|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
438.8 |
1020.2 |
1798.7 |
2186.4 |
2279.4 |
2109.1 |
1761.3 |
1305.0 |
798.8 |
285.6 |
-210.0 |
-669.7 |
-1078.0 |
-1433.3 |
-1737.7 |
-1988.5 |
-2189.0 |
-2343.1 |
-2455.9 |
-2529.9 |
-2569.5 |
-2578.4 |
-2561.4 |
-2519.9 |
-2456.3 |
-2373.5 |
-2276.4 |
-2163.9 |
-2044.7 |
-1917.3 |
-1782.5 |
-1645.1 |
-1503.1 |
-1359.9 |
-1221.2 |
-1084.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-82.0 |
-107.3 |
-128.6 |
-146.6 |
-161.0 |
-172.5 |
-181.6 |
-189.2 |
-195.7 |
-201.5 |
-206.9 |
-212.4 |
-217.9 |
-223.5 |
-229.2 |
-235.3 |
-241.4 |
-247.6 |
-253.9 |
-260.1 |
-266.2 |
-272.3 |
-278.1 |
-283.8 |
-289.2 |
-294.5 |
-299.5 |
-304.3 |
-308.9 |
-313.3 |
-317.4 |
-321.5 |
-325.4 |
-329.3 |
-333.1 |
-336.8 |
Investment |
fI |
1181.2 |
2639.3 |
3359.3 |
3911.3 |
4195.9 |
4294.9 |
4222.1 |
4045.5 |
3804.8 |
3525.3 |
3245.9 |
2986.8 |
2770.6 |
2583.4 |
2452.5 |
2355.7 |
2304.0 |
2290.3 |
2305.2 |
2346.2 |
2410.4 |
2493.9 |
2587.5 |
2703.6 |
2822.3 |
2949.6 |
3071.5 |
3181.6 |
3300.9 |
3408.6 |
3511.8 |
3626.9 |
3726.8 |
3820.7 |
3907.7 |
3993.5 |
Export |
fE |
2532.5 |
3802.4 |
5169.4 |
6486.9 |
7820.0 |
9102.1 |
10347.7 |
11534.0 |
12664.9 |
13737.0 |
14752.7 |
15712.5 |
16621.1 |
17479.1 |
18288.2 |
19051.4 |
19769.5 |
20443.8 |
21074.4 |
21662.6 |
22209.2 |
22714.8 |
23182.7 |
23611.5 |
24005.1 |
24362.6 |
24690.0 |
24988.4 |
25261.5 |
25512.4 |
25744.0 |
25960.2 |
26163.4 |
26357.7 |
26546.3 |
26733.4 |
Import |
fM |
736.5 |
1818.0 |
2677.0 |
3277.7 |
3675.3 |
3906.1 |
4025.7 |
4080.5 |
4107.4 |
4123.5 |
4150.3 |
4197.3 |
4274.3 |
4372.5 |
4501.1 |
4649.6 |
4817.5 |
5003.3 |
5197.9 |
5400.2 |
5607.0 |
5816.1 |
6020.4 |
6228.9 |
6428.5 |
6627.1 |
6813.6 |
6989.5 |
7159.7 |
7318.7 |
7469.8 |
7616.8 |
7754.9 |
7884.5 |
8005.1 |
8122.1 |
GDP |
fY |
3227.1 |
5264.6 |
7100.3 |
8658.6 |
9900.3 |
10829.6 |
11498.7 |
11970.4 |
12307.2 |
12554.4 |
12754.4 |
12935.2 |
13128.8 |
13332.1 |
13562.2 |
13813.2 |
14094.1 |
14396.8 |
14716.3 |
15050.1 |
15394.8 |
15746.1 |
16100.7 |
16458.7 |
16815.4 |
17165.3 |
17506.9 |
17834.8 |
18158.7 |
18469.3 |
18771.7 |
19077.0 |
19368.9 |
19655.4 |
19934.4 |
20212.7 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-13.846 |
-14.042 |
-12.662 |
-10.726 |
-8.741 |
-6.969 |
-5.507 |
-4.358 |
-3.475 |
-2.816 |
-2.313 |
-1.916 |
-1.579 |
-1.286 |
-1.000 |
-0.725 |
-0.450 |
-0.175 |
0.095 |
0.354 |
0.600 |
0.830 |
1.032 |
1.219 |
1.373 |
1.505 |
1.602 |
1.667 |
1.706 |
1.714 |
1.697 |
1.663 |
1.608 |
1.535 |
1.447 |
1.349 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.357 |
6.914 |
6.155 |
5.187 |
4.210 |
3.349 |
2.644 |
2.092 |
1.672 |
1.355 |
1.115 |
0.924 |
0.762 |
0.619 |
0.479 |
0.345 |
0.210 |
0.075 |
-0.058 |
-0.184 |
-0.305 |
-0.417 |
-0.516 |
-0.606 |
-0.682 |
-0.744 |
-0.791 |
-0.821 |
-0.839 |
-0.842 |
-0.832 |
-0.815 |
-0.788 |
-0.751 |
-0.707 |
-0.658 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.059 |
0.033 |
0.107 |
0.172 |
0.225 |
0.265 |
0.293 |
0.313 |
0.326 |
0.336 |
0.343 |
0.350 |
0.357 |
0.365 |
0.374 |
0.385 |
0.397 |
0.409 |
0.423 |
0.437 |
0.452 |
0.466 |
0.480 |
0.495 |
0.508 |
0.522 |
0.534 |
0.547 |
0.558 |
0.569 |
0.579 |
0.589 |
0.599 |
0.608 |
0.617 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.019 |
-0.006 |
-0.108 |
-0.175 |
-0.217 |
-0.237 |
-0.236 |
-0.220 |
-0.194 |
-0.163 |
-0.130 |
-0.098 |
-0.068 |
-0.042 |
-0.020 |
-0.002 |
0.012 |
0.022 |
0.030 |
0.034 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.065 |
-0.076 |
-0.069 |
-0.046 |
-0.012 |
0.029 |
0.073 |
0.118 |
0.163 |
0.205 |
0.244 |
0.281 |
0.314 |
0.344 |
0.371 |
0.396 |
0.418 |
0.438 |
0.457 |
0.473 |
0.488 |
0.502 |
0.514 |
0.526 |
0.536 |
0.546 |
0.555 |
0.563 |
0.571 |
0.578 |
0.585 |
0.592 |
0.598 |
0.605 |
0.611 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.298 |
0.349 |
0.340 |
0.320 |
0.314 |
0.337 |
0.396 |
0.495 |
0.633 |
0.808 |
1.016 |
1.254 |
1.515 |
1.798 |
2.097 |
2.410 |
2.734 |
3.065 |
3.402 |
3.743 |
4.087 |
4.431 |
4.777 |
5.120 |
5.462 |
5.802 |
6.139 |
6.473 |
6.803 |
7.131 |
7.454 |
7.773 |
8.089 |
8.401 |
8.709 |
9.013 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.251 |
0.325 |
0.304 |
0.215 |
0.069 |
-0.122 |
-0.344 |
-0.586 |
-0.839 |
-1.097 |
-1.356 |
-1.614 |
-1.872 |
-2.128 |
-2.385 |
-2.642 |
-2.901 |
-3.163 |
-3.428 |
-3.697 |
-3.970 |
-4.247 |
-4.527 |
-4.812 |
-5.099 |
-5.389 |
-5.681 |
-5.975 |
-6.269 |
-6.563 |
-6.857 |
-7.151 |
-7.443 |
-7.734 |
-8.023 |
-8.310 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.231 |
-0.341 |
-0.416 |
-0.470 |
-0.501 |
-0.514 |
-0.515 |
-0.509 |
-0.501 |
-0.495 |
-0.489 |
-0.488 |
-0.490 |
-0.495 |
-0.502 |
-0.514 |
-0.527 |
-0.541 |
-0.556 |
-0.569 |
-0.582 |
-0.594 |
-0.604 |
-0.610 |
-0.617 |
-0.619 |
-0.622 |
-0.623 |
-0.622 |
-0.620 |
-0.617 |
-0.612 |
-0.607 |
-0.600 |
-0.593 |
-0.586 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.753 |
-0.907 |
-0.981 |
-1.019 |
-1.033 |
-1.035 |
-1.030 |
-1.023 |
-1.016 |
-1.010 |
-1.006 |
-1.002 |
-1.000 |
-0.998 |
-0.997 |
-0.996 |
-0.995 |
-0.994 |
-0.993 |
-0.991 |
-0.990 |
-0.989 |
-0.987 |
-0.986 |
-0.984 |
-0.983 |
-0.981 |
-0.980 |
-0.979 |
-0.978 |
-0.978 |
-0.977 |
-0.977 |
-0.976 |
-0.976 |
-0.976 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.443 |
-0.545 |
-0.629 |
-0.702 |
-0.765 |
-0.818 |
-0.863 |
-0.901 |
-0.934 |
-0.962 |
-0.987 |
-1.009 |
-1.027 |
-1.043 |
-1.057 |
-1.068 |
-1.077 |
-1.083 |
-1.088 |
-1.090 |
-1.090 |
-1.088 |
-1.085 |
-1.080 |
-1.073 |
-1.066 |
-1.058 |
-1.049 |
-1.039 |
-1.029 |
-1.019 |
-1.008 |
-0.998 |
-0.989 |
-0.979 |
-0.970 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.361 |
-0.627 |
-0.861 |
-1.064 |
-1.233 |
-1.369 |
-1.478 |
-1.566 |
-1.637 |
-1.696 |
-1.745 |
-1.786 |
-1.820 |
-1.849 |
-1.873 |
-1.891 |
-1.905 |
-1.913 |
-1.916 |
-1.915 |
-1.908 |
-1.898 |
-1.883 |
-1.865 |
-1.844 |
-1.820 |
-1.795 |
-1.767 |
-1.739 |
-1.710 |
-1.682 |
-1.653 |
-1.626 |
-1.599 |
-1.574 |
-1.550 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.437 |
-0.576 |
-0.687 |
-0.789 |
-0.879 |
-0.958 |
-1.026 |
-1.086 |
-1.139 |
-1.186 |
-1.228 |
-1.265 |
-1.299 |
-1.330 |
-1.357 |
-1.382 |
-1.403 |
-1.421 |
-1.436 |
-1.448 |
-1.457 |
-1.464 |
-1.467 |
-1.468 |
-1.467 |
-1.464 |
-1.459 |
-1.452 |
-1.444 |
-1.435 |
-1.425 |
-1.415 |
-1.404 |
-1.393 |
-1.382 |
-1.371 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.314 |
-0.389 |
-0.452 |
-0.507 |
-0.555 |
-0.594 |
-0.628 |
-0.655 |
-0.679 |
-0.699 |
-0.717 |
-0.731 |
-0.744 |
-0.755 |
-0.764 |
-0.771 |
-0.777 |
-0.781 |
-0.784 |
-0.785 |
-0.784 |
-0.783 |
-0.780 |
-0.776 |
-0.771 |
-0.765 |
-0.759 |
-0.752 |
-0.745 |
-0.738 |
-0.730 |
-0.723 |
-0.715 |
-0.708 |
-0.701 |
-0.695 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.055 |
-0.096 |
-0.014 |
0.033 |
0.062 |
0.073 |
0.068 |
0.052 |
0.028 |
0.001 |
-0.028 |
-0.057 |
-0.085 |
-0.109 |
-0.131 |
-0.150 |
-0.165 |
-0.178 |
-0.189 |
-0.197 |
-0.203 |
-0.207 |
-0.210 |
-0.211 |
-0.212 |
-0.211 |
-0.210 |
-0.208 |
-0.205 |
-0.203 |
-0.199 |
-0.196 |
-0.192 |
-0.189 |
-0.185 |
-0.181 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.181 |
-0.319 |
-0.395 |
-0.437 |
-0.456 |
-0.461 |
-0.458 |
-0.451 |
-0.444 |
-0.437 |
-0.430 |
-0.424 |
-0.418 |
-0.413 |
-0.407 |
-0.402 |
-0.395 |
-0.388 |
-0.381 |
-0.372 |
-0.364 |
-0.355 |
-0.345 |
-0.336 |
-0.326 |
-0.317 |
-0.308 |
-0.299 |
-0.291 |
-0.283 |
-0.276 |
-0.270 |
-0.264 |
-0.259 |
-0.255 |
-0.252 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|