|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-200.8 |
535.8 |
666.0 |
1384.8 |
1906.2 |
2255.1 |
2413.6 |
2410.1 |
2279.4 |
2057.8 |
1779.0 |
1472.5 |
1162.9 |
869.5 |
607.0 |
386.2 |
213.1 |
91.0 |
20.6 |
0.6 |
28.6 |
100.6 |
212.4 |
359.1 |
535.6 |
736.9 |
958.0 |
1194.5 |
1441.5 |
1695.5 |
1952.2 |
2208.4 |
2460.9 |
2707.2 |
2944.9 |
3172.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
798.4 |
776.3 |
755.4 |
735.6 |
716.8 |
698.8 |
681.6 |
665.0 |
649.0 |
633.7 |
618.9 |
604.9 |
591.5 |
578.8 |
566.8 |
555.5 |
544.9 |
535.1 |
525.9 |
517.3 |
509.4 |
502.1 |
495.4 |
489.3 |
483.7 |
478.7 |
474.2 |
470.2 |
466.8 |
463.8 |
461.3 |
459.3 |
457.8 |
456.7 |
456.1 |
455.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-4133.2 |
-5333.1 |
-2968.0 |
-1357.9 |
-200.9 |
687.0 |
1368.5 |
1859.5 |
2179.2 |
2352.0 |
2406.2 |
2370.8 |
2273.3 |
2138.1 |
1985.6 |
1831.8 |
1688.5 |
1563.7 |
1461.8 |
1384.9 |
1332.8 |
1303.9 |
1295.6 |
1304.8 |
1327.9 |
1361.6 |
1402.6 |
1448.1 |
1495.4 |
1542.5 |
1587.6 |
1629.4 |
1666.9 |
1699.4 |
1726.6 |
1748.5 |
Export |
fE |
2828.3 |
4771.4 |
6895.7 |
9128.2 |
11425.2 |
13744.0 |
16045.0 |
18292.0 |
20455.0 |
22509.7 |
24437.7 |
26226.5 |
27867.5 |
29357.2 |
30694.6 |
31882.2 |
32924.2 |
33827.2 |
34598.3 |
35246.5 |
35781.1 |
36212.1 |
36549.9 |
36805.1 |
36988.1 |
37109.9 |
37180.6 |
37210.8 |
37210.6 |
37189.7 |
37156.6 |
37120.6 |
37089.9 |
37071.5 |
37072.9 |
37099.7 |
Import |
fM |
-2755.2 |
-2259.4 |
-897.3 |
383.3 |
1363.6 |
2196.8 |
2909.4 |
3510.4 |
4012.3 |
4430.2 |
4780.4 |
5078.4 |
5338.1 |
5570.8 |
5785.6 |
5989.3 |
6185.8 |
6377.6 |
6565.5 |
6749.5 |
6928.8 |
7102.1 |
7268.1 |
7425.4 |
7572.7 |
7709.1 |
7833.8 |
7946.8 |
8047.8 |
8137.4 |
8216.0 |
8284.5 |
8343.9 |
8395.3 |
8440.2 |
8479.9 |
GDP |
fY |
1798.4 |
2513.4 |
5505.3 |
8565.1 |
11351.4 |
13877.8 |
16122.8 |
18085.0 |
19775.7 |
21215.8 |
22432.5 |
23456.0 |
24315.5 |
25039.2 |
25651.6 |
26175.0 |
26626.7 |
27021.2 |
27369.5 |
27680.7 |
27961.4 |
28217.2 |
28451.9 |
28669.0 |
28871.0 |
29060.8 |
29240.7 |
29413.4 |
29581.4 |
29747.6 |
29913.9 |
30083.7 |
30259.6 |
30444.0 |
30640.1 |
30849.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-23.321 |
-22.868 |
-20.757 |
-18.043 |
-15.117 |
-12.168 |
-9.342 |
-6.734 |
-4.402 |
-2.367 |
-0.631 |
0.821 |
2.012 |
2.971 |
3.725 |
4.302 |
4.727 |
5.023 |
5.208 |
5.298 |
5.308 |
5.249 |
5.130 |
4.961 |
4.749 |
4.500 |
4.221 |
3.919 |
3.597 |
3.262 |
2.919 |
2.573 |
2.227 |
1.886 |
1.555 |
1.235 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
14.438 |
13.147 |
11.843 |
10.262 |
8.569 |
6.872 |
5.251 |
3.760 |
2.430 |
1.273 |
0.287 |
-0.536 |
-1.210 |
-1.751 |
-2.176 |
-2.500 |
-2.738 |
-2.903 |
-3.004 |
-3.052 |
-3.054 |
-3.017 |
-2.947 |
-2.847 |
-2.723 |
-2.578 |
-2.417 |
-2.241 |
-2.055 |
-1.862 |
-1.664 |
-1.465 |
-1.266 |
-1.070 |
-0.880 |
-0.697 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.081 |
-0.095 |
-0.020 |
0.092 |
0.193 |
0.288 |
0.374 |
0.449 |
0.512 |
0.565 |
0.608 |
0.642 |
0.669 |
0.691 |
0.709 |
0.724 |
0.736 |
0.747 |
0.757 |
0.767 |
0.776 |
0.784 |
0.793 |
0.801 |
0.809 |
0.818 |
0.826 |
0.834 |
0.842 |
0.850 |
0.859 |
0.867 |
0.875 |
0.884 |
0.892 |
0.901 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.258 |
0.293 |
0.200 |
0.075 |
-0.017 |
-0.092 |
-0.148 |
-0.186 |
-0.208 |
-0.215 |
-0.210 |
-0.196 |
-0.176 |
-0.153 |
-0.128 |
-0.103 |
-0.079 |
-0.057 |
-0.038 |
-0.021 |
-0.007 |
0.005 |
0.014 |
0.020 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.176 |
0.198 |
0.180 |
0.168 |
0.176 |
0.197 |
0.226 |
0.263 |
0.305 |
0.350 |
0.398 |
0.446 |
0.493 |
0.538 |
0.581 |
0.621 |
0.657 |
0.690 |
0.720 |
0.746 |
0.769 |
0.789 |
0.806 |
0.821 |
0.835 |
0.846 |
0.856 |
0.865 |
0.873 |
0.880 |
0.886 |
0.893 |
0.899 |
0.905 |
0.911 |
0.918 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.726 |
1.208 |
1.503 |
1.742 |
1.968 |
2.193 |
2.428 |
2.681 |
2.958 |
3.260 |
3.590 |
3.946 |
4.329 |
4.734 |
5.160 |
5.603 |
6.060 |
6.528 |
7.004 |
7.485 |
7.969 |
8.453 |
8.936 |
9.417 |
9.894 |
10.366 |
10.833 |
11.293 |
11.748 |
12.196 |
12.638 |
13.074 |
13.503 |
13.927 |
14.346 |
14.759 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.227 |
0.336 |
0.344 |
0.248 |
0.063 |
-0.203 |
-0.538 |
-0.931 |
-1.368 |
-1.837 |
-2.328 |
-2.833 |
-3.345 |
-3.858 |
-4.368 |
-4.873 |
-5.370 |
-5.859 |
-6.338 |
-6.809 |
-7.269 |
-7.721 |
-8.164 |
-8.598 |
-9.025 |
-9.443 |
-9.855 |
-10.259 |
-10.657 |
-11.048 |
-11.434 |
-11.814 |
-12.190 |
-12.560 |
-12.926 |
-13.288 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.051 |
-0.157 |
-0.370 |
-0.545 |
-0.686 |
-0.798 |
-0.886 |
-0.953 |
-1.001 |
-1.035 |
-1.058 |
-1.073 |
-1.082 |
-1.086 |
-1.087 |
-1.087 |
-1.085 |
-1.082 |
-1.078 |
-1.073 |
-1.067 |
-1.060 |
-1.053 |
-1.045 |
-1.035 |
-1.025 |
-1.014 |
-1.002 |
-0.990 |
-0.977 |
-0.964 |
-0.950 |
-0.937 |
-0.924 |
-0.912 |
-0.900 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.721 |
-0.833 |
-0.933 |
-1.001 |
-1.047 |
-1.077 |
-1.094 |
-1.102 |
-1.104 |
-1.101 |
-1.095 |
-1.087 |
-1.079 |
-1.070 |
-1.061 |
-1.052 |
-1.044 |
-1.037 |
-1.030 |
-1.023 |
-1.017 |
-1.012 |
-1.007 |
-1.003 |
-0.999 |
-0.996 |
-0.993 |
-0.990 |
-0.988 |
-0.986 |
-0.985 |
-0.984 |
-0.984 |
-0.983 |
-0.983 |
-0.984 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.386 |
-0.519 |
-0.645 |
-0.765 |
-0.876 |
-0.974 |
-1.060 |
-1.134 |
-1.195 |
-1.244 |
-1.283 |
-1.312 |
-1.332 |
-1.345 |
-1.351 |
-1.351 |
-1.347 |
-1.338 |
-1.326 |
-1.311 |
-1.293 |
-1.274 |
-1.254 |
-1.232 |
-1.210 |
-1.188 |
-1.166 |
-1.145 |
-1.124 |
-1.104 |
-1.086 |
-1.068 |
-1.052 |
-1.037 |
-1.024 |
-1.012 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.365 |
-0.784 |
-1.153 |
-1.479 |
-1.759 |
-1.991 |
-2.177 |
-2.319 |
-2.421 |
-2.488 |
-2.524 |
-2.534 |
-2.522 |
-2.492 |
-2.447 |
-2.391 |
-2.325 |
-2.253 |
-2.176 |
-2.095 |
-2.013 |
-1.931 |
-1.849 |
-1.768 |
-1.690 |
-1.616 |
-1.545 |
-1.478 |
-1.416 |
-1.359 |
-1.308 |
-1.261 |
-1.221 |
-1.186 |
-1.156 |
-1.132 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.361 |
-0.530 |
-0.680 |
-0.823 |
-0.956 |
-1.076 |
-1.184 |
-1.278 |
-1.359 |
-1.427 |
-1.484 |
-1.529 |
-1.565 |
-1.592 |
-1.611 |
-1.623 |
-1.628 |
-1.628 |
-1.623 |
-1.614 |
-1.601 |
-1.585 |
-1.566 |
-1.546 |
-1.523 |
-1.500 |
-1.476 |
-1.452 |
-1.428 |
-1.404 |
-1.381 |
-1.359 |
-1.338 |
-1.318 |
-1.300 |
-1.283 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.278 |
-0.393 |
-0.497 |
-0.593 |
-0.681 |
-0.759 |
-0.828 |
-0.886 |
-0.934 |
-0.974 |
-1.005 |
-1.028 |
-1.043 |
-1.053 |
-1.057 |
-1.057 |
-1.052 |
-1.044 |
-1.034 |
-1.020 |
-1.005 |
-0.989 |
-0.971 |
-0.953 |
-0.934 |
-0.916 |
-0.897 |
-0.879 |
-0.862 |
-0.845 |
-0.830 |
-0.815 |
-0.802 |
-0.790 |
-0.779 |
-0.769 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.068 |
-0.015 |
-0.033 |
0.026 |
0.071 |
0.107 |
0.132 |
0.145 |
0.146 |
0.139 |
0.123 |
0.103 |
0.079 |
0.054 |
0.028 |
0.003 |
-0.021 |
-0.043 |
-0.062 |
-0.078 |
-0.092 |
-0.103 |
-0.112 |
-0.118 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.125 |
-0.125 |
-0.123 |
-0.120 |
-0.116 |
-0.112 |
-0.107 |
-0.102 |
-0.097 |
-0.091 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.329 |
-0.435 |
-0.563 |
-0.657 |
-0.722 |
-0.761 |
-0.779 |
-0.781 |
-0.769 |
-0.748 |
-0.719 |
-0.686 |
-0.649 |
-0.611 |
-0.572 |
-0.533 |
-0.494 |
-0.457 |
-0.421 |
-0.387 |
-0.355 |
-0.325 |
-0.297 |
-0.272 |
-0.249 |
-0.228 |
-0.210 |
-0.194 |
-0.181 |
-0.170 |
-0.161 |
-0.154 |
-0.149 |
-0.146 |
-0.144 |
-0.144 |
|
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