|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
298.8 |
-528.9 |
375.1 |
1447.7 |
2052.7 |
2389.2 |
2531.7 |
2548.8 |
2489.6 |
2383.3 |
2246.4 |
2091.1 |
1922.1 |
1744.3 |
1562.3 |
1378.8 |
1194.6 |
1013.9 |
838.2 |
667.9 |
506.1 |
352.6 |
211.2 |
82.2 |
-36.5 |
-139.8 |
-230.3 |
-306.1 |
-365.4 |
-409.3 |
-438.7 |
-455.0 |
-456.9 |
-446.3 |
-424.3 |
-392.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
-1.5 |
-3.0 |
-3.9 |
-5.0 |
-5.9 |
-6.6 |
-7.2 |
-7.8 |
-9.3 |
-9.7 |
-10.2 |
-11.4 |
-11.8 |
-13.1 |
-13.4 |
-13.7 |
-13.9 |
-14.2 |
-14.5 |
-15.4 |
-15.7 |
-17.1 |
-17.3 |
-17.5 |
-17.7 |
-18.0 |
-18.2 |
-18.6 |
-20.3 |
-20.7 |
-22.3 |
-22.7 |
-24.6 |
-26.4 |
-28.4 |
Investment |
fI |
-406.7 |
-1163.7 |
-1204.9 |
-522.9 |
-1.7 |
216.1 |
327.6 |
389.3 |
411.8 |
382.8 |
347.4 |
292.4 |
213.2 |
142.4 |
65.3 |
-5.6 |
-60.4 |
-107.4 |
-148.6 |
-174.0 |
-214.6 |
-227.1 |
-244.1 |
-248.0 |
-244.1 |
-241.2 |
-233.1 |
-216.5 |
-192.7 |
-180.3 |
-147.9 |
-132.3 |
-102.0 |
-82.1 |
-66.6 |
-53.4 |
Export |
fE |
-1936.0 |
-2570.4 |
-3131.3 |
-3600.8 |
-3987.2 |
-4254.4 |
-4434.8 |
-4532.0 |
-4561.0 |
-4522.6 |
-4433.0 |
-4292.9 |
-4107.6 |
-3885.9 |
-3629.0 |
-3347.0 |
-3043.9 |
-2725.8 |
-2397.8 |
-2067.0 |
-1733.9 |
-1408.3 |
-1090.7 |
-787.6 |
-501.6 |
-234.9 |
8.9 |
228.3 |
420.1 |
588.6 |
727.5 |
842.8 |
926.5 |
987.4 |
1022.7 |
1036.4 |
Import |
fM |
-127.5 |
-1055.6 |
-907.2 |
-335.5 |
-79.4 |
-40.9 |
-86.4 |
-160.4 |
-246.4 |
-339.4 |
-421.8 |
-496.4 |
-562.8 |
-612.1 |
-648.5 |
-669.9 |
-675.5 |
-667.6 |
-648.8 |
-618.7 |
-587.4 |
-542.5 |
-495.2 |
-440.3 |
-382.3 |
-324.6 |
-266.6 |
-207.5 |
-147.4 |
-92.4 |
-35.5 |
13.9 |
64.0 |
104.2 |
140.7 |
171.9 |
GDP |
fY |
-1878.6 |
-3183.7 |
-2966.5 |
-2230.7 |
-1736.8 |
-1482.3 |
-1360.9 |
-1304.7 |
-1285.6 |
-1292.5 |
-1295.6 |
-1294.8 |
-1295.7 |
-1277.7 |
-1249.3 |
-1205.0 |
-1140.7 |
-1063.9 |
-977.2 |
-877.9 |
-784.6 |
-675.6 |
-570.3 |
-460.0 |
-351.3 |
-246.9 |
-147.4 |
-49.9 |
43.3 |
121.3 |
204.2 |
266.9 |
328.0 |
377.5 |
412.6 |
439.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.000 |
-3.775 |
-4.440 |
-4.344 |
-4.054 |
-3.792 |
-3.594 |
-3.447 |
-3.339 |
-3.257 |
-3.175 |
-3.089 |
-2.994 |
-2.878 |
-2.742 |
-2.586 |
-2.406 |
-2.208 |
-1.998 |
-1.776 |
-1.556 |
-1.330 |
-1.109 |
-0.891 |
-0.683 |
-0.487 |
-0.305 |
-0.136 |
0.018 |
0.152 |
0.275 |
0.375 |
0.461 |
0.528 |
0.577 |
0.610 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.078 |
1.961 |
2.253 |
2.176 |
2.023 |
1.893 |
1.796 |
1.725 |
1.672 |
1.631 |
1.590 |
1.547 |
1.499 |
1.439 |
1.371 |
1.292 |
1.201 |
1.101 |
0.995 |
0.883 |
0.773 |
0.659 |
0.548 |
0.439 |
0.335 |
0.237 |
0.147 |
0.062 |
-0.015 |
-0.082 |
-0.142 |
-0.192 |
-0.235 |
-0.267 |
-0.291 |
-0.308 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.012 |
-0.022 |
-0.212 |
-0.183 |
-0.151 |
-0.132 |
-0.119 |
-0.110 |
-0.105 |
-0.102 |
-0.100 |
-0.100 |
-0.099 |
-0.099 |
-0.099 |
-0.098 |
-0.097 |
-0.096 |
-0.094 |
-0.091 |
-0.089 |
-0.086 |
-0.083 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.001 |
0.052 |
0.201 |
0.116 |
0.048 |
0.009 |
-0.018 |
-0.035 |
-0.045 |
-0.050 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.012 |
0.030 |
-0.011 |
-0.067 |
-0.103 |
-0.124 |
-0.137 |
-0.145 |
-0.150 |
-0.152 |
-0.152 |
-0.150 |
-0.147 |
-0.143 |
-0.138 |
-0.132 |
-0.126 |
-0.120 |
-0.114 |
-0.107 |
-0.101 |
-0.094 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.077 |
-0.072 |
-0.067 |
-0.063 |
-0.059 |
-0.056 |
-0.053 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.260 |
-0.234 |
-0.246 |
-0.337 |
-0.447 |
-0.560 |
-0.674 |
-0.788 |
-0.899 |
-1.005 |
-1.105 |
-1.199 |
-1.286 |
-1.365 |
-1.437 |
-1.501 |
-1.558 |
-1.609 |
-1.652 |
-1.690 |
-1.721 |
-1.746 |
-1.766 |
-1.781 |
-1.791 |
-1.797 |
-1.800 |
-1.800 |
-1.797 |
-1.792 |
-1.785 |
-1.777 |
-1.769 |
-1.759 |
-1.750 |
-1.740 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.158 |
-0.121 |
0.072 |
0.224 |
0.347 |
0.454 |
0.548 |
0.632 |
0.708 |
0.779 |
0.846 |
0.910 |
0.972 |
1.030 |
1.086 |
1.140 |
1.189 |
1.235 |
1.278 |
1.316 |
1.351 |
1.381 |
1.408 |
1.430 |
1.450 |
1.465 |
1.478 |
1.488 |
1.495 |
1.500 |
1.503 |
1.504 |
1.504 |
1.503 |
1.501 |
1.499 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.112 |
0.176 |
0.161 |
0.127 |
0.110 |
0.106 |
0.108 |
0.114 |
0.119 |
0.124 |
0.128 |
0.131 |
0.131 |
0.129 |
0.124 |
0.118 |
0.111 |
0.102 |
0.093 |
0.082 |
0.071 |
0.060 |
0.048 |
0.037 |
0.027 |
0.017 |
0.008 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.027 |
-0.031 |
-0.035 |
-0.039 |
-0.041 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.040 |
0.050 |
0.027 |
0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
0.334 |
0.330 |
0.314 |
0.306 |
0.295 |
0.281 |
0.266 |
0.251 |
0.235 |
0.218 |
0.200 |
0.182 |
0.163 |
0.144 |
0.125 |
0.106 |
0.088 |
0.070 |
0.054 |
0.039 |
0.024 |
0.012 |
0.000 |
-0.010 |
-0.018 |
-0.025 |
-0.031 |
-0.036 |
-0.039 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
Wage |
lna |
1.075 |
0.996 |
0.896 |
0.827 |
0.761 |
0.697 |
0.636 |
0.577 |
0.520 |
0.463 |
0.407 |
0.352 |
0.298 |
0.246 |
0.196 |
0.149 |
0.104 |
0.063 |
0.026 |
-0.008 |
-0.038 |
-0.064 |
-0.086 |
-0.104 |
-0.118 |
-0.128 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.140 |
-0.138 |
-0.133 |
-0.127 |
-0.119 |
-0.110 |
-0.099 |
-0.088 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.318 |
0.337 |
0.326 |
0.323 |
0.316 |
0.307 |
0.297 |
0.284 |
0.270 |
0.255 |
0.238 |
0.220 |
0.202 |
0.182 |
0.162 |
0.141 |
0.121 |
0.101 |
0.082 |
0.064 |
0.047 |
0.031 |
0.016 |
0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.034 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.221 |
0.222 |
0.212 |
0.206 |
0.198 |
0.189 |
0.178 |
0.167 |
0.155 |
0.142 |
0.129 |
0.115 |
0.102 |
0.088 |
0.075 |
0.062 |
0.049 |
0.037 |
0.026 |
0.016 |
0.007 |
-0.002 |
-0.009 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.020 |
-0.012 |
-0.136 |
-0.062 |
-0.006 |
0.031 |
0.056 |
0.071 |
0.081 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.076 |
0.071 |
0.065 |
0.059 |
0.053 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.017 |
0.012 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.307 |
0.272 |
0.211 |
0.164 |
0.131 |
0.109 |
0.092 |
0.076 |
0.061 |
0.047 |
0.033 |
0.019 |
0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.033 |
-0.040 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.053 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
|
|
|
|
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