|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
30.8 |
1029.5 |
1625.5 |
2057.5 |
2254.1 |
2259.4 |
2108.3 |
1839.9 |
1490.6 |
1092.2 |
671.0 |
248.4 |
-159.1 |
-539.6 |
-884.4 |
-1187.7 |
-1447.1 |
-1661.9 |
-1832.5 |
-1960.6 |
-2048.6 |
-2099.3 |
-2115.9 |
-2101.8 |
-2060.3 |
-1994.8 |
-1908.7 |
-1804.9 |
-1686.8 |
-1556.9 |
-1418.2 |
-1273.5 |
-1125.1 |
-975.2 |
-826.1 |
-679.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-22.2 |
-17.4 |
-14.0 |
-11.0 |
-8.5 |
-6.6 |
-5.2 |
-4.3 |
-3.9 |
-3.9 |
-4.2 |
-4.7 |
-5.5 |
-6.4 |
-7.5 |
-8.7 |
-10.0 |
-11.5 |
-13.0 |
-14.7 |
-16.4 |
-18.2 |
-20.1 |
-22.1 |
-24.2 |
-26.3 |
-28.5 |
-30.7 |
-33.0 |
-35.3 |
-37.6 |
-39.9 |
-42.1 |
-44.4 |
-46.7 |
-48.9 |
Investment |
fI |
382.6 |
933.1 |
1860.3 |
2636.7 |
3221.9 |
3634.5 |
3897.1 |
4031.0 |
4061.1 |
4013.7 |
3914.1 |
3784.7 |
3644.7 |
3508.8 |
3388.1 |
3289.8 |
3218.0 |
3174.3 |
3158.2 |
3167.9 |
3200.5 |
3252.9 |
3321.6 |
3403.2 |
3494.4 |
3592.3 |
3694.3 |
3798.4 |
3902.7 |
4005.7 |
4106.5 |
4204.1 |
4298.0 |
4387.8 |
4473.5 |
4554.9 |
Export |
fE |
2324.3 |
3855.6 |
5479.7 |
7177.1 |
8926.0 |
10698.8 |
12469.8 |
14216.5 |
15920.5 |
17567.0 |
19144.5 |
20644.7 |
22060.7 |
23388.7 |
24625.5 |
25770.1 |
26822.1 |
27782.7 |
28652.9 |
29435.6 |
30133.8 |
30751.3 |
31292.5 |
31762.2 |
32165.7 |
32508.7 |
32797.0 |
33037.4 |
33236.2 |
33400.3 |
33535.7 |
33649.5 |
33748.2 |
33837.8 |
33924.8 |
34014.4 |
Import |
fM |
129.3 |
876.9 |
1657.8 |
2354.5 |
2910.0 |
3356.2 |
3713.6 |
4000.1 |
4233.5 |
4430.1 |
4604.4 |
4767.9 |
4929.5 |
5095.2 |
5268.6 |
5451.5 |
5643.8 |
5844.2 |
6050.7 |
6260.8 |
6472.0 |
6681.8 |
6887.6 |
7087.6 |
7279.9 |
7463.0 |
7635.9 |
7798.3 |
7949.5 |
8089.9 |
8219.5 |
8338.9 |
8448.7 |
8549.7 |
8642.9 |
8729.4 |
GDP |
fY |
2480.3 |
4641.1 |
6805.9 |
8847.5 |
10665.7 |
12262.1 |
13647.7 |
14842.4 |
15871.4 |
16761.3 |
17537.9 |
18224.8 |
18841.6 |
19404.7 |
19926.4 |
20416.7 |
20881.4 |
21324.7 |
21748.3 |
22153.5 |
22540.2 |
22908.5 |
23258.0 |
23588.4 |
23899.8 |
24192.8 |
24468.0 |
24727.0 |
24971.3 |
25203.4 |
25424.4 |
25637.7 |
25845.5 |
26050.2 |
26254.9 |
26461.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-18.786 |
-17.683 |
-16.017 |
-14.057 |
-12.030 |
-10.061 |
-8.222 |
-6.553 |
-5.067 |
-3.761 |
-2.623 |
-1.636 |
-0.783 |
-0.045 |
0.593 |
1.143 |
1.617 |
2.020 |
2.360 |
2.641 |
2.867 |
3.039 |
3.161 |
3.235 |
3.264 |
3.251 |
3.199 |
3.111 |
2.991 |
2.844 |
2.673 |
2.483 |
2.278 |
2.061 |
1.838 |
1.612 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
11.630 |
10.134 |
9.137 |
8.002 |
6.833 |
5.702 |
4.650 |
3.697 |
2.850 |
2.107 |
1.459 |
0.898 |
0.413 |
-0.007 |
-0.369 |
-0.682 |
-0.951 |
-1.180 |
-1.373 |
-1.532 |
-1.659 |
-1.756 |
-1.824 |
-1.865 |
-1.879 |
-1.870 |
-1.838 |
-1.786 |
-1.716 |
-1.630 |
-1.530 |
-1.420 |
-1.301 |
-1.177 |
-1.048 |
-0.917 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.011 |
0.072 |
0.144 |
0.209 |
0.264 |
0.311 |
0.350 |
0.382 |
0.408 |
0.430 |
0.449 |
0.465 |
0.480 |
0.494 |
0.507 |
0.519 |
0.532 |
0.544 |
0.556 |
0.567 |
0.579 |
0.590 |
0.600 |
0.610 |
0.620 |
0.629 |
0.638 |
0.647 |
0.655 |
0.663 |
0.670 |
0.678 |
0.685 |
0.693 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.098 |
0.086 |
0.012 |
-0.067 |
-0.124 |
-0.165 |
-0.191 |
-0.202 |
-0.202 |
-0.193 |
-0.177 |
-0.158 |
-0.137 |
-0.115 |
-0.093 |
-0.073 |
-0.055 |
-0.040 |
-0.026 |
-0.015 |
-0.006 |
0.002 |
0.007 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.015 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.020 |
0.044 |
0.074 |
0.109 |
0.148 |
0.189 |
0.231 |
0.272 |
0.312 |
0.350 |
0.386 |
0.420 |
0.451 |
0.480 |
0.506 |
0.529 |
0.550 |
0.569 |
0.586 |
0.601 |
0.615 |
0.627 |
0.638 |
0.647 |
0.656 |
0.664 |
0.671 |
0.678 |
0.684 |
0.690 |
0.696 |
0.702 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.414 |
0.561 |
0.656 |
0.737 |
0.825 |
0.928 |
1.054 |
1.206 |
1.386 |
1.595 |
1.831 |
2.093 |
2.378 |
2.684 |
3.007 |
3.345 |
3.696 |
4.056 |
4.424 |
4.797 |
5.173 |
5.552 |
5.931 |
6.310 |
6.687 |
7.062 |
7.435 |
7.803 |
8.168 |
8.529 |
8.886 |
9.238 |
9.586 |
9.930 |
10.269 |
10.604 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.184 |
0.258 |
0.260 |
0.187 |
0.051 |
-0.141 |
-0.376 |
-0.647 |
-0.945 |
-1.261 |
-1.591 |
-1.929 |
-2.272 |
-2.618 |
-2.964 |
-3.311 |
-3.656 |
-4.000 |
-4.343 |
-4.683 |
-5.022 |
-5.358 |
-5.693 |
-6.024 |
-6.354 |
-6.680 |
-7.003 |
-7.323 |
-7.640 |
-7.953 |
-8.263 |
-8.569 |
-8.872 |
-9.171 |
-9.467 |
-9.759 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.135 |
-0.244 |
-0.341 |
-0.421 |
-0.483 |
-0.529 |
-0.563 |
-0.587 |
-0.604 |
-0.616 |
-0.626 |
-0.634 |
-0.641 |
-0.649 |
-0.657 |
-0.665 |
-0.672 |
-0.680 |
-0.687 |
-0.694 |
-0.699 |
-0.703 |
-0.706 |
-0.707 |
-0.707 |
-0.705 |
-0.701 |
-0.697 |
-0.691 |
-0.684 |
-0.676 |
-0.668 |
-0.658 |
-0.649 |
-0.639 |
-0.630 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.806 |
-0.884 |
-0.943 |
-0.986 |
-1.013 |
-1.029 |
-1.038 |
-1.042 |
-1.042 |
-1.039 |
-1.035 |
-1.030 |
-1.025 |
-1.020 |
-1.015 |
-1.009 |
-1.005 |
-1.000 |
-0.995 |
-0.991 |
-0.987 |
-0.983 |
-0.979 |
-0.975 |
-0.972 |
-0.969 |
-0.966 |
-0.963 |
-0.960 |
-0.958 |
-0.957 |
-0.955 |
-0.954 |
-0.953 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.359 |
-0.469 |
-0.570 |
-0.664 |
-0.750 |
-0.828 |
-0.897 |
-0.957 |
-1.010 |
-1.055 |
-1.093 |
-1.125 |
-1.151 |
-1.172 |
-1.189 |
-1.201 |
-1.208 |
-1.213 |
-1.214 |
-1.212 |
-1.208 |
-1.201 |
-1.193 |
-1.182 |
-1.171 |
-1.158 |
-1.145 |
-1.131 |
-1.117 |
-1.102 |
-1.088 |
-1.074 |
-1.061 |
-1.048 |
-1.036 |
-1.025 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.310 |
-0.637 |
-0.918 |
-1.170 |
-1.390 |
-1.577 |
-1.734 |
-1.863 |
-1.966 |
-2.047 |
-2.108 |
-2.152 |
-2.180 |
-2.195 |
-2.198 |
-2.191 |
-2.175 |
-2.151 |
-2.121 |
-2.085 |
-2.045 |
-2.000 |
-1.953 |
-1.903 |
-1.853 |
-1.801 |
-1.750 |
-1.699 |
-1.650 |
-1.603 |
-1.558 |
-1.515 |
-1.476 |
-1.440 |
-1.408 |
-1.379 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.326 |
-0.455 |
-0.568 |
-0.676 |
-0.776 |
-0.868 |
-0.952 |
-1.028 |
-1.095 |
-1.155 |
-1.208 |
-1.254 |
-1.294 |
-1.328 |
-1.356 |
-1.380 |
-1.398 |
-1.412 |
-1.422 |
-1.428 |
-1.430 |
-1.429 |
-1.424 |
-1.418 |
-1.408 |
-1.397 |
-1.384 |
-1.370 |
-1.355 |
-1.339 |
-1.323 |
-1.307 |
-1.291 |
-1.275 |
-1.259 |
-1.245 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.248 |
-0.332 |
-0.407 |
-0.478 |
-0.543 |
-0.602 |
-0.655 |
-0.701 |
-0.742 |
-0.777 |
-0.806 |
-0.831 |
-0.851 |
-0.867 |
-0.879 |
-0.887 |
-0.892 |
-0.894 |
-0.894 |
-0.891 |
-0.887 |
-0.880 |
-0.872 |
-0.863 |
-0.852 |
-0.841 |
-0.830 |
-0.817 |
-0.805 |
-0.793 |
-0.781 |
-0.769 |
-0.758 |
-0.747 |
-0.737 |
-0.728 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.099 |
-0.079 |
-0.036 |
0.013 |
0.046 |
0.066 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.067 |
0.052 |
0.033 |
0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.035 |
-0.058 |
-0.079 |
-0.100 |
-0.118 |
-0.134 |
-0.148 |
-0.161 |
-0.171 |
-0.180 |
-0.187 |
-0.192 |
-0.196 |
-0.199 |
-0.200 |
-0.201 |
-0.200 |
-0.199 |
-0.198 |
-0.195 |
-0.193 |
-0.190 |
-0.186 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.295 |
-0.420 |
-0.514 |
-0.583 |
-0.631 |
-0.663 |
-0.682 |
-0.691 |
-0.692 |
-0.687 |
-0.677 |
-0.664 |
-0.647 |
-0.629 |
-0.610 |
-0.589 |
-0.568 |
-0.546 |
-0.523 |
-0.501 |
-0.479 |
-0.458 |
-0.437 |
-0.416 |
-0.397 |
-0.379 |
-0.362 |
-0.347 |
-0.332 |
-0.320 |
-0.309 |
-0.299 |
-0.291 |
-0.284 |
-0.279 |
-0.275 |
|
|
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