|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
30.8 |
1038.3 |
1673.7 |
2176.2 |
2473.7 |
2607.5 |
2608.4 |
2511.1 |
2348.0 |
2147.1 |
1932.0 |
1721.9 |
1531.6 |
1372.0 |
1250.6 |
1172.4 |
1139.3 |
1151.5 |
1207.8 |
1305.5 |
1441.4 |
1611.6 |
1811.4 |
2036.4 |
2281.6 |
2542.4 |
2814.1 |
3092.4 |
3372.8 |
3651.9 |
3925.8 |
4191.3 |
4445.6 |
4686.5 |
4911.7 |
5120.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-22.2 |
-17.4 |
-14.0 |
-11.1 |
-8.7 |
-7.0 |
-6.0 |
-5.6 |
-5.7 |
-6.4 |
-7.6 |
-9.1 |
-11.0 |
-13.2 |
-15.6 |
-18.2 |
-20.9 |
-23.8 |
-26.8 |
-29.9 |
-33.0 |
-36.2 |
-39.3 |
-42.5 |
-45.6 |
-48.7 |
-51.7 |
-54.6 |
-57.5 |
-60.2 |
-62.8 |
-65.3 |
-67.7 |
-69.9 |
-72.0 |
-73.9 |
Investment |
fI |
382.6 |
971.6 |
1981.0 |
2871.2 |
3596.6 |
4168.3 |
4601.0 |
4908.5 |
5109.0 |
5223.0 |
5271.1 |
5272.5 |
5244.2 |
5200.0 |
5150.9 |
5104.8 |
5067.1 |
5041.2 |
5028.2 |
5028.5 |
5041.0 |
5064.6 |
5097.1 |
5136.9 |
5181.9 |
5230.2 |
5280.5 |
5331.3 |
5381.5 |
5430.4 |
5477.5 |
5522.4 |
5565.1 |
5605.7 |
5644.5 |
5681.9 |
Export |
fE |
2324.3 |
3991.0 |
5846.2 |
7862.1 |
9998.1 |
12204.1 |
14432.4 |
16639.3 |
18787.7 |
20846.4 |
22790.1 |
24599.8 |
26260.8 |
27763.8 |
29103.0 |
30277.0 |
31286.8 |
32136.8 |
32832.8 |
33383.2 |
33797.7 |
34087.4 |
34264.3 |
34341.2 |
34331.5 |
34248.8 |
34106.6 |
33919.2 |
33699.8 |
33461.8 |
33217.1 |
32978.1 |
32755.8 |
32560.1 |
32400.7 |
32285.4 |
Import |
fM |
129.3 |
962.5 |
1909.8 |
2841.7 |
3691.4 |
4476.2 |
5202.5 |
5874.6 |
6497.9 |
7078.4 |
7621.7 |
8132.6 |
8615.1 |
9071.8 |
9504.0 |
9912.9 |
10298.0 |
10658.9 |
10994.9 |
11305.2 |
11589.0 |
11846.0 |
12075.9 |
12279.1 |
12455.9 |
12607.5 |
12735.1 |
12840.7 |
12926.0 |
12993.6 |
13046.0 |
13085.7 |
13115.6 |
13138.6 |
13157.4 |
13175.1 |
GDP |
fY |
2480.3 |
4735.7 |
7084.1 |
9389.4 |
11537.9 |
13512.6 |
15305.1 |
16916.6 |
18354.7 |
19631.3 |
20759.4 |
21753.5 |
22626.6 |
23391.1 |
24057.8 |
24637.0 |
25136.7 |
25564.7 |
25927.1 |
26230.2 |
26479.5 |
26680.8 |
26839.1 |
26960.0 |
27048.9 |
27111.5 |
27153.1 |
27179.8 |
27197.1 |
27210.9 |
27225.9 |
27248.1 |
27282.2 |
27332.8 |
27404.5 |
27500.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-18.786 |
-17.607 |
-15.779 |
-13.573 |
-11.227 |
-8.881 |
-6.632 |
-4.539 |
-2.637 |
-0.942 |
0.540 |
1.816 |
2.893 |
3.784 |
4.502 |
5.061 |
5.474 |
5.755 |
5.914 |
5.965 |
5.919 |
5.786 |
5.576 |
5.302 |
4.972 |
4.596 |
4.184 |
3.745 |
3.288 |
2.822 |
2.353 |
1.890 |
1.438 |
1.004 |
0.593 |
0.208 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
11.630 |
10.086 |
8.993 |
7.713 |
6.356 |
5.007 |
3.717 |
2.519 |
1.433 |
0.468 |
-0.376 |
-1.101 |
-1.712 |
-2.216 |
-2.622 |
-2.936 |
-3.168 |
-3.323 |
-3.410 |
-3.434 |
-3.403 |
-3.323 |
-3.199 |
-3.038 |
-2.846 |
-2.628 |
-2.389 |
-2.136 |
-1.872 |
-1.603 |
-1.333 |
-1.067 |
-0.807 |
-0.559 |
-0.323 |
-0.103 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.006 |
0.083 |
0.163 |
0.237 |
0.303 |
0.360 |
0.409 |
0.450 |
0.484 |
0.513 |
0.536 |
0.556 |
0.572 |
0.585 |
0.596 |
0.606 |
0.614 |
0.620 |
0.626 |
0.630 |
0.634 |
0.638 |
0.641 |
0.643 |
0.645 |
0.647 |
0.649 |
0.651 |
0.653 |
0.656 |
0.659 |
0.662 |
0.666 |
0.670 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.098 |
0.087 |
0.012 |
-0.069 |
-0.130 |
-0.175 |
-0.205 |
-0.221 |
-0.225 |
-0.220 |
-0.208 |
-0.190 |
-0.170 |
-0.148 |
-0.126 |
-0.104 |
-0.084 |
-0.065 |
-0.049 |
-0.034 |
-0.022 |
-0.012 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.015 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.014 |
0.033 |
0.062 |
0.098 |
0.139 |
0.183 |
0.230 |
0.276 |
0.322 |
0.366 |
0.408 |
0.446 |
0.481 |
0.513 |
0.541 |
0.565 |
0.586 |
0.604 |
0.619 |
0.631 |
0.641 |
0.649 |
0.655 |
0.660 |
0.663 |
0.666 |
0.667 |
0.669 |
0.670 |
0.671 |
0.673 |
0.674 |
0.676 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.414 |
0.558 |
0.647 |
0.719 |
0.796 |
0.888 |
1.002 |
1.144 |
1.317 |
1.521 |
1.756 |
2.020 |
2.311 |
2.625 |
2.961 |
3.314 |
3.681 |
4.059 |
4.446 |
4.838 |
5.233 |
5.629 |
6.024 |
6.417 |
6.806 |
7.190 |
7.568 |
7.940 |
8.305 |
8.664 |
9.015 |
9.360 |
9.697 |
10.028 |
10.353 |
10.672 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.184 |
0.256 |
0.251 |
0.166 |
0.010 |
-0.208 |
-0.479 |
-0.793 |
-1.141 |
-1.514 |
-1.904 |
-2.306 |
-2.714 |
-3.125 |
-3.534 |
-3.941 |
-4.342 |
-4.736 |
-5.123 |
-5.501 |
-5.871 |
-6.231 |
-6.581 |
-6.923 |
-7.254 |
-7.576 |
-7.890 |
-8.194 |
-8.491 |
-8.779 |
-9.061 |
-9.335 |
-9.604 |
-9.867 |
-10.125 |
-10.379 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.135 |
-0.249 |
-0.355 |
-0.448 |
-0.523 |
-0.583 |
-0.630 |
-0.665 |
-0.691 |
-0.709 |
-0.721 |
-0.729 |
-0.732 |
-0.733 |
-0.730 |
-0.726 |
-0.719 |
-0.711 |
-0.700 |
-0.689 |
-0.675 |
-0.660 |
-0.644 |
-0.627 |
-0.609 |
-0.590 |
-0.571 |
-0.551 |
-0.532 |
-0.513 |
-0.494 |
-0.476 |
-0.459 |
-0.443 |
-0.429 |
-0.415 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.806 |
-0.887 |
-0.951 |
-0.999 |
-1.033 |
-1.055 |
-1.070 |
-1.078 |
-1.082 |
-1.083 |
-1.081 |
-1.078 |
-1.073 |
-1.068 |
-1.062 |
-1.057 |
-1.050 |
-1.044 |
-1.038 |
-1.033 |
-1.027 |
-1.022 |
-1.017 |
-1.013 |
-1.009 |
-1.005 |
-1.002 |
-0.999 |
-0.997 |
-0.995 |
-0.994 |
-0.993 |
-0.992 |
-0.992 |
-0.992 |
-0.993 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.359 |
-0.469 |
-0.569 |
-0.662 |
-0.746 |
-0.821 |
-0.885 |
-0.938 |
-0.982 |
-1.017 |
-1.043 |
-1.061 |
-1.072 |
-1.076 |
-1.074 |
-1.067 |
-1.055 |
-1.040 |
-1.021 |
-1.000 |
-0.977 |
-0.953 |
-0.928 |
-0.902 |
-0.877 |
-0.852 |
-0.827 |
-0.804 |
-0.783 |
-0.763 |
-0.745 |
-0.728 |
-0.714 |
-0.702 |
-0.692 |
-0.684 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.310 |
-0.636 |
-0.915 |
-1.160 |
-1.369 |
-1.540 |
-1.673 |
-1.772 |
-1.838 |
-1.875 |
-1.886 |
-1.875 |
-1.844 |
-1.797 |
-1.736 |
-1.664 |
-1.583 |
-1.495 |
-1.404 |
-1.309 |
-1.214 |
-1.120 |
-1.028 |
-0.939 |
-0.854 |
-0.775 |
-0.702 |
-0.636 |
-0.576 |
-0.524 |
-0.480 |
-0.443 |
-0.414 |
-0.392 |
-0.377 |
-0.369 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.326 |
-0.455 |
-0.567 |
-0.673 |
-0.770 |
-0.858 |
-0.935 |
-1.002 |
-1.059 |
-1.105 |
-1.142 |
-1.170 |
-1.189 |
-1.201 |
-1.206 |
-1.205 |
-1.198 |
-1.186 |
-1.170 |
-1.150 |
-1.127 |
-1.101 |
-1.074 |
-1.045 |
-1.016 |
-0.987 |
-0.958 |
-0.930 |
-0.902 |
-0.877 |
-0.853 |
-0.831 |
-0.811 |
-0.793 |
-0.778 |
-0.765 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.248 |
-0.332 |
-0.407 |
-0.476 |
-0.539 |
-0.595 |
-0.643 |
-0.683 |
-0.716 |
-0.741 |
-0.760 |
-0.772 |
-0.778 |
-0.779 |
-0.776 |
-0.768 |
-0.756 |
-0.742 |
-0.725 |
-0.706 |
-0.686 |
-0.665 |
-0.643 |
-0.621 |
-0.599 |
-0.578 |
-0.558 |
-0.538 |
-0.520 |
-0.504 |
-0.489 |
-0.475 |
-0.464 |
-0.454 |
-0.446 |
-0.440 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.099 |
-0.082 |
-0.040 |
0.007 |
0.038 |
0.058 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.058 |
0.043 |
0.024 |
0.003 |
-0.021 |
-0.044 |
-0.067 |
-0.088 |
-0.108 |
-0.126 |
-0.141 |
-0.154 |
-0.164 |
-0.172 |
-0.178 |
-0.182 |
-0.184 |
-0.184 |
-0.183 |
-0.181 |
-0.177 |
-0.173 |
-0.168 |
-0.162 |
-0.156 |
-0.150 |
-0.143 |
-0.137 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.295 |
-0.422 |
-0.517 |
-0.586 |
-0.634 |
-0.664 |
-0.678 |
-0.679 |
-0.671 |
-0.654 |
-0.631 |
-0.603 |
-0.571 |
-0.537 |
-0.501 |
-0.465 |
-0.428 |
-0.392 |
-0.357 |
-0.324 |
-0.293 |
-0.263 |
-0.237 |
-0.212 |
-0.191 |
-0.172 |
-0.157 |
-0.144 |
-0.134 |
-0.127 |
-0.122 |
-0.120 |
-0.120 |
-0.122 |
-0.126 |
-0.131 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|