|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1013.2 |
1709.4 |
2209.3 |
2262.1 |
2097.9 |
1783.2 |
1364.0 |
879.5 |
360.7 |
-167.9 |
-687.3 |
-1183.0 |
-1644.1 |
-2063.0 |
-2434.4 |
-2754.4 |
-3021.9 |
-3236.9 |
-3400.2 |
-3513.5 |
-3579.0 |
-3599.8 |
-3579.2 |
-3520.8 |
-3428.5 |
-3306.6 |
-3159.3 |
-2990.6 |
-2805.3 |
-2607.2 |
-2400.8 |
-2190.2 |
-1979.3 |
-1771.7 |
-1571.1 |
-1380.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
6.9 |
12.7 |
17.8 |
22.3 |
26.1 |
29.4 |
32.1 |
34.3 |
36.1 |
37.5 |
38.6 |
39.3 |
39.6 |
39.6 |
39.4 |
38.8 |
37.9 |
36.7 |
35.3 |
33.6 |
31.7 |
29.5 |
27.2 |
24.8 |
22.2 |
19.5 |
16.7 |
14.0 |
11.2 |
8.4 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
0.4 |
-2.1 |
-4.5 |
Investment |
fI |
397.2 |
1009.6 |
1650.5 |
2191.2 |
2582.6 |
2846.5 |
3005.6 |
3084.8 |
3108.4 |
3098.2 |
3072.5 |
3045.3 |
3026.7 |
3023.5 |
3039.3 |
3075.5 |
3131.5 |
3205.3 |
3294.2 |
3394.8 |
3503.9 |
3618.0 |
3734.2 |
3849.5 |
3961.8 |
4069.0 |
4169.6 |
4262.6 |
4347.3 |
4423.2 |
4490.4 |
4549.0 |
4599.2 |
4641.8 |
4677.4 |
4706.8 |
Export |
fE |
506.0 |
1482.0 |
2726.1 |
4212.9 |
5905.4 |
7756.9 |
9724.4 |
11769.0 |
13857.0 |
15958.1 |
18045.5 |
20095.7 |
22087.1 |
24001.3 |
25821.9 |
27535.1 |
29129.2 |
30594.9 |
31924.9 |
33114.4 |
34160.7 |
35063.4 |
35824.1 |
36446.4 |
36935.9 |
37299.9 |
37547.0 |
37687.9 |
37733.9 |
37697.4 |
37590.9 |
37428.6 |
37223.9 |
36990.2 |
36741.4 |
36490.1 |
Import |
fM |
575.5 |
1102.1 |
1632.4 |
2035.0 |
2394.6 |
2733.4 |
3062.5 |
3394.2 |
3737.8 |
4100.1 |
4484.8 |
4893.3 |
5324.5 |
5775.5 |
6242.2 |
6719.7 |
7201.9 |
7682.8 |
8156.3 |
8616.9 |
9059.2 |
9478.8 |
9871.6 |
10234.6 |
10565.4 |
10862.4 |
11124.6 |
11352.1 |
11545.3 |
11705.6 |
11834.4 |
11933.9 |
12006.6 |
12055.5 |
12083.5 |
12094.0 |
GDP |
fY |
1358.2 |
3073.2 |
4836.2 |
6405.8 |
7848.3 |
9188.2 |
10443.8 |
11630.8 |
12763.1 |
13851.6 |
14903.4 |
15922.9 |
16910.8 |
17866.1 |
18785.3 |
19664.8 |
20499.2 |
21283.3 |
22011.9 |
22680.8 |
23286.3 |
23826.3 |
24299.5 |
24705.9 |
25046.9 |
25324.8 |
25543.2 |
25706.9 |
25821.2 |
25892.4 |
25926.4 |
25930.9 |
25912.6 |
25878.8 |
25836.6 |
25792.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.174 |
3.084 |
5.249 |
7.440 |
9.590 |
11.665 |
13.650 |
15.536 |
17.325 |
19.018 |
20.616 |
22.121 |
23.532 |
24.848 |
26.065 |
27.179 |
28.186 |
29.082 |
29.864 |
30.529 |
31.078 |
31.509 |
31.826 |
32.032 |
32.133 |
32.135 |
32.045 |
31.873 |
31.628 |
31.320 |
30.958 |
30.554 |
30.118 |
29.659 |
29.187 |
28.711 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.589 |
14.238 |
12.957 |
11.700 |
10.461 |
9.267 |
8.127 |
7.044 |
6.017 |
5.046 |
4.130 |
3.267 |
2.458 |
1.705 |
1.009 |
0.372 |
-0.203 |
-0.714 |
-1.159 |
-1.536 |
-1.847 |
-2.090 |
-2.267 |
-2.381 |
-2.434 |
-2.431 |
-2.375 |
-2.272 |
-2.128 |
-1.948 |
-1.737 |
-1.503 |
-1.250 |
-0.985 |
-0.713 |
-0.439 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.150 |
-0.128 |
-0.069 |
0.019 |
0.094 |
0.160 |
0.218 |
0.270 |
0.317 |
0.359 |
0.398 |
0.434 |
0.467 |
0.499 |
0.529 |
0.558 |
0.584 |
0.610 |
0.634 |
0.656 |
0.676 |
0.694 |
0.711 |
0.727 |
0.740 |
0.752 |
0.763 |
0.772 |
0.780 |
0.787 |
0.794 |
0.799 |
0.805 |
0.810 |
0.815 |
0.820 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.126 |
0.087 |
0.021 |
-0.056 |
-0.107 |
-0.141 |
-0.161 |
-0.169 |
-0.168 |
-0.160 |
-0.148 |
-0.134 |
-0.118 |
-0.102 |
-0.086 |
-0.071 |
-0.057 |
-0.044 |
-0.033 |
-0.023 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.000 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.041 |
-0.048 |
-0.036 |
-0.013 |
0.018 |
0.057 |
0.102 |
0.149 |
0.199 |
0.250 |
0.300 |
0.350 |
0.397 |
0.443 |
0.487 |
0.527 |
0.565 |
0.600 |
0.633 |
0.662 |
0.688 |
0.712 |
0.733 |
0.751 |
0.767 |
0.781 |
0.793 |
0.803 |
0.812 |
0.819 |
0.825 |
0.831 |
0.835 |
0.840 |
0.844 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.037 |
0.108 |
0.165 |
0.236 |
0.330 |
0.451 |
0.604 |
0.789 |
1.008 |
1.259 |
1.541 |
1.852 |
2.190 |
2.551 |
2.933 |
3.335 |
3.752 |
4.183 |
4.625 |
5.077 |
5.535 |
5.999 |
6.467 |
6.936 |
7.406 |
7.874 |
8.341 |
8.804 |
9.263 |
9.718 |
10.167 |
10.610 |
11.046 |
11.476 |
11.899 |
12.316 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.126 |
0.240 |
0.293 |
0.267 |
0.174 |
0.022 |
-0.178 |
-0.420 |
-0.697 |
-1.003 |
-1.335 |
-1.687 |
-2.058 |
-2.444 |
-2.842 |
-3.252 |
-3.671 |
-4.096 |
-4.527 |
-4.961 |
-5.396 |
-5.832 |
-6.267 |
-6.699 |
-7.128 |
-7.551 |
-7.969 |
-8.381 |
-8.785 |
-9.182 |
-9.571 |
-9.953 |
-10.326 |
-10.692 |
-11.051 |
-11.402 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.059 |
-0.138 |
-0.214 |
-0.277 |
-0.331 |
-0.377 |
-0.418 |
-0.457 |
-0.493 |
-0.528 |
-0.562 |
-0.596 |
-0.629 |
-0.660 |
-0.689 |
-0.716 |
-0.741 |
-0.762 |
-0.780 |
-0.794 |
-0.804 |
-0.811 |
-0.813 |
-0.812 |
-0.807 |
-0.799 |
-0.789 |
-0.776 |
-0.760 |
-0.743 |
-0.725 |
-0.706 |
-0.686 |
-0.666 |
-0.647 |
-0.627 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.044 |
-0.063 |
-0.074 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.079 |
-0.076 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.026 |
-0.020 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.033 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.082 |
-0.195 |
-0.299 |
-0.397 |
-0.490 |
-0.578 |
-0.658 |
-0.732 |
-0.800 |
-0.860 |
-0.913 |
-0.959 |
-0.998 |
-1.031 |
-1.056 |
-1.076 |
-1.089 |
-1.096 |
-1.098 |
-1.094 |
-1.087 |
-1.075 |
-1.060 |
-1.041 |
-1.021 |
-0.998 |
-0.974 |
-0.949 |
-0.924 |
-0.899 |
-0.874 |
-0.850 |
-0.828 |
-0.807 |
-0.787 |
-0.770 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.665 |
-1.024 |
-1.345 |
-1.634 |
-1.890 |
-2.116 |
-2.311 |
-2.478 |
-2.617 |
-2.731 |
-2.820 |
-2.886 |
-2.930 |
-2.954 |
-2.959 |
-2.946 |
-2.918 |
-2.876 |
-2.822 |
-2.757 |
-2.684 |
-2.604 |
-2.520 |
-2.432 |
-2.343 |
-2.254 |
-2.166 |
-2.081 |
-2.001 |
-1.925 |
-1.855 |
-1.791 |
-1.735 |
-1.686 |
-1.644 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.073 |
-0.182 |
-0.289 |
-0.393 |
-0.494 |
-0.591 |
-0.684 |
-0.771 |
-0.851 |
-0.926 |
-0.993 |
-1.054 |
-1.108 |
-1.154 |
-1.193 |
-1.225 |
-1.249 |
-1.267 |
-1.277 |
-1.282 |
-1.280 |
-1.273 |
-1.261 |
-1.245 |
-1.225 |
-1.202 |
-1.176 |
-1.149 |
-1.120 |
-1.091 |
-1.061 |
-1.032 |
-1.003 |
-0.976 |
-0.950 |
-0.926 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.055 |
-0.135 |
-0.210 |
-0.282 |
-0.352 |
-0.418 |
-0.479 |
-0.536 |
-0.588 |
-0.635 |
-0.676 |
-0.711 |
-0.741 |
-0.765 |
-0.784 |
-0.798 |
-0.806 |
-0.810 |
-0.810 |
-0.805 |
-0.797 |
-0.785 |
-0.771 |
-0.755 |
-0.736 |
-0.716 |
-0.696 |
-0.674 |
-0.653 |
-0.632 |
-0.611 |
-0.591 |
-0.572 |
-0.554 |
-0.538 |
-0.524 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.124 |
-0.085 |
-0.034 |
0.018 |
0.049 |
0.065 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.055 |
0.039 |
0.019 |
-0.003 |
-0.026 |
-0.050 |
-0.073 |
-0.096 |
-0.117 |
-0.137 |
-0.156 |
-0.172 |
-0.187 |
-0.200 |
-0.211 |
-0.220 |
-0.227 |
-0.233 |
-0.237 |
-0.239 |
-0.240 |
-0.240 |
-0.238 |
-0.235 |
-0.232 |
-0.227 |
-0.222 |
-0.217 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.091 |
-0.231 |
-0.339 |
-0.425 |
-0.495 |
-0.549 |
-0.592 |
-0.624 |
-0.646 |
-0.659 |
-0.665 |
-0.664 |
-0.657 |
-0.644 |
-0.626 |
-0.604 |
-0.578 |
-0.550 |
-0.519 |
-0.486 |
-0.453 |
-0.419 |
-0.385 |
-0.352 |
-0.320 |
-0.290 |
-0.262 |
-0.236 |
-0.213 |
-0.192 |
-0.174 |
-0.159 |
-0.147 |
-0.138 |
-0.131 |
-0.127 |
|
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