|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
261.3 |
1652.2 |
2675.2 |
3624.8 |
4420.1 |
5091.2 |
5662.0 |
6158.5 |
6603.5 |
7015.4 |
7407.9 |
7790.4 |
8168.5 |
8544.6 |
8918.3 |
9287.3 |
9648.1 |
9996.1 |
10326.7 |
10635.0 |
10916.9 |
11168.4 |
11386.9 |
11570.5 |
11718.6 |
11831.7 |
11911.3 |
11960.4 |
11982.8 |
11983.3 |
11967.4 |
11941.0 |
11910.5 |
11882.4 |
11863.3 |
11859.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2065.4 |
2485.6 |
3064.8 |
3754.4 |
4486.0 |
5213.9 |
5904.5 |
6533.3 |
7084.0 |
7546.0 |
7914.5 |
8188.7 |
8371.2 |
8467.5 |
8485.0 |
8432.9 |
8321.5 |
8161.7 |
7965.0 |
7742.8 |
7506.4 |
7266.5 |
7033.1 |
6815.5 |
6621.9 |
6459.1 |
6333.2 |
6248.7 |
6208.9 |
6215.8 |
6270.2 |
6371.8 |
6519.0 |
6709.3 |
6939.2 |
7204.4 |
Investment |
fI |
813.1 |
2054.6 |
3612.7 |
5001.7 |
6167.2 |
7111.5 |
7844.8 |
8377.0 |
8723.8 |
8905.4 |
8944.6 |
8864.6 |
8688.5 |
8437.7 |
8132.0 |
7788.7 |
7423.4 |
7049.8 |
6679.4 |
6322.1 |
5986.3 |
5678.8 |
5404.8 |
5168.8 |
4973.9 |
4822.2 |
4715.1 |
4652.9 |
4635.6 |
4661.9 |
4730.5 |
4839.2 |
4985.4 |
5165.8 |
5377.0 |
5614.6 |
Export |
fE |
2221.7 |
3811.0 |
5520.5 |
7303.0 |
9102.2 |
10852.7 |
12494.5 |
13975.0 |
15253.2 |
16299.6 |
17096.1 |
17636.4 |
17923.8 |
17971.0 |
17798.0 |
17432.0 |
16903.5 |
16247.6 |
15499.8 |
14697.7 |
13876.8 |
13071.5 |
12313.5 |
11631.3 |
11049.2 |
10587.1 |
10260.4 |
10080.1 |
10052.2 |
10178.0 |
10454.4 |
10874.7 |
11428.5 |
12101.4 |
12877.7 |
13738.5 |
Import |
fM |
552.5 |
1870.2 |
3281.5 |
4681.8 |
5988.6 |
7197.9 |
8300.2 |
9284.9 |
10144.7 |
10876.1 |
11478.7 |
11954.7 |
12308.6 |
12546.9 |
12677.6 |
12710.2 |
12655.4 |
12525.4 |
12332.6 |
12090.0 |
11811.5 |
11510.2 |
11199.4 |
10891.7 |
10599.3 |
10333.1 |
10102.9 |
9917.6 |
9784.6 |
9709.6 |
9697.1 |
9749.6 |
9868.4 |
10052.9 |
10301.1 |
10609.5 |
GDP |
fY |
4691.5 |
7861.3 |
11145.6 |
14420.1 |
17485.2 |
20264.8 |
22708.2 |
24784.7 |
26482.4 |
27802.7 |
28758.8 |
29373.3 |
29675.0 |
29698.2 |
29480.7 |
29062.5 |
28484.6 |
27788.5 |
27014.0 |
26200.6 |
25384.3 |
24598.6 |
23873.7 |
23236.1 |
22708.0 |
22307.6 |
22048.7 |
21941.3 |
21991.2 |
22199.8 |
22564.8 |
23080.6 |
23738.8 |
24526.9 |
25431.3 |
26435.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-14.510 |
-12.138 |
-8.979 |
-5.386 |
-1.754 |
1.674 |
4.735 |
7.323 |
9.380 |
10.886 |
11.850 |
12.298 |
12.278 |
11.843 |
11.056 |
9.980 |
8.681 |
7.224 |
5.669 |
4.073 |
2.489 |
0.961 |
-0.471 |
-1.775 |
-2.924 |
-3.900 |
-4.689 |
-5.286 |
-5.688 |
-5.901 |
-5.932 |
-5.795 |
-5.506 |
-5.083 |
-4.547 |
-3.920 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
8.983 |
6.886 |
5.023 |
2.941 |
0.850 |
-1.114 |
-2.858 |
-4.327 |
-5.487 |
-6.330 |
-6.860 |
-7.095 |
-7.063 |
-6.795 |
-6.326 |
-5.695 |
-4.938 |
-4.092 |
-3.193 |
-2.273 |
-1.362 |
-0.486 |
0.334 |
1.078 |
1.733 |
2.286 |
2.732 |
3.067 |
3.290 |
3.404 |
3.415 |
3.328 |
3.155 |
2.906 |
2.592 |
2.228 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.136 |
-0.137 |
-0.077 |
-0.010 |
0.048 |
0.097 |
0.137 |
0.166 |
0.184 |
0.193 |
0.194 |
0.188 |
0.176 |
0.160 |
0.140 |
0.119 |
0.097 |
0.074 |
0.052 |
0.032 |
0.013 |
-0.005 |
-0.020 |
-0.032 |
-0.042 |
-0.050 |
-0.055 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.045 |
-0.038 |
-0.030 |
-0.023 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.121 |
0.088 |
0.004 |
-0.081 |
-0.145 |
-0.193 |
-0.224 |
-0.240 |
-0.243 |
-0.235 |
-0.219 |
-0.197 |
-0.172 |
-0.145 |
-0.118 |
-0.092 |
-0.068 |
-0.046 |
-0.028 |
-0.012 |
0.000 |
0.010 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.008 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.015 |
-0.049 |
-0.073 |
-0.091 |
-0.097 |
-0.096 |
-0.087 |
-0.075 |
-0.059 |
-0.042 |
-0.025 |
-0.010 |
0.004 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.013 |
0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.011 |
-0.020 |
-0.027 |
-0.033 |
-0.039 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.275 |
0.264 |
0.162 |
0.005 |
-0.180 |
-0.377 |
-0.573 |
-0.757 |
-0.924 |
-1.067 |
-1.185 |
-1.276 |
-1.342 |
-1.384 |
-1.403 |
-1.404 |
-1.388 |
-1.359 |
-1.319 |
-1.273 |
-1.221 |
-1.167 |
-1.113 |
-1.059 |
-1.008 |
-0.959 |
-0.915 |
-0.875 |
-0.839 |
-0.807 |
-0.779 |
-0.755 |
-0.734 |
-0.715 |
-0.698 |
-0.683 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.201 |
0.310 |
0.357 |
0.343 |
0.278 |
0.171 |
0.035 |
-0.120 |
-0.284 |
-0.448 |
-0.605 |
-0.749 |
-0.875 |
-0.982 |
-1.067 |
-1.129 |
-1.170 |
-1.190 |
-1.190 |
-1.173 |
-1.141 |
-1.096 |
-1.041 |
-0.978 |
-0.910 |
-0.839 |
-0.767 |
-0.696 |
-0.628 |
-0.563 |
-0.504 |
-0.451 |
-0.404 |
-0.365 |
-0.333 |
-0.308 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.215 |
-0.352 |
-0.472 |
-0.571 |
-0.643 |
-0.690 |
-0.714 |
-0.717 |
-0.701 |
-0.670 |
-0.625 |
-0.571 |
-0.510 |
-0.444 |
-0.375 |
-0.306 |
-0.238 |
-0.172 |
-0.111 |
-0.054 |
-0.004 |
0.040 |
0.077 |
0.107 |
0.130 |
0.145 |
0.154 |
0.156 |
0.152 |
0.143 |
0.129 |
0.110 |
0.089 |
0.066 |
0.040 |
0.014 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.742 |
-0.819 |
-0.873 |
-0.906 |
-0.924 |
-0.930 |
-0.929 |
-0.924 |
-0.916 |
-0.906 |
-0.897 |
-0.888 |
-0.881 |
-0.875 |
-0.871 |
-0.868 |
-0.867 |
-0.868 |
-0.871 |
-0.874 |
-0.879 |
-0.884 |
-0.890 |
-0.896 |
-0.903 |
-0.910 |
-0.916 |
-0.922 |
-0.927 |
-0.932 |
-0.936 |
-0.940 |
-0.942 |
-0.944 |
-0.945 |
-0.945 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.344 |
-0.431 |
-0.497 |
-0.546 |
-0.578 |
-0.592 |
-0.590 |
-0.573 |
-0.544 |
-0.503 |
-0.455 |
-0.400 |
-0.342 |
-0.283 |
-0.223 |
-0.167 |
-0.114 |
-0.066 |
-0.025 |
0.009 |
0.036 |
0.055 |
0.067 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.060 |
0.046 |
0.026 |
0.003 |
-0.022 |
-0.050 |
-0.079 |
-0.108 |
-0.136 |
-0.163 |
-0.188 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.268 |
-0.508 |
-0.683 |
-0.803 |
-0.864 |
-0.867 |
-0.818 |
-0.722 |
-0.589 |
-0.425 |
-0.241 |
-0.045 |
0.157 |
0.355 |
0.545 |
0.720 |
0.876 |
1.010 |
1.120 |
1.204 |
1.262 |
1.294 |
1.301 |
1.285 |
1.249 |
1.194 |
1.125 |
1.043 |
0.953 |
0.858 |
0.760 |
0.662 |
0.568 |
0.480 |
0.399 |
0.327 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.313 |
-0.420 |
-0.502 |
-0.571 |
-0.623 |
-0.657 |
-0.674 |
-0.674 |
-0.660 |
-0.632 |
-0.593 |
-0.545 |
-0.491 |
-0.433 |
-0.372 |
-0.312 |
-0.254 |
-0.199 |
-0.148 |
-0.104 |
-0.066 |
-0.036 |
-0.013 |
0.002 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.026 |
-0.049 |
-0.074 |
-0.102 |
-0.132 |
-0.163 |
-0.193 |
-0.222 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.239 |
-0.306 |
-0.360 |
-0.403 |
-0.434 |
-0.452 |
-0.459 |
-0.454 |
-0.439 |
-0.415 |
-0.385 |
-0.348 |
-0.308 |
-0.265 |
-0.222 |
-0.180 |
-0.140 |
-0.103 |
-0.070 |
-0.042 |
-0.019 |
-0.002 |
0.010 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.024 |
-0.042 |
-0.062 |
-0.084 |
-0.105 |
-0.127 |
-0.148 |
-0.167 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.132 |
-0.105 |
-0.061 |
-0.015 |
0.016 |
0.037 |
0.048 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
0.036 |
0.024 |
0.010 |
-0.005 |
-0.018 |
-0.029 |
-0.039 |
-0.045 |
-0.049 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.018 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.006 |
0.013 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.258 |
-0.357 |
-0.417 |
-0.445 |
-0.445 |
-0.423 |
-0.383 |
-0.330 |
-0.269 |
-0.203 |
-0.135 |
-0.069 |
-0.007 |
0.049 |
0.098 |
0.139 |
0.171 |
0.194 |
0.208 |
0.213 |
0.209 |
0.198 |
0.181 |
0.158 |
0.131 |
0.100 |
0.067 |
0.033 |
-0.001 |
-0.034 |
-0.065 |
-0.093 |
-0.119 |
-0.141 |
-0.159 |
-0.173 |
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