|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1219.5 |
-2912.5 |
-4223.4 |
-5107.8 |
-5703.5 |
-6132.4 |
-6472.7 |
-6776.2 |
-7068.5 |
-7362.1 |
-7666.3 |
-7980.8 |
-8297.8 |
-8616.5 |
-8935.3 |
-9246.5 |
-9546.6 |
-9833.1 |
-10105.0 |
-10359.5 |
-10596.1 |
-10814.8 |
-11017.1 |
-11202.1 |
-11370.5 |
-11523.4 |
-11665.0 |
-11793.6 |
-11917.1 |
-12033.7 |
-12144.2 |
-12252.8 |
-12357.5 |
-12461.7 |
-12570.8 |
-12681.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
17.9 |
40.7 |
54.7 |
61.2 |
64.1 |
64.4 |
62.9 |
60.0 |
56.2 |
52.0 |
47.5 |
42.9 |
38.3 |
34.1 |
30.1 |
26.3 |
22.9 |
19.8 |
17.0 |
14.5 |
12.4 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-624.7 |
-2153.8 |
-2931.0 |
-3240.2 |
-3409.9 |
-3472.3 |
-3448.8 |
-3364.4 |
-3236.4 |
-3102.9 |
-2964.6 |
-2834.6 |
-2708.9 |
-2612.7 |
-2522.2 |
-2458.0 |
-2404.3 |
-2361.7 |
-2331.7 |
-2309.5 |
-2290.5 |
-2272.3 |
-2258.2 |
-2231.6 |
-2208.8 |
-2180.8 |
-2159.8 |
-2150.5 |
-2131.4 |
-2122.8 |
-2117.2 |
-2098.2 |
-2093.1 |
-2092.8 |
-2098.5 |
-2104.9 |
Export |
fE |
-796.2 |
-1128.5 |
-1361.1 |
-1423.4 |
-1392.5 |
-1243.5 |
-1006.1 |
-684.3 |
-300.3 |
135.0 |
603.0 |
1091.0 |
1587.4 |
2081.0 |
2562.3 |
3025.7 |
3465.2 |
3876.9 |
4257.3 |
4604.8 |
4918.4 |
5197.2 |
5443.6 |
5655.3 |
5836.0 |
5983.7 |
6104.1 |
6197.7 |
6267.2 |
6315.2 |
6343.9 |
6356.2 |
6353.8 |
6339.8 |
6316.6 |
6287.7 |
Import |
fM |
-1364.2 |
-3118.1 |
-4055.5 |
-4449.8 |
-4684.7 |
-4792.7 |
-4824.8 |
-4805.4 |
-4754.9 |
-4694.1 |
-4627.6 |
-4561.0 |
-4493.2 |
-4435.6 |
-4378.7 |
-4330.2 |
-4286.9 |
-4245.8 |
-4211.9 |
-4182.1 |
-4156.3 |
-4133.7 |
-4118.8 |
-4101.2 |
-4092.6 |
-4084.1 |
-4086.5 |
-4098.0 |
-4113.8 |
-4139.5 |
-4172.1 |
-4208.0 |
-4252.6 |
-4305.6 |
-4368.1 |
-4435.1 |
GDP |
fY |
-1250.7 |
-3073.1 |
-4516.2 |
-5392.2 |
-5904.5 |
-6151.5 |
-6213.8 |
-6148.3 |
-5998.9 |
-5805.0 |
-5590.2 |
-5373.8 |
-5156.7 |
-4962.2 |
-4784.2 |
-4633.1 |
-4499.0 |
-4386.7 |
-4295.7 |
-4222.7 |
-4164.5 |
-4119.8 |
-4087.0 |
-4061.4 |
-4044.4 |
-4039.1 |
-4045.0 |
-4066.3 |
-4092.6 |
-4133.0 |
-4182.5 |
-4230.1 |
-4292.7 |
-4362.6 |
-4442.6 |
-4526.4 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.034 |
-2.987 |
-4.837 |
-6.213 |
-7.085 |
-7.498 |
-7.530 |
-7.267 |
-6.788 |
-6.182 |
-5.499 |
-4.787 |
-4.074 |
-3.398 |
-2.755 |
-2.170 |
-1.640 |
-1.167 |
-0.750 |
-0.389 |
-0.077 |
0.190 |
0.410 |
0.603 |
0.756 |
0.885 |
0.980 |
1.045 |
1.090 |
1.109 |
1.107 |
1.095 |
1.066 |
1.022 |
0.966 |
0.901 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.550 |
1.546 |
2.450 |
3.107 |
3.514 |
3.698 |
3.698 |
3.557 |
3.315 |
3.010 |
2.672 |
2.321 |
1.971 |
1.640 |
1.326 |
1.042 |
0.784 |
0.553 |
0.351 |
0.176 |
0.025 |
-0.104 |
-0.212 |
-0.304 |
-0.379 |
-0.440 |
-0.485 |
-0.516 |
-0.537 |
-0.545 |
-0.544 |
-0.537 |
-0.522 |
-0.500 |
-0.472 |
-0.440 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.063 |
0.026 |
-0.044 |
-0.090 |
-0.117 |
-0.129 |
-0.129 |
-0.121 |
-0.106 |
-0.088 |
-0.068 |
-0.047 |
-0.027 |
-0.008 |
0.009 |
0.025 |
0.040 |
0.054 |
0.066 |
0.076 |
0.086 |
0.095 |
0.104 |
0.111 |
0.118 |
0.125 |
0.131 |
0.136 |
0.142 |
0.146 |
0.150 |
0.154 |
0.158 |
0.161 |
0.164 |
0.167 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.132 |
-0.044 |
0.055 |
0.109 |
0.137 |
0.148 |
0.147 |
0.138 |
0.124 |
0.110 |
0.095 |
0.082 |
0.070 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.069 |
-0.018 |
0.011 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.034 |
0.043 |
0.052 |
0.062 |
0.073 |
0.084 |
0.094 |
0.104 |
0.114 |
0.123 |
0.131 |
0.138 |
0.144 |
0.150 |
0.154 |
0.158 |
0.162 |
0.164 |
0.167 |
0.169 |
0.170 |
0.171 |
0.172 |
0.173 |
0.174 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.094 |
-0.070 |
0.014 |
0.100 |
0.181 |
0.253 |
0.316 |
0.371 |
0.420 |
0.465 |
0.510 |
0.555 |
0.603 |
0.656 |
0.713 |
0.776 |
0.845 |
0.919 |
0.998 |
1.081 |
1.169 |
1.260 |
1.354 |
1.449 |
1.546 |
1.643 |
1.739 |
1.836 |
1.932 |
2.027 |
2.120 |
2.212 |
2.302 |
2.390 |
2.476 |
2.561 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.073 |
-0.064 |
0.015 |
0.128 |
0.257 |
0.388 |
0.512 |
0.621 |
0.710 |
0.777 |
0.822 |
0.844 |
0.845 |
0.828 |
0.793 |
0.744 |
0.682 |
0.609 |
0.527 |
0.437 |
0.341 |
0.239 |
0.133 |
0.024 |
-0.089 |
-0.203 |
-0.320 |
-0.437 |
-0.556 |
-0.674 |
-0.792 |
-0.909 |
-1.026 |
-1.142 |
-1.256 |
-1.369 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.111 |
0.200 |
0.234 |
0.232 |
0.207 |
0.166 |
0.116 |
0.062 |
0.006 |
-0.049 |
-0.099 |
-0.146 |
-0.188 |
-0.226 |
-0.257 |
-0.287 |
-0.313 |
-0.336 |
-0.356 |
-0.373 |
-0.387 |
-0.400 |
-0.410 |
-0.417 |
-0.424 |
-0.427 |
-0.431 |
-0.434 |
-0.435 |
-0.435 |
-0.434 |
-0.432 |
-0.429 |
-0.426 |
-0.422 |
-0.417 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.083 |
0.133 |
0.143 |
0.137 |
0.127 |
0.117 |
0.108 |
0.102 |
0.098 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.104 |
0.107 |
0.110 |
0.114 |
0.117 |
0.120 |
0.123 |
0.126 |
0.128 |
0.130 |
0.132 |
0.134 |
0.135 |
0.137 |
0.138 |
0.139 |
0.139 |
0.140 |
0.140 |
0.141 |
0.141 |
0.141 |
0.141 |
User cost |
uim |
0.220 |
0.267 |
0.242 |
0.209 |
0.170 |
0.129 |
0.086 |
0.044 |
0.003 |
-0.034 |
-0.069 |
-0.101 |
-0.128 |
-0.152 |
-0.173 |
-0.190 |
-0.204 |
-0.215 |
-0.223 |
-0.229 |
-0.233 |
-0.234 |
-0.235 |
-0.233 |
-0.230 |
-0.227 |
-0.222 |
-0.217 |
-0.211 |
-0.205 |
-0.198 |
-0.192 |
-0.185 |
-0.178 |
-0.172 |
-0.166 |
Wage |
lna |
0.028 |
-0.002 |
-0.078 |
-0.179 |
-0.298 |
-0.427 |
-0.558 |
-0.687 |
-0.809 |
-0.921 |
-1.022 |
-1.110 |
-1.187 |
-1.251 |
-1.305 |
-1.348 |
-1.381 |
-1.406 |
-1.423 |
-1.433 |
-1.438 |
-1.438 |
-1.433 |
-1.425 |
-1.414 |
-1.400 |
-1.384 |
-1.367 |
-1.349 |
-1.330 |
-1.311 |
-1.292 |
-1.273 |
-1.255 |
-1.238 |
-1.222 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.281 |
0.366 |
0.358 |
0.334 |
0.300 |
0.259 |
0.213 |
0.165 |
0.115 |
0.067 |
0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.062 |
-0.098 |
-0.130 |
-0.158 |
-0.182 |
-0.203 |
-0.220 |
-0.235 |
-0.246 |
-0.254 |
-0.260 |
-0.264 |
-0.266 |
-0.266 |
-0.264 |
-0.261 |
-0.257 |
-0.252 |
-0.246 |
-0.240 |
-0.233 |
-0.226 |
-0.219 |
-0.212 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.221 |
-0.290 |
-0.303 |
-0.324 |
-0.350 |
-0.379 |
-0.409 |
-0.440 |
-0.469 |
-0.497 |
-0.522 |
-0.545 |
-0.565 |
-0.582 |
-0.597 |
-0.610 |
-0.620 |
-0.628 |
-0.634 |
-0.638 |
-0.640 |
-0.641 |
-0.641 |
-0.640 |
-0.638 |
-0.635 |
-0.632 |
-0.628 |
-0.623 |
-0.619 |
-0.614 |
-0.609 |
-0.604 |
-0.600 |
-0.595 |
-0.591 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.156 |
0.121 |
0.037 |
-0.017 |
-0.047 |
-0.063 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.072 |
-0.076 |
-0.080 |
-0.085 |
-0.091 |
-0.096 |
-0.101 |
-0.105 |
-0.109 |
-0.112 |
-0.115 |
-0.117 |
-0.119 |
-0.120 |
-0.119 |
-0.119 |
-0.118 |
-0.117 |
-0.116 |
-0.114 |
-0.112 |
-0.110 |
-0.108 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.039 |
-0.048 |
-0.070 |
-0.109 |
-0.153 |
-0.195 |
-0.233 |
-0.264 |
-0.289 |
-0.308 |
-0.322 |
-0.331 |
-0.336 |
-0.338 |
-0.337 |
-0.335 |
-0.330 |
-0.325 |
-0.318 |
-0.311 |
-0.304 |
-0.296 |
-0.288 |
-0.280 |
-0.273 |
-0.265 |
-0.258 |
-0.251 |
-0.245 |
-0.239 |
-0.234 |
-0.229 |
-0.224 |
-0.220 |
-0.217 |
-0.214 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|