|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
46.0 |
359.5 |
444.6 |
455.4 |
472.5 |
507.3 |
561.1 |
628.3 |
704.3 |
785.0 |
866.4 |
947.0 |
1023.1 |
1093.4 |
1158.2 |
1216.8 |
1267.5 |
1312.2 |
1350.4 |
1380.9 |
1405.1 |
1422.0 |
1433.9 |
1440.8 |
1439.9 |
1436.0 |
1426.4 |
1413.5 |
1399.4 |
1383.6 |
1366.2 |
1346.8 |
1327.8 |
1308.5 |
1289.1 |
1270.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-0.2 |
119.8 |
234.9 |
345.0 |
449.6 |
549.4 |
644.5 |
735.2 |
821.6 |
903.0 |
981.6 |
1056.4 |
1126.8 |
1194.7 |
1258.5 |
1320.2 |
1379.0 |
1435.0 |
1488.4 |
1539.1 |
1586.8 |
1632.8 |
1675.5 |
1717.3 |
1757.1 |
1795.0 |
1831.0 |
1865.3 |
1897.7 |
1927.3 |
1956.7 |
1983.4 |
2010.0 |
2033.7 |
2056.4 |
2077.6 |
Investment |
fI |
2344.4 |
2581.7 |
2441.5 |
2300.6 |
2244.6 |
2209.8 |
2183.1 |
2166.7 |
2157.0 |
2137.5 |
2141.9 |
2146.3 |
2136.7 |
2138.7 |
2132.4 |
2126.8 |
2129.7 |
2131.2 |
2129.1 |
2132.9 |
2112.3 |
2111.0 |
2097.1 |
2089.1 |
2082.5 |
2069.3 |
2056.5 |
2048.3 |
2044.2 |
2026.3 |
2026.9 |
2009.6 |
2006.6 |
1993.4 |
1976.4 |
1958.3 |
Export |
fE |
-64.5 |
-157.2 |
-278.4 |
-419.0 |
-579.4 |
-752.9 |
-938.8 |
-1132.0 |
-1329.3 |
-1521.9 |
-1715.4 |
-1902.0 |
-2079.2 |
-2248.7 |
-2404.4 |
-2549.8 |
-2682.3 |
-2802.1 |
-2908.0 |
-3002.1 |
-3079.8 |
-3146.5 |
-3198.5 |
-3239.5 |
-3268.7 |
-3286.6 |
-3294.9 |
-3294.2 |
-3287.0 |
-3269.2 |
-3247.6 |
-3217.0 |
-3186.7 |
-3149.7 |
-3110.6 |
-3067.8 |
Import |
fM |
777.6 |
997.7 |
925.4 |
818.5 |
761.2 |
720.1 |
685.4 |
657.1 |
631.9 |
604.4 |
584.6 |
563.7 |
538.6 |
516.5 |
492.4 |
469.0 |
447.8 |
427.7 |
407.8 |
390.0 |
365.7 |
349.2 |
330.6 |
316.9 |
304.9 |
292.3 |
280.9 |
272.6 |
268.1 |
262.3 |
262.7 |
260.4 |
264.3 |
263.7 |
265.1 |
267.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1538.9 |
1897.0 |
1917.2 |
1870.2 |
1838.5 |
1811.5 |
1787.7 |
1769.5 |
1755.3 |
1737.8 |
1733.0 |
1731.4 |
1720.7 |
1717.7 |
1712.0 |
1708.9 |
1713.2 |
1718.8 |
1725.0 |
1736.4 |
1736.9 |
1750.1 |
1759.2 |
1774.2 |
1790.7 |
1807.5 |
1825.2 |
1847.9 |
1874.3 |
1894.2 |
1928.1 |
1951.3 |
1982.4 |
2011.4 |
2035.4 |
2060.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.316 |
1.817 |
1.939 |
1.885 |
1.757 |
1.590 |
1.405 |
1.219 |
1.036 |
0.858 |
0.697 |
0.547 |
0.405 |
0.275 |
0.156 |
0.046 |
-0.048 |
-0.132 |
-0.206 |
-0.267 |
-0.326 |
-0.370 |
-0.409 |
-0.437 |
-0.457 |
-0.472 |
-0.480 |
-0.481 |
-0.474 |
-0.466 |
-0.447 |
-0.431 |
-0.408 |
-0.385 |
-0.362 |
-0.339 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.709 |
-0.931 |
-0.978 |
-0.944 |
-0.877 |
-0.792 |
-0.699 |
-0.605 |
-0.513 |
-0.424 |
-0.344 |
-0.269 |
-0.198 |
-0.134 |
-0.074 |
-0.019 |
0.028 |
0.069 |
0.106 |
0.136 |
0.166 |
0.187 |
0.207 |
0.220 |
0.230 |
0.237 |
0.242 |
0.241 |
0.238 |
0.233 |
0.224 |
0.215 |
0.204 |
0.193 |
0.181 |
0.169 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.057 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.050 |
-0.058 |
-0.066 |
-0.074 |
-0.081 |
-0.088 |
-0.094 |
-0.100 |
-0.106 |
-0.111 |
-0.116 |
-0.120 |
-0.125 |
-0.129 |
-0.133 |
-0.136 |
-0.140 |
-0.143 |
-0.146 |
-0.149 |
-0.152 |
-0.155 |
-0.158 |
-0.160 |
-0.162 |
-0.165 |
-0.167 |
-0.168 |
-0.170 |
-0.172 |
-0.174 |
-0.175 |
-0.177 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.011 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.045 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
-0.062 |
-0.066 |
-0.070 |
-0.076 |
-0.082 |
-0.088 |
-0.094 |
-0.101 |
-0.107 |
-0.113 |
-0.119 |
-0.125 |
-0.130 |
-0.135 |
-0.140 |
-0.145 |
-0.148 |
-0.152 |
-0.155 |
-0.158 |
-0.161 |
-0.164 |
-0.166 |
-0.168 |
-0.170 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.174 |
-0.175 |
-0.176 |
-0.177 |
-0.178 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.100 |
-0.198 |
-0.277 |
-0.348 |
-0.418 |
-0.488 |
-0.558 |
-0.630 |
-0.704 |
-0.780 |
-0.858 |
-0.939 |
-1.022 |
-1.106 |
-1.192 |
-1.280 |
-1.369 |
-1.460 |
-1.551 |
-1.642 |
-1.733 |
-1.825 |
-1.916 |
-2.007 |
-2.097 |
-2.186 |
-2.274 |
-2.361 |
-2.447 |
-2.531 |
-2.614 |
-2.696 |
-2.776 |
-2.855 |
-2.932 |
-3.007 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.023 |
0.050 |
0.083 |
0.123 |
0.169 |
0.221 |
0.279 |
0.342 |
0.409 |
0.479 |
0.553 |
0.630 |
0.708 |
0.789 |
0.871 |
0.954 |
1.038 |
1.122 |
1.207 |
1.293 |
1.378 |
1.463 |
1.548 |
1.632 |
1.716 |
1.800 |
1.883 |
1.965 |
2.046 |
2.126 |
2.205 |
2.283 |
2.359 |
2.435 |
2.509 |
2.583 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.046 |
-0.022 |
0.016 |
0.052 |
0.084 |
0.114 |
0.141 |
0.166 |
0.188 |
0.208 |
0.227 |
0.244 |
0.259 |
0.273 |
0.285 |
0.296 |
0.307 |
0.316 |
0.324 |
0.331 |
0.336 |
0.341 |
0.344 |
0.347 |
0.350 |
0.351 |
0.352 |
0.352 |
0.352 |
0.350 |
0.348 |
0.345 |
0.343 |
0.339 |
0.335 |
0.331 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
User cost |
uim |
0.005 |
0.016 |
0.027 |
0.040 |
0.053 |
0.065 |
0.077 |
0.088 |
0.098 |
0.108 |
0.116 |
0.123 |
0.129 |
0.135 |
0.139 |
0.142 |
0.145 |
0.147 |
0.148 |
0.149 |
0.148 |
0.148 |
0.147 |
0.145 |
0.143 |
0.141 |
0.138 |
0.136 |
0.133 |
0.130 |
0.127 |
0.124 |
0.121 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.112 |
Wage |
lna |
0.017 |
0.048 |
0.083 |
0.118 |
0.151 |
0.181 |
0.208 |
0.231 |
0.252 |
0.269 |
0.284 |
0.295 |
0.304 |
0.311 |
0.315 |
0.317 |
0.318 |
0.316 |
0.314 |
0.310 |
0.305 |
0.299 |
0.292 |
0.284 |
0.276 |
0.268 |
0.259 |
0.251 |
0.242 |
0.234 |
0.225 |
0.217 |
0.210 |
0.202 |
0.195 |
0.189 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.007 |
0.018 |
0.031 |
0.044 |
0.057 |
0.070 |
0.083 |
0.094 |
0.105 |
0.115 |
0.123 |
0.131 |
0.138 |
0.144 |
0.148 |
0.152 |
0.155 |
0.158 |
0.159 |
0.160 |
0.160 |
0.159 |
0.158 |
0.156 |
0.154 |
0.151 |
0.148 |
0.145 |
0.142 |
0.138 |
0.135 |
0.131 |
0.127 |
0.123 |
0.119 |
0.116 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.020 |
0.029 |
0.037 |
0.045 |
0.053 |
0.059 |
0.065 |
0.071 |
0.075 |
0.079 |
0.082 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.036 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.011 |
-0.002 |
0.010 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
|
|
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