|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
772.5 |
1838.9 |
2487.4 |
2564.2 |
2242.1 |
1675.9 |
980.1 |
224.7 |
-543.1 |
-1293.3 |
-2011.5 |
-2686.1 |
-3305.3 |
-3869.0 |
-4379.2 |
-4832.2 |
-5229.8 |
-5574.2 |
-5868.8 |
-6114.6 |
-6314.8 |
-6472.4 |
-6591.4 |
-6673.3 |
-6720.5 |
-6736.1 |
-6725.7 |
-6689.1 |
-6635.8 |
-6565.1 |
-6479.3 |
-6384.0 |
-6278.4 |
-6167.1 |
-6057.0 |
-5946.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-17.3 |
-41.2 |
-61.1 |
-74.6 |
-84.1 |
-91.7 |
-98.4 |
-104.6 |
-110.7 |
-116.8 |
-123.1 |
-129.7 |
-136.7 |
-144.0 |
-151.5 |
-159.3 |
-167.1 |
-175.1 |
-182.9 |
-190.5 |
-198.0 |
-205.2 |
-212.0 |
-218.5 |
-224.6 |
-230.3 |
-235.5 |
-240.4 |
-244.9 |
-249.0 |
-252.7 |
-256.1 |
-259.2 |
-262.2 |
-264.8 |
-267.3 |
Investment |
fI |
604.0 |
1806.5 |
2769.7 |
3214.1 |
3311.7 |
3240.7 |
3063.2 |
2818.7 |
2540.9 |
2243.9 |
1963.7 |
1714.0 |
1513.8 |
1345.2 |
1233.4 |
1154.6 |
1119.2 |
1119.9 |
1147.7 |
1200.3 |
1275.6 |
1370.0 |
1474.9 |
1602.8 |
1734.0 |
1874.6 |
2010.6 |
2135.4 |
2269.6 |
2392.2 |
2510.0 |
2639.2 |
2752.3 |
2858.1 |
2955.6 |
3050.0 |
Export |
fE |
747.8 |
1640.5 |
2631.1 |
3705.7 |
4858.9 |
6055.4 |
7278.7 |
8512.6 |
9746.8 |
10974.9 |
12189.1 |
13383.4 |
14553.6 |
15693.1 |
16796.4 |
17859.8 |
18878.3 |
19848.2 |
20765.2 |
21627.1 |
22431.6 |
23177.0 |
23864.8 |
24492.2 |
25062.6 |
25574.5 |
26034.1 |
26442.8 |
26804.9 |
27124.5 |
27405.7 |
27653.4 |
27871.8 |
28066.3 |
28241.8 |
28404.1 |
Import |
fM |
574.4 |
1572.6 |
2309.6 |
2617.3 |
2678.3 |
2639.2 |
2566.4 |
2490.0 |
2430.9 |
2394.9 |
2395.2 |
2434.9 |
2518.6 |
2633.9 |
2787.1 |
2965.9 |
3168.3 |
3391.7 |
3626.3 |
3870.2 |
4119.6 |
4371.7 |
4619.0 |
4869.5 |
5109.8 |
5347.2 |
5570.1 |
5779.2 |
5979.4 |
6164.5 |
6337.6 |
6502.4 |
6653.6 |
6791.7 |
6916.1 |
7032.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1497.4 |
3550.0 |
5297.4 |
6512.6 |
7328.5 |
7889.7 |
8284.4 |
8572.5 |
8801.9 |
9002.9 |
9203.1 |
9417.9 |
9668.6 |
9943.4 |
10253.0 |
10586.6 |
10949.8 |
11332.0 |
11726.8 |
12130.6 |
12539.6 |
12948.9 |
13355.1 |
13758.1 |
14153.0 |
14534.3 |
14900.4 |
15245.9 |
15580.4 |
15894.6 |
16193.6 |
16488.7 |
16763.7 |
17026.7 |
17275.9 |
17518.4 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.629 |
4.418 |
7.393 |
10.032 |
12.203 |
13.944 |
15.330 |
16.443 |
17.364 |
18.144 |
18.844 |
19.499 |
20.140 |
20.767 |
21.404 |
22.033 |
22.659 |
23.273 |
23.866 |
24.429 |
24.956 |
25.444 |
25.880 |
26.278 |
26.619 |
26.915 |
27.154 |
27.338 |
27.477 |
27.565 |
27.609 |
27.621 |
27.596 |
27.538 |
27.453 |
27.347 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.646 |
11.148 |
9.646 |
8.376 |
7.328 |
6.491 |
5.825 |
5.290 |
4.848 |
4.469 |
4.129 |
3.809 |
3.495 |
3.186 |
2.874 |
2.565 |
2.258 |
1.957 |
1.667 |
1.392 |
1.134 |
0.897 |
0.683 |
0.491 |
0.325 |
0.182 |
0.067 |
-0.021 |
-0.087 |
-0.128 |
-0.148 |
-0.153 |
-0.139 |
-0.109 |
-0.066 |
-0.013 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.154 |
-0.116 |
-0.029 |
0.063 |
0.129 |
0.178 |
0.213 |
0.240 |
0.260 |
0.276 |
0.290 |
0.304 |
0.319 |
0.334 |
0.351 |
0.369 |
0.389 |
0.410 |
0.431 |
0.453 |
0.474 |
0.496 |
0.517 |
0.538 |
0.559 |
0.579 |
0.597 |
0.615 |
0.632 |
0.649 |
0.664 |
0.679 |
0.692 |
0.705 |
0.718 |
0.730 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.124 |
0.033 |
-0.084 |
-0.169 |
-0.207 |
-0.217 |
-0.208 |
-0.187 |
-0.159 |
-0.126 |
-0.094 |
-0.063 |
-0.035 |
-0.011 |
0.010 |
0.027 |
0.040 |
0.050 |
0.057 |
0.062 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.052 |
0.048 |
0.043 |
0.039 |
0.034 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.030 |
-0.083 |
-0.113 |
-0.107 |
-0.079 |
-0.040 |
0.005 |
0.053 |
0.101 |
0.149 |
0.196 |
0.240 |
0.283 |
0.323 |
0.360 |
0.395 |
0.428 |
0.459 |
0.487 |
0.514 |
0.538 |
0.561 |
0.582 |
0.600 |
0.618 |
0.634 |
0.649 |
0.663 |
0.675 |
0.687 |
0.697 |
0.707 |
0.716 |
0.725 |
0.733 |
0.741 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.061 |
0.051 |
0.006 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
0.008 |
0.087 |
0.207 |
0.368 |
0.567 |
0.801 |
1.067 |
1.360 |
1.678 |
2.016 |
2.372 |
2.744 |
3.128 |
3.522 |
3.925 |
4.335 |
4.749 |
5.166 |
5.585 |
6.005 |
6.424 |
6.842 |
7.259 |
7.672 |
8.082 |
8.489 |
8.891 |
9.288 |
9.682 |
10.071 |
10.455 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.203 |
0.339 |
0.386 |
0.350 |
0.255 |
0.118 |
-0.050 |
-0.238 |
-0.441 |
-0.655 |
-0.877 |
-1.107 |
-1.346 |
-1.593 |
-1.849 |
-2.116 |
-2.392 |
-2.680 |
-2.978 |
-3.287 |
-3.606 |
-3.934 |
-4.271 |
-4.616 |
-4.968 |
-5.325 |
-5.688 |
-6.054 |
-6.423 |
-6.794 |
-7.165 |
-7.538 |
-7.909 |
-8.280 |
-8.649 |
-9.016 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.093 |
-0.204 |
-0.282 |
-0.326 |
-0.346 |
-0.356 |
-0.360 |
-0.364 |
-0.370 |
-0.382 |
-0.396 |
-0.415 |
-0.439 |
-0.466 |
-0.493 |
-0.524 |
-0.556 |
-0.588 |
-0.618 |
-0.647 |
-0.673 |
-0.697 |
-0.718 |
-0.735 |
-0.750 |
-0.760 |
-0.769 |
-0.775 |
-0.779 |
-0.780 |
-0.779 |
-0.777 |
-0.772 |
-0.766 |
-0.758 |
-0.750 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.042 |
-0.079 |
-0.090 |
-0.083 |
-0.070 |
-0.056 |
-0.044 |
-0.034 |
-0.027 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.135 |
-0.256 |
-0.356 |
-0.443 |
-0.521 |
-0.594 |
-0.661 |
-0.723 |
-0.780 |
-0.833 |
-0.882 |
-0.927 |
-0.968 |
-1.005 |
-1.038 |
-1.066 |
-1.090 |
-1.110 |
-1.127 |
-1.139 |
-1.147 |
-1.152 |
-1.154 |
-1.153 |
-1.149 |
-1.143 |
-1.135 |
-1.126 |
-1.115 |
-1.103 |
-1.090 |
-1.077 |
-1.063 |
-1.050 |
-1.037 |
-1.024 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.310 |
-0.711 |
-1.035 |
-1.308 |
-1.545 |
-1.752 |
-1.934 |
-2.096 |
-2.242 |
-2.374 |
-2.494 |
-2.603 |
-2.701 |
-2.787 |
-2.863 |
-2.927 |
-2.981 |
-3.024 |
-3.056 |
-3.079 |
-3.092 |
-3.097 |
-3.093 |
-3.082 |
-3.065 |
-3.042 |
-3.015 |
-2.984 |
-2.950 |
-2.914 |
-2.877 |
-2.839 |
-2.801 |
-2.764 |
-2.728 |
-2.694 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.136 |
-0.268 |
-0.385 |
-0.493 |
-0.592 |
-0.684 |
-0.770 |
-0.851 |
-0.928 |
-1.000 |
-1.068 |
-1.133 |
-1.194 |
-1.250 |
-1.302 |
-1.350 |
-1.392 |
-1.430 |
-1.463 |
-1.491 |
-1.514 |
-1.533 |
-1.546 |
-1.556 |
-1.562 |
-1.563 |
-1.562 |
-1.558 |
-1.551 |
-1.542 |
-1.532 |
-1.520 |
-1.506 |
-1.492 |
-1.478 |
-1.463 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.095 |
-0.182 |
-0.256 |
-0.321 |
-0.380 |
-0.434 |
-0.483 |
-0.528 |
-0.569 |
-0.607 |
-0.642 |
-0.674 |
-0.704 |
-0.730 |
-0.753 |
-0.773 |
-0.790 |
-0.804 |
-0.815 |
-0.823 |
-0.829 |
-0.832 |
-0.833 |
-0.832 |
-0.828 |
-0.824 |
-0.818 |
-0.810 |
-0.802 |
-0.793 |
-0.784 |
-0.774 |
-0.764 |
-0.754 |
-0.745 |
-0.736 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.139 |
-0.081 |
0.001 |
0.067 |
0.095 |
0.098 |
0.086 |
0.063 |
0.034 |
0.002 |
-0.030 |
-0.062 |
-0.092 |
-0.120 |
-0.145 |
-0.168 |
-0.188 |
-0.205 |
-0.220 |
-0.233 |
-0.243 |
-0.251 |
-0.258 |
-0.263 |
-0.266 |
-0.268 |
-0.269 |
-0.268 |
-0.267 |
-0.265 |
-0.262 |
-0.259 |
-0.255 |
-0.250 |
-0.246 |
-0.241 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.102 |
-0.218 |
-0.288 |
-0.330 |
-0.356 |
-0.374 |
-0.389 |
-0.401 |
-0.413 |
-0.423 |
-0.432 |
-0.439 |
-0.445 |
-0.448 |
-0.449 |
-0.448 |
-0.445 |
-0.439 |
-0.432 |
-0.423 |
-0.413 |
-0.401 |
-0.389 |
-0.376 |
-0.362 |
-0.349 |
-0.335 |
-0.322 |
-0.310 |
-0.298 |
-0.286 |
-0.276 |
-0.267 |
-0.258 |
-0.251 |
-0.244 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|