|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-2119.6 |
19980.2 |
30390.6 |
34198.7 |
34638.1 |
33857.3 |
32982.8 |
32481.4 |
32480.2 |
32953.7 |
33813.9 |
34958.8 |
36288.8 |
37719.0 |
39182.9 |
40628.5 |
42016.1 |
43314.4 |
44507.1 |
45585.7 |
46551.5 |
47405.9 |
48158.0 |
48816.1 |
49388.0 |
49889.3 |
50330.1 |
50725.1 |
51088.9 |
51433.9 |
51772.2 |
52114.5 |
52474.6 |
52861.4 |
53285.1 |
53753.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
-0.3 |
-0.7 |
-2.2 |
-4.2 |
-6.7 |
-9.5 |
-12.6 |
-16.7 |
-19.9 |
-23.0 |
-27.0 |
-30.0 |
-33.7 |
-36.3 |
-38.8 |
-41.1 |
-43.3 |
-45.2 |
-47.9 |
-49.8 |
-52.6 |
-54.2 |
-55.7 |
-57.1 |
-58.5 |
-59.8 |
-61.2 |
-63.9 |
-65.2 |
-67.8 |
-69.0 |
-71.9 |
-74.5 |
-77.4 |
Investment |
fI |
8773.2 |
24974.5 |
34638.5 |
36587.2 |
35937.5 |
34382.4 |
32360.2 |
30109.2 |
27800.1 |
25600.6 |
23655.5 |
21999.7 |
20628.8 |
19554.2 |
18723.9 |
18109.0 |
17678.5 |
17381.8 |
17182.5 |
17065.7 |
16979.4 |
16952.7 |
16942.2 |
16958.5 |
16991.8 |
17033.8 |
17090.2 |
17164.7 |
17260.0 |
17358.6 |
17496.1 |
17636.2 |
17816.0 |
18008.7 |
18223.1 |
18464.0 |
Export |
fE |
3226.0 |
4553.8 |
5671.3 |
5934.8 |
5705.0 |
4743.5 |
3173.0 |
1036.6 |
-1518.3 |
-4368.9 |
-7395.0 |
-10487.1 |
-13552.4 |
-16522.6 |
-19335.3 |
-21953.2 |
-24344.5 |
-26490.1 |
-28378.7 |
-30008.4 |
-31376.7 |
-32496.2 |
-33373.6 |
-34025.7 |
-34467.6 |
-34717.4 |
-34795.5 |
-34722.0 |
-34520.0 |
-34205.4 |
-33805.9 |
-33335.8 |
-32824.9 |
-32284.2 |
-31736.9 |
-31198.2 |
Import |
fM |
4199.5 |
20726.6 |
28187.6 |
28807.7 |
27499.3 |
25576.4 |
23576.9 |
21659.7 |
19906.7 |
18358.4 |
17040.3 |
15933.9 |
15015.0 |
14264.0 |
13650.2 |
13152.1 |
12750.8 |
12424.2 |
12158.0 |
11946.3 |
11775.5 |
11655.6 |
11575.1 |
11539.5 |
11544.9 |
11589.6 |
11675.2 |
11803.7 |
11975.9 |
12186.3 |
12441.5 |
12731.3 |
13063.4 |
13424.7 |
13819.5 |
14244.4 |
GDP |
fY |
5578.3 |
28719.9 |
42402.9 |
47797.6 |
48679.2 |
47333.3 |
44905.0 |
41983.2 |
38927.8 |
35960.1 |
33231.6 |
30800.1 |
28676.3 |
26874.8 |
25366.8 |
24132.1 |
23147.9 |
22373.7 |
21782.3 |
21358.1 |
21066.1 |
20915.0 |
20874.7 |
20944.3 |
21109.6 |
21362.6 |
21696.9 |
22109.2 |
22593.9 |
23134.4 |
23747.0 |
24400.4 |
25110.4 |
25858.9 |
26639.2 |
27452.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.423 |
18.799 |
33.942 |
43.348 |
47.367 |
47.428 |
44.842 |
40.626 |
35.548 |
30.157 |
24.840 |
19.826 |
15.242 |
11.157 |
7.581 |
4.500 |
1.888 |
-0.300 |
-2.109 |
-3.577 |
-4.750 |
-5.651 |
-6.319 |
-6.776 |
-7.049 |
-7.161 |
-7.133 |
-6.981 |
-6.722 |
-6.377 |
-5.952 |
-5.472 |
-4.941 |
-4.378 |
-3.794 |
-3.199 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.306 |
-10.045 |
-17.604 |
-22.108 |
-23.924 |
-23.807 |
-22.410 |
-20.233 |
-17.652 |
-14.935 |
-12.269 |
-9.764 |
-7.479 |
-5.448 |
-3.672 |
-2.144 |
-0.850 |
0.232 |
1.126 |
1.850 |
2.428 |
2.870 |
3.196 |
3.418 |
3.547 |
3.599 |
3.579 |
3.498 |
3.364 |
3.188 |
2.972 |
2.728 |
2.460 |
2.177 |
1.883 |
1.583 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.507 |
-0.796 |
-0.060 |
0.282 |
0.384 |
0.339 |
0.204 |
0.017 |
-0.193 |
-0.406 |
-0.610 |
-0.796 |
-0.962 |
-1.108 |
-1.235 |
-1.344 |
-1.438 |
-1.520 |
-1.592 |
-1.654 |
-1.710 |
-1.759 |
-1.804 |
-1.844 |
-1.880 |
-1.914 |
-1.945 |
-1.974 |
-2.001 |
-2.025 |
-2.048 |
-2.070 |
-2.091 |
-2.110 |
-2.129 |
-2.146 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.135 |
-0.888 |
-1.991 |
-2.387 |
-2.436 |
-2.316 |
-2.114 |
-1.882 |
-1.649 |
-1.438 |
-1.258 |
-1.113 |
-1.000 |
-0.917 |
-0.858 |
-0.820 |
-0.796 |
-0.782 |
-0.775 |
-0.773 |
-0.772 |
-0.772 |
-0.772 |
-0.770 |
-0.767 |
-0.763 |
-0.757 |
-0.749 |
-0.741 |
-0.731 |
-0.721 |
-0.710 |
-0.699 |
-0.688 |
-0.678 |
-0.667 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.372 |
-1.684 |
-2.051 |
-2.105 |
-2.052 |
-1.977 |
-1.910 |
-1.865 |
-1.843 |
-1.844 |
-1.868 |
-1.909 |
-1.962 |
-2.025 |
-2.093 |
-2.164 |
-2.234 |
-2.303 |
-2.367 |
-2.427 |
-2.482 |
-2.531 |
-2.575 |
-2.614 |
-2.648 |
-2.677 |
-2.702 |
-2.723 |
-2.741 |
-2.756 |
-2.769 |
-2.780 |
-2.790 |
-2.798 |
-2.806 |
-2.814 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.215 |
-3.661 |
-5.914 |
-7.939 |
-9.768 |
-11.447 |
-13.005 |
-14.466 |
-15.854 |
-17.192 |
-18.502 |
-19.801 |
-21.100 |
-22.410 |
-23.735 |
-25.078 |
-26.439 |
-27.816 |
-29.206 |
-30.605 |
-32.008 |
-33.412 |
-34.811 |
-36.202 |
-37.580 |
-38.942 |
-40.284 |
-41.604 |
-42.900 |
-44.169 |
-45.412 |
-46.625 |
-47.809 |
-48.963 |
-50.088 |
-51.184 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.575 |
3.503 |
2.927 |
2.221 |
1.539 |
0.977 |
0.597 |
0.427 |
0.477 |
0.735 |
1.182 |
1.794 |
2.544 |
3.409 |
4.365 |
5.392 |
6.475 |
7.599 |
8.753 |
9.928 |
11.116 |
12.311 |
13.508 |
14.702 |
15.890 |
17.070 |
18.238 |
19.393 |
20.534 |
21.657 |
22.763 |
23.850 |
24.917 |
25.964 |
26.991 |
27.997 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.251 |
-1.004 |
-1.218 |
-1.011 |
-0.608 |
-0.136 |
0.347 |
0.809 |
1.233 |
1.608 |
1.935 |
2.213 |
2.447 |
2.642 |
2.803 |
2.936 |
3.044 |
3.132 |
3.202 |
3.257 |
3.298 |
3.328 |
3.347 |
3.357 |
3.360 |
3.355 |
3.344 |
3.327 |
3.305 |
3.278 |
3.249 |
3.216 |
3.181 |
3.144 |
3.107 |
3.069 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.290 |
-0.790 |
-0.914 |
-0.831 |
-0.709 |
-0.610 |
-0.546 |
-0.512 |
-0.500 |
-0.503 |
-0.516 |
-0.534 |
-0.555 |
-0.576 |
-0.596 |
-0.615 |
-0.632 |
-0.647 |
-0.660 |
-0.671 |
-0.680 |
-0.689 |
-0.696 |
-0.702 |
-0.708 |
-0.712 |
-0.716 |
-0.719 |
-0.722 |
-0.724 |
-0.725 |
-0.726 |
-0.727 |
-0.727 |
-0.727 |
-0.726 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.972 |
-6.123 |
-6.180 |
-6.139 |
-6.024 |
-5.862 |
-5.676 |
-5.483 |
-5.295 |
-5.118 |
-4.959 |
-4.819 |
-4.699 |
-4.599 |
-4.519 |
-4.458 |
-4.414 |
-4.385 |
-4.370 |
-4.368 |
-4.376 |
-4.393 |
-4.418 |
-4.449 |
-4.485 |
-4.526 |
-4.568 |
-4.613 |
-4.658 |
-4.703 |
-4.747 |
-4.789 |
-4.829 |
-4.867 |
-4.902 |
-4.933 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.035 |
0.078 |
0.506 |
1.159 |
1.931 |
2.744 |
3.543 |
4.290 |
4.963 |
5.547 |
6.041 |
6.444 |
6.763 |
7.004 |
7.175 |
7.286 |
7.344 |
7.358 |
7.333 |
7.278 |
7.198 |
7.097 |
6.982 |
6.855 |
6.722 |
6.584 |
6.445 |
6.308 |
6.175 |
6.047 |
5.926 |
5.814 |
5.712 |
5.620 |
5.539 |
5.469 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.088 |
-0.466 |
-0.703 |
-0.799 |
-0.790 |
-0.704 |
-0.571 |
-0.412 |
-0.246 |
-0.083 |
0.067 |
0.202 |
0.318 |
0.414 |
0.491 |
0.550 |
0.592 |
0.618 |
0.629 |
0.627 |
0.614 |
0.591 |
0.559 |
0.520 |
0.474 |
0.424 |
0.371 |
0.315 |
0.257 |
0.199 |
0.142 |
0.086 |
0.032 |
-0.020 |
-0.068 |
-0.113 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.063 |
-0.156 |
-0.163 |
-0.101 |
0.007 |
0.141 |
0.289 |
0.438 |
0.582 |
0.715 |
0.834 |
0.938 |
1.025 |
1.097 |
1.153 |
1.195 |
1.224 |
1.242 |
1.249 |
1.247 |
1.237 |
1.221 |
1.200 |
1.175 |
1.146 |
1.115 |
1.082 |
1.049 |
1.015 |
0.982 |
0.950 |
0.920 |
0.891 |
0.865 |
0.841 |
0.819 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.666 |
-0.051 |
0.756 |
1.101 |
1.160 |
1.073 |
0.929 |
0.779 |
0.645 |
0.538 |
0.459 |
0.408 |
0.380 |
0.371 |
0.375 |
0.389 |
0.409 |
0.432 |
0.455 |
0.477 |
0.496 |
0.513 |
0.526 |
0.535 |
0.540 |
0.541 |
0.539 |
0.534 |
0.526 |
0.516 |
0.504 |
0.491 |
0.477 |
0.462 |
0.446 |
0.431 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
0.236 |
0.694 |
1.145 |
1.528 |
1.828 |
2.050 |
2.208 |
2.312 |
2.376 |
2.408 |
2.418 |
2.409 |
2.388 |
2.357 |
2.320 |
2.279 |
2.235 |
2.190 |
2.145 |
2.100 |
2.056 |
2.014 |
1.974 |
1.937 |
1.903 |
1.873 |
1.845 |
1.822 |
1.801 |
1.785 |
1.772 |
1.762 |
1.755 |
1.752 |
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