|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
778.2 |
1297.2 |
3028.4 |
3860.0 |
4160.5 |
4154.7 |
3912.9 |
3505.1 |
2990.9 |
2416.5 |
1817.6 |
1220.6 |
645.2 |
104.4 |
-393.0 |
-841.1 |
-1238.0 |
-1583.2 |
-1877.5 |
-2122.7 |
-2321.2 |
-2475.5 |
-2588.6 |
-2663.4 |
-2703.1 |
-2710.5 |
-2688.6 |
-2640.4 |
-2568.8 |
-2476.4 |
-2366.3 |
-2241.2 |
-2103.9 |
-1957.0 |
-1803.2 |
-1644.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-58.6 |
-52.6 |
-47.8 |
-43.2 |
-39.6 |
-36.7 |
-34.6 |
-33.1 |
-32.2 |
-31.6 |
-31.4 |
-31.4 |
-31.6 |
-32.0 |
-32.5 |
-33.2 |
-34.0 |
-35.0 |
-36.1 |
-37.4 |
-38.9 |
-40.5 |
-42.2 |
-44.2 |
-46.3 |
-48.5 |
-50.9 |
-53.4 |
-55.9 |
-58.6 |
-61.4 |
-64.2 |
-67.1 |
-70.0 |
-72.9 |
-75.8 |
Investment |
fI |
325.1 |
830.1 |
1781.5 |
2798.6 |
3531.4 |
3998.1 |
4245.0 |
4313.8 |
4248.3 |
4090.9 |
3879.6 |
3646.0 |
3414.8 |
3203.9 |
3025.1 |
2885.2 |
2786.7 |
2729.2 |
2710.0 |
2725.0 |
2769.4 |
2838.3 |
2926.7 |
3030.0 |
3144.0 |
3265.3 |
3390.7 |
3517.8 |
3644.5 |
3769.4 |
3891.3 |
4009.4 |
4122.9 |
4231.7 |
4335.4 |
4434.2 |
Export |
fE |
556.5 |
1588.0 |
2835.2 |
4185.7 |
5665.7 |
7245.7 |
8890.8 |
10571.9 |
12265.9 |
13953.7 |
15619.7 |
17251.9 |
18839.0 |
20372.4 |
21844.1 |
23248.0 |
24578.0 |
25830.1 |
27000.1 |
28085.6 |
29084.5 |
29996.3 |
30821.0 |
31560.0 |
32215.2 |
32789.7 |
33287.4 |
33712.9 |
34071.9 |
34370.2 |
34614.1 |
34810.5 |
34966.5 |
35089.1 |
35185.9 |
35263.7 |
Import |
fM |
442.8 |
837.1 |
1997.0 |
2772.1 |
3259.3 |
3594.5 |
3811.2 |
3944.4 |
4026.1 |
4082.6 |
4134.5 |
4197.1 |
4280.9 |
4391.5 |
4531.3 |
4700.2 |
4895.4 |
5113.1 |
5348.8 |
5597.8 |
5855.1 |
6116.3 |
6377.2 |
6634.3 |
6884.6 |
7125.5 |
7355.3 |
7572.7 |
7776.4 |
7966.4 |
8142.4 |
8304.6 |
8453.3 |
8589.2 |
8713.2 |
8826.3 |
GDP |
fY |
1164.7 |
2770.8 |
5474.8 |
7807.2 |
9725.2 |
11316.2 |
12632.6 |
13725.3 |
14644.5 |
15435.3 |
16135.9 |
16777.6 |
17383.2 |
17969.4 |
18546.5 |
19120.8 |
19693.2 |
20263.2 |
20827.2 |
21381.5 |
21921.6 |
22443.4 |
22942.9 |
23417.1 |
23863.6 |
24281.3 |
24669.4 |
25028.4 |
25359.5 |
25664.7 |
25945.8 |
26205.8 |
26447.8 |
26674.7 |
26890.3 |
27097.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.605 |
-24.749 |
-21.991 |
-19.153 |
-16.498 |
-14.097 |
-11.976 |
-10.127 |
-8.524 |
-7.130 |
-5.910 |
-4.829 |
-3.859 |
-2.975 |
-2.163 |
-1.410 |
-0.711 |
-0.063 |
0.535 |
1.081 |
1.572 |
2.006 |
2.381 |
2.695 |
2.949 |
3.143 |
3.278 |
3.357 |
3.383 |
3.360 |
3.292 |
3.185 |
3.044 |
2.874 |
2.679 |
2.466 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.471 |
14.169 |
12.523 |
10.895 |
9.375 |
8.006 |
6.798 |
5.746 |
4.834 |
4.041 |
3.347 |
2.731 |
2.177 |
1.673 |
1.209 |
0.778 |
0.378 |
0.008 |
-0.334 |
-0.646 |
-0.926 |
-1.173 |
-1.386 |
-1.564 |
-1.708 |
-1.817 |
-1.892 |
-1.935 |
-1.947 |
-1.932 |
-1.891 |
-1.828 |
-1.745 |
-1.646 |
-1.533 |
-1.409 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.124 |
-0.109 |
-0.189 |
-0.072 |
0.028 |
0.106 |
0.170 |
0.221 |
0.262 |
0.294 |
0.320 |
0.341 |
0.360 |
0.378 |
0.395 |
0.411 |
0.428 |
0.444 |
0.461 |
0.478 |
0.495 |
0.511 |
0.527 |
0.542 |
0.556 |
0.570 |
0.583 |
0.595 |
0.606 |
0.617 |
0.626 |
0.636 |
0.644 |
0.652 |
0.660 |
0.668 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.107 |
0.081 |
0.118 |
-0.017 |
-0.113 |
-0.175 |
-0.212 |
-0.228 |
-0.229 |
-0.218 |
-0.199 |
-0.175 |
-0.150 |
-0.124 |
-0.100 |
-0.078 |
-0.059 |
-0.042 |
-0.028 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.017 |
-0.028 |
-0.072 |
-0.089 |
-0.085 |
-0.069 |
-0.042 |
-0.007 |
0.033 |
0.076 |
0.121 |
0.166 |
0.211 |
0.253 |
0.294 |
0.333 |
0.369 |
0.402 |
0.433 |
0.462 |
0.488 |
0.512 |
0.533 |
0.553 |
0.571 |
0.587 |
0.601 |
0.615 |
0.626 |
0.637 |
0.646 |
0.655 |
0.662 |
0.669 |
0.676 |
0.682 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.061 |
0.180 |
0.197 |
0.181 |
0.179 |
0.199 |
0.247 |
0.330 |
0.448 |
0.602 |
0.791 |
1.011 |
1.261 |
1.536 |
1.833 |
2.150 |
2.482 |
2.827 |
3.184 |
3.548 |
3.920 |
4.296 |
4.675 |
5.056 |
5.438 |
5.820 |
6.201 |
6.579 |
6.955 |
7.328 |
7.698 |
8.063 |
8.425 |
8.782 |
9.134 |
9.482 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.107 |
0.209 |
0.365 |
0.412 |
0.370 |
0.261 |
0.097 |
-0.109 |
-0.345 |
-0.603 |
-0.876 |
-1.161 |
-1.453 |
-1.751 |
-2.054 |
-2.361 |
-2.672 |
-2.986 |
-3.304 |
-3.626 |
-3.950 |
-4.277 |
-4.605 |
-4.935 |
-5.266 |
-5.597 |
-5.927 |
-6.256 |
-6.584 |
-6.909 |
-7.231 |
-7.551 |
-7.867 |
-8.179 |
-8.488 |
-8.793 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.053 |
-0.131 |
-0.243 |
-0.331 |
-0.392 |
-0.433 |
-0.459 |
-0.475 |
-0.486 |
-0.494 |
-0.503 |
-0.513 |
-0.525 |
-0.539 |
-0.556 |
-0.574 |
-0.594 |
-0.613 |
-0.633 |
-0.652 |
-0.669 |
-0.684 |
-0.698 |
-0.709 |
-0.717 |
-0.723 |
-0.727 |
-0.729 |
-0.728 |
-0.725 |
-0.721 |
-0.714 |
-0.707 |
-0.699 |
-0.689 |
-0.680 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.041 |
-0.075 |
-0.097 |
-0.105 |
-0.105 |
-0.101 |
-0.094 |
-0.086 |
-0.078 |
-0.070 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.049 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.022 |
0.026 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.089 |
-0.217 |
-0.336 |
-0.439 |
-0.534 |
-0.622 |
-0.701 |
-0.773 |
-0.837 |
-0.895 |
-0.947 |
-0.993 |
-1.034 |
-1.070 |
-1.101 |
-1.127 |
-1.149 |
-1.166 |
-1.180 |
-1.189 |
-1.195 |
-1.198 |
-1.197 |
-1.194 |
-1.188 |
-1.180 |
-1.170 |
-1.158 |
-1.145 |
-1.131 |
-1.117 |
-1.102 |
-1.086 |
-1.071 |
-1.056 |
-1.042 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.260 |
-0.735 |
-1.144 |
-1.470 |
-1.757 |
-2.006 |
-2.220 |
-2.404 |
-2.561 |
-2.694 |
-2.807 |
-2.902 |
-2.980 |
-3.043 |
-3.093 |
-3.129 |
-3.154 |
-3.167 |
-3.169 |
-3.162 |
-3.146 |
-3.123 |
-3.092 |
-3.055 |
-3.013 |
-2.967 |
-2.917 |
-2.866 |
-2.813 |
-2.760 |
-2.707 |
-2.656 |
-2.605 |
-2.558 |
-2.512 |
-2.470 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.079 |
-0.203 |
-0.325 |
-0.435 |
-0.539 |
-0.637 |
-0.728 |
-0.812 |
-0.890 |
-0.962 |
-1.028 |
-1.089 |
-1.145 |
-1.196 |
-1.241 |
-1.282 |
-1.318 |
-1.348 |
-1.374 |
-1.395 |
-1.411 |
-1.423 |
-1.430 |
-1.434 |
-1.434 |
-1.430 |
-1.423 |
-1.414 |
-1.403 |
-1.389 |
-1.374 |
-1.358 |
-1.341 |
-1.324 |
-1.306 |
-1.289 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.060 |
-0.150 |
-0.236 |
-0.311 |
-0.382 |
-0.448 |
-0.509 |
-0.564 |
-0.615 |
-0.660 |
-0.701 |
-0.737 |
-0.769 |
-0.797 |
-0.821 |
-0.841 |
-0.858 |
-0.871 |
-0.881 |
-0.887 |
-0.891 |
-0.892 |
-0.890 |
-0.886 |
-0.880 |
-0.872 |
-0.863 |
-0.853 |
-0.841 |
-0.829 |
-0.817 |
-0.804 |
-0.791 |
-0.778 |
-0.765 |
-0.753 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.106 |
-0.078 |
-0.113 |
-0.012 |
0.054 |
0.094 |
0.115 |
0.121 |
0.115 |
0.101 |
0.081 |
0.058 |
0.032 |
0.006 |
-0.020 |
-0.044 |
-0.067 |
-0.088 |
-0.108 |
-0.125 |
-0.140 |
-0.154 |
-0.165 |
-0.175 |
-0.184 |
-0.191 |
-0.196 |
-0.201 |
-0.204 |
-0.206 |
-0.207 |
-0.208 |
-0.207 |
-0.206 |
-0.204 |
-0.202 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.097 |
-0.253 |
-0.387 |
-0.478 |
-0.544 |
-0.590 |
-0.623 |
-0.646 |
-0.661 |
-0.670 |
-0.674 |
-0.674 |
-0.671 |
-0.665 |
-0.656 |
-0.644 |
-0.631 |
-0.615 |
-0.597 |
-0.578 |
-0.558 |
-0.537 |
-0.515 |
-0.493 |
-0.470 |
-0.449 |
-0.427 |
-0.407 |
-0.387 |
-0.369 |
-0.352 |
-0.337 |
-0.323 |
-0.311 |
-0.300 |
-0.291 |
|
|
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