|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
816.1 |
1415.0 |
3358.3 |
4541.2 |
5315.2 |
5875.5 |
6272.6 |
6560.1 |
6782.2 |
6971.7 |
7152.0 |
7338.8 |
7541.9 |
7766.0 |
8012.1 |
8278.4 |
8561.0 |
8854.9 |
9154.3 |
9452.9 |
9745.0 |
10025.0 |
10288.0 |
10530.1 |
10748.1 |
10940.1 |
11105.2 |
11243.5 |
11356.2 |
11445.5 |
11514.2 |
11565.9 |
11605.0 |
11636.0 |
11663.8 |
11693.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
259.8 |
740.1 |
1487.3 |
2330.7 |
3188.4 |
4019.1 |
4795.5 |
5500.6 |
6124.0 |
6660.9 |
7109.9 |
7472.7 |
7752.8 |
7955.4 |
8086.9 |
8154.1 |
8164.7 |
8126.9 |
8048.8 |
7938.8 |
7805.4 |
7656.8 |
7500.8 |
7345.0 |
7196.4 |
7061.4 |
6945.6 |
6854.0 |
6790.7 |
6758.9 |
6760.9 |
6798.2 |
6871.3 |
6979.9 |
7122.8 |
7298.1 |
Investment |
fI |
455.2 |
1270.5 |
2713.5 |
4356.8 |
5694.9 |
6718.6 |
7474.3 |
7996.6 |
8318.8 |
8474.9 |
8497.8 |
8417.2 |
8259.3 |
8045.9 |
7795.1 |
7521.2 |
7235.9 |
6948.5 |
6666.3 |
6394.9 |
6139.2 |
5903.0 |
5689.0 |
5500.1 |
5338.1 |
5204.8 |
5101.4 |
5028.8 |
4987.8 |
4978.2 |
5000.0 |
5052.6 |
5135.2 |
5246.3 |
5384.4 |
5547.0 |
Export |
fE |
539.6 |
1593.2 |
2909.0 |
4401.0 |
6052.2 |
7778.9 |
9498.7 |
11142.0 |
12654.2 |
13993.5 |
15130.9 |
16049.6 |
16742.1 |
17210.7 |
17464.8 |
17520.8 |
17399.4 |
17125.8 |
16726.8 |
16231.8 |
15669.9 |
15070.4 |
14461.2 |
13868.6 |
13316.4 |
12825.9 |
12414.9 |
12098.3 |
11887.2 |
11789.5 |
11808.7 |
11946.0 |
12199.0 |
12561.7 |
13026.6 |
13582.5 |
Import |
fM |
532.5 |
1148.7 |
2740.9 |
4142.5 |
5348.6 |
6441.4 |
7424.0 |
8300.9 |
9076.3 |
9753.2 |
10335.4 |
10826.6 |
11230.8 |
11551.7 |
11793.5 |
11960.8 |
12059.0 |
12094.0 |
12072.7 |
12002.2 |
11890.9 |
11747.1 |
11579.8 |
11398.1 |
11210.9 |
11027.2 |
10855.4 |
10703.7 |
10579.2 |
10488.3 |
10436.6 |
10428.3 |
10466.8 |
10554.3 |
10691.6 |
10878.3 |
GDP |
fY |
1543.4 |
3821.0 |
7621.3 |
11304.0 |
14630.7 |
17590.5 |
20172.1 |
22375.3 |
24210.8 |
25696.7 |
26855.5 |
27713.9 |
28299.5 |
28641.9 |
28770.8 |
28716.4 |
28508.6 |
28177.4 |
27751.6 |
27259.8 |
26729.1 |
26185.5 |
25653.1 |
25154.1 |
24708.7 |
24334.4 |
24046.2 |
23856.6 |
23775.1 |
23808.4 |
23959.9 |
24230.9 |
24619.9 |
25122.3 |
25732.0 |
26439.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.917 |
-22.967 |
-18.508 |
-13.712 |
-9.103 |
-4.880 |
-1.153 |
2.019 |
4.616 |
6.649 |
8.144 |
9.141 |
9.689 |
9.839 |
9.646 |
9.162 |
8.442 |
7.536 |
6.492 |
5.356 |
4.170 |
2.972 |
1.797 |
0.674 |
-0.371 |
-1.316 |
-2.146 |
-2.849 |
-3.415 |
-3.841 |
-4.127 |
-4.276 |
-4.295 |
-4.193 |
-3.982 |
-3.674 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.045 |
13.095 |
10.445 |
7.679 |
5.035 |
2.622 |
0.500 |
-1.300 |
-2.770 |
-3.914 |
-4.751 |
-5.303 |
-5.598 |
-5.668 |
-5.541 |
-5.250 |
-4.825 |
-4.296 |
-3.689 |
-3.031 |
-2.347 |
-1.657 |
-0.982 |
-0.339 |
0.259 |
0.799 |
1.271 |
1.670 |
1.989 |
2.228 |
2.387 |
2.467 |
2.472 |
2.408 |
2.282 |
2.100 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.134 |
-0.127 |
-0.224 |
-0.125 |
-0.039 |
0.028 |
0.080 |
0.119 |
0.145 |
0.160 |
0.166 |
0.165 |
0.158 |
0.147 |
0.133 |
0.116 |
0.099 |
0.081 |
0.063 |
0.046 |
0.030 |
0.015 |
0.001 |
-0.011 |
-0.021 |
-0.029 |
-0.036 |
-0.041 |
-0.044 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.111 |
0.082 |
0.119 |
-0.018 |
-0.121 |
-0.190 |
-0.235 |
-0.258 |
-0.264 |
-0.256 |
-0.239 |
-0.215 |
-0.188 |
-0.159 |
-0.130 |
-0.103 |
-0.078 |
-0.055 |
-0.036 |
-0.019 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.023 |
-0.045 |
-0.106 |
-0.143 |
-0.160 |
-0.162 |
-0.154 |
-0.139 |
-0.119 |
-0.096 |
-0.072 |
-0.050 |
-0.030 |
-0.012 |
0.003 |
0.014 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.019 |
0.014 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.007 |
-0.013 |
-0.019 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.032 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.037 |
0.093 |
-0.008 |
-0.194 |
-0.406 |
-0.628 |
-0.844 |
-1.045 |
-1.224 |
-1.375 |
-1.498 |
-1.593 |
-1.659 |
-1.700 |
-1.719 |
-1.718 |
-1.700 |
-1.668 |
-1.626 |
-1.576 |
-1.521 |
-1.462 |
-1.402 |
-1.342 |
-1.283 |
-1.227 |
-1.175 |
-1.125 |
-1.080 |
-1.038 |
-1.001 |
-0.966 |
-0.936 |
-0.908 |
-0.883 |
-0.860 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.111 |
0.220 |
0.396 |
0.477 |
0.482 |
0.429 |
0.333 |
0.208 |
0.065 |
-0.084 |
-0.232 |
-0.373 |
-0.500 |
-0.613 |
-0.707 |
-0.783 |
-0.841 |
-0.881 |
-0.904 |
-0.911 |
-0.905 |
-0.886 |
-0.857 |
-0.820 |
-0.776 |
-0.728 |
-0.676 |
-0.623 |
-0.570 |
-0.519 |
-0.469 |
-0.423 |
-0.382 |
-0.344 |
-0.312 |
-0.285 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.066 |
-0.166 |
-0.311 |
-0.434 |
-0.524 |
-0.584 |
-0.618 |
-0.632 |
-0.627 |
-0.608 |
-0.578 |
-0.540 |
-0.495 |
-0.446 |
-0.395 |
-0.342 |
-0.290 |
-0.238 |
-0.189 |
-0.142 |
-0.099 |
-0.060 |
-0.025 |
0.005 |
0.031 |
0.051 |
0.066 |
0.076 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.079 |
0.071 |
0.061 |
0.048 |
0.032 |
0.015 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.011 |
-0.021 |
-0.041 |
-0.048 |
-0.044 |
-0.032 |
-0.016 |
0.002 |
0.019 |
0.036 |
0.051 |
0.065 |
0.077 |
0.086 |
0.094 |
0.100 |
0.104 |
0.106 |
0.107 |
0.107 |
0.105 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.086 |
-0.206 |
-0.308 |
-0.383 |
-0.440 |
-0.480 |
-0.504 |
-0.512 |
-0.506 |
-0.489 |
-0.462 |
-0.427 |
-0.387 |
-0.342 |
-0.296 |
-0.249 |
-0.203 |
-0.159 |
-0.119 |
-0.083 |
-0.052 |
-0.026 |
-0.006 |
0.009 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.013 |
0.003 |
-0.011 |
-0.027 |
-0.046 |
-0.066 |
-0.086 |
-0.107 |
-0.128 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.253 |
-0.706 |
-1.068 |
-1.317 |
-1.495 |
-1.605 |
-1.652 |
-1.645 |
-1.593 |
-1.504 |
-1.386 |
-1.248 |
-1.097 |
-0.940 |
-0.782 |
-0.629 |
-0.485 |
-0.353 |
-0.237 |
-0.138 |
-0.058 |
0.003 |
0.045 |
0.068 |
0.073 |
0.061 |
0.035 |
-0.004 |
-0.054 |
-0.112 |
-0.177 |
-0.245 |
-0.315 |
-0.385 |
-0.452 |
-0.516 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.077 |
-0.195 |
-0.304 |
-0.392 |
-0.464 |
-0.521 |
-0.561 |
-0.585 |
-0.594 |
-0.590 |
-0.574 |
-0.549 |
-0.516 |
-0.478 |
-0.435 |
-0.389 |
-0.343 |
-0.297 |
-0.253 |
-0.212 |
-0.175 |
-0.142 |
-0.114 |
-0.091 |
-0.074 |
-0.063 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.070 |
-0.082 |
-0.098 |
-0.116 |
-0.136 |
-0.157 |
-0.179 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.059 |
-0.144 |
-0.221 |
-0.280 |
-0.329 |
-0.365 |
-0.390 |
-0.404 |
-0.407 |
-0.400 |
-0.386 |
-0.365 |
-0.339 |
-0.309 |
-0.276 |
-0.243 |
-0.209 |
-0.177 |
-0.146 |
-0.118 |
-0.093 |
-0.072 |
-0.055 |
-0.042 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.027 |
-0.030 |
-0.036 |
-0.045 |
-0.056 |
-0.069 |
-0.084 |
-0.099 |
-0.114 |
-0.130 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.112 |
-0.087 |
-0.131 |
-0.038 |
0.024 |
0.062 |
0.083 |
0.091 |
0.088 |
0.077 |
0.062 |
0.044 |
0.025 |
0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.024 |
-0.036 |
-0.045 |
-0.051 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.046 |
-0.040 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.020 |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
-0.001 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.091 |
-0.236 |
-0.351 |
-0.415 |
-0.444 |
-0.446 |
-0.427 |
-0.393 |
-0.348 |
-0.296 |
-0.240 |
-0.183 |
-0.127 |
-0.074 |
-0.025 |
0.018 |
0.056 |
0.086 |
0.110 |
0.126 |
0.136 |
0.139 |
0.137 |
0.128 |
0.116 |
0.099 |
0.079 |
0.057 |
0.033 |
0.008 |
-0.016 |
-0.040 |
-0.063 |
-0.084 |
-0.102 |
-0.118 |
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