|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
778.2 |
1300.7 |
3050.3 |
3924.8 |
4300.9 |
4401.9 |
4292.9 |
4038.6 |
3693.3 |
3299.4 |
2889.2 |
2487.3 |
2111.6 |
1774.6 |
1484.9 |
1247.8 |
1065.2 |
937.3 |
863.0 |
839.7 |
864.4 |
933.2 |
1042.0 |
1186.4 |
1362.0 |
1564.1 |
1788.3 |
2030.4 |
2285.9 |
2551.0 |
2821.7 |
3094.3 |
3365.3 |
3631.9 |
3890.9 |
4140.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-58.6 |
-52.6 |
-47.8 |
-43.3 |
-39.7 |
-37.0 |
-35.1 |
-34.0 |
-33.5 |
-33.6 |
-34.1 |
-35.0 |
-36.2 |
-37.7 |
-39.4 |
-41.4 |
-43.5 |
-45.8 |
-48.3 |
-51.0 |
-53.8 |
-56.7 |
-59.7 |
-62.9 |
-66.1 |
-69.4 |
-72.7 |
-76.1 |
-79.4 |
-82.8 |
-86.1 |
-89.3 |
-92.5 |
-95.6 |
-98.6 |
-101.5 |
Investment |
fI |
325.1 |
845.5 |
1841.0 |
2942.3 |
3796.0 |
4407.5 |
4812.9 |
5046.0 |
5143.5 |
5142.2 |
5075.4 |
4971.6 |
4853.5 |
4738.4 |
4638.1 |
4560.2 |
4508.7 |
4484.4 |
4486.4 |
4512.1 |
4558.2 |
4621.1 |
4696.8 |
4781.8 |
4872.5 |
4966.1 |
5060.0 |
5152.3 |
5241.4 |
5326.1 |
5405.7 |
5479.8 |
5548.4 |
5611.4 |
5669.4 |
5722.7 |
Export |
fE |
556.5 |
1642.2 |
3021.8 |
4620.1 |
6438.4 |
8415.5 |
10490.2 |
12610.0 |
14732.5 |
16822.4 |
18851.4 |
20797.9 |
22643.7 |
24376.0 |
25984.7 |
27463.2 |
28806.7 |
30013.4 |
31082.5 |
32015.7 |
32815.7 |
33487.1 |
34035.4 |
34467.7 |
34791.7 |
35016.5 |
35151.6 |
35207.8 |
35196.1 |
35127.9 |
35014.3 |
34867.5 |
34698.9 |
34519.4 |
34340.5 |
34171.8 |
Import |
fM |
442.8 |
871.4 |
2123.6 |
3076.5 |
3816.3 |
4456.7 |
5013.1 |
5505.3 |
5952.7 |
6371.0 |
6773.0 |
7168.1 |
7562.4 |
7959.3 |
8359.9 |
8763.4 |
9167.3 |
9568.7 |
9963.7 |
10348.5 |
10719.6 |
11073.4 |
11407.0 |
11718.0 |
12004.5 |
12265.4 |
12500.0 |
12708.4 |
12891.1 |
13049.3 |
13184.4 |
13298.3 |
13393.0 |
13471.2 |
13535.4 |
13588.4 |
GDP |
fY |
1164.7 |
2808.6 |
5613.3 |
8139.6 |
10335.9 |
12266.5 |
13960.4 |
15447.4 |
16759.2 |
17925.4 |
18972.0 |
19921.3 |
20790.2 |
21592.2 |
22336.6 |
23030.2 |
23676.2 |
24276.7 |
24832.0 |
25342.2 |
25807.0 |
26226.4 |
26600.4 |
26930.0 |
27216.6 |
27462.4 |
27670.3 |
27844.0 |
27987.8 |
28106.4 |
28204.3 |
28287.5 |
28360.9 |
28430.2 |
28500.8 |
28577.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.605 |
-24.718 |
-21.874 |
-18.863 |
-15.948 |
-13.221 |
-10.726 |
-8.481 |
-6.479 |
-4.707 |
-3.143 |
-1.767 |
-0.557 |
0.503 |
1.428 |
2.231 |
2.919 |
3.500 |
3.978 |
4.360 |
4.648 |
4.846 |
4.959 |
4.992 |
4.950 |
4.839 |
4.666 |
4.437 |
4.160 |
3.843 |
3.493 |
3.119 |
2.729 |
2.328 |
1.926 |
1.527 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.471 |
14.150 |
12.452 |
10.721 |
9.048 |
7.487 |
6.062 |
4.781 |
3.640 |
2.630 |
1.740 |
0.956 |
0.268 |
-0.336 |
-0.862 |
-1.319 |
-1.709 |
-2.039 |
-2.310 |
-2.525 |
-2.687 |
-2.797 |
-2.858 |
-2.874 |
-2.846 |
-2.779 |
-2.677 |
-2.543 |
-2.381 |
-2.197 |
-1.995 |
-1.778 |
-1.553 |
-1.322 |
-1.090 |
-0.861 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.124 |
-0.109 |
-0.187 |
-0.066 |
0.040 |
0.127 |
0.200 |
0.261 |
0.311 |
0.352 |
0.387 |
0.415 |
0.439 |
0.461 |
0.480 |
0.497 |
0.513 |
0.527 |
0.541 |
0.554 |
0.565 |
0.576 |
0.586 |
0.595 |
0.604 |
0.611 |
0.617 |
0.623 |
0.628 |
0.633 |
0.637 |
0.641 |
0.644 |
0.648 |
0.651 |
0.655 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.107 |
0.082 |
0.118 |
-0.018 |
-0.116 |
-0.181 |
-0.223 |
-0.244 |
-0.249 |
-0.241 |
-0.226 |
-0.204 |
-0.180 |
-0.155 |
-0.131 |
-0.108 |
-0.086 |
-0.067 |
-0.051 |
-0.036 |
-0.024 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.000 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
-0.069 |
-0.083 |
-0.076 |
-0.055 |
-0.023 |
0.017 |
0.063 |
0.111 |
0.161 |
0.211 |
0.259 |
0.305 |
0.349 |
0.389 |
0.426 |
0.460 |
0.490 |
0.517 |
0.541 |
0.562 |
0.580 |
0.596 |
0.609 |
0.620 |
0.629 |
0.637 |
0.643 |
0.648 |
0.653 |
0.656 |
0.659 |
0.661 |
0.663 |
0.665 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.061 |
0.179 |
0.192 |
0.170 |
0.158 |
0.167 |
0.205 |
0.277 |
0.387 |
0.536 |
0.723 |
0.944 |
1.198 |
1.480 |
1.788 |
2.117 |
2.464 |
2.826 |
3.199 |
3.581 |
3.970 |
4.362 |
4.757 |
5.152 |
5.546 |
5.938 |
6.326 |
6.710 |
7.088 |
7.461 |
7.829 |
8.190 |
8.544 |
8.892 |
9.234 |
9.569 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.107 |
0.208 |
0.360 |
0.400 |
0.345 |
0.215 |
0.022 |
-0.219 |
-0.499 |
-0.806 |
-1.134 |
-1.476 |
-1.828 |
-2.187 |
-2.550 |
-2.915 |
-3.280 |
-3.645 |
-4.009 |
-4.370 |
-4.729 |
-5.084 |
-5.435 |
-5.781 |
-6.122 |
-6.457 |
-6.786 |
-7.109 |
-7.425 |
-7.735 |
-8.038 |
-8.334 |
-8.624 |
-8.908 |
-9.186 |
-9.459 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.053 |
-0.133 |
-0.250 |
-0.348 |
-0.422 |
-0.475 |
-0.515 |
-0.543 |
-0.563 |
-0.579 |
-0.591 |
-0.602 |
-0.612 |
-0.621 |
-0.630 |
-0.638 |
-0.646 |
-0.652 |
-0.657 |
-0.660 |
-0.661 |
-0.660 |
-0.656 |
-0.651 |
-0.643 |
-0.634 |
-0.622 |
-0.609 |
-0.595 |
-0.579 |
-0.563 |
-0.546 |
-0.530 |
-0.513 |
-0.497 |
-0.481 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.042 |
-0.079 |
-0.106 |
-0.120 |
-0.126 |
-0.128 |
-0.126 |
-0.122 |
-0.117 |
-0.112 |
-0.106 |
-0.100 |
-0.094 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.077 |
-0.071 |
-0.065 |
-0.059 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.089 |
-0.217 |
-0.336 |
-0.438 |
-0.532 |
-0.617 |
-0.693 |
-0.759 |
-0.817 |
-0.866 |
-0.908 |
-0.942 |
-0.969 |
-0.989 |
-1.004 |
-1.013 |
-1.017 |
-1.016 |
-1.011 |
-1.003 |
-0.991 |
-0.976 |
-0.959 |
-0.940 |
-0.920 |
-0.898 |
-0.876 |
-0.854 |
-0.832 |
-0.810 |
-0.789 |
-0.770 |
-0.751 |
-0.734 |
-0.719 |
-0.705 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.260 |
-0.735 |
-1.142 |
-1.465 |
-1.745 |
-1.981 |
-2.178 |
-2.337 |
-2.463 |
-2.560 |
-2.630 |
-2.677 |
-2.703 |
-2.711 |
-2.702 |
-2.679 |
-2.643 |
-2.597 |
-2.542 |
-2.479 |
-2.409 |
-2.336 |
-2.259 |
-2.180 |
-2.101 |
-2.022 |
-1.945 |
-1.871 |
-1.801 |
-1.735 |
-1.674 |
-1.619 |
-1.570 |
-1.528 |
-1.491 |
-1.462 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.079 |
-0.203 |
-0.325 |
-0.433 |
-0.536 |
-0.630 |
-0.716 |
-0.793 |
-0.862 |
-0.923 |
-0.975 |
-1.021 |
-1.059 |
-1.090 |
-1.115 |
-1.133 |
-1.145 |
-1.152 |
-1.154 |
-1.150 |
-1.143 |
-1.131 |
-1.116 |
-1.097 |
-1.077 |
-1.054 |
-1.030 |
-1.005 |
-0.979 |
-0.953 |
-0.928 |
-0.903 |
-0.879 |
-0.857 |
-0.836 |
-0.817 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.060 |
-0.150 |
-0.236 |
-0.310 |
-0.380 |
-0.444 |
-0.501 |
-0.551 |
-0.595 |
-0.632 |
-0.664 |
-0.689 |
-0.709 |
-0.724 |
-0.734 |
-0.739 |
-0.741 |
-0.738 |
-0.733 |
-0.724 |
-0.712 |
-0.699 |
-0.683 |
-0.667 |
-0.649 |
-0.630 |
-0.611 |
-0.592 |
-0.573 |
-0.555 |
-0.538 |
-0.521 |
-0.506 |
-0.492 |
-0.479 |
-0.468 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.106 |
-0.079 |
-0.115 |
-0.017 |
0.047 |
0.085 |
0.106 |
0.112 |
0.107 |
0.093 |
0.073 |
0.049 |
0.024 |
-0.002 |
-0.028 |
-0.053 |
-0.075 |
-0.096 |
-0.115 |
-0.131 |
-0.145 |
-0.157 |
-0.166 |
-0.173 |
-0.179 |
-0.183 |
-0.185 |
-0.186 |
-0.185 |
-0.183 |
-0.181 |
-0.177 |
-0.173 |
-0.168 |
-0.163 |
-0.157 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.097 |
-0.253 |
-0.388 |
-0.481 |
-0.547 |
-0.592 |
-0.622 |
-0.639 |
-0.647 |
-0.646 |
-0.638 |
-0.625 |
-0.608 |
-0.587 |
-0.563 |
-0.537 |
-0.509 |
-0.480 |
-0.450 |
-0.420 |
-0.389 |
-0.360 |
-0.331 |
-0.303 |
-0.277 |
-0.253 |
-0.231 |
-0.211 |
-0.193 |
-0.178 |
-0.165 |
-0.155 |
-0.147 |
-0.142 |
-0.138 |
-0.137 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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