|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
312.1 |
638.6 |
861.8 |
1007.9 |
1103.5 |
1171.1 |
1227.8 |
1278.2 |
1327.1 |
1377.9 |
1427.2 |
1475.4 |
1527.1 |
1578.5 |
1625.9 |
1672.2 |
1716.7 |
1758.7 |
1796.5 |
1831.1 |
1862.4 |
1890.7 |
1915.0 |
1937.5 |
1959.0 |
1980.1 |
1998.7 |
2018.8 |
2034.6 |
2050.2 |
2067.0 |
2082.9 |
2101.9 |
2122.6 |
2141.1 |
2162.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-3.4 |
-7.2 |
-9.1 |
-9.6 |
-9.7 |
-9.4 |
-8.9 |
-8.2 |
-7.5 |
-6.6 |
-5.8 |
-5.0 |
-4.3 |
-3.5 |
-2.8 |
-2.3 |
-1.7 |
-1.3 |
-0.8 |
-0.4 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
-0.3 |
Investment |
fI |
174.3 |
434.6 |
558.2 |
598.3 |
612.1 |
614.8 |
600.5 |
577.1 |
553.5 |
518.8 |
489.2 |
463.6 |
452.2 |
432.0 |
427.0 |
414.2 |
406.9 |
401.5 |
392.9 |
383.4 |
375.2 |
369.0 |
360.3 |
365.3 |
367.0 |
374.6 |
376.0 |
366.8 |
369.2 |
363.4 |
357.3 |
368.0 |
368.6 |
368.6 |
367.0 |
369.4 |
Export |
fE |
37.3 |
26.5 |
0.2 |
-39.9 |
-92.3 |
-157.0 |
-232.0 |
-314.7 |
-403.5 |
-494.2 |
-586.2 |
-677.8 |
-766.0 |
-850.8 |
-931.8 |
-1006.8 |
-1075.9 |
-1138.4 |
-1195.0 |
-1245.0 |
-1288.6 |
-1326.4 |
-1356.9 |
-1383.3 |
-1403.9 |
-1422.2 |
-1435.3 |
-1445.1 |
-1451.7 |
-1455.3 |
-1456.9 |
-1456.6 |
-1455.8 |
-1454.2 |
-1452.4 |
-1449.8 |
Import |
fM |
199.7 |
430.5 |
540.5 |
575.8 |
582.3 |
574.1 |
556.4 |
533.7 |
510.8 |
483.4 |
457.7 |
434.0 |
417.1 |
396.6 |
382.6 |
366.8 |
352.2 |
341.1 |
328.1 |
315.7 |
304.3 |
294.9 |
283.3 |
280.4 |
274.9 |
276.2 |
274.0 |
270.4 |
270.9 |
269.8 |
270.2 |
276.1 |
281.9 |
287.4 |
291.7 |
299.3 |
GDP |
fY |
316.4 |
645.7 |
842.6 |
949.2 |
997.9 |
1011.3 |
997.7 |
966.5 |
928.1 |
883.7 |
839.8 |
797.2 |
768.3 |
737.3 |
714.4 |
690.5 |
674.7 |
661.2 |
648.1 |
636.8 |
628.4 |
622.6 |
619.7 |
623.5 |
631.3 |
639.7 |
648.6 |
653.4 |
663.8 |
670.9 |
679.0 |
698.7 |
712.9 |
728.6 |
742.4 |
760.1 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.246 |
0.612 |
0.909 |
1.100 |
1.194 |
1.212 |
1.169 |
1.083 |
0.977 |
0.848 |
0.716 |
0.586 |
0.469 |
0.354 |
0.260 |
0.171 |
0.095 |
0.031 |
-0.025 |
-0.075 |
-0.117 |
-0.150 |
-0.183 |
-0.197 |
-0.211 |
-0.212 |
-0.214 |
-0.215 |
-0.209 |
-0.205 |
-0.199 |
-0.184 |
-0.171 |
-0.157 |
-0.144 |
-0.129 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.131 |
-0.316 |
-0.459 |
-0.548 |
-0.590 |
-0.596 |
-0.572 |
-0.529 |
-0.474 |
-0.411 |
-0.346 |
-0.282 |
-0.225 |
-0.170 |
-0.124 |
-0.080 |
-0.044 |
-0.013 |
0.015 |
0.039 |
0.059 |
0.075 |
0.090 |
0.097 |
0.103 |
0.104 |
0.105 |
0.106 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.097 |
0.090 |
0.083 |
0.077 |
0.070 |
0.063 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.044 |
-0.032 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.035 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.056 |
-0.059 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.068 |
-0.071 |
-0.073 |
-0.076 |
-0.078 |
-0.080 |
-0.082 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.088 |
-0.089 |
-0.091 |
-0.093 |
-0.094 |
-0.096 |
-0.097 |
-0.099 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.034 |
0.006 |
-0.011 |
-0.020 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.011 |
-0.027 |
-0.034 |
-0.037 |
-0.039 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.046 |
-0.048 |
-0.051 |
-0.053 |
-0.056 |
-0.058 |
-0.062 |
-0.064 |
-0.067 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.079 |
-0.080 |
-0.082 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.088 |
-0.090 |
-0.091 |
-0.092 |
-0.093 |
-0.095 |
-0.096 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.012 |
-0.024 |
-0.069 |
-0.116 |
-0.162 |
-0.207 |
-0.251 |
-0.294 |
-0.336 |
-0.378 |
-0.420 |
-0.462 |
-0.505 |
-0.548 |
-0.592 |
-0.637 |
-0.683 |
-0.730 |
-0.777 |
-0.824 |
-0.872 |
-0.920 |
-0.967 |
-1.016 |
-1.063 |
-1.112 |
-1.159 |
-1.207 |
-1.254 |
-1.301 |
-1.347 |
-1.394 |
-1.440 |
-1.485 |
-1.530 |
-1.575 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.055 |
0.075 |
0.087 |
0.095 |
0.101 |
0.108 |
0.118 |
0.130 |
0.147 |
0.168 |
0.192 |
0.221 |
0.252 |
0.287 |
0.324 |
0.363 |
0.405 |
0.447 |
0.491 |
0.537 |
0.583 |
0.630 |
0.677 |
0.725 |
0.773 |
0.821 |
0.869 |
0.918 |
0.966 |
1.014 |
1.062 |
1.110 |
1.157 |
1.204 |
1.251 |
1.298 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.014 |
-0.026 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.004 |
0.014 |
0.024 |
0.031 |
0.040 |
0.048 |
0.054 |
0.061 |
0.068 |
0.073 |
0.076 |
0.080 |
0.082 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.092 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.008 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.021 |
-0.014 |
-0.007 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.023 |
0.027 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
Wage |
lna |
0.001 |
0.010 |
0.024 |
0.042 |
0.063 |
0.084 |
0.105 |
0.125 |
0.143 |
0.158 |
0.172 |
0.183 |
0.192 |
0.200 |
0.205 |
0.209 |
0.211 |
0.213 |
0.213 |
0.212 |
0.210 |
0.208 |
0.205 |
0.202 |
0.198 |
0.195 |
0.191 |
0.187 |
0.184 |
0.180 |
0.176 |
0.173 |
0.170 |
0.167 |
0.164 |
0.162 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.073 |
-0.069 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.048 |
-0.040 |
-0.032 |
-0.025 |
-0.018 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.004 |
0.009 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.036 |
0.039 |
0.042 |
0.044 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.042 |
-0.021 |
-0.006 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
0.000 |
0.008 |
0.015 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|