|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
551.3 |
-580.7 |
203.3 |
1011.2 |
1517.5 |
1826.5 |
1974.1 |
2006.4 |
1962.6 |
1868.9 |
1737.6 |
1581.3 |
1414.0 |
1239.0 |
1058.2 |
879.0 |
703.7 |
534.0 |
370.3 |
214.8 |
68.5 |
-67.9 |
-194.8 |
-309.9 |
-412.4 |
-501.8 |
-580.5 |
-645.0 |
-701.6 |
-746.8 |
-780.0 |
-804.1 |
-815.9 |
-817.8 |
-814.6 |
-802.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
24.8 |
38.1 |
36.0 |
26.7 |
21.0 |
18.4 |
16.9 |
15.7 |
14.8 |
14.3 |
13.8 |
13.4 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
11.6 |
10.7 |
9.6 |
8.3 |
7.0 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
-1.2 |
-2.9 |
-4.6 |
-6.2 |
-7.9 |
-9.4 |
-10.9 |
-12.2 |
-13.4 |
-14.5 |
-15.6 |
-16.5 |
-17.3 |
Investment |
fI |
-569.6 |
-1464.3 |
-1352.1 |
-562.8 |
-25.9 |
215.3 |
357.9 |
444.5 |
489.2 |
477.6 |
435.4 |
370.0 |
301.1 |
213.0 |
136.2 |
52.4 |
-21.8 |
-87.5 |
-148.2 |
-201.1 |
-243.7 |
-275.3 |
-301.3 |
-306.0 |
-307.1 |
-296.5 |
-287.0 |
-283.8 |
-265.5 |
-252.8 |
-238.4 |
-205.8 |
-182.5 |
-159.6 |
-138.6 |
-114.1 |
Export |
fE |
-1985.4 |
-2402.2 |
-2742.6 |
-3029.9 |
-3260.7 |
-3395.8 |
-3473.6 |
-3492.9 |
-3470.8 |
-3408.0 |
-3313.9 |
-3191.6 |
-3044.2 |
-2876.0 |
-2690.9 |
-2490.5 |
-2278.6 |
-2057.7 |
-1831.7 |
-1602.8 |
-1374.0 |
-1148.5 |
-926.8 |
-714.2 |
-510.6 |
-321.1 |
-143.7 |
18.8 |
165.8 |
296.7 |
410.8 |
508.3 |
588.1 |
651.4 |
698.4 |
730.9 |
Import |
fM |
-81.4 |
-1111.8 |
-865.6 |
-296.3 |
-14.3 |
63.3 |
58.6 |
19.3 |
-40.1 |
-118.2 |
-202.0 |
-285.3 |
-358.5 |
-428.5 |
-483.1 |
-529.3 |
-563.7 |
-583.9 |
-595.8 |
-597.7 |
-590.1 |
-573.2 |
-552.4 |
-517.9 |
-482.2 |
-436.9 |
-393.5 |
-350.8 |
-304.1 |
-259.9 |
-215.7 |
-168.4 |
-123.8 |
-82.5 |
-46.0 |
-9.9 |
GDP |
fY |
-1820.0 |
-3116.4 |
-2741.3 |
-2004.0 |
-1480.6 |
-1147.5 |
-933.8 |
-798.0 |
-717.8 |
-683.2 |
-678.8 |
-694.5 |
-709.9 |
-734.1 |
-751.7 |
-768.0 |
-771.3 |
-766.0 |
-753.3 |
-731.9 |
-701.1 |
-662.2 |
-615.9 |
-559.8 |
-497.8 |
-434.3 |
-370.9 |
-313.1 |
-252.0 |
-197.6 |
-146.1 |
-87.5 |
-39.3 |
5.2 |
42.4 |
78.1 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.544 |
-4.730 |
-5.343 |
-5.100 |
-4.635 |
-4.168 |
-3.761 |
-3.426 |
-3.156 |
-2.956 |
-2.803 |
-2.682 |
-2.573 |
-2.480 |
-2.374 |
-2.267 |
-2.148 |
-2.015 |
-1.871 |
-1.719 |
-1.558 |
-1.390 |
-1.223 |
-1.045 |
-0.873 |
-0.698 |
-0.535 |
-0.383 |
-0.239 |
-0.110 |
0.006 |
0.115 |
0.209 |
0.287 |
0.352 |
0.405 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.352 |
2.412 |
2.648 |
2.494 |
2.256 |
2.027 |
1.830 |
1.668 |
1.540 |
1.443 |
1.370 |
1.312 |
1.259 |
1.213 |
1.162 |
1.109 |
1.049 |
0.984 |
0.913 |
0.838 |
0.758 |
0.675 |
0.593 |
0.506 |
0.421 |
0.336 |
0.256 |
0.182 |
0.111 |
0.049 |
-0.008 |
-0.061 |
-0.106 |
-0.144 |
-0.176 |
-0.201 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.040 |
-0.008 |
-0.214 |
-0.182 |
-0.148 |
-0.126 |
-0.110 |
-0.097 |
-0.088 |
-0.083 |
-0.080 |
-0.079 |
-0.079 |
-0.080 |
-0.081 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.066 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.053 |
-0.050 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.050 |
0.044 |
0.207 |
0.119 |
0.050 |
0.009 |
-0.020 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.056 |
-0.057 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.043 |
-0.036 |
-0.029 |
-0.022 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.005 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.010 |
0.036 |
-0.007 |
-0.062 |
-0.098 |
-0.118 |
-0.129 |
-0.136 |
-0.139 |
-0.139 |
-0.137 |
-0.133 |
-0.128 |
-0.122 |
-0.117 |
-0.111 |
-0.104 |
-0.098 |
-0.092 |
-0.086 |
-0.080 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.064 |
-0.059 |
-0.055 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.276 |
-0.226 |
-0.226 |
-0.300 |
-0.394 |
-0.494 |
-0.597 |
-0.700 |
-0.801 |
-0.896 |
-0.985 |
-1.066 |
-1.140 |
-1.206 |
-1.264 |
-1.315 |
-1.359 |
-1.396 |
-1.427 |
-1.451 |
-1.470 |
-1.485 |
-1.494 |
-1.500 |
-1.502 |
-1.501 |
-1.497 |
-1.491 |
-1.483 |
-1.473 |
-1.461 |
-1.449 |
-1.436 |
-1.423 |
-1.410 |
-1.396 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.209 |
-0.164 |
0.046 |
0.207 |
0.335 |
0.444 |
0.534 |
0.611 |
0.678 |
0.738 |
0.793 |
0.845 |
0.895 |
0.944 |
0.992 |
1.038 |
1.082 |
1.125 |
1.165 |
1.202 |
1.237 |
1.269 |
1.297 |
1.321 |
1.343 |
1.360 |
1.374 |
1.385 |
1.393 |
1.398 |
1.400 |
1.400 |
1.398 |
1.394 |
1.388 |
1.382 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.150 |
0.209 |
0.172 |
0.128 |
0.103 |
0.090 |
0.085 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.090 |
0.094 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.102 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.095 |
0.089 |
0.082 |
0.074 |
0.065 |
0.056 |
0.046 |
0.038 |
0.029 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.010 |
-0.016 |
-0.021 |
-0.026 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.024 |
-0.004 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
0.345 |
0.329 |
0.298 |
0.281 |
0.266 |
0.250 |
0.235 |
0.219 |
0.203 |
0.187 |
0.171 |
0.156 |
0.140 |
0.124 |
0.108 |
0.093 |
0.078 |
0.064 |
0.051 |
0.038 |
0.027 |
0.016 |
0.007 |
-0.002 |
-0.009 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
Wage |
lna |
1.128 |
1.027 |
0.904 |
0.821 |
0.744 |
0.672 |
0.607 |
0.548 |
0.492 |
0.440 |
0.391 |
0.343 |
0.297 |
0.252 |
0.209 |
0.168 |
0.129 |
0.092 |
0.057 |
0.025 |
-0.005 |
-0.031 |
-0.055 |
-0.075 |
-0.092 |
-0.107 |
-0.118 |
-0.126 |
-0.132 |
-0.136 |
-0.137 |
-0.136 |
-0.133 |
-0.129 |
-0.124 |
-0.117 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.339 |
0.353 |
0.333 |
0.324 |
0.314 |
0.301 |
0.288 |
0.274 |
0.260 |
0.245 |
0.230 |
0.214 |
0.197 |
0.180 |
0.162 |
0.144 |
0.127 |
0.109 |
0.092 |
0.075 |
0.059 |
0.044 |
0.030 |
0.017 |
0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.015 |
-0.023 |
-0.029 |
-0.035 |
-0.039 |
-0.042 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.245 |
0.235 |
0.214 |
0.203 |
0.191 |
0.179 |
0.167 |
0.155 |
0.143 |
0.131 |
0.119 |
0.107 |
0.095 |
0.084 |
0.072 |
0.061 |
0.051 |
0.040 |
0.031 |
0.022 |
0.014 |
0.006 |
-0.001 |
-0.007 |
-0.012 |
-0.016 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.081 |
0.012 |
-0.136 |
-0.073 |
-0.019 |
0.018 |
0.043 |
0.060 |
0.070 |
0.075 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.060 |
0.053 |
0.047 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.017 |
0.012 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.311 |
0.270 |
0.198 |
0.146 |
0.111 |
0.088 |
0.071 |
0.057 |
0.045 |
0.035 |
0.025 |
0.015 |
0.006 |
-0.002 |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.034 |
-0.038 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|