|
|
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
292.8 |
682.2 |
910.3 |
1115.3 |
1308.8 |
1496.6 |
1685.4 |
1877.5 |
2073.2 |
2272.2 |
2473.2 |
2674.5 |
2874.2 |
3070.3 |
3260.7 |
3443.5 |
3617.4 |
3781.1 |
3933.6 |
4074.3 |
4202.8 |
4318.8 |
4422.7 |
4514.7 |
4595.1 |
4664.8 |
4724.4 |
4774.9 |
4817.2 |
4852.6 |
4882.0 |
4906.5 |
4927.3 |
4945.4 |
4962.0 |
4978.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2700.2 |
2753.3 |
2805.7 |
2857.8 |
2909.7 |
2961.4 |
3013.1 |
3064.9 |
3116.8 |
3169.0 |
3221.5 |
3274.3 |
3327.6 |
3381.4 |
3435.7 |
3490.6 |
3546.1 |
3602.2 |
3659.0 |
3716.5 |
3774.7 |
3833.7 |
3893.4 |
3953.9 |
4015.3 |
4077.4 |
4140.4 |
4204.3 |
4269.1 |
4334.8 |
4401.3 |
4468.9 |
4537.3 |
4606.7 |
4677.1 |
4748.5 |
Investment |
fI |
397.2 |
628.0 |
658.3 |
671.2 |
682.2 |
681.2 |
668.3 |
647.2 |
621.5 |
594.2 |
567.2 |
541.8 |
518.6 |
497.5 |
478.5 |
460.8 |
444.0 |
427.6 |
411.1 |
394.2 |
376.6 |
358.1 |
338.8 |
318.8 |
298.1 |
277.0 |
255.7 |
234.6 |
213.8 |
193.7 |
174.6 |
156.8 |
140.6 |
126.0 |
113.3 |
102.5 |
Export |
fE |
-129.9 |
-347.0 |
-624.5 |
-958.0 |
-1343.2 |
-1772.8 |
-2239.4 |
-2736.2 |
-3255.0 |
-3788.0 |
-4328.0 |
-4867.8 |
-5401.6 |
-5923.5 |
-6428.7 |
-6912.6 |
-7372.1 |
-7803.8 |
-8206.0 |
-8576.7 |
-8915.2 |
-9220.8 |
-9493.6 |
-9734.2 |
-9943.5 |
-10122.7 |
-10273.7 |
-10398.2 |
-10498.2 |
-10576.0 |
-10634.6 |
-10675.9 |
-10702.8 |
-10718.2 |
-10724.3 |
-10724.2 |
Import |
fM |
522.7 |
769.2 |
826.4 |
863.1 |
886.1 |
888.1 |
872.3 |
842.2 |
801.2 |
751.9 |
696.5 |
636.7 |
573.8 |
508.7 |
442.2 |
374.7 |
306.9 |
239.6 |
173.1 |
108.0 |
44.8 |
-15.9 |
-73.7 |
-128.0 |
-178.6 |
-225.0 |
-266.9 |
-304.0 |
-336.3 |
-363.5 |
-385.5 |
-402.5 |
-414.4 |
-421.5 |
-423.8 |
-421.8 |
GDP |
fY |
2723.0 |
2961.1 |
2968.0 |
2900.7 |
2783.8 |
2626.6 |
2439.7 |
2231.7 |
2011.7 |
1786.6 |
1562.3 |
1343.7 |
1133.9 |
935.6 |
750.8 |
580.6 |
426.0 |
287.7 |
165.7 |
60.2 |
-28.8 |
-101.6 |
-158.7 |
-200.4 |
-227.4 |
-240.4 |
-240.3 |
-227.7 |
-203.5 |
-168.5 |
-124.1 |
-71.0 |
-10.1 |
56.9 |
129.7 |
206.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
5.448 |
5.633 |
5.609 |
5.468 |
5.233 |
4.922 |
4.551 |
4.137 |
3.696 |
3.242 |
2.785 |
2.335 |
1.900 |
1.486 |
1.096 |
0.734 |
0.403 |
0.102 |
-0.167 |
-0.404 |
-0.609 |
-0.784 |
-0.928 |
-1.045 |
-1.135 |
-1.199 |
-1.240 |
-1.260 |
-1.260 |
-1.242 |
-1.209 |
-1.162 |
-1.104 |
-1.036 |
-0.960 |
-0.878 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.373 |
-3.251 |
-3.225 |
-3.140 |
-3.001 |
-2.818 |
-2.602 |
-2.362 |
-2.107 |
-1.845 |
-1.582 |
-1.324 |
-1.074 |
-0.837 |
-0.614 |
-0.407 |
-0.217 |
-0.045 |
0.108 |
0.243 |
0.359 |
0.458 |
0.541 |
0.606 |
0.657 |
0.693 |
0.715 |
0.726 |
0.725 |
0.714 |
0.694 |
0.666 |
0.632 |
0.593 |
0.549 |
0.502 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.064 |
-0.050 |
-0.051 |
-0.062 |
-0.074 |
-0.088 |
-0.102 |
-0.118 |
-0.133 |
-0.149 |
-0.164 |
-0.179 |
-0.193 |
-0.207 |
-0.220 |
-0.232 |
-0.244 |
-0.255 |
-0.265 |
-0.275 |
-0.284 |
-0.293 |
-0.301 |
-0.309 |
-0.316 |
-0.323 |
-0.330 |
-0.336 |
-0.342 |
-0.348 |
-0.353 |
-0.358 |
-0.363 |
-0.368 |
-0.373 |
-0.378 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.028 |
-0.005 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.037 |
-0.055 |
-0.063 |
-0.072 |
-0.082 |
-0.092 |
-0.104 |
-0.116 |
-0.128 |
-0.141 |
-0.155 |
-0.169 |
-0.183 |
-0.197 |
-0.210 |
-0.224 |
-0.237 |
-0.250 |
-0.262 |
-0.273 |
-0.284 |
-0.295 |
-0.304 |
-0.313 |
-0.322 |
-0.330 |
-0.337 |
-0.344 |
-0.350 |
-0.356 |
-0.361 |
-0.366 |
-0.371 |
-0.375 |
-0.380 |
-0.384 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.171 |
-0.301 |
-0.421 |
-0.544 |
-0.669 |
-0.798 |
-0.931 |
-1.067 |
-1.206 |
-1.350 |
-1.497 |
-1.649 |
-1.806 |
-1.966 |
-2.131 |
-2.300 |
-2.472 |
-2.648 |
-2.827 |
-3.009 |
-3.192 |
-3.378 |
-3.565 |
-3.753 |
-3.941 |
-4.130 |
-4.319 |
-4.508 |
-4.695 |
-4.882 |
-5.068 |
-5.253 |
-5.437 |
-5.619 |
-5.799 |
-5.978 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.020 |
0.059 |
0.102 |
0.154 |
0.217 |
0.291 |
0.376 |
0.473 |
0.580 |
0.698 |
0.826 |
0.963 |
1.108 |
1.260 |
1.418 |
1.582 |
1.750 |
1.922 |
2.097 |
2.274 |
2.453 |
2.634 |
2.815 |
2.996 |
3.178 |
3.359 |
3.540 |
3.720 |
3.899 |
4.077 |
4.254 |
4.429 |
4.602 |
4.775 |
4.945 |
5.114 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.098 |
-0.097 |
-0.084 |
-0.067 |
-0.048 |
-0.027 |
-0.006 |
0.016 |
0.038 |
0.059 |
0.079 |
0.098 |
0.116 |
0.132 |
0.147 |
0.161 |
0.174 |
0.185 |
0.195 |
0.203 |
0.210 |
0.217 |
0.222 |
0.225 |
0.228 |
0.230 |
0.231 |
0.231 |
0.230 |
0.229 |
0.227 |
0.225 |
0.222 |
0.219 |
0.215 |
0.211 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.101 |
0.102 |
0.102 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
User cost |
uim |
0.023 |
0.053 |
0.083 |
0.113 |
0.143 |
0.173 |
0.202 |
0.230 |
0.256 |
0.281 |
0.303 |
0.324 |
0.342 |
0.359 |
0.373 |
0.385 |
0.395 |
0.403 |
0.409 |
0.414 |
0.417 |
0.418 |
0.418 |
0.417 |
0.415 |
0.412 |
0.409 |
0.404 |
0.400 |
0.394 |
0.389 |
0.383 |
0.378 |
0.372 |
0.367 |
0.362 |
Wage |
lna |
0.053 |
0.150 |
0.244 |
0.335 |
0.424 |
0.509 |
0.590 |
0.664 |
0.731 |
0.791 |
0.844 |
0.890 |
0.928 |
0.959 |
0.984 |
1.002 |
1.014 |
1.021 |
1.023 |
1.021 |
1.014 |
1.005 |
0.992 |
0.977 |
0.960 |
0.942 |
0.923 |
0.903 |
0.882 |
0.862 |
0.842 |
0.822 |
0.804 |
0.786 |
0.769 |
0.754 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.016 |
0.042 |
0.069 |
0.097 |
0.127 |
0.158 |
0.189 |
0.219 |
0.249 |
0.277 |
0.304 |
0.329 |
0.352 |
0.372 |
0.391 |
0.407 |
0.421 |
0.433 |
0.443 |
0.451 |
0.456 |
0.460 |
0.462 |
0.463 |
0.463 |
0.461 |
0.458 |
0.454 |
0.449 |
0.443 |
0.437 |
0.431 |
0.424 |
0.418 |
0.411 |
0.404 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.012 |
0.030 |
0.049 |
0.069 |
0.090 |
0.110 |
0.131 |
0.150 |
0.169 |
0.187 |
0.203 |
0.218 |
0.231 |
0.242 |
0.253 |
0.261 |
0.268 |
0.273 |
0.277 |
0.280 |
0.281 |
0.282 |
0.281 |
0.279 |
0.277 |
0.274 |
0.270 |
0.266 |
0.262 |
0.258 |
0.253 |
0.248 |
0.243 |
0.238 |
0.234 |
0.229 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.041 |
-0.014 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.033 |
0.038 |
0.044 |
0.049 |
0.054 |
0.059 |
0.064 |
0.068 |
0.071 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
0.084 |
0.084 |
0.084 |
0.084 |
0.084 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.049 |
0.079 |
0.108 |
0.135 |
0.159 |
0.181 |
0.199 |
0.214 |
0.226 |
0.235 |
0.241 |
0.245 |
0.246 |
0.245 |
0.243 |
0.239 |
0.234 |
0.227 |
0.220 |
0.212 |
0.204 |
0.196 |
0.187 |
0.178 |
0.170 |
0.162 |
0.154 |
0.146 |
0.139 |
0.132 |
0.126 |
0.121 |
0.116 |
0.112 |
0.108 |
0.105 |
|
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