647.5 |
-8471.1 |
-12175.3 |
-15695.0 |
-18978.6 |
-21984.5 |
-24682.7 |
-27052.0 |
-29080.6 |
-30763.3 |
-32102.8 |
-33106.0 |
-33786.2 |
-34160.2 |
-34249.3 |
-34076.7 |
-33668.7 |
-33053.5 |
-32260.6 |
-31320.5 |
Import |
fM |
1624.9 |
16462.5 |
23424.8 |
27173.1 |
29736.8 |
31278.9 |
32022.4 |
32164.4 |
31870.3 |
31275.7 |
30488.0 |
29589.5 |
28641.5 |
27687.4 |
26757.2 |
25864.8 |
25023.8 |
24240.7 |
23518.4 |
22857.8 |
22259.0 |
21722.4 |
21248.1 |
20837.1 |
20491.0 |
20211.9 |
20002.4 |
19865.0 |
19803.5 |
19819.4 |
19915.2 |
20092.1 |
20351.8 |
20693.1 |
21115.7 |
21616.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2191.8 |
23614.1 |
38180.7 |
47254.3 |
52730.6 |
55567.9 |
56418.7 |
55786.6 |
54089.1 |
51668.4 |
48799.6 |
45700.8 |
42538.9 |
39438.6 |
36490.1 |
33748.4 |
31253.7 |
29028.3 |
27081.2 |
25413.5 |
24019.5 |
22889.7 |
22011.9 |
21373.7 |
20961.5 |
20762.5 |
20763.6 |
20952.2 |
21317.5 |
21846.2 |
22527.2 |
23348.7 |
24300.5 |
25368.6 |
26542.2 |
27806.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.286 |
12.172 |
25.947 |
36.489 |
43.836 |
48.259 |
50.130 |
49.883 |
47.967 |
44.806 |
40.778 |
36.207 |
31.359 |
26.443 |
21.619 |
17.003 |
12.675 |
8.690 |
5.080 |
1.858 |
-0.971 |
-3.417 |
-5.490 |
-7.210 |
-8.595 |
-9.667 |
-10.448 |
-10.962 |
-11.230 |
-11.276 |
-11.121 |
-10.788 |
-10.298 |
-9.674 |
-8.934 |
-8.102 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.415 |
-7.634 |
-15.537 |
-21.456 |
-25.543 |
-27.959 |
-28.923 |
-28.689 |
-27.513 |
-25.640 |
-23.284 |
-20.631 |
-17.829 |
-14.998 |
-12.227 |
-9.580 |
-7.103 |
-4.825 |
-2.764 |
-0.928 |
0.683 |
2.073 |
3.250 |
4.223 |
5.006 |
5.609 |
6.046 |
6.329 |
6.473 |
6.490 |
6.392 |
6.192 |
5.904 |
5.538 |
5.108 |
4.625 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.700 |
-1.060 |
-0.414 |
-0.029 |
0.190 |
0.277 |
0.260 |
0.166 |
0.018 |
-0.164 |
-0.364 |
-0.569 |
-0.771 |
-0.964 |
-1.144 |
-1.310 |
-1.460 |
-1.594 |
-1.712 |
-1.817 |
-1.910 |
-1.990 |
-2.061 |
-2.122 |
-2.176 |
-2.223 |
-2.264 |
-2.300 |
-2.331 |
-2.358 |
-2.382 |
-2.403 |
-2.421 |
-2.437 |
-2.451 |
-2.463 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.179 |
-0.563 |
-1.527 |
-2.062 |
-2.343 |
-2.432 |
-2.385 |
-2.249 |
-2.062 |
-1.851 |
-1.639 |
-1.439 |
-1.260 |
-1.107 |
-0.982 |
-0.882 |
-0.808 |
-0.755 |
-0.720 |
-0.700 |
-0.692 |
-0.693 |
-0.700 |
-0.711 |
-0.724 |
-0.738 |
-0.751 |
-0.764 |
-0.774 |
-0.783 |
-0.790 |
-0.795 |
-0.797 |
-0.798 |
-0.798 |
-0.796 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.522 |
-1.623 |
-1.941 |
-2.091 |
-2.153 |
-2.155 |
-2.125 |
-2.083 |
-2.044 |
-2.015 |
-2.002 |
-2.008 |
-2.031 |
-2.071 |
-2.126 |
-2.192 |
-2.267 |
-2.348 |
-2.433 |
-2.518 |
-2.602 |
-2.683 |
-2.761 |
-2.833 |
-2.900 |
-2.961 |
-3.015 |
-3.063 |
-3.105 |
-3.141 |
-3.172 |
-3.197 |
-3.218 |
-3.235 |
-3.249 |
-3.259 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.335 |
-3.561 |
-5.678 |
-7.778 |
-9.862 |
-11.889 |
-13.825 |
-15.652 |
-17.369 |
-18.986 |
-20.519 |
-21.987 |
-23.408 |
-24.800 |
-26.179 |
-27.557 |
-28.943 |
-30.344 |
-31.765 |
-33.207 |
-34.669 |
-36.152 |
-37.651 |
-39.163 |
-40.684 |
-42.208 |
-43.733 |
-45.252 |
-46.761 |
-48.255 |
-49.732 |
-51.186 |
-52.615 |
-54.016 |
-55.387 |
-56.726 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.319 |
3.715 |
3.649 |
3.338 |
2.903 |
2.451 |
2.064 |
1.799 |
1.695 |
1.772 |
2.034 |
2.478 |
3.091 |
3.858 |
4.760 |
5.779 |
6.895 |
8.093 |
9.354 |
10.665 |
12.012 |
13.385 |
14.773 |
16.169 |
17.565 |
18.955 |
20.335 |
21.701 |
23.049 |
24.375 |
25.678 |
26.956 |
28.207 |
29.429 |
30.622 |
31.785 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.142 |
-0.827 |
-1.178 |
-1.213 |
-1.050 |
-0.763 |
-0.402 |
-0.004 |
0.404 |
0.804 |
1.182 |
1.532 |
1.847 |
2.129 |
2.376 |
2.590 |
2.775 |
2.932 |
3.065 |
3.175 |
3.266 |
3.340 |
3.398 |
3.442 |
3.474 |
3.495 |
3.506 |
3.508 |
3.502 |
3.488 |
3.468 |
3.443 |
3.412 |
3.378 |
3.341 |
3.301 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.324 |
-0.758 |
-0.995 |
-1.085 |
-1.100 |
-1.076 |
-1.032 |
-0.982 |
-0.933 |
-0.889 |
-0.851 |
-0.820 |
-0.797 |
-0.781 |
-0.771 |
-0.766 |
-0.766 |
-0.769 |
-0.775 |
-0.784 |
-0.794 |
-0.806 |
-0.818 |
-0.831 |
-0.844 |
-0.857 |
-0.870 |
-0.883 |
-0.895 |
-0.906 |
-0.917 |
-0.927 |
-0.936 |
-0.945 |
-0.952 |
-0.959 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.903 |
-6.116 |
-6.235 |
-6.274 |
-6.247 |
-6.168 |
-6.050 |
-5.904 |
-5.741 |
-5.569 |
-5.394 |
-5.224 |
-5.062 |
-4.912 |
-4.776 |
-4.655 |
-4.551 |
-4.464 |
-4.393 |
-4.339 |
-4.300 |
-4.276 |
-4.265 |
-4.266 |
-4.278 |
-4.299 |
-4.329 |
-4.365 |
-4.406 |
-4.452 |
-4.501 |
-4.551 |
-4.603 |
-4.654 |
-4.704 |
-4.753 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.083 |
-0.125 |
0.102 |
0.546 |
1.148 |
1.860 |
2.639 |
3.445 |
4.248 |
5.020 |
5.743 |
6.402 |
6.989 |
7.497 |
7.925 |
8.274 |
8.546 |
8.747 |
8.880 |
8.953 |
8.971 |
8.941 |
8.870 |
8.764 |
8.629 |
8.470 |
8.294 |
8.104 |
7.907 |
7.706 |
7.505 |
7.307 |
7.117 |
6.935 |
6.765 |
6.609 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.114 |
-0.581 |
-0.938 |
-1.170 |
-1.293 |
-1.325 |
-1.287 |
-1.196 |
-1.070 |
-0.920 |
-0.759 |
-0.594 |
-0.432 |
-0.278 |
-0.135 |
-0.005 |
0.109 |
0.207 |
0.288 |
0.352 |
0.400 |
0.431 |
0.448 |
0.450 |
0.438 |
0.415 |
0.382 |
0.339 |
0.288 |
0.231 |
0.169 |
0.103 |
0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.104 |
-0.172 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.102 |
-0.248 |
-0.326 |
-0.343 |
-0.309 |
-0.235 |
-0.129 |
-0.001 |
0.141 |
0.290 |
0.442 |
0.589 |
0.730 |
0.861 |
0.979 |
1.085 |
1.175 |
1.251 |
1.313 |
1.360 |
1.393 |
1.414 |
1.424 |
1.422 |
1.411 |
1.392 |
1.366 |
1.334 |
1.298 |
1.257 |
1.215 |
1.170 |
1.126 |
1.081 |
1.037 |
0.995 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.693 |
-0.199 |
0.425 |
0.717 |
0.854 |
0.877 |
0.826 |
0.730 |
0.612 |
0.490 |
0.374 |
0.272 |
0.188 |
0.124 |
0.079 |
0.051 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.052 |
0.072 |
0.097 |
0.126 |
0.157 |
0.187 |
0.217 |
0.244 |
0.269 |
0.289 |
0.307 |
0.320 |
0.329 |
0.335 |
0.338 |
0.337 |
0.333 |
0.327 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.098 |
-0.101 |
0.108 |
0.450 |
0.836 |
1.224 |
1.590 |
1.922 |
2.212 |
2.460 |
2.665 |
2.829 |
2.956 |
3.049 |
3.110 |
3.145 |
3.156 |
3.147 |
3.122 |
3.083 |
3.033 |
2.975 |
2.911 |
2.842 |
2.772 |
2.701 |
2.630 |
2.561 |
2.496 |
2.434 |
2.376 |
2.324 |
2.277 |
2.235 |
2.200 |
2.171 |
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