|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-909.2 |
-1332.3 |
-1521.9 |
-1704.7 |
-1864.1 |
-2003.8 |
-2127.0 |
-2238.2 |
-2342.4 |
-2443.6 |
-2545.3 |
-2649.4 |
-2757.1 |
-2869.1 |
-2984.9 |
-3103.8 |
-3224.9 |
-3347.0 |
-3468.9 |
-3589.5 |
-3707.7 |
-3822.5 |
-3933.2 |
-4039.2 |
-4140.0 |
-4235.5 |
-4325.5 |
-4410.2 |
-4489.6 |
-4564.0 |
-4633.8 |
-4699.4 |
-4761.3 |
-4820.1 |
-4876.2 |
-4930.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
11.3 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
11.8 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
11.9 |
11.8 |
11.7 |
11.6 |
11.5 |
11.3 |
11.1 |
10.9 |
10.6 |
10.4 |
10.1 |
Investment |
fI |
-162.5 |
-597.3 |
-867.7 |
-1049.7 |
-1201.1 |
-1306.2 |
-1365.2 |
-1385.8 |
-1377.2 |
-1348.4 |
-1307.0 |
-1259.3 |
-1210.2 |
-1163.1 |
-1120.1 |
-1082.6 |
-1051.1 |
-1025.5 |
-1005.5 |
-990.4 |
-979.5 |
-972.0 |
-967.2 |
-964.3 |
-962.9 |
-962.5 |
-962.8 |
-963.5 |
-964.6 |
-966.0 |
-967.7 |
-969.7 |
-972.2 |
-975.3 |
-979.1 |
-983.6 |
Export |
fE |
-593.1 |
-966.9 |
-1220.2 |
-1411.4 |
-1543.7 |
-1619.4 |
-1641.4 |
-1615.1 |
-1544.7 |
-1435.6 |
-1293.7 |
-1124.1 |
-933.1 |
-726.0 |
-508.0 |
-283.6 |
-57.7 |
166.4 |
384.7 |
594.7 |
793.6 |
979.7 |
1151.2 |
1306.8 |
1446.0 |
1568.0 |
1672.6 |
1760.0 |
1830.7 |
1885.3 |
1924.1 |
1948.4 |
1959.2 |
1957.5 |
1944.7 |
1921.9 |
Import |
fM |
-586.6 |
-1050.2 |
-1340.3 |
-1552.6 |
-1738.1 |
-1885.4 |
-1993.4 |
-2067.5 |
-2114.5 |
-2140.7 |
-2151.7 |
-2152.1 |
-2145.4 |
-2134.4 |
-2121.0 |
-2106.4 |
-2091.8 |
-2077.8 |
-2064.6 |
-2052.7 |
-2042.1 |
-2032.9 |
-2025.3 |
-2019.5 |
-2015.5 |
-2013.4 |
-2013.6 |
-2016.2 |
-2021.4 |
-2029.1 |
-2039.7 |
-2053.3 |
-2069.9 |
-2089.7 |
-2112.6 |
-2138.7 |
GDP |
fY |
-1093.4 |
-1907.5 |
-2394.2 |
-2775.8 |
-3063.9 |
-3262.7 |
-3381.8 |
-3434.1 |
-3432.1 |
-3388.4 |
-3314.2 |
-3219.1 |
-3111.6 |
-2998.2 |
-2884.1 |
-2773.0 |
-2668.2 |
-2571.3 |
-2484.2 |
-2407.3 |
-2341.3 |
-2286.1 |
-2241.9 |
-2208.3 |
-2185.0 |
-2171.9 |
-2168.7 |
-2174.5 |
-2189.2 |
-2212.0 |
-2242.9 |
-2281.1 |
-2326.1 |
-2377.6 |
-2434.8 |
-2497.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-0.591 |
-1.235 |
-1.745 |
-2.167 |
-2.493 |
-2.715 |
-2.835 |
-2.863 |
-2.812 |
-2.696 |
-2.530 |
-2.328 |
-2.102 |
-1.863 |
-1.618 |
-1.374 |
-1.138 |
-0.913 |
-0.701 |
-0.505 |
-0.326 |
-0.165 |
-0.021 |
0.106 |
0.215 |
0.308 |
0.386 |
0.449 |
0.498 |
0.533 |
0.557 |
0.571 |
0.574 |
0.568 |
0.554 |
0.534 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.366 |
0.739 |
1.027 |
1.266 |
1.449 |
1.572 |
1.636 |
1.648 |
1.615 |
1.546 |
1.449 |
1.331 |
1.200 |
1.061 |
0.920 |
0.780 |
0.644 |
0.515 |
0.394 |
0.282 |
0.180 |
0.088 |
0.006 |
-0.066 |
-0.129 |
-0.182 |
-0.225 |
-0.261 |
-0.288 |
-0.309 |
-0.322 |
-0.329 |
-0.330 |
-0.327 |
-0.318 |
-0.306 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.009 |
-0.017 |
-0.033 |
-0.046 |
-0.055 |
-0.061 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.059 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.042 |
-0.035 |
-0.028 |
-0.021 |
-0.015 |
-0.009 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.007 |
0.008 |
0.023 |
0.034 |
0.042 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.016 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.048 |
-0.054 |
-0.040 |
-0.024 |
-0.006 |
0.011 |
0.026 |
0.039 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.064 |
0.070 |
0.074 |
0.078 |
0.083 |
0.089 |
0.096 |
0.105 |
0.116 |
0.128 |
0.142 |
0.158 |
0.175 |
0.194 |
0.215 |
0.236 |
0.259 |
0.282 |
0.306 |
0.330 |
0.354 |
0.379 |
0.403 |
0.427 |
0.451 |
0.474 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.003 |
0.012 |
0.044 |
0.087 |
0.137 |
0.189 |
0.240 |
0.289 |
0.333 |
0.372 |
0.403 |
0.427 |
0.444 |
0.454 |
0.457 |
0.454 |
0.446 |
0.434 |
0.417 |
0.396 |
0.373 |
0.347 |
0.320 |
0.291 |
0.260 |
0.229 |
0.197 |
0.165 |
0.133 |
0.101 |
0.070 |
0.038 |
0.007 |
-0.023 |
-0.053 |
-0.082 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.050 |
0.080 |
0.093 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.088 |
0.078 |
0.064 |
0.048 |
0.032 |
0.015 |
-0.001 |
-0.016 |
-0.031 |
-0.044 |
-0.057 |
-0.068 |
-0.078 |
-0.087 |
-0.095 |
-0.102 |
-0.108 |
-0.113 |
-0.118 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.128 |
-0.130 |
-0.131 |
-0.132 |
-0.133 |
-0.133 |
-0.133 |
-0.132 |
-0.131 |
-0.130 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.031 |
0.045 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
User cost |
uim |
0.049 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.055 |
0.047 |
0.038 |
0.027 |
0.016 |
0.003 |
-0.009 |
-0.021 |
-0.033 |
-0.044 |
-0.054 |
-0.064 |
-0.073 |
-0.080 |
-0.087 |
-0.093 |
-0.098 |
-0.102 |
-0.105 |
-0.107 |
-0.108 |
-0.109 |
-0.109 |
-0.109 |
-0.108 |
-0.106 |
-0.105 |
-0.103 |
-0.100 |
-0.098 |
-0.096 |
-0.093 |
Wage |
lna |
0.020 |
0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.042 |
-0.079 |
-0.121 |
-0.166 |
-0.212 |
-0.259 |
-0.304 |
-0.347 |
-0.388 |
-0.425 |
-0.458 |
-0.488 |
-0.513 |
-0.535 |
-0.553 |
-0.568 |
-0.579 |
-0.587 |
-0.592 |
-0.594 |
-0.594 |
-0.593 |
-0.589 |
-0.584 |
-0.578 |
-0.571 |
-0.563 |
-0.554 |
-0.545 |
-0.536 |
-0.526 |
-0.517 |
-0.508 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.156 |
0.202 |
0.208 |
0.208 |
0.205 |
0.198 |
0.188 |
0.177 |
0.163 |
0.149 |
0.134 |
0.119 |
0.105 |
0.090 |
0.077 |
0.064 |
0.053 |
0.042 |
0.032 |
0.024 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.058 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.054 |
-0.058 |
-0.064 |
-0.072 |
-0.081 |
-0.091 |
-0.100 |
-0.111 |
-0.121 |
-0.130 |
-0.139 |
-0.148 |
-0.156 |
-0.163 |
-0.169 |
-0.175 |
-0.179 |
-0.183 |
-0.186 |
-0.189 |
-0.191 |
-0.192 |
-0.192 |
-0.192 |
-0.192 |
-0.191 |
-0.190 |
-0.188 |
-0.187 |
-0.185 |
-0.183 |
-0.180 |
-0.178 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.026 |
-0.041 |
-0.052 |
-0.067 |
-0.084 |
-0.101 |
-0.117 |
-0.133 |
-0.148 |
-0.161 |
-0.172 |
-0.181 |
-0.189 |
-0.194 |
-0.199 |
-0.202 |
-0.203 |
-0.203 |
-0.203 |
-0.202 |
-0.199 |
-0.197 |
-0.194 |
-0.190 |
-0.186 |
-0.182 |
-0.178 |
-0.174 |
-0.170 |
-0.166 |
-0.162 |
-0.159 |
-0.155 |
-0.152 |
-0.149 |
-0.147 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|