|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
587.5 |
1487.2 |
3207.4 |
4245.1 |
4488.5 |
4259.4 |
3750.5 |
3100.9 |
2401.5 |
1705.6 |
1039.0 |
418.9 |
-141.2 |
-641.4 |
-1084.7 |
-1469.4 |
-1798.6 |
-2076.1 |
-2306.3 |
-2491.4 |
-2634.9 |
-2739.7 |
-2810.1 |
-2847.0 |
-2852.6 |
-2829.2 |
-2782.1 |
-2710.0 |
-2622.0 |
-2516.7 |
-2395.5 |
-2263.7 |
-2119.8 |
-1967.9 |
-1814.6 |
-1657.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-72.8 |
-97.7 |
-128.6 |
-154.3 |
-170.3 |
-180.6 |
-188.2 |
-194.6 |
-200.3 |
-205.5 |
-210.9 |
-216.5 |
-222.6 |
-229.1 |
-236.0 |
-243.4 |
-251.1 |
-259.1 |
-267.1 |
-275.2 |
-283.3 |
-291.3 |
-299.1 |
-306.6 |
-313.9 |
-320.9 |
-327.6 |
-334.1 |
-340.2 |
-346.0 |
-351.4 |
-356.8 |
-361.7 |
-366.6 |
-371.3 |
-375.9 |
Investment |
fI |
551.3 |
1698.4 |
3132.4 |
4338.9 |
4841.1 |
4888.3 |
4731.6 |
4465.6 |
4132.9 |
3756.8 |
3384.5 |
3039.8 |
2748.7 |
2497.4 |
2313.8 |
2174.2 |
2089.0 |
2049.7 |
2046.0 |
2074.2 |
2130.9 |
2211.4 |
2306.0 |
2426.6 |
2552.8 |
2690.3 |
2824.8 |
2949.5 |
3085.1 |
3210.4 |
3332.4 |
3467.1 |
3587.2 |
3701.4 |
3808.7 |
3914.3 |
Export |
fE |
818.6 |
1858.5 |
3001.3 |
4117.0 |
5283.6 |
6468.6 |
7652.2 |
8817.3 |
9957.7 |
11071.5 |
12156.8 |
13213.2 |
14242.0 |
15241.3 |
16209.0 |
17144.8 |
18045.9 |
18910.2 |
19734.3 |
20516.6 |
21254.9 |
21947.1 |
22594.3 |
23192.9 |
23745.4 |
24249.2 |
24709.6 |
25126.7 |
25503.8 |
25843.7 |
26149.5 |
26425.0 |
26673.3 |
26898.9 |
27105.6 |
27298.8 |
Import |
fM |
474.7 |
1401.9 |
2808.9 |
3815.9 |
4203.4 |
4260.7 |
4193.8 |
4085.0 |
3972.1 |
3870.7 |
3801.7 |
3773.4 |
3793.7 |
3851.8 |
3954.7 |
4090.1 |
4255.5 |
4447.9 |
4656.7 |
4879.6 |
5112.3 |
5351.7 |
5589.9 |
5834.8 |
6072.7 |
6311.0 |
6537.8 |
6753.9 |
6963.9 |
7161.7 |
7350.2 |
7532.9 |
7704.6 |
7865.4 |
8014.8 |
8157.6 |
GDP |
fY |
1371.5 |
3414.6 |
6156.6 |
8400.4 |
9851.9 |
10751.4 |
11305.1 |
11641.1 |
11846.2 |
11977.3 |
12082.4 |
12191.9 |
12337.6 |
12514.9 |
12738.1 |
12998.5 |
13302.3 |
13638.8 |
14000.5 |
14382.8 |
14780.6 |
15187.9 |
15600.2 |
16016.5 |
16431.1 |
16837.5 |
17233.8 |
17613.9 |
17987.1 |
18343.7 |
18688.6 |
19032.5 |
19359.0 |
19676.2 |
19981.6 |
20282.3 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.471 |
-22.661 |
-18.841 |
-15.060 |
-11.936 |
-9.550 |
-7.801 |
-6.551 |
-5.662 |
-5.034 |
-4.563 |
-4.179 |
-3.825 |
-3.482 |
-3.114 |
-2.729 |
-2.320 |
-1.894 |
-1.460 |
-1.030 |
-0.609 |
-0.205 |
0.167 |
0.519 |
0.829 |
1.108 |
1.340 |
1.529 |
1.679 |
1.786 |
1.855 |
1.895 |
1.903 |
1.880 |
1.832 |
1.762 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.534 |
11.033 |
9.084 |
7.240 |
5.732 |
4.591 |
3.758 |
3.165 |
2.745 |
2.446 |
2.221 |
2.036 |
1.864 |
1.694 |
1.514 |
1.324 |
1.122 |
0.912 |
0.699 |
0.488 |
0.282 |
0.084 |
-0.098 |
-0.269 |
-0.421 |
-0.555 |
-0.667 |
-0.758 |
-0.830 |
-0.881 |
-0.914 |
-0.932 |
-0.935 |
-0.922 |
-0.897 |
-0.862 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.128 |
-0.097 |
-0.155 |
-0.014 |
0.090 |
0.158 |
0.203 |
0.232 |
0.249 |
0.259 |
0.264 |
0.268 |
0.272 |
0.277 |
0.285 |
0.294 |
0.306 |
0.319 |
0.334 |
0.349 |
0.366 |
0.383 |
0.400 |
0.418 |
0.434 |
0.451 |
0.467 |
0.482 |
0.496 |
0.510 |
0.523 |
0.535 |
0.547 |
0.557 |
0.568 |
0.577 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.105 |
0.028 |
0.017 |
-0.159 |
-0.255 |
-0.290 |
-0.293 |
-0.274 |
-0.243 |
-0.205 |
-0.164 |
-0.124 |
-0.088 |
-0.056 |
-0.029 |
-0.007 |
0.010 |
0.024 |
0.034 |
0.040 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.023 |
-0.069 |
-0.138 |
-0.174 |
-0.165 |
-0.133 |
-0.090 |
-0.042 |
0.006 |
0.054 |
0.100 |
0.143 |
0.183 |
0.221 |
0.255 |
0.286 |
0.315 |
0.342 |
0.367 |
0.389 |
0.410 |
0.429 |
0.447 |
0.463 |
0.478 |
0.491 |
0.504 |
0.515 |
0.526 |
0.536 |
0.545 |
0.553 |
0.560 |
0.567 |
0.574 |
0.580 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.083 |
0.113 |
0.030 |
-0.110 |
-0.226 |
-0.299 |
-0.325 |
-0.302 |
-0.234 |
-0.121 |
0.030 |
0.217 |
0.432 |
0.675 |
0.938 |
1.220 |
1.516 |
1.825 |
2.144 |
2.471 |
2.803 |
3.140 |
3.481 |
3.823 |
4.166 |
4.509 |
4.851 |
5.191 |
5.530 |
5.865 |
6.198 |
6.527 |
6.853 |
7.174 |
7.492 |
7.805 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.187 |
0.318 |
0.472 |
0.484 |
0.406 |
0.272 |
0.101 |
-0.092 |
-0.296 |
-0.504 |
-0.711 |
-0.917 |
-1.121 |
-1.326 |
-1.532 |
-1.741 |
-1.956 |
-2.176 |
-2.403 |
-2.638 |
-2.881 |
-3.132 |
-3.390 |
-3.656 |
-3.928 |
-4.205 |
-4.488 |
-4.775 |
-5.065 |
-5.357 |
-5.651 |
-5.945 |
-6.240 |
-6.535 |
-6.828 |
-7.121 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.090 |
-0.206 |
-0.334 |
-0.415 |
-0.447 |
-0.448 |
-0.436 |
-0.417 |
-0.399 |
-0.386 |
-0.376 |
-0.373 |
-0.377 |
-0.387 |
-0.400 |
-0.418 |
-0.440 |
-0.463 |
-0.487 |
-0.511 |
-0.533 |
-0.555 |
-0.574 |
-0.589 |
-0.603 |
-0.613 |
-0.623 |
-0.630 |
-0.635 |
-0.638 |
-0.639 |
-0.638 |
-0.635 |
-0.631 |
-0.626 |
-0.619 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.043 |
-0.081 |
-0.115 |
-0.122 |
-0.107 |
-0.085 |
-0.065 |
-0.049 |
-0.037 |
-0.029 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.147 |
-0.289 |
-0.408 |
-0.494 |
-0.565 |
-0.627 |
-0.681 |
-0.730 |
-0.774 |
-0.815 |
-0.853 |
-0.888 |
-0.921 |
-0.951 |
-0.978 |
-1.002 |
-1.023 |
-1.041 |
-1.056 |
-1.068 |
-1.078 |
-1.084 |
-1.087 |
-1.088 |
-1.087 |
-1.083 |
-1.078 |
-1.071 |
-1.062 |
-1.053 |
-1.043 |
-1.032 |
-1.021 |
-1.010 |
-0.998 |
-0.987 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.335 |
-0.802 |
-1.180 |
-1.455 |
-1.676 |
-1.855 |
-2.002 |
-2.126 |
-2.233 |
-2.328 |
-2.415 |
-2.494 |
-2.568 |
-2.635 |
-2.695 |
-2.749 |
-2.795 |
-2.835 |
-2.866 |
-2.890 |
-2.906 |
-2.915 |
-2.917 |
-2.913 |
-2.903 |
-2.888 |
-2.868 |
-2.845 |
-2.819 |
-2.790 |
-2.760 |
-2.729 |
-2.697 |
-2.666 |
-2.635 |
-2.605 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.147 |
-0.300 |
-0.441 |
-0.551 |
-0.647 |
-0.732 |
-0.807 |
-0.874 |
-0.936 |
-0.993 |
-1.047 |
-1.098 |
-1.146 |
-1.192 |
-1.235 |
-1.275 |
-1.312 |
-1.345 |
-1.375 |
-1.400 |
-1.422 |
-1.440 |
-1.455 |
-1.466 |
-1.473 |
-1.477 |
-1.478 |
-1.476 |
-1.472 |
-1.467 |
-1.459 |
-1.450 |
-1.439 |
-1.428 |
-1.417 |
-1.404 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.103 |
-0.205 |
-0.293 |
-0.358 |
-0.412 |
-0.459 |
-0.500 |
-0.536 |
-0.568 |
-0.597 |
-0.624 |
-0.649 |
-0.671 |
-0.692 |
-0.711 |
-0.728 |
-0.743 |
-0.755 |
-0.766 |
-0.774 |
-0.780 |
-0.784 |
-0.786 |
-0.786 |
-0.785 |
-0.782 |
-0.778 |
-0.772 |
-0.766 |
-0.759 |
-0.752 |
-0.744 |
-0.735 |
-0.727 |
-0.719 |
-0.711 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.120 |
-0.076 |
-0.100 |
0.034 |
0.111 |
0.140 |
0.141 |
0.124 |
0.097 |
0.064 |
0.029 |
-0.005 |
-0.038 |
-0.067 |
-0.094 |
-0.117 |
-0.138 |
-0.155 |
-0.169 |
-0.181 |
-0.191 |
-0.199 |
-0.205 |
-0.210 |
-0.213 |
-0.215 |
-0.216 |
-0.216 |
-0.216 |
-0.214 |
-0.212 |
-0.209 |
-0.206 |
-0.203 |
-0.199 |
-0.195 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.110 |
-0.242 |
-0.341 |
-0.390 |
-0.407 |
-0.410 |
-0.408 |
-0.406 |
-0.405 |
-0.406 |
-0.409 |
-0.412 |
-0.416 |
-0.419 |
-0.421 |
-0.422 |
-0.421 |
-0.419 |
-0.415 |
-0.409 |
-0.402 |
-0.394 |
-0.384 |
-0.374 |
-0.364 |
-0.353 |
-0.342 |
-0.331 |
-0.320 |
-0.310 |
-0.300 |
-0.291 |
-0.283 |
-0.275 |
-0.268 |
-0.262 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|