|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
24.7 |
-189.4 |
-118.5 |
339.2 |
694.1 |
914.8 |
1048.0 |
1134.3 |
1199.4 |
1258.0 |
1317.4 |
1383.2 |
1455.6 |
1534.7 |
1621.4 |
1714.5 |
1810.9 |
1911.3 |
2013.5 |
2114.7 |
2215.0 |
2311.6 |
2405.9 |
2496.3 |
2579.2 |
2658.4 |
2730.5 |
2797.1 |
2859.7 |
2917.5 |
2970.3 |
3017.3 |
3060.9 |
3100.3 |
3135.9 |
3168.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.9 |
-1.0 |
-2.0 |
-2.1 |
-2.2 |
-2.2 |
-2.2 |
-2.4 |
-3.1 |
-3.2 |
-4.4 |
-4.5 |
-4.5 |
-4.6 |
-4.6 |
-4.7 |
-4.8 |
-6.4 |
-6.6 |
-7.9 |
-8.1 |
-9.8 |
-11.4 |
-13.2 |
Investment |
fI |
-2576.2 |
-3815.0 |
-2111.7 |
-1085.9 |
-742.8 |
-632.0 |
-568.1 |
-524.7 |
-511.3 |
-540.1 |
-568.9 |
-612.6 |
-678.4 |
-735.8 |
-800.9 |
-862.2 |
-910.9 |
-956.2 |
-1000.3 |
-1033.9 |
-1088.2 |
-1120.0 |
-1161.8 |
-1195.9 |
-1227.5 |
-1265.2 |
-1302.3 |
-1335.1 |
-1364.4 |
-1408.3 |
-1434.8 |
-1480.2 |
-1512.3 |
-1555.8 |
-1604.0 |
-1654.2 |
Export |
fE |
217.1 |
459.2 |
715.3 |
955.4 |
1183.9 |
1390.5 |
1568.1 |
1709.5 |
1812.2 |
1880.6 |
1908.1 |
1902.7 |
1868.4 |
1806.3 |
1725.4 |
1625.4 |
1512.1 |
1388.8 |
1259.8 |
1126.4 |
996.1 |
866.3 |
743.3 |
626.1 |
517.2 |
418.6 |
330.0 |
252.7 |
185.3 |
133.4 |
90.8 |
63.8 |
43.6 |
37.8 |
41.9 |
58.0 |
Import |
fM |
-1358.1 |
-2030.8 |
-992.2 |
-220.5 |
110.6 |
262.1 |
360.2 |
430.3 |
474.2 |
492.5 |
501.9 |
499.2 |
484.9 |
468.6 |
447.3 |
424.3 |
402.0 |
379.4 |
355.6 |
332.5 |
301.6 |
276.9 |
248.7 |
224.0 |
199.4 |
173.0 |
146.7 |
122.6 |
101.5 |
78.5 |
61.4 |
41.5 |
27.9 |
10.2 |
-4.9 |
-18.5 |
GDP |
fY |
-975.4 |
-1504.3 |
-536.0 |
404.5 |
994.5 |
1378.5 |
1652.8 |
1852.0 |
1988.3 |
2066.8 |
2115.5 |
2135.5 |
2122.6 |
2100.3 |
2063.5 |
2020.8 |
1980.0 |
1937.1 |
1892.7 |
1852.8 |
1801.7 |
1763.9 |
1722.9 |
1689.2 |
1658.5 |
1630.0 |
1604.6 |
1586.7 |
1574.9 |
1559.5 |
1561.0 |
1554.9 |
1560.1 |
1566.7 |
1571.9 |
1581.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.150 |
-1.946 |
-1.554 |
-0.771 |
-0.055 |
0.516 |
0.957 |
1.282 |
1.501 |
1.625 |
1.680 |
1.677 |
1.624 |
1.541 |
1.432 |
1.308 |
1.179 |
1.046 |
0.912 |
0.784 |
0.653 |
0.533 |
0.417 |
0.311 |
0.213 |
0.123 |
0.041 |
-0.030 |
-0.090 |
-0.145 |
-0.186 |
-0.223 |
-0.250 |
-0.272 |
-0.288 |
-0.300 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.620 |
1.007 |
0.765 |
0.357 |
0.000 |
-0.281 |
-0.497 |
-0.655 |
-0.762 |
-0.820 |
-0.846 |
-0.842 |
-0.813 |
-0.771 |
-0.715 |
-0.652 |
-0.586 |
-0.520 |
-0.453 |
-0.389 |
-0.323 |
-0.263 |
-0.205 |
-0.152 |
-0.104 |
-0.058 |
-0.017 |
0.018 |
0.047 |
0.075 |
0.095 |
0.113 |
0.126 |
0.138 |
0.145 |
0.151 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.033 |
-0.059 |
-0.032 |
0.004 |
0.027 |
0.042 |
0.052 |
0.060 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.110 |
0.180 |
0.103 |
0.033 |
0.000 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.028 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.076 |
0.122 |
0.072 |
0.037 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.126 |
0.299 |
0.350 |
0.356 |
0.357 |
0.360 |
0.364 |
0.369 |
0.378 |
0.389 |
0.404 |
0.420 |
0.439 |
0.458 |
0.479 |
0.499 |
0.519 |
0.537 |
0.554 |
0.569 |
0.583 |
0.595 |
0.606 |
0.614 |
0.621 |
0.627 |
0.632 |
0.635 |
0.637 |
0.639 |
0.640 |
0.641 |
0.641 |
0.641 |
0.642 |
0.642 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.056 |
0.126 |
0.145 |
0.131 |
0.100 |
0.058 |
0.007 |
-0.049 |
-0.106 |
-0.163 |
-0.218 |
-0.269 |
-0.316 |
-0.359 |
-0.396 |
-0.430 |
-0.459 |
-0.484 |
-0.505 |
-0.523 |
-0.538 |
-0.550 |
-0.560 |
-0.568 |
-0.574 |
-0.578 |
-0.581 |
-0.582 |
-0.583 |
-0.583 |
-0.582 |
-0.580 |
-0.579 |
-0.577 |
-0.574 |
-0.572 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.008 |
-0.022 |
-0.099 |
-0.151 |
-0.177 |
-0.190 |
-0.196 |
-0.196 |
-0.193 |
-0.189 |
-0.181 |
-0.173 |
-0.165 |
-0.156 |
-0.148 |
-0.140 |
-0.132 |
-0.124 |
-0.117 |
-0.110 |
-0.105 |
-0.099 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.085 |
-0.081 |
-0.078 |
-0.075 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.068 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.007 |
0.001 |
-0.040 |
-0.060 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.059 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.058 |
-0.058 |
User cost |
uim |
0.008 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.024 |
0.034 |
0.045 |
0.055 |
0.066 |
0.077 |
0.087 |
0.096 |
0.105 |
0.113 |
0.121 |
0.127 |
0.133 |
0.138 |
0.143 |
0.146 |
0.149 |
0.151 |
0.153 |
0.154 |
0.155 |
0.155 |
0.154 |
0.154 |
0.153 |
0.151 |
0.150 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.025 |
-0.063 |
-0.099 |
-0.121 |
-0.129 |
-0.126 |
-0.113 |
-0.094 |
-0.070 |
-0.043 |
-0.015 |
0.015 |
0.044 |
0.071 |
0.098 |
0.122 |
0.144 |
0.164 |
0.182 |
0.197 |
0.210 |
0.221 |
0.230 |
0.237 |
0.242 |
0.245 |
0.247 |
0.247 |
0.246 |
0.244 |
0.242 |
0.238 |
0.234 |
0.229 |
0.224 |
0.219 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.023 |
-0.047 |
-0.068 |
-0.083 |
-0.094 |
-0.101 |
-0.103 |
-0.102 |
-0.099 |
-0.093 |
-0.085 |
-0.076 |
-0.066 |
-0.056 |
-0.046 |
-0.036 |
-0.026 |
-0.017 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.008 |
0.014 |
0.020 |
0.026 |
0.030 |
0.034 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.018 |
-0.038 |
-0.054 |
-0.066 |
-0.074 |
-0.079 |
-0.080 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
-0.073 |
-0.068 |
-0.062 |
-0.056 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.029 |
0.021 |
0.008 |
0.034 |
0.057 |
0.071 |
0.078 |
0.080 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.008 |
0.004 |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.013 |
-0.001 |
0.011 |
0.023 |
0.034 |
0.043 |
0.052 |
0.060 |
0.066 |
0.071 |
0.076 |
0.079 |
0.082 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|