|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-966.4 |
-1279.5 |
-1808.1 |
-2214.1 |
-2377.8 |
-2390.1 |
-2299.4 |
-2147.5 |
-1959.2 |
-1749.3 |
-1528.4 |
-1301.6 |
-1075.3 |
-853.0 |
-636.0 |
-426.6 |
-228.2 |
-40.7 |
134.0 |
293.4 |
438.0 |
565.5 |
677.6 |
773.6 |
850.4 |
912.3 |
956.8 |
986.2 |
1002.9 |
1006.9 |
998.8 |
978.9 |
950.2 |
913.2 |
868.7 |
818.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
-1.0 |
-2.6 |
Investment |
fI |
818.7 |
1237.6 |
570.7 |
98.2 |
-115.2 |
-205.9 |
-258.1 |
-269.3 |
-253.4 |
-230.8 |
-175.6 |
-116.1 |
-70.4 |
-15.7 |
26.5 |
64.4 |
104.7 |
137.4 |
160.0 |
182.4 |
174.5 |
180.3 |
168.5 |
157.9 |
144.5 |
120.8 |
94.3 |
69.6 |
46.9 |
8.5 |
-12.9 |
-53.0 |
-79.3 |
-115.9 |
-156.0 |
-196.8 |
Export |
fE |
2817.5 |
3492.4 |
4081.3 |
4433.2 |
4651.6 |
4726.1 |
4696.9 |
4574.8 |
4380.5 |
4131.4 |
3831.9 |
3497.4 |
3138.2 |
2759.3 |
2373.4 |
1982.6 |
1595.0 |
1215.7 |
850.1 |
500.5 |
175.3 |
-127.9 |
-402.3 |
-649.4 |
-866.5 |
-1052.5 |
-1208.2 |
-1333.4 |
-1430.3 |
-1494.9 |
-1534.3 |
-1543.8 |
-1534.0 |
-1498.6 |
-1443.6 |
-1369.0 |
Import |
fM |
228.3 |
659.7 |
398.9 |
207.0 |
217.4 |
285.4 |
361.9 |
435.8 |
500.7 |
549.0 |
590.1 |
615.0 |
621.3 |
616.9 |
598.6 |
570.0 |
534.1 |
490.9 |
440.7 |
386.6 |
321.5 |
260.4 |
194.7 |
132.3 |
70.8 |
8.8 |
-51.4 |
-107.0 |
-156.8 |
-205.5 |
-245.2 |
-284.4 |
-314.1 |
-344.4 |
-369.0 |
-389.0 |
GDP |
fY |
2378.0 |
2742.5 |
2328.0 |
1974.4 |
1796.9 |
1697.9 |
1631.3 |
1578.3 |
1527.0 |
1464.9 |
1405.1 |
1336.6 |
1247.5 |
1155.5 |
1051.8 |
942.9 |
835.5 |
725.0 |
612.2 |
503.7 |
384.5 |
279.8 |
173.9 |
78.2 |
-11.1 |
-94.4 |
-170.4 |
-234.2 |
-287.1 |
-338.9 |
-368.9 |
-401.8 |
-419.0 |
-430.6 |
-439.7 |
-441.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.406 |
3.714 |
4.051 |
4.036 |
3.950 |
3.836 |
3.706 |
3.561 |
3.402 |
3.220 |
3.028 |
2.818 |
2.587 |
2.345 |
2.092 |
1.831 |
1.573 |
1.316 |
1.064 |
0.823 |
0.587 |
0.369 |
0.165 |
-0.020 |
-0.186 |
-0.335 |
-0.464 |
-0.572 |
-0.658 |
-0.729 |
-0.777 |
-0.812 |
-0.828 |
-0.833 |
-0.825 |
-0.807 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.297 |
-1.914 |
-2.046 |
-2.025 |
-1.980 |
-1.922 |
-1.855 |
-1.782 |
-1.701 |
-1.610 |
-1.513 |
-1.406 |
-1.290 |
-1.169 |
-1.041 |
-0.910 |
-0.779 |
-0.651 |
-0.525 |
-0.404 |
-0.286 |
-0.178 |
-0.075 |
0.017 |
0.099 |
0.174 |
0.238 |
0.291 |
0.334 |
0.369 |
0.392 |
0.409 |
0.416 |
0.419 |
0.414 |
0.405 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.059 |
0.122 |
0.105 |
0.086 |
0.075 |
0.068 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.113 |
-0.140 |
-0.074 |
-0.014 |
0.020 |
0.041 |
0.054 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.052 |
0.047 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.054 |
-0.018 |
0.032 |
0.072 |
0.096 |
0.109 |
0.116 |
0.119 |
0.119 |
0.116 |
0.111 |
0.104 |
0.097 |
0.089 |
0.080 |
0.072 |
0.063 |
0.055 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.032 |
0.025 |
0.019 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.223 |
-0.335 |
-0.338 |
-0.294 |
-0.229 |
-0.153 |
-0.070 |
0.015 |
0.098 |
0.178 |
0.251 |
0.317 |
0.376 |
0.428 |
0.472 |
0.508 |
0.536 |
0.558 |
0.573 |
0.582 |
0.586 |
0.585 |
0.579 |
0.570 |
0.558 |
0.544 |
0.527 |
0.509 |
0.490 |
0.471 |
0.451 |
0.432 |
0.413 |
0.396 |
0.379 |
0.364 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.142 |
-0.276 |
-0.373 |
-0.450 |
-0.516 |
-0.572 |
-0.621 |
-0.664 |
-0.703 |
-0.737 |
-0.769 |
-0.797 |
-0.822 |
-0.844 |
-0.862 |
-0.877 |
-0.889 |
-0.897 |
-0.902 |
-0.904 |
-0.903 |
-0.899 |
-0.893 |
-0.884 |
-0.873 |
-0.860 |
-0.845 |
-0.830 |
-0.813 |
-0.795 |
-0.778 |
-0.760 |
-0.742 |
-0.724 |
-0.707 |
-0.690 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.158 |
-0.173 |
-0.152 |
-0.140 |
-0.136 |
-0.136 |
-0.136 |
-0.136 |
-0.135 |
-0.132 |
-0.128 |
-0.122 |
-0.115 |
-0.106 |
-0.096 |
-0.085 |
-0.074 |
-0.062 |
-0.050 |
-0.038 |
-0.027 |
-0.017 |
-0.007 |
0.002 |
0.011 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.031 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.075 |
-0.053 |
-0.026 |
-0.013 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
User cost |
uim |
0.533 |
0.574 |
0.609 |
0.644 |
0.678 |
0.710 |
0.741 |
0.771 |
0.799 |
0.826 |
0.852 |
0.877 |
0.900 |
0.922 |
0.943 |
0.961 |
0.978 |
0.994 |
1.007 |
1.019 |
1.028 |
1.037 |
1.043 |
1.048 |
1.051 |
1.053 |
1.053 |
1.053 |
1.051 |
1.049 |
1.046 |
1.042 |
1.037 |
1.033 |
1.028 |
1.022 |
Wage |
lna |
0.085 |
0.156 |
0.233 |
0.313 |
0.390 |
0.464 |
0.537 |
0.606 |
0.673 |
0.736 |
0.796 |
0.852 |
0.904 |
0.951 |
0.994 |
1.032 |
1.065 |
1.094 |
1.117 |
1.136 |
1.151 |
1.162 |
1.168 |
1.171 |
1.170 |
1.167 |
1.161 |
1.152 |
1.142 |
1.130 |
1.117 |
1.103 |
1.089 |
1.074 |
1.059 |
1.044 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.365 |
0.424 |
0.466 |
0.507 |
0.547 |
0.586 |
0.625 |
0.662 |
0.697 |
0.732 |
0.765 |
0.797 |
0.828 |
0.857 |
0.885 |
0.910 |
0.934 |
0.956 |
0.975 |
0.993 |
1.008 |
1.021 |
1.033 |
1.042 |
1.050 |
1.055 |
1.059 |
1.062 |
1.062 |
1.062 |
1.061 |
1.058 |
1.055 |
1.051 |
1.046 |
1.042 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.355 |
-0.317 |
-0.286 |
-0.257 |
-0.230 |
-0.205 |
-0.181 |
-0.158 |
-0.137 |
-0.116 |
-0.097 |
-0.080 |
-0.063 |
-0.048 |
-0.034 |
-0.021 |
-0.010 |
0.000 |
0.009 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.009 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.033 |
0.036 |
-0.009 |
-0.053 |
-0.080 |
-0.097 |
-0.105 |
-0.107 |
-0.105 |
-0.101 |
-0.094 |
-0.087 |
-0.078 |
-0.069 |
-0.060 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.033 |
-0.024 |
-0.016 |
-0.008 |
-0.001 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.072 |
-0.052 |
-0.026 |
-0.010 |
0.000 |
0.009 |
0.017 |
0.025 |
0.033 |
0.041 |
0.049 |
0.055 |
0.061 |
0.065 |
0.069 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.049 |
0.044 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.027 |
0.022 |
0.017 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.006 |
|
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