|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-134.0 |
1549.6 |
2447.6 |
4085.6 |
5601.4 |
6997.6 |
8254.0 |
9392.4 |
10437.7 |
11413.0 |
12336.7 |
13221.9 |
14077.3 |
14906.8 |
15710.8 |
16486.5 |
17229.6 |
17934.0 |
18593.2 |
19200.2 |
19748.4 |
20232.1 |
20646.6 |
20988.8 |
21257.7 |
21453.9 |
21580.2 |
21641.7 |
21645.3 |
21599.9 |
21516.0 |
21405.0 |
21279.6 |
21152.9 |
21037.9 |
20947.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
1731.3 |
1741.5 |
2339.4 |
3248.2 |
4303.2 |
5415.6 |
6516.8 |
7553.4 |
8485.0 |
9282.8 |
9928.5 |
10412.1 |
10731.5 |
10890.7 |
10899.0 |
10769.9 |
10520.2 |
10169.2 |
9737.5 |
9246.7 |
8718.3 |
8173.3 |
7631.7 |
7111.7 |
6630.1 |
6201.2 |
5837.2 |
5547.8 |
5340.4 |
5219.8 |
5188.7 |
5247.0 |
5393.1 |
5622.7 |
5930.3 |
6308.2 |
Investment |
fI |
-4962.0 |
-6583.1 |
-2614.4 |
572.1 |
3078.6 |
5130.5 |
6820.7 |
8163.9 |
9170.2 |
9857.5 |
10252.2 |
10386.1 |
10294.2 |
10012.8 |
9577.8 |
9023.7 |
8383.0 |
7685.9 |
6959.6 |
6228.1 |
5512.4 |
4829.9 |
4195.1 |
3619.7 |
3112.6 |
2680.2 |
2326.9 |
2054.8 |
1865.0 |
1756.3 |
1727.1 |
1774.1 |
1893.7 |
2080.3 |
2328.2 |
2630.2 |
Export |
fE |
2799.0 |
4671.3 |
6778.4 |
9116.3 |
11584.4 |
14065.7 |
16450.3 |
18637.8 |
20543.6 |
22100.8 |
23262.2 |
24001.3 |
24310.1 |
24198.7 |
23693.4 |
22833.9 |
21670.2 |
20261.2 |
18670.0 |
16963.2 |
15207.0 |
13466.0 |
11800.5 |
10265.5 |
8909.2 |
7771.6 |
6884.6 |
6271.6 |
5946.7 |
5915.6 |
6175.1 |
6714.9 |
7517.3 |
8557.6 |
9806.7 |
11230.5 |
Import |
fM |
-2983.1 |
-2248.6 |
155.5 |
2647.1 |
4852.7 |
6915.8 |
8845.6 |
10612.6 |
12188.5 |
13552.0 |
14689.8 |
15595.6 |
16269.6 |
16717.3 |
16949.5 |
16981.1 |
16831.0 |
16521.1 |
16075.5 |
15519.8 |
14880.4 |
14183.8 |
13456.0 |
12722.2 |
12006.1 |
11329.8 |
10713.1 |
10173.6 |
9726.6 |
9384.4 |
9156.6 |
9049.9 |
9068.1 |
9211.8 |
9478.8 |
9864.0 |
GDP |
fY |
2151.1 |
3141.3 |
8102.0 |
13518.6 |
18706.6 |
23549.0 |
27932.5 |
31769.8 |
35000.3 |
37590.5 |
39532.3 |
40840.3 |
41546.2 |
41697.5 |
41353.7 |
40582.5 |
39457.7 |
38057.4 |
36459.1 |
34739.8 |
32972.8 |
31226.6 |
29562.9 |
28037.0 |
26695.8 |
25578.0 |
24713.9 |
24126.2 |
23829.1 |
23828.9 |
24124.8 |
24709.3 |
25569.1 |
26683.9 |
28029.8 |
29577.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-21.955 |
-21.353 |
-16.820 |
-11.082 |
-5.020 |
0.938 |
6.474 |
11.348 |
15.401 |
18.543 |
20.740 |
22.006 |
22.390 |
21.969 |
20.841 |
19.114 |
16.905 |
14.334 |
11.518 |
8.569 |
5.589 |
2.672 |
-0.100 |
-2.659 |
-4.949 |
-6.926 |
-8.562 |
-9.839 |
-10.748 |
-11.294 |
-11.489 |
-11.353 |
-10.915 |
-10.206 |
-9.264 |
-8.129 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.592 |
12.268 |
9.472 |
6.123 |
2.622 |
-0.801 |
-3.967 |
-6.743 |
-9.039 |
-10.806 |
-12.029 |
-12.716 |
-12.899 |
-12.621 |
-11.941 |
-10.921 |
-9.629 |
-8.134 |
-6.503 |
-4.800 |
-3.085 |
-1.409 |
0.179 |
1.642 |
2.948 |
4.072 |
4.998 |
5.716 |
6.224 |
6.522 |
6.619 |
6.526 |
6.260 |
5.841 |
5.288 |
4.627 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.074 |
-0.169 |
-0.122 |
-0.025 |
0.066 |
0.150 |
0.222 |
0.279 |
0.320 |
0.346 |
0.356 |
0.354 |
0.340 |
0.317 |
0.287 |
0.251 |
0.212 |
0.172 |
0.131 |
0.091 |
0.054 |
0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.038 |
-0.060 |
-0.078 |
-0.091 |
-0.099 |
-0.103 |
-0.103 |
-0.100 |
-0.093 |
-0.084 |
-0.073 |
-0.060 |
-0.045 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.260 |
0.365 |
0.245 |
0.083 |
-0.044 |
-0.148 |
-0.227 |
-0.283 |
-0.315 |
-0.327 |
-0.323 |
-0.305 |
-0.278 |
-0.244 |
-0.207 |
-0.168 |
-0.131 |
-0.095 |
-0.063 |
-0.035 |
-0.012 |
0.007 |
0.021 |
0.031 |
0.036 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.035 |
0.031 |
0.025 |
0.018 |
0.011 |
0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.186 |
0.195 |
0.123 |
0.059 |
0.022 |
0.002 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
0.005 |
0.018 |
0.033 |
0.049 |
0.062 |
0.073 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.077 |
0.068 |
0.056 |
0.042 |
0.026 |
0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.024 |
-0.039 |
-0.052 |
-0.063 |
-0.072 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.068 |
-0.059 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.716 |
1.167 |
1.271 |
1.214 |
1.069 |
0.866 |
0.629 |
0.379 |
0.132 |
-0.100 |
-0.306 |
-0.482 |
-0.624 |
-0.731 |
-0.805 |
-0.849 |
-0.865 |
-0.857 |
-0.831 |
-0.790 |
-0.738 |
-0.681 |
-0.620 |
-0.559 |
-0.501 |
-0.447 |
-0.399 |
-0.357 |
-0.321 |
-0.292 |
-0.270 |
-0.253 |
-0.241 |
-0.233 |
-0.228 |
-0.225 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.215 |
0.387 |
0.465 |
0.450 |
0.355 |
0.190 |
-0.032 |
-0.293 |
-0.579 |
-0.872 |
-1.160 |
-1.432 |
-1.679 |
-1.893 |
-2.072 |
-2.211 |
-2.311 |
-2.372 |
-2.396 |
-2.386 |
-2.346 |
-2.280 |
-2.192 |
-2.086 |
-1.968 |
-1.841 |
-1.710 |
-1.578 |
-1.449 |
-1.325 |
-1.210 |
-1.104 |
-1.010 |
-0.928 |
-0.860 |
-0.804 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.035 |
-0.196 |
-0.494 |
-0.743 |
-0.937 |
-1.082 |
-1.180 |
-1.237 |
-1.254 |
-1.237 |
-1.190 |
-1.119 |
-1.029 |
-0.923 |
-0.808 |
-0.687 |
-0.565 |
-0.443 |
-0.327 |
-0.218 |
-0.118 |
-0.030 |
0.046 |
0.109 |
0.158 |
0.194 |
0.216 |
0.226 |
0.224 |
0.210 |
0.187 |
0.156 |
0.118 |
0.075 |
0.027 |
-0.023 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.678 |
-0.791 |
-0.895 |
-0.959 |
-0.993 |
-1.007 |
-1.008 |
-1.000 |
-0.986 |
-0.970 |
-0.952 |
-0.936 |
-0.921 |
-0.909 |
-0.900 |
-0.893 |
-0.890 |
-0.891 |
-0.894 |
-0.899 |
-0.907 |
-0.917 |
-0.928 |
-0.940 |
-0.952 |
-0.965 |
-0.977 |
-0.989 |
-1.000 |
-1.010 |
-1.018 |
-1.026 |
-1.031 |
-1.035 |
-1.038 |
-1.039 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.397 |
-0.547 |
-0.668 |
-0.760 |
-0.821 |
-0.854 |
-0.858 |
-0.836 |
-0.790 |
-0.724 |
-0.641 |
-0.546 |
-0.442 |
-0.333 |
-0.224 |
-0.118 |
-0.017 |
0.074 |
0.155 |
0.223 |
0.278 |
0.319 |
0.345 |
0.356 |
0.355 |
0.341 |
0.315 |
0.281 |
0.238 |
0.189 |
0.135 |
0.079 |
0.023 |
-0.033 |
-0.087 |
-0.137 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.351 |
-0.746 |
-1.066 |
-1.297 |
-1.431 |
-1.467 |
-1.411 |
-1.270 |
-1.056 |
-0.783 |
-0.466 |
-0.117 |
0.246 |
0.612 |
0.968 |
1.302 |
1.606 |
1.872 |
2.093 |
2.268 |
2.393 |
2.469 |
2.496 |
2.479 |
2.420 |
2.325 |
2.198 |
2.046 |
1.876 |
1.692 |
1.502 |
1.311 |
1.124 |
0.946 |
0.782 |
0.635 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.357 |
-0.520 |
-0.656 |
-0.772 |
-0.863 |
-0.926 |
-0.961 |
-0.966 |
-0.945 |
-0.899 |
-0.832 |
-0.747 |
-0.649 |
-0.541 |
-0.429 |
-0.314 |
-0.202 |
-0.095 |
0.005 |
0.093 |
0.170 |
0.233 |
0.282 |
0.316 |
0.335 |
0.340 |
0.331 |
0.311 |
0.279 |
0.239 |
0.191 |
0.137 |
0.079 |
0.020 |
-0.040 |
-0.099 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.275 |
-0.385 |
-0.479 |
-0.556 |
-0.614 |
-0.652 |
-0.669 |
-0.667 |
-0.645 |
-0.607 |
-0.555 |
-0.492 |
-0.420 |
-0.344 |
-0.264 |
-0.186 |
-0.110 |
-0.039 |
0.025 |
0.080 |
0.126 |
0.162 |
0.187 |
0.202 |
0.206 |
0.200 |
0.186 |
0.164 |
0.135 |
0.101 |
0.063 |
0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.063 |
-0.105 |
-0.145 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.081 |
-0.012 |
0.046 |
0.094 |
0.128 |
0.148 |
0.156 |
0.155 |
0.147 |
0.135 |
0.120 |
0.105 |
0.092 |
0.080 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.068 |
0.071 |
0.078 |
0.088 |
0.100 |
0.115 |
0.130 |
0.145 |
0.161 |
0.175 |
0.188 |
0.200 |
0.209 |
0.216 |
0.220 |
0.222 |
0.221 |
0.219 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.307 |
-0.407 |
-0.524 |
-0.587 |
-0.603 |
-0.578 |
-0.519 |
-0.435 |
-0.332 |
-0.217 |
-0.097 |
0.023 |
0.139 |
0.246 |
0.341 |
0.422 |
0.487 |
0.535 |
0.566 |
0.580 |
0.579 |
0.562 |
0.532 |
0.491 |
0.441 |
0.383 |
0.321 |
0.256 |
0.190 |
0.126 |
0.064 |
0.006 |
-0.046 |
-0.091 |
-0.129 |
-0.159 |
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