|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
721.4 |
1223.2 |
2036.9 |
2384.7 |
2366.6 |
2069.4 |
1597.8 |
1035.4 |
443.3 |
-137.5 |
-682.3 |
-1175.1 |
-1610.0 |
-1983.9 |
-2295.4 |
-2546.3 |
-2741.0 |
-2880.5 |
-2969.4 |
-3013.6 |
-3016.1 |
-2982.7 |
-2915.7 |
-2819.7 |
-2702.0 |
-2562.4 |
-2407.8 |
-2240.2 |
-2061.7 |
-1876.5 |
-1688.4 |
-1501.3 |
-1315.9 |
-1135.8 |
-963.5 |
-800.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-41.6 |
-40.6 |
-38.9 |
-36.8 |
-34.8 |
-32.9 |
-31.0 |
-29.3 |
-27.7 |
-27.3 |
-25.9 |
-24.8 |
-24.6 |
-23.8 |
-24.0 |
-23.3 |
-22.8 |
-22.3 |
-21.9 |
-21.7 |
-22.1 |
-22.0 |
-23.0 |
-22.9 |
-22.9 |
-22.9 |
-22.9 |
-23.0 |
-23.3 |
-24.9 |
-25.2 |
-26.7 |
-27.1 |
-29.0 |
-30.7 |
-32.8 |
Investment |
fI |
980.1 |
2242.4 |
3237.0 |
4006.6 |
4413.5 |
4601.3 |
4628.7 |
4559.1 |
4419.5 |
4228.9 |
4046.2 |
3869.3 |
3698.4 |
3568.3 |
3464.3 |
3396.8 |
3372.6 |
3379.9 |
3412.6 |
3476.2 |
3535.8 |
3630.9 |
3726.0 |
3835.6 |
3952.4 |
4065.4 |
4179.5 |
4297.1 |
4415.9 |
4517.1 |
4631.7 |
4723.2 |
4822.9 |
4906.6 |
4980.3 |
5046.9 |
Export |
fE |
2547.7 |
4113.9 |
5880.2 |
7655.4 |
9486.0 |
11294.7 |
13072.9 |
14786.9 |
16427.0 |
17984.9 |
19447.4 |
20815.1 |
22087.8 |
23261.5 |
24342.1 |
25326.7 |
26219.3 |
27022.3 |
27739.8 |
28373.6 |
28933.1 |
29417.9 |
29837.5 |
30194.8 |
30497.0 |
30751.0 |
30962.2 |
31137.7 |
31282.7 |
31408.9 |
31517.0 |
31619.6 |
31714.4 |
31815.1 |
31923.5 |
32046.9 |
Import |
fM |
814.1 |
1891.4 |
3026.7 |
3847.2 |
4382.8 |
4736.9 |
4983.6 |
5170.5 |
5326.1 |
5466.3 |
5615.6 |
5773.4 |
5940.6 |
6125.1 |
6320.9 |
6528.1 |
6745.1 |
6967.9 |
7191.7 |
7415.0 |
7626.6 |
7838.1 |
8037.9 |
8231.2 |
8414.0 |
8583.4 |
8740.9 |
8888.6 |
9027.5 |
9153.2 |
9273.9 |
9381.8 |
9486.7 |
9579.5 |
9667.8 |
9751.6 |
GDP |
fY |
3363.9 |
5622.8 |
7960.5 |
9985.8 |
11638.6 |
12961.4 |
14031.2 |
14911.6 |
15651.8 |
16285.7 |
16860.7 |
17390.9 |
17880.7 |
18357.3 |
18817.2 |
19268.5 |
19717.7 |
20158.7 |
20589.6 |
21013.4 |
21412.6 |
21809.3 |
22185.7 |
22551.7 |
22902.5 |
23237.4 |
23557.7 |
23868.9 |
24170.8 |
24455.4 |
24744.5 |
25016.1 |
25290.5 |
25560.3 |
25824.6 |
26091.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-14.351 |
-14.971 |
-13.738 |
-11.828 |
-9.800 |
-7.907 |
-6.239 |
-4.810 |
-3.606 |
-2.600 |
-1.744 |
-1.017 |
-0.395 |
0.147 |
0.618 |
1.029 |
1.390 |
1.702 |
1.966 |
2.187 |
2.354 |
2.483 |
2.565 |
2.609 |
2.614 |
2.582 |
2.517 |
2.425 |
2.309 |
2.169 |
2.018 |
1.848 |
1.672 |
1.488 |
1.300 |
1.111 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.736 |
7.543 |
6.846 |
5.865 |
4.842 |
3.898 |
3.069 |
2.361 |
1.765 |
1.267 |
0.843 |
0.483 |
0.175 |
-0.095 |
-0.328 |
-0.532 |
-0.711 |
-0.866 |
-0.997 |
-1.106 |
-1.188 |
-1.251 |
-1.291 |
-1.311 |
-1.313 |
-1.295 |
-1.261 |
-1.213 |
-1.155 |
-1.084 |
-1.007 |
-0.921 |
-0.833 |
-0.740 |
-0.645 |
-0.551 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.037 |
-0.061 |
0.036 |
0.119 |
0.189 |
0.247 |
0.292 |
0.328 |
0.355 |
0.377 |
0.395 |
0.410 |
0.424 |
0.438 |
0.451 |
0.464 |
0.478 |
0.492 |
0.506 |
0.520 |
0.533 |
0.547 |
0.560 |
0.573 |
0.585 |
0.597 |
0.608 |
0.619 |
0.630 |
0.640 |
0.650 |
0.659 |
0.668 |
0.677 |
0.686 |
0.695 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.011 |
-0.004 |
-0.113 |
-0.190 |
-0.233 |
-0.251 |
-0.250 |
-0.235 |
-0.211 |
-0.182 |
-0.152 |
-0.121 |
-0.092 |
-0.066 |
-0.044 |
-0.024 |
-0.008 |
0.004 |
0.014 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.013 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.048 |
-0.065 |
-0.077 |
-0.071 |
-0.043 |
-0.004 |
0.043 |
0.093 |
0.144 |
0.195 |
0.243 |
0.289 |
0.332 |
0.371 |
0.407 |
0.440 |
0.470 |
0.496 |
0.520 |
0.541 |
0.560 |
0.576 |
0.591 |
0.604 |
0.616 |
0.626 |
0.636 |
0.644 |
0.652 |
0.659 |
0.665 |
0.672 |
0.678 |
0.684 |
0.690 |
0.696 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.287 |
0.350 |
0.348 |
0.340 |
0.355 |
0.405 |
0.495 |
0.626 |
0.798 |
1.010 |
1.256 |
1.533 |
1.838 |
2.166 |
2.513 |
2.876 |
3.251 |
3.636 |
4.027 |
4.422 |
4.820 |
5.219 |
5.617 |
6.014 |
6.408 |
6.798 |
7.184 |
7.566 |
7.943 |
8.315 |
8.681 |
9.042 |
9.398 |
9.749 |
10.096 |
10.439 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.201 |
0.268 |
0.236 |
0.131 |
-0.033 |
-0.244 |
-0.490 |
-0.762 |
-1.050 |
-1.350 |
-1.656 |
-1.968 |
-2.282 |
-2.598 |
-2.915 |
-3.234 |
-3.554 |
-3.876 |
-4.199 |
-4.523 |
-4.848 |
-5.174 |
-5.499 |
-5.825 |
-6.150 |
-6.475 |
-6.797 |
-7.119 |
-7.438 |
-7.756 |
-8.071 |
-8.384 |
-8.694 |
-9.001 |
-9.306 |
-9.608 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.181 |
-0.296 |
-0.388 |
-0.457 |
-0.503 |
-0.532 |
-0.549 |
-0.561 |
-0.569 |
-0.577 |
-0.585 |
-0.594 |
-0.604 |
-0.615 |
-0.628 |
-0.640 |
-0.652 |
-0.664 |
-0.674 |
-0.683 |
-0.690 |
-0.696 |
-0.700 |
-0.701 |
-0.701 |
-0.698 |
-0.694 |
-0.689 |
-0.682 |
-0.675 |
-0.666 |
-0.658 |
-0.648 |
-0.639 |
-0.629 |
-0.620 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.726 |
-0.892 |
-0.979 |
-1.026 |
-1.048 |
-1.055 |
-1.056 |
-1.055 |
-1.052 |
-1.049 |
-1.047 |
-1.045 |
-1.044 |
-1.042 |
-1.041 |
-1.040 |
-1.038 |
-1.037 |
-1.036 |
-1.034 |
-1.032 |
-1.031 |
-1.029 |
-1.028 |
-1.027 |
-1.025 |
-1.024 |
-1.023 |
-1.023 |
-1.022 |
-1.022 |
-1.021 |
-1.021 |
-1.021 |
-1.021 |
-1.021 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.442 |
-0.561 |
-0.671 |
-0.774 |
-0.866 |
-0.946 |
-1.015 |
-1.073 |
-1.123 |
-1.165 |
-1.199 |
-1.227 |
-1.250 |
-1.267 |
-1.280 |
-1.289 |
-1.293 |
-1.294 |
-1.292 |
-1.287 |
-1.279 |
-1.269 |
-1.258 |
-1.245 |
-1.231 |
-1.216 |
-1.201 |
-1.186 |
-1.170 |
-1.155 |
-1.140 |
-1.126 |
-1.113 |
-1.100 |
-1.089 |
-1.079 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.353 |
-0.640 |
-0.900 |
-1.131 |
-1.325 |
-1.485 |
-1.614 |
-1.716 |
-1.796 |
-1.857 |
-1.901 |
-1.931 |
-1.950 |
-1.958 |
-1.957 |
-1.947 |
-1.931 |
-1.908 |
-1.879 |
-1.846 |
-1.809 |
-1.770 |
-1.728 |
-1.685 |
-1.641 |
-1.597 |
-1.553 |
-1.511 |
-1.470 |
-1.432 |
-1.396 |
-1.363 |
-1.333 |
-1.306 |
-1.282 |
-1.262 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.418 |
-0.560 |
-0.680 |
-0.792 |
-0.893 |
-0.982 |
-1.061 |
-1.130 |
-1.190 |
-1.242 |
-1.286 |
-1.325 |
-1.357 |
-1.384 |
-1.406 |
-1.423 |
-1.436 |
-1.444 |
-1.449 |
-1.450 |
-1.448 |
-1.442 |
-1.435 |
-1.425 |
-1.413 |
-1.400 |
-1.386 |
-1.371 |
-1.355 |
-1.340 |
-1.324 |
-1.309 |
-1.295 |
-1.281 |
-1.268 |
-1.256 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.291 |
-0.374 |
-0.448 |
-0.515 |
-0.574 |
-0.625 |
-0.669 |
-0.705 |
-0.735 |
-0.760 |
-0.781 |
-0.796 |
-0.808 |
-0.817 |
-0.822 |
-0.825 |
-0.825 |
-0.823 |
-0.819 |
-0.813 |
-0.806 |
-0.797 |
-0.788 |
-0.778 |
-0.767 |
-0.756 |
-0.745 |
-0.733 |
-0.722 |
-0.712 |
-0.702 |
-0.692 |
-0.683 |
-0.675 |
-0.667 |
-0.661 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.012 |
-0.070 |
0.010 |
0.056 |
0.079 |
0.082 |
0.070 |
0.047 |
0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.046 |
-0.078 |
-0.108 |
-0.135 |
-0.160 |
-0.181 |
-0.200 |
-0.215 |
-0.228 |
-0.238 |
-0.246 |
-0.251 |
-0.255 |
-0.257 |
-0.258 |
-0.257 |
-0.255 |
-0.253 |
-0.249 |
-0.245 |
-0.240 |
-0.236 |
-0.230 |
-0.225 |
-0.220 |
-0.215 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.192 |
-0.344 |
-0.433 |
-0.486 |
-0.515 |
-0.528 |
-0.531 |
-0.530 |
-0.524 |
-0.517 |
-0.507 |
-0.497 |
-0.485 |
-0.472 |
-0.459 |
-0.444 |
-0.429 |
-0.414 |
-0.398 |
-0.382 |
-0.367 |
-0.351 |
-0.336 |
-0.322 |
-0.309 |
-0.297 |
-0.285 |
-0.275 |
-0.266 |
-0.258 |
-0.251 |
-0.246 |
-0.241 |
-0.238 |
-0.235 |
-0.234 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|