|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
764.0 |
1880.4 |
3582.9 |
4766.7 |
4949.3 |
4610.5 |
3982.6 |
3227.3 |
2441.9 |
1679.0 |
964.1 |
310.8 |
-278.3 |
-802.5 |
-1262.1 |
-1659.2 |
-1998.0 |
-2278.6 |
-2504.5 |
-2680.1 |
-2807.0 |
-2889.8 |
-2929.3 |
-2929.5 |
-2896.5 |
-2829.6 |
-2735.4 |
-2615.8 |
-2472.9 |
-2311.1 |
-2134.7 |
-1948.1 |
-1752.9 |
-1553.2 |
-1352.6 |
-1153.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-56.6 |
-57.2 |
-57.0 |
-56.1 |
-55.3 |
-54.3 |
-53.3 |
-52.4 |
-51.5 |
-51.8 |
-51.1 |
-50.5 |
-51.0 |
-50.7 |
-51.4 |
-51.2 |
-51.1 |
-51.1 |
-51.1 |
-51.4 |
-52.3 |
-52.6 |
-54.1 |
-54.5 |
-55.0 |
-55.4 |
-56.0 |
-56.6 |
-57.3 |
-59.5 |
-60.3 |
-62.3 |
-63.2 |
-65.7 |
-68.0 |
-70.6 |
Investment |
fI |
500.3 |
1582.2 |
3017.4 |
4309.3 |
4974.2 |
5137.0 |
5083.3 |
4919.5 |
4684.2 |
4397.7 |
4125.7 |
3869.7 |
3632.0 |
3447.7 |
3301.2 |
3201.7 |
3154.8 |
3147.0 |
3171.1 |
3231.7 |
3293.1 |
3393.8 |
3497.9 |
3619.6 |
3750.8 |
3880.7 |
4013.4 |
4151.2 |
4291.5 |
4415.1 |
4552.9 |
4667.8 |
4791.3 |
4898.7 |
4995.6 |
5084.8 |
Export |
fE |
754.9 |
1883.0 |
3243.1 |
4682.9 |
6237.5 |
7859.5 |
9510.9 |
11158.6 |
12783.5 |
14376.4 |
15919.4 |
17411.0 |
18845.7 |
20215.7 |
21521.1 |
22753.8 |
23911.8 |
24992.2 |
25993.4 |
26912.3 |
27753.2 |
28511.6 |
29193.0 |
29796.9 |
30327.9 |
30790.4 |
31188.1 |
31527.0 |
31811.1 |
32052.1 |
32250.6 |
32419.9 |
32558.1 |
32680.3 |
32789.5 |
32894.4 |
Import |
fM |
552.0 |
1578.1 |
3042.3 |
4236.1 |
4765.6 |
4937.0 |
4981.5 |
4987.8 |
4992.7 |
5011.9 |
5068.2 |
5159.1 |
5282.4 |
5443.0 |
5632.1 |
5846.9 |
6083.4 |
6335.4 |
6596.3 |
6863.1 |
7123.0 |
7386.2 |
7640.0 |
7888.7 |
8127.1 |
8351.8 |
8563.3 |
8763.3 |
8951.9 |
9124.4 |
9288.4 |
9436.0 |
9576.8 |
9701.4 |
9817.2 |
9924.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1412.0 |
3706.0 |
6684.5 |
9372.6 |
11217.9 |
12471.8 |
13378.9 |
14084.6 |
14669.0 |
15178.5 |
15665.3 |
16143.9 |
16615.9 |
17104.9 |
17602.7 |
18113.2 |
18638.0 |
19167.5 |
19695.9 |
20223.6 |
20729.7 |
21234.4 |
21717.7 |
22187.8 |
22638.7 |
23068.1 |
23476.7 |
23869.1 |
24244.4 |
24594.4 |
24940.8 |
25261.3 |
25576.4 |
25878.7 |
26167.7 |
26451.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.229 |
-22.803 |
-19.490 |
-16.024 |
-13.043 |
-10.665 |
-8.802 |
-7.335 |
-6.160 |
-5.198 |
-4.370 |
-3.636 |
-2.968 |
-2.339 |
-1.744 |
-1.179 |
-0.639 |
-0.130 |
0.342 |
0.777 |
1.160 |
1.500 |
1.787 |
2.025 |
2.212 |
2.347 |
2.435 |
2.479 |
2.483 |
2.445 |
2.380 |
2.280 |
2.159 |
2.015 |
1.853 |
1.678 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.599 |
11.365 |
9.652 |
7.914 |
6.435 |
5.264 |
4.348 |
3.627 |
3.048 |
2.573 |
2.162 |
1.798 |
1.465 |
1.150 |
0.853 |
0.570 |
0.301 |
0.046 |
-0.189 |
-0.406 |
-0.596 |
-0.766 |
-0.908 |
-1.025 |
-1.118 |
-1.183 |
-1.225 |
-1.246 |
-1.246 |
-1.226 |
-1.192 |
-1.141 |
-1.080 |
-1.005 |
-0.924 |
-0.836 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.131 |
-0.090 |
-0.150 |
-0.010 |
0.095 |
0.166 |
0.215 |
0.250 |
0.275 |
0.293 |
0.308 |
0.321 |
0.333 |
0.347 |
0.360 |
0.375 |
0.391 |
0.407 |
0.424 |
0.441 |
0.458 |
0.475 |
0.491 |
0.507 |
0.522 |
0.536 |
0.550 |
0.563 |
0.576 |
0.587 |
0.599 |
0.609 |
0.619 |
0.629 |
0.638 |
0.647 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.101 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
-0.161 |
-0.257 |
-0.293 |
-0.297 |
-0.282 |
-0.254 |
-0.220 |
-0.185 |
-0.149 |
-0.116 |
-0.087 |
-0.061 |
-0.038 |
-0.020 |
-0.005 |
0.007 |
0.016 |
0.023 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.030 |
-0.076 |
-0.136 |
-0.171 |
-0.162 |
-0.127 |
-0.082 |
-0.032 |
0.021 |
0.073 |
0.123 |
0.171 |
0.217 |
0.260 |
0.300 |
0.337 |
0.371 |
0.402 |
0.431 |
0.457 |
0.481 |
0.503 |
0.523 |
0.540 |
0.556 |
0.571 |
0.584 |
0.595 |
0.606 |
0.615 |
0.623 |
0.631 |
0.638 |
0.645 |
0.651 |
0.657 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.060 |
0.095 |
0.031 |
-0.095 |
-0.192 |
-0.244 |
-0.248 |
-0.203 |
-0.111 |
0.026 |
0.204 |
0.418 |
0.664 |
0.939 |
1.238 |
1.558 |
1.895 |
2.246 |
2.608 |
2.980 |
3.358 |
3.742 |
4.129 |
4.518 |
4.907 |
5.296 |
5.683 |
6.067 |
6.448 |
6.826 |
7.199 |
7.567 |
7.931 |
8.290 |
8.644 |
8.993 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.144 |
0.245 |
0.379 |
0.378 |
0.289 |
0.143 |
-0.043 |
-0.255 |
-0.485 |
-0.725 |
-0.971 |
-1.223 |
-1.479 |
-1.739 |
-2.004 |
-2.273 |
-2.548 |
-2.829 |
-3.116 |
-3.408 |
-3.705 |
-4.006 |
-4.312 |
-4.622 |
-4.934 |
-5.248 |
-5.563 |
-5.879 |
-6.195 |
-6.510 |
-6.825 |
-7.138 |
-7.449 |
-7.758 |
-8.065 |
-8.369 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.070 |
-0.178 |
-0.297 |
-0.388 |
-0.432 |
-0.447 |
-0.450 |
-0.448 |
-0.446 |
-0.448 |
-0.453 |
-0.462 |
-0.476 |
-0.492 |
-0.512 |
-0.533 |
-0.555 |
-0.577 |
-0.598 |
-0.618 |
-0.636 |
-0.652 |
-0.666 |
-0.677 |
-0.685 |
-0.690 |
-0.694 |
-0.695 |
-0.694 |
-0.691 |
-0.687 |
-0.681 |
-0.674 |
-0.666 |
-0.658 |
-0.649 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.033 |
-0.070 |
-0.105 |
-0.120 |
-0.114 |
-0.099 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.067 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.134 |
-0.287 |
-0.427 |
-0.542 |
-0.644 |
-0.734 |
-0.813 |
-0.882 |
-0.943 |
-0.998 |
-1.047 |
-1.090 |
-1.128 |
-1.162 |
-1.191 |
-1.215 |
-1.234 |
-1.250 |
-1.261 |
-1.268 |
-1.271 |
-1.271 |
-1.268 |
-1.263 |
-1.255 |
-1.245 |
-1.233 |
-1.220 |
-1.206 |
-1.191 |
-1.176 |
-1.161 |
-1.145 |
-1.131 |
-1.116 |
-1.103 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.324 |
-0.794 |
-1.187 |
-1.487 |
-1.734 |
-1.939 |
-2.109 |
-2.253 |
-2.374 |
-2.478 |
-2.566 |
-2.642 |
-2.704 |
-2.756 |
-2.796 |
-2.826 |
-2.846 |
-2.857 |
-2.859 |
-2.852 |
-2.838 |
-2.818 |
-2.791 |
-2.760 |
-2.725 |
-2.687 |
-2.646 |
-2.605 |
-2.562 |
-2.520 |
-2.478 |
-2.438 |
-2.399 |
-2.363 |
-2.329 |
-2.298 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.126 |
-0.279 |
-0.424 |
-0.543 |
-0.650 |
-0.746 |
-0.832 |
-0.909 |
-0.979 |
-1.043 |
-1.101 |
-1.155 |
-1.204 |
-1.248 |
-1.287 |
-1.322 |
-1.352 |
-1.377 |
-1.397 |
-1.413 |
-1.424 |
-1.432 |
-1.435 |
-1.435 |
-1.432 |
-1.426 |
-1.417 |
-1.406 |
-1.394 |
-1.380 |
-1.366 |
-1.350 |
-1.335 |
-1.319 |
-1.304 |
-1.289 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.087 |
-0.189 |
-0.282 |
-0.357 |
-0.423 |
-0.481 |
-0.532 |
-0.577 |
-0.616 |
-0.651 |
-0.682 |
-0.709 |
-0.732 |
-0.752 |
-0.769 |
-0.783 |
-0.793 |
-0.801 |
-0.806 |
-0.808 |
-0.808 |
-0.806 |
-0.802 |
-0.796 |
-0.789 |
-0.780 |
-0.771 |
-0.761 |
-0.750 |
-0.739 |
-0.728 |
-0.718 |
-0.707 |
-0.697 |
-0.687 |
-0.678 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.110 |
-0.045 |
-0.075 |
0.061 |
0.129 |
0.151 |
0.146 |
0.124 |
0.093 |
0.058 |
0.022 |
-0.013 |
-0.047 |
-0.078 |
-0.107 |
-0.132 |
-0.155 |
-0.175 |
-0.192 |
-0.207 |
-0.220 |
-0.230 |
-0.239 |
-0.245 |
-0.250 |
-0.253 |
-0.255 |
-0.255 |
-0.254 |
-0.253 |
-0.250 |
-0.247 |
-0.243 |
-0.238 |
-0.233 |
-0.228 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.107 |
-0.248 |
-0.354 |
-0.415 |
-0.445 |
-0.459 |
-0.467 |
-0.473 |
-0.478 |
-0.482 |
-0.485 |
-0.486 |
-0.486 |
-0.483 |
-0.479 |
-0.472 |
-0.464 |
-0.454 |
-0.442 |
-0.429 |
-0.415 |
-0.400 |
-0.385 |
-0.369 |
-0.354 |
-0.339 |
-0.325 |
-0.311 |
-0.298 |
-0.287 |
-0.276 |
-0.267 |
-0.258 |
-0.251 |
-0.245 |
-0.240 |
|
|
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