|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-165.0 |
-139.1 |
-452.0 |
-254.8 |
-74.8 |
93.8 |
233.2 |
344.4 |
431.1 |
498.5 |
551.9 |
596.3 |
636.2 |
674.9 |
715.4 |
759.7 |
809.3 |
864.7 |
926.4 |
993.9 |
1066.9 |
1144.6 |
1226.1 |
1310.1 |
1395.6 |
1481.5 |
1566.5 |
1649.7 |
1730.1 |
1807.0 |
1879.5 |
1947.1 |
2009.2 |
2065.6 |
2116.0 |
2160.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
-16.6 |
-31.8 |
-45.7 |
-58.7 |
-70.8 |
-82.2 |
-92.9 |
-103.0 |
-112.7 |
-121.9 |
-130.7 |
-139.1 |
-147.2 |
-155.0 |
-162.5 |
-169.7 |
-176.6 |
-183.4 |
-189.8 |
-196.1 |
-202.2 |
-208.2 |
-213.9 |
-219.5 |
-225.0 |
-230.3 |
-235.5 |
-240.6 |
-245.6 |
-250.5 |
-255.3 |
-260.1 |
-264.8 |
-269.5 |
-274.1 |
Investment |
fI |
-2436.7 |
-3244.2 |
-2157.7 |
-1678.6 |
-1403.1 |
-1191.7 |
-1009.2 |
-855.2 |
-731.8 |
-639.4 |
-576.7 |
-540.7 |
-527.5 |
-533.0 |
-553.1 |
-584.2 |
-623.1 |
-667.1 |
-714.1 |
-762.6 |
-811.3 |
-859.5 |
-906.8 |
-952.9 |
-997.8 |
-1041.6 |
-1084.4 |
-1126.3 |
-1167.5 |
-1208.2 |
-1248.5 |
-1288.6 |
-1328.4 |
-1368.1 |
-1407.6 |
-1446.9 |
Export |
fE |
373.1 |
514.3 |
764.2 |
1081.9 |
1442.8 |
1831.8 |
2236.2 |
2642.6 |
3039.1 |
3415.4 |
3762.6 |
4074.4 |
4345.3 |
4572.4 |
4754.2 |
4890.4 |
4982.2 |
5031.6 |
5041.2 |
5014.9 |
4956.3 |
4869.9 |
4760.0 |
4631.3 |
4488.2 |
4335.3 |
4176.5 |
4016.4 |
3858.5 |
3706.6 |
3563.3 |
3431.7 |
3314.5 |
3213.1 |
3129.7 |
3065.1 |
Import |
fM |
-2283.8 |
-2198.8 |
-1757.9 |
-1404.6 |
-1178.0 |
-974.0 |
-778.6 |
-595.1 |
-426.5 |
-274.9 |
-140.9 |
-24.8 |
74.3 |
157.1 |
224.7 |
278.0 |
318.2 |
346.3 |
363.0 |
369.2 |
365.8 |
353.6 |
333.3 |
305.6 |
271.3 |
231.1 |
185.8 |
136.3 |
83.3 |
27.7 |
-29.6 |
-88.0 |
-146.6 |
-204.7 |
-261.6 |
-316.5 |
GDP |
fY |
-58.9 |
-835.1 |
-299.3 |
301.4 |
849.7 |
1375.2 |
1868.8 |
2321.6 |
2726.9 |
3080.8 |
3382.2 |
3632.7 |
3834.6 |
3991.7 |
4108.0 |
4188.3 |
4236.7 |
4257.7 |
4255.3 |
4233.3 |
4195.4 |
4144.8 |
4084.4 |
4017.1 |
3945.3 |
3871.2 |
3796.7 |
3724.1 |
3654.9 |
3590.9 |
3532.7 |
3482.1 |
3440.1 |
3407.0 |
3384.2 |
3371.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-3.309 |
-3.301 |
-3.018 |
-2.586 |
-2.077 |
-1.518 |
-0.946 |
-0.390 |
0.125 |
0.584 |
0.979 |
1.307 |
1.566 |
1.761 |
1.894 |
1.972 |
2.001 |
1.987 |
1.935 |
1.852 |
1.744 |
1.615 |
1.471 |
1.316 |
1.153 |
0.987 |
0.820 |
0.656 |
0.496 |
0.343 |
0.198 |
0.064 |
-0.059 |
-0.171 |
-0.269 |
-0.355 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
2.048 |
1.900 |
1.723 |
1.469 |
1.173 |
0.849 |
0.519 |
0.200 |
-0.094 |
-0.356 |
-0.581 |
-0.766 |
-0.913 |
-1.022 |
-1.096 |
-1.138 |
-1.153 |
-1.142 |
-1.111 |
-1.062 |
-0.999 |
-0.924 |
-0.840 |
-0.750 |
-0.656 |
-0.561 |
-0.465 |
-0.370 |
-0.278 |
-0.191 |
-0.108 |
-0.031 |
0.040 |
0.103 |
0.159 |
0.208 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.024 |
0.044 |
0.062 |
0.081 |
0.100 |
0.117 |
0.133 |
0.147 |
0.158 |
0.168 |
0.175 |
0.181 |
0.185 |
0.188 |
0.190 |
0.191 |
0.191 |
0.191 |
0.191 |
0.191 |
0.190 |
0.189 |
0.189 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.187 |
0.188 |
0.188 |
0.189 |
0.189 |
0.191 |
0.192 |
0.193 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.109 |
0.107 |
0.084 |
0.053 |
0.033 |
0.016 |
0.000 |
-0.012 |
-0.021 |
-0.027 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.124 |
0.126 |
0.108 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.100 |
0.106 |
0.112 |
0.119 |
0.127 |
0.135 |
0.144 |
0.152 |
0.159 |
0.166 |
0.172 |
0.177 |
0.182 |
0.185 |
0.188 |
0.191 |
0.193 |
0.194 |
0.195 |
0.195 |
0.196 |
0.196 |
0.196 |
0.196 |
0.196 |
0.197 |
0.197 |
0.198 |
0.198 |
0.199 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.222 |
0.434 |
0.555 |
0.652 |
0.741 |
0.823 |
0.901 |
0.977 |
1.054 |
1.132 |
1.213 |
1.297 |
1.384 |
1.476 |
1.571 |
1.668 |
1.768 |
1.870 |
1.973 |
2.077 |
2.182 |
2.285 |
2.388 |
2.490 |
2.591 |
2.689 |
2.787 |
2.882 |
2.975 |
3.066 |
3.156 |
3.244 |
3.330 |
3.415 |
3.498 |
3.581 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.015 |
0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.051 |
-0.108 |
-0.180 |
-0.267 |
-0.366 |
-0.477 |
-0.595 |
-0.720 |
-0.848 |
-0.978 |
-1.109 |
-1.238 |
-1.365 |
-1.489 |
-1.610 |
-1.726 |
-1.838 |
-1.947 |
-2.050 |
-2.150 |
-2.246 |
-2.338 |
-2.426 |
-2.511 |
-2.593 |
-2.672 |
-2.749 |
-2.824 |
-2.897 |
-2.969 |
-3.039 |
-3.108 |
-3.176 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.159 |
0.077 |
0.018 |
-0.025 |
-0.059 |
-0.088 |
-0.112 |
-0.130 |
-0.145 |
-0.154 |
-0.161 |
-0.163 |
-0.164 |
-0.162 |
-0.158 |
-0.153 |
-0.147 |
-0.140 |
-0.133 |
-0.125 |
-0.117 |
-0.109 |
-0.101 |
-0.093 |
-0.086 |
-0.078 |
-0.071 |
-0.065 |
-0.059 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.075 |
0.038 |
0.012 |
-0.004 |
-0.015 |
-0.022 |
-0.028 |
-0.031 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.016 |
-0.029 |
-0.045 |
-0.061 |
-0.077 |
-0.091 |
-0.102 |
-0.111 |
-0.117 |
-0.121 |
-0.122 |
-0.121 |
-0.119 |
-0.114 |
-0.108 |
-0.101 |
-0.093 |
-0.085 |
-0.076 |
-0.067 |
-0.057 |
-0.048 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.009 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.042 |
-0.104 |
-0.160 |
-0.209 |
-0.250 |
-0.283 |
-0.305 |
-0.318 |
-0.323 |
-0.319 |
-0.308 |
-0.290 |
-0.268 |
-0.242 |
-0.213 |
-0.182 |
-0.150 |
-0.117 |
-0.085 |
-0.054 |
-0.024 |
0.004 |
0.030 |
0.054 |
0.075 |
0.093 |
0.109 |
0.122 |
0.132 |
0.140 |
0.145 |
0.148 |
0.149 |
0.147 |
0.144 |
0.140 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.024 |
-0.051 |
-0.076 |
-0.100 |
-0.121 |
-0.140 |
-0.156 |
-0.170 |
-0.180 |
-0.187 |
-0.191 |
-0.192 |
-0.191 |
-0.188 |
-0.183 |
-0.177 |
-0.169 |
-0.160 |
-0.151 |
-0.141 |
-0.131 |
-0.120 |
-0.110 |
-0.100 |
-0.091 |
-0.082 |
-0.073 |
-0.066 |
-0.059 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.026 |
-0.048 |
-0.067 |
-0.085 |
-0.100 |
-0.114 |
-0.125 |
-0.133 |
-0.140 |
-0.144 |
-0.146 |
-0.146 |
-0.144 |
-0.141 |
-0.137 |
-0.132 |
-0.126 |
-0.119 |
-0.112 |
-0.105 |
-0.098 |
-0.091 |
-0.084 |
-0.077 |
-0.071 |
-0.065 |
-0.060 |
-0.056 |
-0.052 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.004 |
0.050 |
0.012 |
0.024 |
0.033 |
0.043 |
0.051 |
0.057 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.050 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.038 |
-0.017 |
-0.039 |
-0.054 |
-0.064 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.051 |
-0.041 |
-0.030 |
-0.019 |
-0.007 |
0.005 |
0.017 |
0.028 |
0.039 |
0.048 |
0.057 |
0.064 |
0.071 |
0.077 |
0.081 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|