|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
551.5 |
15315.5 |
22491.1 |
25771.2 |
26714.0 |
26634.5 |
26243.8 |
25873.4 |
25659.0 |
25645.3 |
25815.5 |
26135.3 |
26564.5 |
27054.1 |
27559.8 |
28051.8 |
28503.6 |
28896.6 |
29217.8 |
29457.5 |
29616.5 |
29698.3 |
29708.2 |
29656.2 |
29552.0 |
29405.8 |
29224.9 |
29022.7 |
28802.9 |
28578.0 |
28357.2 |
28146.0 |
27954.8 |
27787.9 |
27646.0 |
27538.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-83.3 |
-258.7 |
-335.5 |
-344.6 |
-329.8 |
-305.3 |
-275.4 |
-242.6 |
-209.0 |
-176.3 |
-146.0 |
-118.7 |
-94.7 |
-73.9 |
-56.2 |
-41.5 |
-29.5 |
-19.8 |
-12.1 |
-6.2 |
-2.0 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
-1.8 |
-5.1 |
-8.9 |
-13.4 |
-18.4 |
-23.8 |
-29.6 |
-35.8 |
-42.1 |
-48.6 |
Investment |
fI |
8040.5 |
20925.1 |
27116.1 |
28302.4 |
27813.4 |
26816.4 |
25402.8 |
23741.5 |
21975.9 |
20259.1 |
18697.5 |
17344.5 |
16222.3 |
15301.2 |
14584.8 |
14021.4 |
13594.6 |
13273.2 |
13025.9 |
12832.5 |
12677.9 |
12552.2 |
12442.5 |
12361.5 |
12288.2 |
12231.8 |
12180.9 |
12131.2 |
12108.0 |
12093.7 |
12096.8 |
12136.5 |
12187.4 |
12258.9 |
12350.7 |
12468.5 |
Export |
fE |
2353.0 |
2680.8 |
2942.8 |
2586.1 |
1990.1 |
944.1 |
-395.5 |
-2019.8 |
-3810.1 |
-5702.1 |
-7612.6 |
-9485.6 |
-11266.8 |
-12921.8 |
-14423.5 |
-15753.8 |
-16903.5 |
-17869.2 |
-18653.5 |
-19261.1 |
-19700.4 |
-19982.3 |
-20116.6 |
-20119.2 |
-20001.0 |
-19779.2 |
-19463.7 |
-19069.9 |
-18610.6 |
-18098.8 |
-17547.2 |
-16967.8 |
-16372.6 |
-15771.9 |
-15175.8 |
-14592.2 |
Import |
fM |
4243.9 |
15653.3 |
20056.2 |
20469.8 |
19583.8 |
18310.1 |
16924.0 |
15521.3 |
14189.2 |
12977.9 |
11918.9 |
11013.4 |
10254.9 |
9615.1 |
9084.5 |
8636.2 |
8256.9 |
7935.6 |
7656.0 |
7410.3 |
7194.6 |
7007.8 |
6844.6 |
6716.3 |
6611.6 |
6540.7 |
6493.9 |
6473.8 |
6486.7 |
6526.9 |
6596.9 |
6699.8 |
6829.3 |
6983.4 |
7159.3 |
7359.6 |
GDP |
fY |
6359.3 |
22418.8 |
31320.9 |
34908.9 |
35648.5 |
34849.5 |
33177.6 |
31032.0 |
28711.5 |
26419.0 |
24289.2 |
22392.1 |
20767.8 |
19400.3 |
18285.3 |
17387.3 |
16686.4 |
16148.9 |
15745.0 |
15449.1 |
15243.5 |
15112.9 |
15045.8 |
15038.2 |
15079.9 |
15163.5 |
15285.3 |
15437.0 |
15627.6 |
15846.3 |
16094.9 |
16382.6 |
16690.7 |
17023.3 |
17374.9 |
17748.9 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
3.872 |
18.365 |
30.848 |
38.378 |
41.491 |
41.298 |
38.797 |
34.817 |
30.040 |
24.967 |
19.978 |
15.307 |
11.100 |
7.405 |
4.251 |
1.602 |
-0.575 |
-2.331 |
-3.723 |
-4.803 |
-5.617 |
-6.205 |
-6.608 |
-6.838 |
-6.938 |
-6.915 |
-6.800 |
-6.607 |
-6.342 |
-6.025 |
-5.662 |
-5.257 |
-4.826 |
-4.378 |
-3.920 |
-3.456 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.057 |
-9.605 |
-15.660 |
-19.151 |
-20.498 |
-20.268 |
-18.946 |
-16.931 |
-14.551 |
-12.051 |
-9.604 |
-7.324 |
-5.277 |
-3.485 |
-1.958 |
-0.678 |
0.371 |
1.216 |
1.885 |
2.402 |
2.791 |
3.070 |
3.260 |
3.367 |
3.409 |
3.394 |
3.334 |
3.236 |
3.103 |
2.945 |
2.765 |
2.564 |
2.352 |
2.131 |
1.906 |
1.678 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.000 |
-0.405 |
0.180 |
0.476 |
0.598 |
0.603 |
0.527 |
0.398 |
0.240 |
0.072 |
-0.093 |
-0.248 |
-0.387 |
-0.509 |
-0.615 |
-0.704 |
-0.779 |
-0.842 |
-0.895 |
-0.940 |
-0.978 |
-1.011 |
-1.038 |
-1.062 |
-1.082 |
-1.100 |
-1.115 |
-1.127 |
-1.138 |
-1.147 |
-1.153 |
-1.158 |
-1.162 |
-1.164 |
-1.166 |
-1.166 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.391 |
-1.065 |
-1.887 |
-2.234 |
-2.326 |
-2.286 |
-2.165 |
-2.001 |
-1.822 |
-1.646 |
-1.488 |
-1.351 |
-1.239 |
-1.148 |
-1.079 |
-1.025 |
-0.984 |
-0.954 |
-0.930 |
-0.910 |
-0.892 |
-0.876 |
-0.860 |
-0.845 |
-0.830 |
-0.815 |
-0.800 |
-0.784 |
-0.769 |
-0.755 |
-0.741 |
-0.728 |
-0.716 |
-0.705 |
-0.695 |
-0.687 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.391 |
-1.470 |
-1.707 |
-1.757 |
-1.726 |
-1.681 |
-1.636 |
-1.602 |
-1.580 |
-1.573 |
-1.579 |
-1.597 |
-1.624 |
-1.656 |
-1.692 |
-1.727 |
-1.762 |
-1.794 |
-1.823 |
-1.848 |
-1.869 |
-1.885 |
-1.897 |
-1.906 |
-1.911 |
-1.914 |
-1.913 |
-1.911 |
-1.906 |
-1.900 |
-1.893 |
-1.886 |
-1.877 |
-1.869 |
-1.860 |
-1.851 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.011 |
-3.110 |
-5.066 |
-6.857 |
-8.484 |
-9.976 |
-11.349 |
-12.624 |
-13.819 |
-14.952 |
-16.043 |
-17.105 |
-18.148 |
-19.180 |
-20.205 |
-21.225 |
-22.241 |
-23.250 |
-24.251 |
-25.241 |
-26.217 |
-27.175 |
-28.114 |
-29.030 |
-29.921 |
-30.785 |
-31.621 |
-32.428 |
-33.205 |
-33.952 |
-34.667 |
-35.353 |
-36.009 |
-36.635 |
-37.233 |
-37.804 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.586 |
2.130 |
1.356 |
0.492 |
-0.352 |
-1.102 |
-1.704 |
-2.126 |
-2.359 |
-2.407 |
-2.284 |
-2.010 |
-1.609 |
-1.101 |
-0.508 |
0.151 |
0.860 |
1.605 |
2.376 |
3.164 |
3.961 |
4.762 |
5.562 |
6.356 |
7.143 |
7.919 |
8.682 |
9.430 |
10.162 |
10.876 |
11.571 |
12.247 |
12.902 |
13.536 |
14.149 |
14.739 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.277 |
-0.819 |
-0.897 |
-0.670 |
-0.303 |
0.122 |
0.560 |
0.985 |
1.376 |
1.723 |
2.024 |
2.279 |
2.489 |
2.661 |
2.800 |
2.907 |
2.989 |
3.051 |
3.096 |
3.127 |
3.145 |
3.153 |
3.153 |
3.147 |
3.133 |
3.115 |
3.090 |
3.060 |
3.027 |
2.992 |
2.953 |
2.913 |
2.872 |
2.830 |
2.788 |
2.745 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.270 |
-0.625 |
-0.673 |
-0.586 |
-0.484 |
-0.404 |
-0.352 |
-0.325 |
-0.317 |
-0.323 |
-0.340 |
-0.362 |
-0.388 |
-0.413 |
-0.438 |
-0.461 |
-0.481 |
-0.499 |
-0.513 |
-0.526 |
-0.536 |
-0.544 |
-0.550 |
-0.555 |
-0.558 |
-0.561 |
-0.562 |
-0.563 |
-0.563 |
-0.562 |
-0.561 |
-0.559 |
-0.557 |
-0.555 |
-0.552 |
-0.549 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.257 |
-5.339 |
-5.286 |
-5.176 |
-5.039 |
-4.889 |
-4.737 |
-4.591 |
-4.458 |
-4.340 |
-4.241 |
-4.161 |
-4.100 |
-4.056 |
-4.027 |
-4.013 |
-4.010 |
-4.019 |
-4.035 |
-4.060 |
-4.090 |
-4.124 |
-4.163 |
-4.204 |
-4.246 |
-4.290 |
-4.334 |
-4.377 |
-4.420 |
-4.461 |
-4.500 |
-4.538 |
-4.573 |
-4.605 |
-4.635 |
-4.662 |
Wage |
lna |
0.012 |
0.132 |
0.519 |
1.086 |
1.745 |
2.431 |
3.100 |
3.717 |
4.263 |
4.726 |
5.105 |
5.402 |
5.622 |
5.774 |
5.866 |
5.907 |
5.906 |
5.870 |
5.806 |
5.721 |
5.618 |
5.503 |
5.379 |
5.250 |
5.118 |
4.985 |
4.854 |
4.726 |
4.602 |
4.483 |
4.371 |
4.267 |
4.170 |
4.081 |
4.001 |
3.929 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.047 |
-0.431 |
-0.687 |
-0.816 |
-0.849 |
-0.814 |
-0.735 |
-0.633 |
-0.522 |
-0.414 |
-0.317 |
-0.235 |
-0.170 |
-0.122 |
-0.091 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.086 |
-0.110 |
-0.142 |
-0.183 |
-0.231 |
-0.284 |
-0.341 |
-0.402 |
-0.465 |
-0.530 |
-0.595 |
-0.660 |
-0.724 |
-0.787 |
-0.848 |
-0.906 |
-0.962 |
-1.014 |
-1.064 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.059 |
-0.109 |
-0.087 |
-0.014 |
0.090 |
0.210 |
0.334 |
0.454 |
0.564 |
0.662 |
0.744 |
0.811 |
0.863 |
0.901 |
0.926 |
0.940 |
0.944 |
0.939 |
0.927 |
0.910 |
0.887 |
0.861 |
0.832 |
0.802 |
0.769 |
0.737 |
0.704 |
0.671 |
0.639 |
0.608 |
0.578 |
0.550 |
0.524 |
0.499 |
0.477 |
0.457 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.084 |
0.121 |
0.719 |
1.040 |
1.148 |
1.133 |
1.056 |
0.955 |
0.850 |
0.755 |
0.675 |
0.610 |
0.562 |
0.528 |
0.504 |
0.489 |
0.480 |
0.474 |
0.470 |
0.466 |
0.460 |
0.453 |
0.444 |
0.433 |
0.420 |
0.406 |
0.389 |
0.372 |
0.354 |
0.336 |
0.317 |
0.298 |
0.279 |
0.262 |
0.244 |
0.228 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.095 |
-0.038 |
0.275 |
0.682 |
1.070 |
1.399 |
1.658 |
1.850 |
1.984 |
2.071 |
2.119 |
2.138 |
2.136 |
2.119 |
2.092 |
2.059 |
2.022 |
1.984 |
1.945 |
1.907 |
1.871 |
1.836 |
1.804 |
1.775 |
1.748 |
1.724 |
1.702 |
1.683 |
1.667 |
1.654 |
1.643 |
1.634 |
1.628 |
1.624 |
1.623 |
1.623 |
|
|
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