|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1048.0 |
2765.5 |
4159.1 |
4995.8 |
5575.6 |
5970.9 |
6239.6 |
6428.3 |
6573.1 |
6699.9 |
6827.2 |
6966.9 |
7126.3 |
7308.3 |
7512.8 |
7737.6 |
7979.0 |
8232.1 |
8491.6 |
8752.1 |
9008.6 |
9256.1 |
9490.6 |
9708.6 |
9907.5 |
10085.8 |
10242.5 |
10378.0 |
10493.1 |
10589.7 |
10670.1 |
10737.3 |
10794.9 |
10846.7 |
10896.7 |
10948.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
274.2 |
869.4 |
1604.8 |
2376.2 |
3138.0 |
3863.2 |
4534.3 |
5140.7 |
5676.7 |
6140.1 |
6531.1 |
6851.7 |
7105.3 |
7296.2 |
7429.3 |
7510.0 |
7544.2 |
7538.0 |
7497.9 |
7430.2 |
7341.7 |
7238.7 |
7127.8 |
7014.9 |
6906.0 |
6806.4 |
6721.0 |
6654.1 |
6609.4 |
6589.8 |
6597.6 |
6634.4 |
6700.8 |
6796.9 |
6922.1 |
7075.0 |
Investment |
fI |
532.2 |
1812.4 |
3345.2 |
4684.5 |
5727.6 |
6513.5 |
7075.0 |
7443.8 |
7652.5 |
7732.5 |
7712.7 |
7617.9 |
7468.9 |
7282.6 |
7072.4 |
6848.6 |
6619.1 |
6390.2 |
6166.8 |
5952.4 |
5750.6 |
5563.7 |
5394.0 |
5243.6 |
5114.3 |
5007.5 |
4924.7 |
4866.9 |
4835.2 |
4829.8 |
4851.1 |
4898.8 |
4972.6 |
5071.4 |
5194.1 |
5338.7 |
Export |
fE |
491.1 |
1413.2 |
2580.2 |
3949.6 |
5454.5 |
7016.7 |
8567.2 |
10048.3 |
11415.3 |
12634.2 |
13681.5 |
14543.8 |
15215.0 |
15697.0 |
15997.4 |
16129.1 |
16108.8 |
15956.8 |
15694.4 |
15345.8 |
14934.7 |
14485.1 |
14020.1 |
13561.7 |
13129.9 |
12742.8 |
12416.0 |
12162.6 |
11992.8 |
11913.9 |
11929.9 |
12042.7 |
12251.3 |
12551.5 |
12937.9 |
13402.0 |
Import |
fM |
662.2 |
1945.3 |
3253.7 |
4350.8 |
5338.9 |
6233.8 |
7040.3 |
7763.4 |
8407.1 |
8975.3 |
9471.3 |
9898.1 |
10258.3 |
10554.2 |
10788.4 |
10963.4 |
11082.7 |
11150.1 |
11170.3 |
11148.6 |
11091.1 |
11004.4 |
10895.7 |
10772.3 |
10641.6 |
10511.1 |
10388.2 |
10279.7 |
10192.1 |
10131.1 |
10101.7 |
10107.9 |
10153.0 |
10238.9 |
10366.9 |
10537.0 |
GDP |
fY |
1700.0 |
4919.0 |
8380.4 |
11524.4 |
14344.3 |
16836.1 |
19003.2 |
20853.7 |
22402.9 |
23669.3 |
24673.8 |
25438.9 |
25986.7 |
26340.4 |
26522.4 |
26555.8 |
26462.9 |
26266.6 |
25988.6 |
25651.4 |
25276.3 |
24884.1 |
24494.3 |
24125.5 |
23794.7 |
23517.2 |
23306.1 |
23173.0 |
23127.0 |
23174.6 |
23320.0 |
23565.3 |
23910.5 |
24352.4 |
24887.0 |
25507.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.786 |
5.484 |
9.847 |
14.184 |
18.243 |
21.906 |
25.104 |
27.809 |
30.020 |
31.755 |
33.042 |
33.919 |
34.426 |
34.606 |
34.502 |
34.158 |
33.614 |
32.911 |
32.087 |
31.179 |
30.221 |
29.243 |
28.274 |
27.339 |
26.461 |
25.657 |
24.943 |
24.331 |
23.828 |
23.440 |
23.168 |
23.009 |
22.961 |
23.017 |
23.166 |
23.400 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.210 |
12.779 |
10.215 |
7.726 |
5.399 |
3.306 |
1.484 |
-0.053 |
-1.305 |
-2.284 |
-3.006 |
-3.493 |
-3.769 |
-3.859 |
-3.788 |
-3.579 |
-3.258 |
-2.847 |
-2.367 |
-1.841 |
-1.288 |
-0.724 |
-0.167 |
0.369 |
0.872 |
1.331 |
1.738 |
2.086 |
2.371 |
2.589 |
2.741 |
2.827 |
2.850 |
2.814 |
2.723 |
2.586 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.159 |
-0.246 |
-0.185 |
-0.099 |
-0.028 |
0.027 |
0.070 |
0.101 |
0.121 |
0.132 |
0.136 |
0.134 |
0.127 |
0.118 |
0.106 |
0.093 |
0.079 |
0.064 |
0.050 |
0.036 |
0.023 |
0.011 |
0.000 |
-0.009 |
-0.018 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.034 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.129 |
0.158 |
0.048 |
-0.063 |
-0.143 |
-0.197 |
-0.229 |
-0.242 |
-0.242 |
-0.231 |
-0.212 |
-0.189 |
-0.163 |
-0.137 |
-0.112 |
-0.088 |
-0.066 |
-0.047 |
-0.030 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.030 |
-0.088 |
-0.137 |
-0.162 |
-0.171 |
-0.169 |
-0.158 |
-0.141 |
-0.121 |
-0.099 |
-0.076 |
-0.055 |
-0.036 |
-0.020 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.014 |
-0.049 |
-0.207 |
-0.403 |
-0.613 |
-0.824 |
-1.023 |
-1.204 |
-1.361 |
-1.492 |
-1.597 |
-1.675 |
-1.728 |
-1.759 |
-1.771 |
-1.765 |
-1.744 |
-1.712 |
-1.671 |
-1.622 |
-1.569 |
-1.512 |
-1.454 |
-1.395 |
-1.337 |
-1.281 |
-1.228 |
-1.177 |
-1.129 |
-1.084 |
-1.043 |
-1.005 |
-0.970 |
-0.938 |
-0.908 |
-0.880 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.130 |
0.332 |
0.471 |
0.532 |
0.531 |
0.482 |
0.397 |
0.289 |
0.169 |
0.044 |
-0.079 |
-0.194 |
-0.299 |
-0.390 |
-0.467 |
-0.529 |
-0.576 |
-0.608 |
-0.627 |
-0.633 |
-0.628 |
-0.614 |
-0.590 |
-0.561 |
-0.525 |
-0.486 |
-0.444 |
-0.401 |
-0.358 |
-0.316 |
-0.275 |
-0.237 |
-0.202 |
-0.172 |
-0.145 |
-0.122 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.071 |
-0.201 |
-0.325 |
-0.419 |
-0.484 |
-0.526 |
-0.547 |
-0.552 |
-0.543 |
-0.524 |
-0.497 |
-0.464 |
-0.427 |
-0.387 |
-0.345 |
-0.302 |
-0.259 |
-0.217 |
-0.177 |
-0.139 |
-0.103 |
-0.071 |
-0.042 |
-0.017 |
0.005 |
0.022 |
0.036 |
0.045 |
0.050 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.045 |
0.037 |
0.026 |
0.014 |
0.000 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.014 |
-0.036 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.039 |
-0.026 |
-0.010 |
0.006 |
0.021 |
0.036 |
0.049 |
0.060 |
0.070 |
0.078 |
0.085 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.096 |
0.095 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.087 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.076 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.079 |
-0.182 |
-0.264 |
-0.330 |
-0.380 |
-0.416 |
-0.438 |
-0.446 |
-0.444 |
-0.431 |
-0.411 |
-0.383 |
-0.351 |
-0.315 |
-0.277 |
-0.239 |
-0.201 |
-0.164 |
-0.131 |
-0.100 |
-0.073 |
-0.051 |
-0.033 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
-0.040 |
-0.054 |
-0.070 |
-0.087 |
-0.103 |
-0.120 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.240 |
-0.632 |
-0.929 |
-1.153 |
-1.313 |
-1.413 |
-1.460 |
-1.461 |
-1.424 |
-1.355 |
-1.262 |
-1.152 |
-1.030 |
-0.902 |
-0.772 |
-0.646 |
-0.526 |
-0.416 |
-0.317 |
-0.232 |
-0.162 |
-0.107 |
-0.068 |
-0.045 |
-0.036 |
-0.041 |
-0.058 |
-0.086 |
-0.124 |
-0.169 |
-0.220 |
-0.275 |
-0.331 |
-0.388 |
-0.443 |
-0.495 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.071 |
-0.173 |
-0.263 |
-0.339 |
-0.403 |
-0.453 |
-0.488 |
-0.510 |
-0.520 |
-0.519 |
-0.508 |
-0.490 |
-0.465 |
-0.434 |
-0.401 |
-0.364 |
-0.327 |
-0.290 |
-0.254 |
-0.220 |
-0.189 |
-0.161 |
-0.137 |
-0.117 |
-0.102 |
-0.091 |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.092 |
-0.101 |
-0.113 |
-0.127 |
-0.143 |
-0.160 |
-0.178 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.054 |
-0.128 |
-0.191 |
-0.243 |
-0.286 |
-0.319 |
-0.341 |
-0.354 |
-0.359 |
-0.355 |
-0.345 |
-0.329 |
-0.308 |
-0.285 |
-0.258 |
-0.231 |
-0.204 |
-0.177 |
-0.151 |
-0.128 |
-0.107 |
-0.088 |
-0.073 |
-0.062 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.058 |
-0.067 |
-0.077 |
-0.088 |
-0.100 |
-0.113 |
-0.126 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.130 |
-0.156 |
-0.075 |
-0.003 |
0.044 |
0.073 |
0.088 |
0.091 |
0.085 |
0.073 |
0.058 |
0.040 |
0.023 |
0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.022 |
-0.033 |
-0.041 |
-0.047 |
-0.051 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.086 |
-0.220 |
-0.310 |
-0.362 |
-0.385 |
-0.387 |
-0.373 |
-0.345 |
-0.309 |
-0.267 |
-0.222 |
-0.175 |
-0.129 |
-0.085 |
-0.045 |
-0.008 |
0.024 |
0.050 |
0.071 |
0.087 |
0.097 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.095 |
0.086 |
0.074 |
0.059 |
0.041 |
0.022 |
0.003 |
-0.017 |
-0.037 |
-0.056 |
-0.073 |
-0.088 |
-0.102 |
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