|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1013.2 |
1705.3 |
2184.6 |
2194.1 |
1963.5 |
1561.7 |
1037.7 |
433.3 |
-217.8 |
-889.3 |
-1561.1 |
-2217.8 |
-2847.8 |
-3443.1 |
-3997.9 |
-4507.8 |
-4971.5 |
-5388.0 |
-5757.4 |
-6080.5 |
-6358.3 |
-6592.5 |
-6785.1 |
-6938.2 |
-7054.2 |
-7135.8 |
-7185.7 |
-7206.8 |
-7202.2 |
-7174.7 |
-7127.7 |
-7064.4 |
-6988.0 |
-6901.4 |
-6808.0 |
-6710.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
6.9 |
12.7 |
17.9 |
22.4 |
26.4 |
29.8 |
32.8 |
35.5 |
37.8 |
39.8 |
41.5 |
43.0 |
44.2 |
45.3 |
46.0 |
46.5 |
46.8 |
46.8 |
46.6 |
46.1 |
45.4 |
44.5 |
43.4 |
42.0 |
40.5 |
38.8 |
37.0 |
35.1 |
33.0 |
30.9 |
28.7 |
26.5 |
24.3 |
22.0 |
19.7 |
Investment |
fI |
397.2 |
992.0 |
1585.2 |
2050.8 |
2346.6 |
2500.5 |
2540.3 |
2495.0 |
2392.9 |
2259.2 |
2114.8 |
1975.7 |
1853.5 |
1755.8 |
1686.8 |
1648.0 |
1638.9 |
1657.5 |
1700.7 |
1764.9 |
1846.6 |
1942.3 |
2048.4 |
2162.0 |
2280.3 |
2401.2 |
2522.4 |
2642.7 |
2760.5 |
2875.0 |
2985.3 |
3091.0 |
3191.3 |
3286.3 |
3375.6 |
3459.4 |
Export |
fE |
506.0 |
1420.0 |
2523.4 |
3799.1 |
5228.8 |
6782.0 |
8429.7 |
10145.5 |
11906.4 |
13691.6 |
15481.9 |
17260.6 |
19011.6 |
20720.8 |
22375.1 |
23963.4 |
25475.6 |
26903.5 |
28239.8 |
29479.5 |
30618.8 |
31655.4 |
32588.8 |
33419.7 |
34150.3 |
34783.8 |
35324.9 |
35779.0 |
36153.2 |
36454.3 |
36689.9 |
36868.6 |
36998.9 |
37089.1 |
37148.5 |
37185.2 |
Import |
fM |
575.5 |
1062.8 |
1494.2 |
1741.6 |
1901.9 |
2008.2 |
2080.5 |
2138.8 |
2199.3 |
2274.4 |
2372.4 |
2498.4 |
2654.5 |
2840.2 |
3053.4 |
3290.9 |
3548.2 |
3820.5 |
4102.8 |
4390.4 |
4678.9 |
4964.2 |
5242.9 |
5512.0 |
5768.9 |
6011.8 |
6239.3 |
6450.3 |
6644.2 |
6820.9 |
6980.5 |
7123.4 |
7250.0 |
7361.4 |
7458.4 |
7542.3 |
GDP |
fY |
1358.2 |
3029.8 |
4684.7 |
6082.6 |
7302.3 |
8382.1 |
9353.0 |
10242.3 |
11074.3 |
11868.3 |
12638.9 |
13395.9 |
14144.6 |
14886.9 |
15621.8 |
16347.2 |
17058.2 |
17750.1 |
18417.1 |
19054.7 |
19658.1 |
20224.0 |
20749.6 |
21233.2 |
21673.9 |
22072.1 |
22428.6 |
22745.3 |
23025.0 |
23270.6 |
23485.2 |
23673.0 |
23837.8 |
23983.6 |
24114.9 |
24235.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.174 |
3.049 |
5.120 |
7.152 |
9.087 |
10.905 |
12.602 |
14.185 |
15.668 |
17.065 |
18.387 |
19.644 |
20.842 |
21.983 |
23.066 |
24.090 |
25.050 |
25.942 |
26.760 |
27.501 |
28.160 |
28.737 |
29.228 |
29.635 |
29.959 |
30.203 |
30.369 |
30.464 |
30.492 |
30.459 |
30.371 |
30.236 |
30.059 |
29.848 |
29.609 |
29.349 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.589 |
14.260 |
13.036 |
11.873 |
10.760 |
9.716 |
8.743 |
7.835 |
6.984 |
6.183 |
5.424 |
4.703 |
4.015 |
3.361 |
2.740 |
2.153 |
1.603 |
1.093 |
0.626 |
0.203 |
-0.173 |
-0.501 |
-0.780 |
-1.011 |
-1.193 |
-1.330 |
-1.422 |
-1.473 |
-1.486 |
-1.465 |
-1.412 |
-1.332 |
-1.228 |
-1.105 |
-0.966 |
-0.816 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.150 |
-0.129 |
-0.072 |
0.013 |
0.082 |
0.142 |
0.194 |
0.238 |
0.277 |
0.313 |
0.345 |
0.375 |
0.404 |
0.432 |
0.460 |
0.487 |
0.513 |
0.538 |
0.563 |
0.587 |
0.610 |
0.632 |
0.652 |
0.672 |
0.690 |
0.707 |
0.723 |
0.738 |
0.752 |
0.764 |
0.776 |
0.788 |
0.798 |
0.808 |
0.818 |
0.828 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.126 |
0.087 |
0.021 |
-0.054 |
-0.104 |
-0.135 |
-0.152 |
-0.156 |
-0.152 |
-0.141 |
-0.127 |
-0.110 |
-0.093 |
-0.076 |
-0.061 |
-0.046 |
-0.033 |
-0.021 |
-0.011 |
-0.003 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.024 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.042 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.022 |
0.007 |
0.042 |
0.082 |
0.126 |
0.172 |
0.218 |
0.265 |
0.311 |
0.356 |
0.399 |
0.441 |
0.480 |
0.517 |
0.552 |
0.584 |
0.615 |
0.643 |
0.668 |
0.692 |
0.714 |
0.733 |
0.751 |
0.768 |
0.782 |
0.796 |
0.808 |
0.819 |
0.829 |
0.838 |
0.846 |
0.854 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.037 |
0.110 |
0.170 |
0.247 |
0.348 |
0.478 |
0.639 |
0.832 |
1.057 |
1.313 |
1.598 |
1.910 |
2.246 |
2.604 |
2.981 |
3.374 |
3.783 |
4.203 |
4.634 |
5.074 |
5.520 |
5.972 |
6.427 |
6.885 |
7.344 |
7.804 |
8.262 |
8.719 |
9.174 |
9.625 |
10.073 |
10.517 |
10.956 |
11.390 |
11.820 |
12.245 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.126 |
0.241 |
0.298 |
0.279 |
0.197 |
0.064 |
-0.114 |
-0.327 |
-0.570 |
-0.837 |
-1.126 |
-1.433 |
-1.756 |
-2.093 |
-2.443 |
-2.804 |
-3.176 |
-3.557 |
-3.946 |
-4.342 |
-4.743 |
-5.149 |
-5.559 |
-5.970 |
-6.383 |
-6.796 |
-7.208 |
-7.618 |
-8.025 |
-8.430 |
-8.830 |
-9.227 |
-9.620 |
-10.008 |
-10.392 |
-10.771 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.059 |
-0.136 |
-0.206 |
-0.261 |
-0.305 |
-0.341 |
-0.373 |
-0.403 |
-0.432 |
-0.462 |
-0.493 |
-0.525 |
-0.558 |
-0.592 |
-0.626 |
-0.659 |
-0.692 |
-0.722 |
-0.750 |
-0.776 |
-0.799 |
-0.818 |
-0.834 |
-0.847 |
-0.857 |
-0.863 |
-0.867 |
-0.868 |
-0.866 |
-0.862 |
-0.856 |
-0.848 |
-0.839 |
-0.829 |
-0.817 |
-0.806 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.043 |
-0.059 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.063 |
-0.059 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.045 |
-0.040 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.026 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.005 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.012 |
0.018 |
0.024 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.045 |
0.050 |
0.054 |
0.058 |
0.061 |
0.064 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.082 |
-0.196 |
-0.300 |
-0.398 |
-0.493 |
-0.582 |
-0.666 |
-0.744 |
-0.817 |
-0.884 |
-0.946 |
-1.002 |
-1.052 |
-1.097 |
-1.136 |
-1.169 |
-1.197 |
-1.219 |
-1.237 |
-1.250 |
-1.258 |
-1.262 |
-1.262 |
-1.258 |
-1.251 |
-1.242 |
-1.231 |
-1.217 |
-1.202 |
-1.186 |
-1.169 |
-1.151 |
-1.133 |
-1.116 |
-1.098 |
-1.082 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.246 |
-0.666 |
-1.026 |
-1.350 |
-1.646 |
-1.913 |
-2.154 |
-2.369 |
-2.560 |
-2.729 |
-2.877 |
-3.004 |
-3.112 |
-3.201 |
-3.273 |
-3.327 |
-3.365 |
-3.388 |
-3.397 |
-3.393 |
-3.378 |
-3.352 |
-3.317 |
-3.275 |
-3.226 |
-3.172 |
-3.114 |
-3.053 |
-2.991 |
-2.929 |
-2.867 |
-2.807 |
-2.748 |
-2.692 |
-2.640 |
-2.591 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.073 |
-0.182 |
-0.289 |
-0.394 |
-0.498 |
-0.598 |
-0.694 |
-0.787 |
-0.875 |
-0.959 |
-1.037 |
-1.111 |
-1.179 |
-1.241 |
-1.297 |
-1.347 |
-1.391 |
-1.428 |
-1.460 |
-1.485 |
-1.505 |
-1.519 |
-1.528 |
-1.532 |
-1.532 |
-1.527 |
-1.520 |
-1.508 |
-1.495 |
-1.479 |
-1.461 |
-1.442 |
-1.422 |
-1.402 |
-1.381 |
-1.361 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.055 |
-0.135 |
-0.210 |
-0.283 |
-0.354 |
-0.422 |
-0.487 |
-0.548 |
-0.605 |
-0.658 |
-0.706 |
-0.750 |
-0.790 |
-0.825 |
-0.855 |
-0.881 |
-0.902 |
-0.919 |
-0.932 |
-0.941 |
-0.946 |
-0.948 |
-0.947 |
-0.943 |
-0.936 |
-0.927 |
-0.917 |
-0.905 |
-0.891 |
-0.877 |
-0.862 |
-0.847 |
-0.832 |
-0.817 |
-0.803 |
-0.789 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.124 |
-0.084 |
-0.032 |
0.022 |
0.054 |
0.071 |
0.077 |
0.073 |
0.062 |
0.046 |
0.026 |
0.004 |
-0.019 |
-0.042 |
-0.066 |
-0.088 |
-0.110 |
-0.130 |
-0.149 |
-0.167 |
-0.183 |
-0.197 |
-0.210 |
-0.221 |
-0.231 |
-0.239 |
-0.246 |
-0.251 |
-0.255 |
-0.258 |
-0.260 |
-0.260 |
-0.260 |
-0.259 |
-0.257 |
-0.254 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.091 |
-0.230 |
-0.338 |
-0.423 |
-0.492 |
-0.549 |
-0.594 |
-0.630 |
-0.659 |
-0.680 |
-0.695 |
-0.704 |
-0.708 |
-0.706 |
-0.700 |
-0.690 |
-0.677 |
-0.660 |
-0.640 |
-0.618 |
-0.594 |
-0.569 |
-0.543 |
-0.516 |
-0.490 |
-0.464 |
-0.439 |
-0.415 |
-0.392 |
-0.370 |
-0.350 |
-0.332 |
-0.316 |
-0.302 |
-0.290 |
-0.279 |
|
|
|
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