|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
645.9 |
1182.0 |
1560.8 |
1853.4 |
2065.4 |
2222.5 |
2342.0 |
2437.0 |
2517.3 |
2590.3 |
2660.7 |
2731.8 |
2805.1 |
2881.2 |
2959.9 |
3040.4 |
3122.0 |
3203.5 |
3284.2 |
3362.9 |
3439.0 |
3512.1 |
3581.6 |
3647.4 |
3709.4 |
3767.8 |
3822.6 |
3874.1 |
3922.9 |
3969.4 |
4014.1 |
4057.3 |
4099.7 |
4141.8 |
4183.9 |
4226.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.5 |
-0.9 |
-1.5 |
-2.1 |
-2.8 |
-3.5 |
-4.1 |
-4.8 |
-5.3 |
-5.8 |
-6.3 |
-6.7 |
-7.0 |
-7.2 |
-7.4 |
-7.5 |
-7.6 |
-7.6 |
-7.6 |
-7.5 |
-7.4 |
-7.3 |
-7.2 |
-7.1 |
-7.0 |
-6.8 |
-6.6 |
-6.5 |
-6.3 |
-6.1 |
-6.0 |
-5.8 |
-5.7 |
Investment |
fI |
284.7 |
638.0 |
901.1 |
1094.0 |
1224.3 |
1294.4 |
1314.4 |
1295.9 |
1250.4 |
1188.2 |
1118.0 |
1046.1 |
977.4 |
915.0 |
860.6 |
814.8 |
777.6 |
748.3 |
726.2 |
710.0 |
698.7 |
691.3 |
686.9 |
684.7 |
684.1 |
684.7 |
686.1 |
688.1 |
690.6 |
693.5 |
696.9 |
700.9 |
705.4 |
710.6 |
716.6 |
723.3 |
Export |
fE |
91.9 |
112.5 |
104.9 |
70.3 |
8.7 |
-78.9 |
-190.8 |
-325.5 |
-479.2 |
-647.8 |
-827.4 |
-1013.3 |
-1202.1 |
-1389.9 |
-1573.5 |
-1749.9 |
-1917.2 |
-2072.9 |
-2216.3 |
-2346.1 |
-2461.6 |
-2562.7 |
-2649.4 |
-2722.0 |
-2781.0 |
-2827.0 |
-2861.4 |
-2884.4 |
-2897.3 |
-2901.2 |
-2897.6 |
-2887.3 |
-2871.5 |
-2851.7 |
-2828.6 |
-2803.7 |
Import |
fM |
377.6 |
714.8 |
925.9 |
1077.0 |
1171.3 |
1219.0 |
1230.3 |
1214.6 |
1180.2 |
1134.2 |
1082.3 |
1028.5 |
975.8 |
926.2 |
880.8 |
840.1 |
804.2 |
773.0 |
746.2 |
723.4 |
704.3 |
688.6 |
675.9 |
666.0 |
658.7 |
653.9 |
651.4 |
651.2 |
653.4 |
657.8 |
664.5 |
673.3 |
684.3 |
697.3 |
712.3 |
729.1 |
GDP |
fY |
667.0 |
1235.5 |
1644.6 |
1939.1 |
2123.1 |
2214.6 |
2232.0 |
2192.0 |
2111.3 |
2003.9 |
1881.7 |
1754.6 |
1629.2 |
1510.9 |
1403.3 |
1308.5 |
1227.4 |
1160.6 |
1107.5 |
1067.7 |
1040.1 |
1023.9 |
1017.9 |
1021.1 |
1032.6 |
1051.4 |
1076.4 |
1107.4 |
1143.4 |
1184.1 |
1228.2 |
1275.8 |
1326.3 |
1378.9 |
1433.6 |
1489.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.372 |
0.878 |
1.312 |
1.653 |
1.882 |
2.002 |
2.023 |
1.961 |
1.834 |
1.660 |
1.456 |
1.236 |
1.011 |
0.790 |
0.581 |
0.386 |
0.211 |
0.055 |
-0.080 |
-0.195 |
-0.291 |
-0.369 |
-0.429 |
-0.475 |
-0.507 |
-0.526 |
-0.534 |
-0.533 |
-0.524 |
-0.508 |
-0.486 |
-0.458 |
-0.427 |
-0.393 |
-0.356 |
-0.318 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.230 |
-0.527 |
-0.774 |
-0.966 |
-1.093 |
-1.157 |
-1.165 |
-1.125 |
-1.050 |
-0.948 |
-0.829 |
-0.701 |
-0.572 |
-0.445 |
-0.325 |
-0.214 |
-0.114 |
-0.025 |
0.052 |
0.117 |
0.172 |
0.215 |
0.250 |
0.275 |
0.293 |
0.303 |
0.308 |
0.307 |
0.301 |
0.291 |
0.278 |
0.263 |
0.244 |
0.224 |
0.203 |
0.181 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.070 |
-0.058 |
-0.044 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.028 |
-0.032 |
-0.039 |
-0.047 |
-0.055 |
-0.064 |
-0.073 |
-0.082 |
-0.090 |
-0.097 |
-0.104 |
-0.110 |
-0.115 |
-0.120 |
-0.125 |
-0.129 |
-0.132 |
-0.136 |
-0.139 |
-0.141 |
-0.144 |
-0.147 |
-0.149 |
-0.151 |
-0.153 |
-0.156 |
-0.158 |
-0.160 |
-0.162 |
-0.164 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.056 |
0.025 |
0.000 |
-0.020 |
-0.033 |
-0.040 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.014 |
-0.033 |
-0.044 |
-0.054 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.086 |
-0.090 |
-0.094 |
-0.098 |
-0.102 |
-0.107 |
-0.111 |
-0.116 |
-0.120 |
-0.124 |
-0.128 |
-0.132 |
-0.136 |
-0.139 |
-0.142 |
-0.145 |
-0.148 |
-0.151 |
-0.153 |
-0.155 |
-0.157 |
-0.159 |
-0.161 |
-0.163 |
-0.165 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.047 |
-0.009 |
-0.082 |
-0.164 |
-0.251 |
-0.338 |
-0.424 |
-0.508 |
-0.589 |
-0.667 |
-0.743 |
-0.818 |
-0.891 |
-0.964 |
-1.036 |
-1.109 |
-1.182 |
-1.256 |
-1.331 |
-1.406 |
-1.482 |
-1.559 |
-1.636 |
-1.714 |
-1.792 |
-1.870 |
-1.948 |
-2.026 |
-2.104 |
-2.182 |
-2.259 |
-2.335 |
-2.412 |
-2.487 |
-2.562 |
-2.637 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.083 |
0.130 |
0.164 |
0.189 |
0.209 |
0.227 |
0.246 |
0.269 |
0.297 |
0.331 |
0.372 |
0.419 |
0.472 |
0.532 |
0.596 |
0.664 |
0.736 |
0.811 |
0.888 |
0.966 |
1.046 |
1.126 |
1.207 |
1.287 |
1.368 |
1.448 |
1.528 |
1.607 |
1.686 |
1.763 |
1.841 |
1.917 |
1.992 |
2.067 |
2.141 |
2.215 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.022 |
-0.041 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.042 |
-0.030 |
-0.015 |
0.002 |
0.020 |
0.037 |
0.054 |
0.069 |
0.082 |
0.094 |
0.104 |
0.113 |
0.120 |
0.126 |
0.131 |
0.135 |
0.138 |
0.140 |
0.142 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.142 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.139 |
0.138 |
0.136 |
0.134 |
0.133 |
0.131 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.013 |
-0.022 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.047 |
-0.042 |
-0.035 |
-0.027 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
0.001 |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.028 |
0.036 |
0.042 |
0.048 |
0.053 |
0.057 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
Wage |
lna |
0.000 |
0.010 |
0.029 |
0.053 |
0.082 |
0.114 |
0.148 |
0.181 |
0.212 |
0.242 |
0.268 |
0.291 |
0.310 |
0.325 |
0.338 |
0.346 |
0.352 |
0.355 |
0.355 |
0.354 |
0.350 |
0.345 |
0.339 |
0.332 |
0.324 |
0.316 |
0.307 |
0.299 |
0.290 |
0.281 |
0.273 |
0.265 |
0.258 |
0.251 |
0.244 |
0.238 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.132 |
-0.134 |
-0.133 |
-0.130 |
-0.124 |
-0.116 |
-0.107 |
-0.096 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.064 |
-0.054 |
-0.045 |
-0.037 |
-0.030 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.030 |
0.037 |
0.044 |
0.051 |
0.057 |
0.062 |
0.067 |
0.070 |
0.073 |
0.076 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.066 |
-0.038 |
-0.018 |
-0.004 |
0.006 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.001 |
0.009 |
0.021 |
0.033 |
0.044 |
0.054 |
0.063 |
0.070 |
0.075 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.053 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.043 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|