|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-996.2 |
-2685.0 |
-4025.1 |
-4938.2 |
-5570.0 |
-6028.7 |
-6399.5 |
-6734.3 |
-7061.8 |
-7395.4 |
-7740.7 |
-8095.6 |
-8458.4 |
-8823.8 |
-9185.3 |
-9537.9 |
-9878.5 |
-10201.4 |
-10504.3 |
-10786.8 |
-11046.7 |
-11285.1 |
-11500.1 |
-11693.1 |
-11868.3 |
-12022.8 |
-12161.7 |
-12285.4 |
-12394.1 |
-12491.4 |
-12579.8 |
-12662.9 |
-12740.6 |
-12816.7 |
-12893.2 |
-12972.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
-0.6 |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-1.6 |
-1.7 |
-1.8 |
-1.7 |
-1.6 |
-2.4 |
-2.2 |
-2.0 |
-2.7 |
-2.5 |
-3.3 |
-3.1 |
-2.9 |
-2.7 |
-2.6 |
-2.5 |
-3.1 |
-3.0 |
-4.1 |
-4.0 |
-3.9 |
-3.9 |
-3.8 |
-3.8 |
-3.9 |
-5.4 |
-5.5 |
-6.8 |
-6.9 |
-8.7 |
-10.2 |
-11.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-479.7 |
-1654.1 |
-2622.7 |
-3090.8 |
-3348.5 |
-3474.2 |
-3492.8 |
-3430.5 |
-3316.6 |
-3190.1 |
-3033.2 |
-2880.3 |
-2751.7 |
-2625.4 |
-2521.8 |
-2431.2 |
-2344.9 |
-2270.4 |
-2208.3 |
-2147.3 |
-2116.3 |
-2070.5 |
-2040.8 |
-2008.2 |
-1976.7 |
-1954.4 |
-1934.3 |
-1912.3 |
-1889.2 |
-1883.3 |
-1862.9 |
-1864.2 |
-1855.8 |
-1862.2 |
-1877.3 |
-1898.7 |
Export |
fE |
-898.4 |
-1401.5 |
-1700.8 |
-1844.2 |
-1864.8 |
-1748.9 |
-1515.6 |
-1173.9 |
-742.6 |
-233.5 |
326.3 |
924.6 |
1545.4 |
2171.0 |
2793.0 |
3395.8 |
3971.7 |
4512.7 |
5013.3 |
5467.3 |
5876.1 |
6232.8 |
6540.8 |
6797.4 |
7005.1 |
7166.2 |
7282.3 |
7356.9 |
7391.7 |
7395.9 |
7367.5 |
7317.0 |
7240.3 |
7149.8 |
7045.8 |
6934.9 |
Import |
fM |
-1076.9 |
-2231.8 |
-3180.7 |
-3600.8 |
-3832.1 |
-3929.1 |
-3937.7 |
-3884.2 |
-3792.8 |
-3683.7 |
-3556.9 |
-3427.6 |
-3303.3 |
-3179.7 |
-3063.0 |
-2952.0 |
-2845.6 |
-2745.6 |
-2653.6 |
-2568.1 |
-2498.3 |
-2430.8 |
-2375.5 |
-2326.2 |
-2286.3 |
-2258.3 |
-2240.7 |
-2231.4 |
-2229.9 |
-2241.1 |
-2257.3 |
-2286.8 |
-2320.5 |
-2368.2 |
-2422.8 |
-2485.1 |
GDP |
fY |
-1307.1 |
-3431.1 |
-5173.1 |
-6302.6 |
-6996.4 |
-7378.1 |
-7534.6 |
-7527.6 |
-7410.2 |
-7228.0 |
-6993.4 |
-6736.7 |
-6485.3 |
-6232.5 |
-5995.9 |
-5775.2 |
-5569.0 |
-5385.0 |
-5225.1 |
-5085.4 |
-4982.4 |
-4892.2 |
-4831.5 |
-4789.2 |
-4769.2 |
-4771.7 |
-4795.1 |
-4833.9 |
-4888.4 |
-4967.3 |
-5048.8 |
-5156.0 |
-5268.9 |
-5395.8 |
-5538.1 |
-5688.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-0.740 |
-2.312 |
-3.925 |
-5.205 |
-6.064 |
-6.528 |
-6.651 |
-6.499 |
-6.143 |
-5.648 |
-5.056 |
-4.416 |
-3.763 |
-3.115 |
-2.493 |
-1.907 |
-1.362 |
-0.864 |
-0.417 |
-0.019 |
0.321 |
0.615 |
0.859 |
1.060 |
1.217 |
1.334 |
1.413 |
1.460 |
1.480 |
1.468 |
1.440 |
1.386 |
1.318 |
1.234 |
1.137 |
1.031 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.399 |
1.219 |
2.030 |
2.660 |
3.076 |
3.294 |
3.343 |
3.256 |
3.070 |
2.816 |
2.515 |
2.192 |
1.864 |
1.539 |
1.228 |
0.935 |
0.664 |
0.415 |
0.193 |
-0.005 |
-0.174 |
-0.320 |
-0.440 |
-0.540 |
-0.617 |
-0.674 |
-0.712 |
-0.735 |
-0.743 |
-0.737 |
-0.721 |
-0.694 |
-0.660 |
-0.616 |
-0.567 |
-0.514 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.093 |
-0.140 |
-0.168 |
-0.182 |
-0.185 |
-0.180 |
-0.169 |
-0.155 |
-0.138 |
-0.122 |
-0.105 |
-0.089 |
-0.074 |
-0.061 |
-0.049 |
-0.037 |
-0.028 |
-0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.005 |
0.000 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.122 |
-0.066 |
0.025 |
0.077 |
0.104 |
0.115 |
0.115 |
0.107 |
0.095 |
0.082 |
0.068 |
0.057 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.099 |
-0.091 |
-0.068 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.065 |
-0.058 |
-0.050 |
-0.041 |
-0.032 |
-0.022 |
-0.013 |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.029 |
0.033 |
0.036 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.093 |
-0.107 |
-0.076 |
-0.049 |
-0.032 |
-0.025 |
-0.028 |
-0.041 |
-0.060 |
-0.084 |
-0.110 |
-0.135 |
-0.159 |
-0.178 |
-0.193 |
-0.202 |
-0.205 |
-0.203 |
-0.195 |
-0.183 |
-0.165 |
-0.144 |
-0.119 |
-0.092 |
-0.063 |
-0.034 |
-0.003 |
0.027 |
0.056 |
0.084 |
0.109 |
0.134 |
0.156 |
0.175 |
0.192 |
0.207 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.018 |
0.033 |
0.144 |
0.288 |
0.449 |
0.615 |
0.777 |
0.927 |
1.060 |
1.175 |
1.269 |
1.344 |
1.401 |
1.440 |
1.463 |
1.473 |
1.471 |
1.458 |
1.436 |
1.407 |
1.372 |
1.332 |
1.288 |
1.242 |
1.193 |
1.144 |
1.094 |
1.044 |
0.994 |
0.946 |
0.899 |
0.853 |
0.810 |
0.768 |
0.729 |
0.692 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.083 |
0.165 |
0.207 |
0.214 |
0.199 |
0.168 |
0.127 |
0.081 |
0.032 |
-0.017 |
-0.064 |
-0.108 |
-0.149 |
-0.186 |
-0.221 |
-0.251 |
-0.278 |
-0.302 |
-0.322 |
-0.340 |
-0.356 |
-0.369 |
-0.380 |
-0.388 |
-0.394 |
-0.398 |
-0.400 |
-0.401 |
-0.400 |
-0.399 |
-0.396 |
-0.393 |
-0.388 |
-0.384 |
-0.379 |
-0.373 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.061 |
0.107 |
0.124 |
0.124 |
0.118 |
0.110 |
0.103 |
0.097 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.102 |
0.104 |
0.106 |
0.107 |
0.109 |
0.111 |
0.112 |
0.113 |
0.114 |
0.115 |
0.116 |
0.117 |
0.118 |
0.118 |
0.119 |
0.119 |
0.119 |
0.119 |
User cost |
uim |
0.086 |
0.106 |
0.097 |
0.078 |
0.051 |
0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.057 |
-0.096 |
-0.134 |
-0.171 |
-0.205 |
-0.236 |
-0.264 |
-0.289 |
-0.310 |
-0.327 |
-0.341 |
-0.352 |
-0.360 |
-0.365 |
-0.367 |
-0.368 |
-0.366 |
-0.362 |
-0.357 |
-0.351 |
-0.344 |
-0.335 |
-0.327 |
-0.318 |
-0.309 |
-0.299 |
-0.290 |
-0.281 |
-0.273 |
Wage |
lna |
0.026 |
0.004 |
-0.057 |
-0.143 |
-0.246 |
-0.361 |
-0.479 |
-0.597 |
-0.711 |
-0.816 |
-0.912 |
-0.997 |
-1.070 |
-1.132 |
-1.183 |
-1.223 |
-1.254 |
-1.275 |
-1.287 |
-1.293 |
-1.291 |
-1.284 |
-1.272 |
-1.256 |
-1.237 |
-1.215 |
-1.191 |
-1.166 |
-1.141 |
-1.115 |
-1.089 |
-1.064 |
-1.040 |
-1.018 |
-0.996 |
-0.977 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.227 |
0.296 |
0.287 |
0.265 |
0.234 |
0.196 |
0.152 |
0.106 |
0.059 |
0.012 |
-0.033 |
-0.076 |
-0.116 |
-0.152 |
-0.184 |
-0.212 |
-0.236 |
-0.257 |
-0.273 |
-0.287 |
-0.297 |
-0.303 |
-0.308 |
-0.309 |
-0.308 |
-0.305 |
-0.301 |
-0.295 |
-0.288 |
-0.280 |
-0.271 |
-0.262 |
-0.253 |
-0.243 |
-0.234 |
-0.225 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.217 |
-0.288 |
-0.297 |
-0.313 |
-0.334 |
-0.359 |
-0.386 |
-0.414 |
-0.442 |
-0.469 |
-0.494 |
-0.518 |
-0.539 |
-0.558 |
-0.574 |
-0.587 |
-0.598 |
-0.607 |
-0.613 |
-0.618 |
-0.620 |
-0.621 |
-0.620 |
-0.618 |
-0.614 |
-0.610 |
-0.605 |
-0.599 |
-0.593 |
-0.587 |
-0.580 |
-0.574 |
-0.568 |
-0.561 |
-0.556 |
-0.550 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.149 |
0.125 |
0.054 |
0.008 |
-0.019 |
-0.032 |
-0.037 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.052 |
-0.058 |
-0.065 |
-0.072 |
-0.080 |
-0.087 |
-0.095 |
-0.101 |
-0.107 |
-0.113 |
-0.117 |
-0.121 |
-0.124 |
-0.126 |
-0.127 |
-0.128 |
-0.128 |
-0.127 |
-0.126 |
-0.124 |
-0.122 |
-0.119 |
-0.117 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.012 |
0.028 |
0.018 |
-0.011 |
-0.047 |
-0.084 |
-0.118 |
-0.147 |
-0.171 |
-0.191 |
-0.205 |
-0.215 |
-0.222 |
-0.225 |
-0.225 |
-0.222 |
-0.218 |
-0.212 |
-0.205 |
-0.197 |
-0.188 |
-0.179 |
-0.169 |
-0.159 |
-0.149 |
-0.140 |
-0.131 |
-0.122 |
-0.114 |
-0.107 |
-0.100 |
-0.094 |
-0.089 |
-0.084 |
-0.080 |
-0.077 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|