|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-771.8 |
-706.5 |
-995.8 |
-1239.7 |
-1347.8 |
-1379.0 |
-1348.7 |
-1273.0 |
-1163.6 |
-1029.6 |
-877.8 |
-714.0 |
-542.7 |
-368.0 |
-193.4 |
-21.9 |
144.3 |
303.2 |
453.1 |
592.8 |
721.2 |
837.6 |
941.5 |
1032.6 |
1110.7 |
1175.9 |
1228.5 |
1268.9 |
1297.6 |
1315.5 |
1323.1 |
1321.3 |
1311.2 |
1293.5 |
1269.4 |
1239.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
-0.9 |
-2.3 |
-3.9 |
-5.4 |
-6.9 |
-8.4 |
-9.9 |
-11.3 |
-12.6 |
-13.9 |
-15.1 |
-16.2 |
-17.3 |
-18.3 |
-19.3 |
-20.1 |
-20.9 |
-21.6 |
-22.3 |
-22.9 |
-23.4 |
-23.8 |
-24.2 |
-24.5 |
-24.7 |
-24.9 |
-25.0 |
-25.1 |
-25.2 |
-25.2 |
-25.1 |
-25.1 |
-25.0 |
-24.9 |
-24.8 |
Investment |
fI |
968.2 |
1171.5 |
834.4 |
592.9 |
434.1 |
319.0 |
234.3 |
176.5 |
142.1 |
127.0 |
127.1 |
138.2 |
156.8 |
179.8 |
204.5 |
228.9 |
251.2 |
270.7 |
286.4 |
298.0 |
305.3 |
308.4 |
307.5 |
302.9 |
294.8 |
283.8 |
270.2 |
254.7 |
237.5 |
219.2 |
200.2 |
181.0 |
162.0 |
143.3 |
125.5 |
108.7 |
Export |
fE |
3465.1 |
4201.1 |
4738.1 |
5076.2 |
5254.8 |
5298.4 |
5229.5 |
5067.3 |
4829.2 |
4530.6 |
4184.6 |
3803.8 |
3398.1 |
2977.2 |
2549.4 |
2122.2 |
1701.7 |
1294.2 |
904.0 |
535.6 |
192.2 |
-123.3 |
-408.7 |
-662.4 |
-883.6 |
-1071.5 |
-1226.5 |
-1348.7 |
-1438.9 |
-1498.1 |
-1528.3 |
-1530.8 |
-1507.5 |
-1461.0 |
-1393.1 |
-1306.7 |
Import |
fM |
257.3 |
569.5 |
415.6 |
370.2 |
411.8 |
466.3 |
520.5 |
569.7 |
611.0 |
642.9 |
664.6 |
675.5 |
676.0 |
666.3 |
646.9 |
618.5 |
582.2 |
539.0 |
490.1 |
436.5 |
379.6 |
320.3 |
259.8 |
199.0 |
138.9 |
80.2 |
23.8 |
-29.8 |
-80.0 |
-126.1 |
-168.0 |
-205.2 |
-237.6 |
-265.1 |
-287.6 |
-305.1 |
GDP |
fY |
3232.6 |
3689.7 |
3555.7 |
3337.2 |
3131.5 |
2923.8 |
2713.0 |
2498.6 |
2281.9 |
2064.4 |
1847.2 |
1631.9 |
1419.3 |
1210.6 |
1006.9 |
809.3 |
618.8 |
436.9 |
264.5 |
102.9 |
-47.1 |
-184.6 |
-308.9 |
-419.6 |
-516.2 |
-598.7 |
-667.2 |
-721.7 |
-762.4 |
-789.6 |
-804.4 |
-807.1 |
-798.5 |
-779.7 |
-751.3 |
-714.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
3.332 |
4.435 |
4.866 |
5.034 |
5.053 |
4.959 |
4.782 |
4.543 |
4.259 |
3.943 |
3.606 |
3.255 |
2.897 |
2.537 |
2.181 |
1.832 |
1.494 |
1.169 |
0.862 |
0.573 |
0.305 |
0.059 |
-0.163 |
-0.362 |
-0.536 |
-0.685 |
-0.811 |
-0.913 |
-0.993 |
-1.051 |
-1.089 |
-1.108 |
-1.110 |
-1.096 |
-1.068 |
-1.029 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.063 |
-2.601 |
-2.818 |
-2.903 |
-2.908 |
-2.849 |
-2.743 |
-2.603 |
-2.438 |
-2.255 |
-2.060 |
-1.857 |
-1.651 |
-1.444 |
-1.239 |
-1.039 |
-0.845 |
-0.659 |
-0.482 |
-0.317 |
-0.164 |
-0.023 |
0.104 |
0.217 |
0.316 |
0.401 |
0.472 |
0.530 |
0.575 |
0.607 |
0.628 |
0.638 |
0.639 |
0.630 |
0.614 |
0.590 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.051 |
0.114 |
0.113 |
0.105 |
0.099 |
0.091 |
0.084 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.063 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.035 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.021 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.080 |
-0.116 |
-0.081 |
-0.046 |
-0.022 |
-0.003 |
0.011 |
0.022 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.022 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.030 |
-0.002 |
0.032 |
0.059 |
0.077 |
0.088 |
0.095 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
0.097 |
0.092 |
0.087 |
0.080 |
0.072 |
0.064 |
0.056 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.031 |
0.024 |
0.017 |
0.010 |
0.004 |
-0.001 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.284 |
-0.413 |
-0.451 |
-0.448 |
-0.423 |
-0.383 |
-0.333 |
-0.278 |
-0.222 |
-0.167 |
-0.114 |
-0.065 |
-0.021 |
0.017 |
0.050 |
0.077 |
0.098 |
0.114 |
0.125 |
0.131 |
0.133 |
0.131 |
0.126 |
0.118 |
0.108 |
0.095 |
0.081 |
0.066 |
0.050 |
0.034 |
0.018 |
0.002 |
-0.014 |
-0.028 |
-0.042 |
-0.055 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.125 |
-0.244 |
-0.349 |
-0.442 |
-0.525 |
-0.597 |
-0.659 |
-0.711 |
-0.755 |
-0.790 |
-0.817 |
-0.837 |
-0.851 |
-0.860 |
-0.863 |
-0.861 |
-0.855 |
-0.845 |
-0.832 |
-0.816 |
-0.798 |
-0.777 |
-0.755 |
-0.731 |
-0.707 |
-0.681 |
-0.655 |
-0.630 |
-0.604 |
-0.579 |
-0.555 |
-0.531 |
-0.509 |
-0.487 |
-0.467 |
-0.449 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.197 |
-0.209 |
-0.197 |
-0.184 |
-0.172 |
-0.161 |
-0.149 |
-0.137 |
-0.126 |
-0.114 |
-0.102 |
-0.089 |
-0.077 |
-0.065 |
-0.053 |
-0.040 |
-0.028 |
-0.017 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.014 |
0.023 |
0.032 |
0.039 |
0.045 |
0.051 |
0.055 |
0.059 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.086 |
-0.070 |
-0.052 |
-0.038 |
-0.028 |
-0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.006 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
User cost |
uim |
0.501 |
0.541 |
0.579 |
0.615 |
0.651 |
0.685 |
0.717 |
0.749 |
0.778 |
0.806 |
0.833 |
0.858 |
0.881 |
0.902 |
0.921 |
0.938 |
0.954 |
0.968 |
0.979 |
0.989 |
0.998 |
1.004 |
1.009 |
1.013 |
1.015 |
1.016 |
1.016 |
1.015 |
1.013 |
1.010 |
1.007 |
1.003 |
0.998 |
0.994 |
0.989 |
0.984 |
Wage |
lna |
0.087 |
0.164 |
0.248 |
0.337 |
0.427 |
0.515 |
0.601 |
0.683 |
0.761 |
0.834 |
0.901 |
0.963 |
1.018 |
1.068 |
1.111 |
1.148 |
1.180 |
1.206 |
1.226 |
1.241 |
1.251 |
1.257 |
1.259 |
1.256 |
1.251 |
1.243 |
1.232 |
1.218 |
1.204 |
1.188 |
1.170 |
1.153 |
1.134 |
1.116 |
1.098 |
1.081 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.344 |
0.401 |
0.443 |
0.486 |
0.528 |
0.569 |
0.610 |
0.650 |
0.688 |
0.725 |
0.761 |
0.795 |
0.827 |
0.857 |
0.885 |
0.911 |
0.935 |
0.957 |
0.976 |
0.993 |
1.008 |
1.021 |
1.032 |
1.041 |
1.047 |
1.053 |
1.056 |
1.058 |
1.058 |
1.058 |
1.056 |
1.053 |
1.050 |
1.045 |
1.041 |
1.036 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.400 |
-0.360 |
-0.327 |
-0.295 |
-0.265 |
-0.237 |
-0.209 |
-0.183 |
-0.158 |
-0.134 |
-0.112 |
-0.092 |
-0.073 |
-0.056 |
-0.040 |
-0.026 |
-0.013 |
-0.002 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.031 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.019 |
0.015 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.004 |
0.030 |
0.004 |
-0.025 |
-0.044 |
-0.058 |
-0.067 |
-0.073 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.068 |
-0.063 |
-0.057 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.037 |
-0.030 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.011 |
-0.005 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.071 |
-0.052 |
-0.029 |
-0.007 |
0.012 |
0.031 |
0.047 |
0.062 |
0.076 |
0.087 |
0.097 |
0.105 |
0.111 |
0.115 |
0.118 |
0.119 |
0.118 |
0.116 |
0.113 |
0.109 |
0.104 |
0.098 |
0.091 |
0.084 |
0.076 |
0.069 |
0.061 |
0.053 |
0.045 |
0.038 |
0.030 |
0.023 |
0.017 |
0.011 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|