|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-882.2 |
-922.9 |
-1279.8 |
-1679.1 |
-1922.4 |
-2020.6 |
-2005.0 |
-1915.8 |
-1779.2 |
-1611.4 |
-1429.4 |
-1241.5 |
-1049.1 |
-860.0 |
-680.4 |
-508.7 |
-347.0 |
-196.4 |
-59.1 |
65.5 |
177.0 |
275.6 |
360.2 |
432.9 |
494.7 |
546.1 |
585.0 |
615.7 |
632.7 |
640.3 |
640.2 |
630.9 |
616.9 |
597.5 |
569.2 |
537.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-30.0 |
-34.5 |
-28.8 |
-23.1 |
-19.8 |
-17.9 |
-16.7 |
-15.7 |
-15.0 |
-14.3 |
-13.6 |
-12.9 |
-12.1 |
-11.1 |
-10.0 |
-8.8 |
-7.4 |
-6.0 |
-4.4 |
-2.8 |
-1.1 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
12.3 |
13.0 |
13.6 |
14.0 |
14.4 |
14.6 |
Investment |
fI |
809.8 |
1337.4 |
537.1 |
4.9 |
-296.2 |
-424.2 |
-494.3 |
-511.2 |
-487.3 |
-441.4 |
-372.2 |
-289.9 |
-193.5 |
-111.2 |
-22.8 |
46.5 |
109.1 |
161.2 |
198.3 |
223.5 |
239.9 |
249.3 |
248.4 |
254.4 |
251.4 |
249.4 |
237.2 |
211.1 |
193.9 |
166.3 |
136.6 |
122.5 |
97.4 |
71.0 |
42.9 |
18.9 |
Export |
fE |
2264.7 |
2772.1 |
3143.7 |
3319.3 |
3430.6 |
3447.3 |
3413.7 |
3327.6 |
3206.7 |
3056.1 |
2882.9 |
2690.5 |
2485.4 |
2269.6 |
2046.1 |
1819.2 |
1591.3 |
1365.6 |
1143.8 |
928.7 |
722.5 |
526.8 |
345.0 |
175.6 |
22.1 |
-118.1 |
-240.7 |
-347.0 |
-436.3 |
-508.8 |
-564.9 |
-605.1 |
-630.7 |
-642.2 |
-640.5 |
-625.7 |
Import |
fM |
102.1 |
555.0 |
221.1 |
-34.4 |
-121.7 |
-111.1 |
-59.6 |
9.9 |
89.4 |
165.6 |
238.3 |
303.0 |
361.7 |
402.9 |
436.0 |
453.4 |
458.9 |
455.9 |
440.4 |
416.2 |
385.0 |
349.1 |
305.5 |
266.2 |
221.0 |
180.3 |
134.3 |
86.0 |
41.6 |
-4.1 |
-47.5 |
-84.3 |
-119.7 |
-153.3 |
-186.1 |
-213.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1968.1 |
2381.4 |
1878.1 |
1374.3 |
1029.0 |
809.7 |
671.4 |
588.4 |
548.2 |
534.2 |
538.1 |
549.4 |
572.2 |
585.2 |
594.8 |
590.6 |
581.0 |
560.7 |
528.9 |
488.1 |
441.3 |
389.8 |
335.5 |
283.8 |
233.5 |
182.4 |
131.5 |
77.1 |
29.8 |
-19.0 |
-64.3 |
-95.1 |
-128.3 |
-156.5 |
-183.1 |
-202.3 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.747 |
4.226 |
4.423 |
4.150 |
3.780 |
3.420 |
3.104 |
2.841 |
2.632 |
2.456 |
2.311 |
2.183 |
2.069 |
1.947 |
1.831 |
1.700 |
1.562 |
1.415 |
1.260 |
1.097 |
0.931 |
0.766 |
0.599 |
0.449 |
0.301 |
0.171 |
0.046 |
-0.069 |
-0.168 |
-0.259 |
-0.338 |
-0.397 |
-0.446 |
-0.486 |
-0.514 |
-0.532 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.460 |
-2.137 |
-2.180 |
-2.026 |
-1.841 |
-1.664 |
-1.511 |
-1.384 |
-1.282 |
-1.199 |
-1.128 |
-1.067 |
-1.011 |
-0.952 |
-0.894 |
-0.829 |
-0.761 |
-0.689 |
-0.612 |
-0.532 |
-0.450 |
-0.370 |
-0.288 |
-0.214 |
-0.143 |
-0.079 |
-0.018 |
0.038 |
0.087 |
0.131 |
0.169 |
0.197 |
0.221 |
0.240 |
0.254 |
0.262 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.073 |
0.137 |
0.121 |
0.097 |
0.079 |
0.066 |
0.056 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.112 |
-0.153 |
-0.090 |
-0.029 |
0.012 |
0.038 |
0.053 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.054 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.030 |
0.021 |
0.014 |
0.007 |
0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.038 |
-0.017 |
0.031 |
0.069 |
0.092 |
0.104 |
0.110 |
0.111 |
0.109 |
0.105 |
0.099 |
0.093 |
0.086 |
0.079 |
0.071 |
0.064 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.039 |
0.034 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.203 |
-0.329 |
-0.333 |
-0.288 |
-0.218 |
-0.137 |
-0.051 |
0.035 |
0.117 |
0.193 |
0.263 |
0.325 |
0.378 |
0.425 |
0.463 |
0.495 |
0.521 |
0.541 |
0.555 |
0.566 |
0.572 |
0.574 |
0.574 |
0.570 |
0.565 |
0.557 |
0.547 |
0.537 |
0.525 |
0.514 |
0.502 |
0.489 |
0.477 |
0.466 |
0.455 |
0.444 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.174 |
-0.333 |
-0.443 |
-0.526 |
-0.590 |
-0.640 |
-0.678 |
-0.708 |
-0.733 |
-0.754 |
-0.775 |
-0.794 |
-0.813 |
-0.832 |
-0.851 |
-0.868 |
-0.885 |
-0.900 |
-0.913 |
-0.924 |
-0.932 |
-0.938 |
-0.941 |
-0.941 |
-0.939 |
-0.935 |
-0.928 |
-0.919 |
-0.908 |
-0.896 |
-0.882 |
-0.867 |
-0.851 |
-0.835 |
-0.818 |
-0.801 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.177 |
-0.180 |
-0.144 |
-0.119 |
-0.105 |
-0.099 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
-0.100 |
-0.104 |
-0.105 |
-0.106 |
-0.104 |
-0.101 |
-0.094 |
-0.088 |
-0.081 |
-0.072 |
-0.063 |
-0.054 |
-0.044 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.004 |
0.011 |
0.017 |
0.023 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.086 |
-0.051 |
-0.015 |
0.003 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
0.569 |
0.618 |
0.657 |
0.690 |
0.719 |
0.746 |
0.770 |
0.793 |
0.814 |
0.833 |
0.852 |
0.870 |
0.886 |
0.902 |
0.917 |
0.931 |
0.944 |
0.956 |
0.967 |
0.976 |
0.985 |
0.992 |
0.998 |
1.003 |
1.007 |
1.010 |
1.012 |
1.013 |
1.013 |
1.013 |
1.012 |
1.010 |
1.008 |
1.005 |
1.003 |
1.000 |
Wage |
lna |
0.097 |
0.179 |
0.262 |
0.342 |
0.416 |
0.482 |
0.542 |
0.597 |
0.648 |
0.695 |
0.740 |
0.782 |
0.822 |
0.860 |
0.895 |
0.929 |
0.959 |
0.987 |
1.013 |
1.035 |
1.054 |
1.070 |
1.083 |
1.093 |
1.101 |
1.106 |
1.109 |
1.109 |
1.107 |
1.104 |
1.099 |
1.093 |
1.086 |
1.078 |
1.069 |
1.060 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.366 |
0.440 |
0.485 |
0.527 |
0.567 |
0.604 |
0.638 |
0.670 |
0.700 |
0.729 |
0.756 |
0.781 |
0.806 |
0.830 |
0.852 |
0.874 |
0.894 |
0.913 |
0.931 |
0.948 |
0.963 |
0.976 |
0.988 |
0.999 |
1.008 |
1.016 |
1.022 |
1.027 |
1.031 |
1.033 |
1.035 |
1.036 |
1.035 |
1.035 |
1.033 |
1.031 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.329 |
-0.282 |
-0.252 |
-0.226 |
-0.202 |
-0.181 |
-0.162 |
-0.145 |
-0.129 |
-0.114 |
-0.100 |
-0.087 |
-0.075 |
-0.064 |
-0.053 |
-0.043 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
-0.018 |
-0.011 |
-0.005 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.027 |
0.039 |
0.013 |
-0.027 |
-0.057 |
-0.077 |
-0.088 |
-0.093 |
-0.092 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.074 |
-0.065 |
-0.056 |
-0.047 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.069 |
-0.049 |
-0.018 |
0.001 |
0.011 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.041 |
0.044 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|