|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-6322.8 |
13714.6 |
22564.4 |
26392.8 |
28124.7 |
28594.9 |
28402.8 |
27943.3 |
27475.9 |
27156.9 |
27069.9 |
27246.5 |
27684.6 |
28360.3 |
29237.7 |
30267.8 |
31412.1 |
32631.1 |
33890.2 |
35160.0 |
36416.8 |
37642.6 |
38824.9 |
39954.9 |
41028.6 |
42045.0 |
43005.7 |
43914.2 |
44776.0 |
45597.1 |
46384.5 |
47144.9 |
47886.4 |
48615.8 |
49340.6 |
50067.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.6 |
-3.0 |
-11.4 |
-24.1 |
-39.9 |
-57.5 |
-75.8 |
-93.9 |
-111.1 |
-127.0 |
-141.2 |
-153.8 |
-164.7 |
-174.1 |
-182.1 |
-188.8 |
-194.4 |
-199.0 |
-202.9 |
-206.1 |
-208.7 |
-210.9 |
-212.7 |
-214.2 |
-215.4 |
-216.4 |
-217.2 |
-217.9 |
-218.6 |
-219.1 |
-219.6 |
-220.0 |
-220.5 |
-221.0 |
-221.5 |
Investment |
fI |
6969.4 |
19887.7 |
28926.8 |
34014.7 |
36503.6 |
37103.0 |
36365.4 |
34756.8 |
32662.4 |
30386.3 |
28151.7 |
26109.6 |
24349.4 |
22912.1 |
21803.1 |
21000.1 |
20467.8 |
20164.9 |
20047.5 |
20073.9 |
20206.8 |
20413.9 |
20668.7 |
20951.8 |
21248.2 |
21547.7 |
21844.8 |
22135.3 |
22420.2 |
22698.7 |
22973.9 |
23248.5 |
23527.4 |
23811.8 |
24106.4 |
24412.2 |
Export |
fE |
3418.2 |
5964.1 |
8055.7 |
9564.0 |
10560.5 |
10995.2 |
10853.7 |
10163.5 |
8984.3 |
7393.5 |
5476.0 |
3317.1 |
996.1 |
-1414.9 |
-3853.0 |
-6265.3 |
-8608.8 |
-10848.6 |
-12958.8 |
-14920.1 |
-16719.4 |
-18349.0 |
-19805.1 |
-21088.1 |
-22201.0 |
-23149.2 |
-23940.4 |
-24582.9 |
-25087.4 |
-25464.5 |
-25726.6 |
-25885.7 |
-25954.5 |
-25946.3 |
-25873.9 |
-25750.5 |
Import |
fM |
1624.9 |
16350.9 |
22601.7 |
25176.3 |
26374.7 |
26535.7 |
25996.4 |
25031.7 |
23855.7 |
22626.8 |
21454.1 |
20405.5 |
19516.5 |
18798.6 |
18247.3 |
17842.6 |
17565.9 |
17395.1 |
17308.8 |
17287.9 |
17316.0 |
17380.7 |
17472.4 |
17584.4 |
17713.2 |
17856.8 |
18015.2 |
18189.1 |
18380.9 |
18591.8 |
18824.3 |
19080.2 |
19362.0 |
19670.2 |
20006.4 |
20370.6 |
GDP |
fY |
2191.8 |
23491.5 |
37298.1 |
45093.9 |
49037.4 |
50306.0 |
49714.6 |
47884.1 |
45307.4 |
42364.0 |
39334.2 |
36415.2 |
33733.9 |
31364.0 |
29338.5 |
27654.8 |
26298.2 |
25241.4 |
24451.7 |
23894.6 |
23537.3 |
23349.0 |
23303.7 |
23379.2 |
23557.4 |
23823.9 |
24167.5 |
24579.0 |
25052.8 |
25582.3 |
26163.8 |
26793.6 |
27470.2 |
28188.3 |
28946.5 |
29739.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.286 |
12.073 |
25.219 |
34.617 |
40.496 |
43.325 |
43.656 |
42.068 |
39.118 |
35.297 |
31.011 |
26.580 |
22.235 |
18.136 |
14.380 |
11.017 |
8.061 |
5.505 |
3.327 |
1.493 |
-0.030 |
-1.280 |
-2.289 |
-3.090 |
-3.710 |
-4.173 |
-4.500 |
-4.708 |
-4.811 |
-4.824 |
-4.758 |
-4.622 |
-4.425 |
-4.176 |
-3.883 |
-3.553 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.415 |
-7.573 |
-15.091 |
-20.329 |
-23.556 |
-25.051 |
-25.131 |
-24.133 |
-22.376 |
-20.140 |
-17.654 |
-15.098 |
-12.602 |
-10.254 |
-8.109 |
-6.191 |
-4.508 |
-3.055 |
-1.818 |
-0.779 |
0.084 |
0.791 |
1.361 |
1.813 |
2.162 |
2.421 |
2.603 |
2.718 |
2.773 |
2.776 |
2.734 |
2.653 |
2.537 |
2.392 |
2.221 |
2.030 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.700 |
-1.062 |
-0.429 |
-0.070 |
0.113 |
0.160 |
0.105 |
-0.023 |
-0.197 |
-0.395 |
-0.600 |
-0.800 |
-0.987 |
-1.158 |
-1.309 |
-1.441 |
-1.556 |
-1.655 |
-1.739 |
-1.812 |
-1.874 |
-1.929 |
-1.978 |
-2.021 |
-2.061 |
-2.097 |
-2.131 |
-2.163 |
-2.194 |
-2.223 |
-2.250 |
-2.277 |
-2.303 |
-2.328 |
-2.351 |
-2.374 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.179 |
-0.564 |
-1.531 |
-2.058 |
-2.324 |
-2.393 |
-2.326 |
-2.172 |
-1.971 |
-1.754 |
-1.541 |
-1.347 |
-1.180 |
-1.043 |
-0.935 |
-0.855 |
-0.799 |
-0.762 |
-0.742 |
-0.733 |
-0.732 |
-0.738 |
-0.746 |
-0.756 |
-0.766 |
-0.775 |
-0.783 |
-0.790 |
-0.794 |
-0.796 |
-0.797 |
-0.796 |
-0.794 |
-0.791 |
-0.787 |
-0.783 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.522 |
-1.625 |
-1.959 |
-2.128 |
-2.210 |
-2.233 |
-2.221 |
-2.195 |
-2.168 |
-2.148 |
-2.140 |
-2.147 |
-2.167 |
-2.200 |
-2.244 |
-2.297 |
-2.355 |
-2.417 |
-2.481 |
-2.544 |
-2.607 |
-2.667 |
-2.724 |
-2.777 |
-2.827 |
-2.873 |
-2.914 |
-2.953 |
-2.987 |
-3.019 |
-3.048 |
-3.074 |
-3.097 |
-3.119 |
-3.139 |
-3.157 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.335 |
-3.558 |
-5.652 |
-7.713 |
-9.755 |
-11.748 |
-13.662 |
-15.484 |
-17.215 |
-18.862 |
-20.441 |
-21.967 |
-23.455 |
-24.918 |
-26.369 |
-27.814 |
-29.260 |
-30.710 |
-32.167 |
-33.630 |
-35.099 |
-36.571 |
-38.044 |
-39.516 |
-40.983 |
-42.442 |
-43.891 |
-45.327 |
-46.748 |
-48.151 |
-49.536 |
-50.900 |
-52.242 |
-53.561 |
-54.856 |
-56.127 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.319 |
3.718 |
3.674 |
3.412 |
3.059 |
2.721 |
2.476 |
2.377 |
2.452 |
2.713 |
3.156 |
3.767 |
4.528 |
5.416 |
6.409 |
7.487 |
8.629 |
9.820 |
11.044 |
12.291 |
13.551 |
14.817 |
16.082 |
17.343 |
18.596 |
19.838 |
21.069 |
22.287 |
23.491 |
24.679 |
25.852 |
27.010 |
28.150 |
29.274 |
30.380 |
31.469 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.142 |
-0.820 |
-1.130 |
-1.105 |
-0.880 |
-0.538 |
-0.136 |
0.285 |
0.696 |
1.079 |
1.423 |
1.724 |
1.981 |
2.196 |
2.372 |
2.517 |
2.633 |
2.727 |
2.802 |
2.863 |
2.911 |
2.950 |
2.982 |
3.007 |
3.027 |
3.042 |
3.054 |
3.062 |
3.067 |
3.069 |
3.068 |
3.064 |
3.058 |
3.050 |
3.040 |
3.029 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.324 |
-0.754 |
-0.969 |
-1.029 |
-1.015 |
-0.968 |
-0.909 |
-0.851 |
-0.802 |
-0.764 |
-0.737 |
-0.720 |
-0.713 |
-0.714 |
-0.720 |
-0.729 |
-0.742 |
-0.755 |
-0.769 |
-0.783 |
-0.797 |
-0.810 |
-0.822 |
-0.833 |
-0.843 |
-0.852 |
-0.861 |
-0.868 |
-0.875 |
-0.881 |
-0.887 |
-0.892 |
-0.896 |
-0.900 |
-0.903 |
-0.906 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.903 |
-6.116 |
-6.236 |
-6.279 |
-6.261 |
-6.196 |
-6.098 |
-5.979 |
-5.848 |
-5.715 |
-5.583 |
-5.458 |
-5.343 |
-5.238 |
-5.146 |
-5.066 |
-4.999 |
-4.943 |
-4.898 |
-4.863 |
-4.837 |
-4.819 |
-4.809 |
-4.804 |
-4.806 |
-4.812 |
-4.822 |
-4.835 |
-4.851 |
-4.869 |
-4.888 |
-4.908 |
-4.929 |
-4.951 |
-4.972 |
-4.992 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.083 |
-0.126 |
0.093 |
0.514 |
1.069 |
1.708 |
2.386 |
3.066 |
3.720 |
4.327 |
4.876 |
5.358 |
5.771 |
6.117 |
6.399 |
6.623 |
6.793 |
6.917 |
7.000 |
7.049 |
7.068 |
7.062 |
7.036 |
6.994 |
6.938 |
6.872 |
6.798 |
6.719 |
6.636 |
6.552 |
6.467 |
6.384 |
6.303 |
6.225 |
6.152 |
6.084 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.114 |
-0.581 |
-0.940 |
-1.179 |
-1.314 |
-1.366 |
-1.355 |
-1.301 |
-1.218 |
-1.121 |
-1.016 |
-0.912 |
-0.813 |
-0.722 |
-0.639 |
-0.567 |
-0.504 |
-0.452 |
-0.409 |
-0.376 |
-0.351 |
-0.334 |
-0.324 |
-0.321 |
-0.323 |
-0.331 |
-0.344 |
-0.361 |
-0.381 |
-0.404 |
-0.430 |
-0.457 |
-0.486 |
-0.515 |
-0.545 |
-0.574 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.102 |
-0.248 |
-0.328 |
-0.349 |
-0.324 |
-0.264 |
-0.178 |
-0.075 |
0.037 |
0.151 |
0.264 |
0.372 |
0.472 |
0.563 |
0.644 |
0.714 |
0.773 |
0.823 |
0.863 |
0.895 |
0.918 |
0.935 |
0.944 |
0.949 |
0.948 |
0.943 |
0.935 |
0.924 |
0.910 |
0.895 |
0.878 |
0.860 |
0.842 |
0.823 |
0.805 |
0.788 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.693 |
-0.196 |
0.444 |
0.749 |
0.891 |
0.913 |
0.857 |
0.753 |
0.628 |
0.499 |
0.379 |
0.275 |
0.190 |
0.125 |
0.080 |
0.052 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.043 |
0.057 |
0.075 |
0.095 |
0.116 |
0.136 |
0.156 |
0.173 |
0.189 |
0.202 |
0.212 |
0.220 |
0.226 |
0.229 |
0.231 |
0.231 |
0.229 |
0.227 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.098 |
-0.099 |
0.119 |
0.468 |
0.854 |
1.230 |
1.572 |
1.868 |
2.115 |
2.313 |
2.468 |
2.583 |
2.664 |
2.718 |
2.748 |
2.760 |
2.758 |
2.744 |
2.723 |
2.695 |
2.663 |
2.629 |
2.593 |
2.556 |
2.520 |
2.484 |
2.450 |
2.417 |
2.386 |
2.356 |
2.330 |
2.305 |
2.283 |
2.264 |
2.247 |
2.234 |
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