|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
352.5 |
704.8 |
940.8 |
1094.1 |
1194.3 |
1263.4 |
1319.7 |
1368.3 |
1414.3 |
1461.3 |
1505.8 |
1548.4 |
1593.8 |
1638.3 |
1678.3 |
1717.0 |
1753.6 |
1787.5 |
1817.3 |
1843.9 |
1867.4 |
1888.1 |
1905.1 |
1920.5 |
1935.4 |
1950.3 |
1963.1 |
1977.8 |
1988.7 |
1999.8 |
2012.5 |
2024.8 |
2040.7 |
2058.6 |
2074.7 |
2093.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-2.7 |
-6.0 |
-7.8 |
-8.1 |
-7.9 |
-7.4 |
-6.7 |
-5.9 |
-5.1 |
-4.1 |
-3.2 |
-2.4 |
-1.6 |
-0.8 |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
Investment |
fI |
135.7 |
375.2 |
522.8 |
574.4 |
588.6 |
590.1 |
575.1 |
550.6 |
525.6 |
488.9 |
457.0 |
428.8 |
414.6 |
391.4 |
383.4 |
367.6 |
357.4 |
349.2 |
338.0 |
326.0 |
315.6 |
307.4 |
296.9 |
300.3 |
300.7 |
307.1 |
307.6 |
297.6 |
299.4 |
293.1 |
286.6 |
297.1 |
297.6 |
297.5 |
295.7 |
298.1 |
Export |
fE |
-16.7 |
-50.1 |
-97.5 |
-154.6 |
-221.3 |
-297.2 |
-380.8 |
-469.6 |
-562.4 |
-654.9 |
-746.9 |
-836.7 |
-921.6 |
-1001.8 |
-1076.9 |
-1145.1 |
-1206.5 |
-1260.6 |
-1308.3 |
-1348.9 |
-1383.0 |
-1411.2 |
-1432.1 |
-1449.0 |
-1460.2 |
-1469.6 |
-1474.1 |
-1475.8 |
-1474.8 |
-1471.4 |
-1466.6 |
-1460.6 |
-1454.6 |
-1448.6 |
-1443.0 |
-1437.1 |
Import |
fM |
195.5 |
419.7 |
542.4 |
581.0 |
584.4 |
572.3 |
551.0 |
525.2 |
499.3 |
468.9 |
440.4 |
414.1 |
394.8 |
372.2 |
356.3 |
339.1 |
323.2 |
311.2 |
297.6 |
284.9 |
273.5 |
264.4 |
253.3 |
251.2 |
246.7 |
249.2 |
248.3 |
246.1 |
248.1 |
248.5 |
250.6 |
258.0 |
265.4 |
272.5 |
278.2 |
287.1 |
GDP |
fY |
271.9 |
597.4 |
806.3 |
914.4 |
959.2 |
967.2 |
948.5 |
912.6 |
869.8 |
821.4 |
773.8 |
727.9 |
696.0 |
662.4 |
637.2 |
611.4 |
594.1 |
579.3 |
565.4 |
553.5 |
544.8 |
539.0 |
536.4 |
540.5 |
548.9 |
558.0 |
567.7 |
573.2 |
584.5 |
592.4 |
601.2 |
621.7 |
636.4 |
652.5 |
666.6 |
684.5 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.215 |
0.556 |
0.845 |
1.030 |
1.116 |
1.124 |
1.074 |
0.982 |
0.870 |
0.737 |
0.602 |
0.471 |
0.354 |
0.241 |
0.149 |
0.064 |
-0.008 |
-0.067 |
-0.118 |
-0.162 |
-0.197 |
-0.223 |
-0.248 |
-0.256 |
-0.263 |
-0.257 |
-0.252 |
-0.246 |
-0.235 |
-0.224 |
-0.213 |
-0.193 |
-0.175 |
-0.157 |
-0.140 |
-0.123 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.114 |
-0.287 |
-0.427 |
-0.513 |
-0.552 |
-0.552 |
-0.525 |
-0.478 |
-0.421 |
-0.356 |
-0.290 |
-0.226 |
-0.169 |
-0.114 |
-0.069 |
-0.028 |
0.007 |
0.035 |
0.060 |
0.081 |
0.098 |
0.111 |
0.122 |
0.126 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
0.124 |
0.121 |
0.115 |
0.110 |
0.104 |
0.094 |
0.085 |
0.077 |
0.068 |
0.060 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.046 |
-0.033 |
-0.024 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.022 |
-0.027 |
-0.032 |
-0.036 |
-0.041 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.054 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.064 |
-0.067 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
-0.075 |
-0.077 |
-0.079 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.088 |
-0.089 |
-0.091 |
-0.092 |
-0.094 |
-0.095 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.033 |
0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.013 |
-0.028 |
-0.038 |
-0.042 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.053 |
-0.055 |
-0.058 |
-0.060 |
-0.063 |
-0.066 |
-0.069 |
-0.071 |
-0.074 |
-0.076 |
-0.079 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.088 |
-0.089 |
-0.091 |
-0.092 |
-0.093 |
-0.094 |
-0.095 |
-0.096 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
-0.100 |
-0.101 |
-0.102 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.023 |
-0.068 |
-0.120 |
-0.172 |
-0.223 |
-0.272 |
-0.320 |
-0.368 |
-0.414 |
-0.460 |
-0.506 |
-0.551 |
-0.598 |
-0.645 |
-0.693 |
-0.740 |
-0.789 |
-0.838 |
-0.887 |
-0.936 |
-0.986 |
-1.035 |
-1.084 |
-1.133 |
-1.181 |
-1.230 |
-1.279 |
-1.326 |
-1.374 |
-1.421 |
-1.467 |
-1.513 |
-1.559 |
-1.604 |
-1.649 |
-1.693 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.034 |
0.055 |
0.068 |
0.077 |
0.085 |
0.093 |
0.104 |
0.119 |
0.137 |
0.159 |
0.186 |
0.216 |
0.249 |
0.286 |
0.325 |
0.366 |
0.408 |
0.452 |
0.498 |
0.544 |
0.591 |
0.639 |
0.687 |
0.735 |
0.784 |
0.832 |
0.881 |
0.929 |
0.977 |
1.025 |
1.072 |
1.119 |
1.166 |
1.213 |
1.259 |
1.305 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.012 |
-0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.013 |
-0.003 |
0.008 |
0.019 |
0.029 |
0.037 |
0.045 |
0.053 |
0.060 |
0.066 |
0.073 |
0.077 |
0.081 |
0.084 |
0.086 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.006 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
User cost |
uim |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.018 |
0.025 |
0.032 |
0.039 |
0.046 |
0.051 |
0.056 |
0.061 |
0.064 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
Wage |
lna |
0.003 |
0.011 |
0.025 |
0.043 |
0.062 |
0.083 |
0.102 |
0.120 |
0.136 |
0.150 |
0.162 |
0.171 |
0.179 |
0.184 |
0.187 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.189 |
0.188 |
0.186 |
0.182 |
0.179 |
0.175 |
0.170 |
0.166 |
0.161 |
0.157 |
0.153 |
0.148 |
0.144 |
0.140 |
0.137 |
0.134 |
0.131 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.010 |
0.017 |
0.024 |
0.033 |
0.041 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.072 |
0.077 |
0.083 |
0.087 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.098 |
0.098 |
0.098 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.096 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
0.032 |
0.036 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.046 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.052 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.034 |
-0.010 |
0.006 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|