|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1227.6 |
699.9 |
479.8 |
279.7 |
144.9 |
58.6 |
6.2 |
-26.8 |
-46.2 |
-58.4 |
-66.0 |
-71.8 |
-77.1 |
-83.6 |
-87.3 |
-92.4 |
-98.4 |
-104.7 |
-110.7 |
-116.3 |
-122.8 |
-126.7 |
-130.5 |
-134.0 |
-137.1 |
-140.0 |
-140.8 |
-139.4 |
-137.0 |
-134.3 |
-129.1 |
-126.0 |
-122.7 |
-115.9 |
-109.4 |
-100.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-8.6 |
-7.7 |
-3.2 |
-0.6 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
-0.3 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-1.0 |
-1.3 |
-1.4 |
-1.6 |
-1.8 |
-2.0 |
-2.0 |
-2.1 |
-2.1 |
-2.1 |
-2.0 |
-2.0 |
-2.0 |
Investment |
fI |
457.1 |
599.8 |
259.0 |
81.3 |
1.4 |
-51.5 |
-94.2 |
-123.5 |
-137.6 |
-143.6 |
-143.2 |
-136.5 |
-126.5 |
-116.8 |
-98.0 |
-83.7 |
-74.1 |
-64.6 |
-51.7 |
-44.6 |
-35.4 |
-30.5 |
-27.3 |
-26.1 |
-25.4 |
-23.2 |
-22.8 |
-14.1 |
-6.9 |
-7.4 |
-6.8 |
-11.2 |
-10.8 |
-2.7 |
0.7 |
9.3 |
Export |
fE |
-52.4 |
-92.5 |
-116.7 |
-140.2 |
-164.1 |
-184.7 |
-199.8 |
-207.8 |
-209.8 |
-204.4 |
-193.1 |
-176.6 |
-155.8 |
-131.9 |
-105.8 |
-79.0 |
-51.8 |
-24.2 |
2.3 |
27.3 |
49.8 |
71.1 |
89.5 |
105.4 |
119.2 |
131.4 |
141.0 |
147.7 |
151.8 |
153.6 |
154.3 |
153.9 |
151.2 |
146.9 |
141.6 |
134.5 |
Import |
fM |
689.8 |
457.2 |
172.7 |
13.6 |
-61.6 |
-105.0 |
-132.2 |
-146.7 |
-150.9 |
-148.7 |
-142.3 |
-132.8 |
-121.5 |
-111.0 |
-96.1 |
-82.7 |
-72.1 |
-61.9 |
-50.6 |
-41.7 |
-32.8 |
-25.0 |
-18.6 |
-14.2 |
-9.7 |
-4.8 |
-1.0 |
5.2 |
10.9 |
12.2 |
15.5 |
15.9 |
16.4 |
21.0 |
23.1 |
27.9 |
GDP |
fY |
933.3 |
735.8 |
446.3 |
212.0 |
54.0 |
-58.4 |
-138.3 |
-192.1 |
-222.3 |
-236.7 |
-238.8 |
-231.2 |
-217.7 |
-201.7 |
-176.6 |
-155.1 |
-135.8 |
-116.1 |
-95.1 |
-78.0 |
-62.5 |
-48.7 |
-37.7 |
-28.6 |
-21.9 |
-15.6 |
-10.2 |
0.1 |
8.1 |
11.2 |
14.2 |
12.7 |
13.5 |
19.5 |
22.3 |
27.9 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.729 |
0.866 |
0.692 |
0.431 |
0.189 |
-0.017 |
-0.178 |
-0.295 |
-0.370 |
-0.411 |
-0.425 |
-0.417 |
-0.393 |
-0.361 |
-0.317 |
-0.272 |
-0.227 |
-0.185 |
-0.143 |
-0.105 |
-0.070 |
-0.040 |
-0.015 |
0.005 |
0.023 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.061 |
0.071 |
0.076 |
0.080 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.435 |
-0.486 |
-0.376 |
-0.228 |
-0.094 |
0.018 |
0.106 |
0.168 |
0.208 |
0.230 |
0.236 |
0.231 |
0.217 |
0.199 |
0.174 |
0.149 |
0.124 |
0.101 |
0.077 |
0.057 |
0.037 |
0.021 |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.013 |
-0.021 |
-0.027 |
-0.035 |
-0.040 |
-0.043 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.026 |
0.016 |
0.007 |
0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.079 |
-0.066 |
-0.042 |
-0.023 |
-0.011 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.044 |
-0.032 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.084 |
-0.114 |
-0.121 |
-0.119 |
-0.115 |
-0.110 |
-0.104 |
-0.098 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.087 |
-0.085 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.081 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.079 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.057 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.053 |
-0.080 |
-0.097 |
-0.104 |
-0.105 |
-0.100 |
-0.090 |
-0.077 |
-0.063 |
-0.048 |
-0.033 |
-0.019 |
-0.006 |
0.005 |
0.015 |
0.023 |
0.030 |
0.036 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.039 |
-0.022 |
-0.002 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.009 |
0.001 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
User cost |
uim |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
Wage |
lna |
0.008 |
0.023 |
0.036 |
0.046 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.033 |
0.025 |
0.018 |
0.011 |
0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.078 |
0.046 |
0.038 |
0.024 |
0.013 |
0.006 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.013 |
0.000 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|