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|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
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Million Kr. |
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1581.9 |
12360.0 |
17257.4 |
19799.1 |
20589.5 |
20608.5 |
20307.6 |
19922.1 |
19572.0 |
19314.9 |
19167.6 |
19123.8 |
19165.5 |
19266.7 |
19405.4 |
19551.9 |
19684.3 |
19784.0 |
19836.4 |
19825.0 |
19745.4 |
19596.9 |
19377.7 |
19090.4 |
18739.2 |
18329.8 |
17871.0 |
17370.3 |
16835.1 |
16271.5 |
15690.5 |
15094.6 |
14492.5 |
13895.7 |
13305.2 |
12729.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-62.6 |
-218.1 |
-282.6 |
-295.2 |
-292.6 |
-280.3 |
-260.6 |
-235.7 |
-208.0 |
-179.3 |
-151.2 |
-124.9 |
-100.6 |
-78.8 |
-59.8 |
-43.5 |
-29.7 |
-18.3 |
-9.0 |
-1.7 |
3.8 |
7.7 |
10.4 |
11.9 |
12.3 |
11.7 |
10.3 |
8.2 |
5.3 |
2.0 |
-1.9 |
-6.3 |
-10.9 |
-15.9 |
-21.2 |
-26.9 |
Investment |
fI |
7069.5 |
18525.4 |
23662.8 |
24651.1 |
24674.6 |
24221.9 |
23235.3 |
21899.5 |
20364.8 |
18796.7 |
17292.9 |
15926.7 |
14728.9 |
13711.6 |
12880.6 |
12208.8 |
11675.8 |
11263.4 |
10952.5 |
10709.4 |
10523.9 |
10375.0 |
10252.8 |
10147.8 |
10055.2 |
9972.9 |
9895.5 |
9832.9 |
9775.9 |
9717.9 |
9670.4 |
9630.0 |
9606.8 |
9606.3 |
9617.1 |
9650.6 |
Export |
fE |
2622.1 |
3253.9 |
3946.0 |
4051.7 |
3928.7 |
3346.9 |
2461.7 |
1265.4 |
-131.6 |
-1674.1 |
-3279.9 |
-4892.8 |
-6456.1 |
-7929.2 |
-9278.3 |
-10481.1 |
-11521.1 |
-12389.3 |
-13083.1 |
-13603.8 |
-13956.8 |
-14148.1 |
-14188.6 |
-14088.6 |
-13859.2 |
-13512.3 |
-13060.9 |
-12518.2 |
-11896.2 |
-11206.3 |
-10459.3 |
-9666.7 |
-8840.1 |
-7989.4 |
-7123.4 |
-6252.2 |
Import |
fM |
3306.7 |
14157.4 |
17137.4 |
17203.1 |
16552.0 |
15590.7 |
14430.9 |
13160.2 |
11880.6 |
10661.2 |
9544.5 |
8549.8 |
7683.2 |
6938.7 |
6312.7 |
5787.0 |
5346.9 |
4981.8 |
4680.8 |
4426.7 |
4215.3 |
4038.8 |
3892.2 |
3771.5 |
3676.0 |
3604.6 |
3555.0 |
3530.0 |
3526.7 |
3540.3 |
3577.4 |
3632.8 |
3708.1 |
3807.5 |
3922.8 |
4058.2 |
GDP |
fY |
4515.4 |
19297.8 |
26768.4 |
30220.5 |
31518.8 |
31472.5 |
30506.7 |
28933.1 |
27019.5 |
24966.4 |
22921.6 |
20984.6 |
19216.1 |
17647.3 |
16298.2 |
15153.1 |
14200.7 |
13425.1 |
12806.1 |
12311.3 |
11925.1 |
11628.6 |
11404.9 |
11241.8 |
11128.3 |
11057.9 |
11023.5 |
11026.9 |
11057.5 |
11108.6 |
11184.7 |
11280.0 |
11399.1 |
11545.1 |
11707.5 |
11891.5 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.317 |
15.001 |
25.635 |
32.388 |
35.767 |
36.474 |
35.144 |
32.365 |
28.664 |
24.474 |
20.137 |
15.897 |
11.923 |
8.314 |
5.130 |
2.382 |
0.060 |
-1.862 |
-3.418 |
-4.653 |
-5.606 |
-6.319 |
-6.829 |
-7.166 |
-7.357 |
-7.428 |
-7.398 |
-7.281 |
-7.094 |
-6.853 |
-6.565 |
-6.241 |
-5.887 |
-5.505 |
-5.107 |
-4.695 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.382 |
-8.855 |
-14.672 |
-18.252 |
-19.984 |
-20.263 |
-19.440 |
-17.838 |
-15.745 |
-13.401 |
-10.988 |
-8.641 |
-6.447 |
-4.461 |
-2.712 |
-1.206 |
0.065 |
1.114 |
1.961 |
2.633 |
3.150 |
3.535 |
3.810 |
3.989 |
4.090 |
4.124 |
4.103 |
4.034 |
3.928 |
3.792 |
3.630 |
3.449 |
3.251 |
3.038 |
2.816 |
2.587 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.338 |
-0.202 |
0.316 |
0.607 |
0.758 |
0.815 |
0.799 |
0.733 |
0.635 |
0.522 |
0.404 |
0.291 |
0.188 |
0.098 |
0.022 |
-0.039 |
-0.087 |
-0.122 |
-0.146 |
-0.161 |
-0.169 |
-0.169 |
-0.164 |
-0.154 |
-0.141 |
-0.124 |
-0.103 |
-0.081 |
-0.055 |
-0.028 |
0.001 |
0.033 |
0.066 |
0.101 |
0.138 |
0.176 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.651 |
-1.198 |
-1.814 |
-2.101 |
-2.198 |
-2.187 |
-2.096 |
-1.958 |
-1.797 |
-1.633 |
-1.477 |
-1.336 |
-1.216 |
-1.115 |
-1.035 |
-0.971 |
-0.923 |
-0.886 |
-0.858 |
-0.837 |
-0.820 |
-0.807 |
-0.795 |
-0.784 |
-0.774 |
-0.763 |
-0.752 |
-0.741 |
-0.729 |
-0.717 |
-0.706 |
-0.694 |
-0.682 |
-0.672 |
-0.662 |
-0.653 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.313 |
-1.401 |
-1.499 |
-1.494 |
-1.440 |
-1.372 |
-1.297 |
-1.225 |
-1.162 |
-1.111 |
-1.073 |
-1.045 |
-1.028 |
-1.017 |
-1.012 |
-1.010 |
-1.009 |
-1.007 |
-1.004 |
-0.998 |
-0.989 |
-0.976 |
-0.959 |
-0.939 |
-0.914 |
-0.886 |
-0.855 |
-0.821 |
-0.785 |
-0.745 |
-0.704 |
-0.661 |
-0.617 |
-0.571 |
-0.524 |
-0.477 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.126 |
-3.135 |
-4.758 |
-6.190 |
-7.467 |
-8.612 |
-9.626 |
-10.522 |
-11.314 |
-12.020 |
-12.659 |
-13.245 |
-13.792 |
-14.309 |
-14.804 |
-15.281 |
-15.743 |
-16.190 |
-16.622 |
-17.036 |
-17.431 |
-17.803 |
-18.150 |
-18.468 |
-18.755 |
-19.007 |
-19.224 |
-19.402 |
-19.540 |
-19.637 |
-19.691 |
-19.702 |
-19.670 |
-19.594 |
-19.474 |
-19.311 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
2.813 |
2.109 |
1.212 |
0.243 |
-0.715 |
-1.598 |
-2.356 |
-2.960 |
-3.394 |
-3.658 |
-3.761 |
-3.717 |
-3.546 |
-3.267 |
-2.898 |
-2.459 |
-1.965 |
-1.432 |
-0.871 |
-0.293 |
0.295 |
0.886 |
1.473 |
2.053 |
2.623 |
3.178 |
3.718 |
4.239 |
4.742 |
5.223 |
5.684 |
6.122 |
6.537 |
6.929 |
7.296 |
7.639 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.194 |
-0.686 |
-0.745 |
-0.571 |
-0.287 |
0.053 |
0.416 |
0.779 |
1.123 |
1.436 |
1.713 |
1.951 |
2.151 |
2.315 |
2.446 |
2.549 |
2.626 |
2.683 |
2.722 |
2.746 |
2.758 |
2.760 |
2.753 |
2.739 |
2.719 |
2.694 |
2.665 |
2.631 |
2.595 |
2.556 |
2.515 |
2.472 |
2.427 |
2.381 |
2.335 |
2.289 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.234 |
-0.575 |
-0.627 |
-0.575 |
-0.509 |
-0.453 |
-0.411 |
-0.382 |
-0.367 |
-0.363 |
-0.367 |
-0.376 |
-0.390 |
-0.406 |
-0.422 |
-0.438 |
-0.454 |
-0.467 |
-0.480 |
-0.490 |
-0.498 |
-0.505 |
-0.511 |
-0.515 |
-0.518 |
-0.519 |
-0.520 |
-0.521 |
-0.520 |
-0.519 |
-0.518 |
-0.516 |
-0.514 |
-0.511 |
-0.508 |
-0.505 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.274 |
-5.385 |
-5.375 |
-5.310 |
-5.216 |
-5.103 |
-4.980 |
-4.856 |
-4.739 |
-4.632 |
-4.540 |
-4.464 |
-4.403 |
-4.358 |
-4.328 |
-4.312 |
-4.308 |
-4.314 |
-4.329 |
-4.351 |
-4.380 |
-4.414 |
-4.452 |
-4.493 |
-4.536 |
-4.581 |
-4.626 |
-4.672 |
-4.717 |
-4.761 |
-4.804 |
-4.846 |
-4.886 |
-4.924 |
-4.960 |
-4.993 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.017 |
0.015 |
0.287 |
0.728 |
1.267 |
1.853 |
2.443 |
3.008 |
3.523 |
3.976 |
4.358 |
4.668 |
4.907 |
5.081 |
5.195 |
5.257 |
5.274 |
5.252 |
5.199 |
5.121 |
5.023 |
4.909 |
4.785 |
4.652 |
4.515 |
4.375 |
4.234 |
4.095 |
3.959 |
3.826 |
3.698 |
3.576 |
3.460 |
3.351 |
3.249 |
3.155 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.064 |
-0.478 |
-0.776 |
-0.955 |
-1.043 |
-1.061 |
-1.032 |
-0.972 |
-0.896 |
-0.815 |
-0.737 |
-0.667 |
-0.608 |
-0.563 |
-0.531 |
-0.514 |
-0.510 |
-0.518 |
-0.537 |
-0.566 |
-0.603 |
-0.647 |
-0.698 |
-0.753 |
-0.812 |
-0.875 |
-0.939 |
-1.004 |
-1.071 |
-1.137 |
-1.202 |
-1.267 |
-1.330 |
-1.391 |
-1.450 |
-1.506 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.070 |
-0.147 |
-0.156 |
-0.113 |
-0.037 |
0.059 |
0.165 |
0.272 |
0.375 |
0.469 |
0.551 |
0.619 |
0.674 |
0.716 |
0.744 |
0.762 |
0.769 |
0.766 |
0.757 |
0.740 |
0.719 |
0.692 |
0.663 |
0.631 |
0.597 |
0.562 |
0.527 |
0.491 |
0.455 |
0.421 |
0.387 |
0.354 |
0.322 |
0.292 |
0.264 |
0.238 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.165 |
0.322 |
0.716 |
0.968 |
1.051 |
1.038 |
0.972 |
0.879 |
0.777 |
0.678 |
0.588 |
0.511 |
0.449 |
0.400 |
0.362 |
0.335 |
0.317 |
0.304 |
0.295 |
0.287 |
0.281 |
0.274 |
0.267 |
0.258 |
0.248 |
0.237 |
0.223 |
0.209 |
0.193 |
0.176 |
0.158 |
0.140 |
0.122 |
0.103 |
0.085 |
0.067 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.071 |
-0.029 |
0.246 |
0.591 |
0.923 |
1.217 |
1.462 |
1.659 |
1.809 |
1.918 |
1.992 |
2.037 |
2.059 |
2.063 |
2.053 |
2.034 |
2.008 |
1.978 |
1.945 |
1.911 |
1.877 |
1.845 |
1.813 |
1.784 |
1.756 |
1.731 |
1.707 |
1.687 |
1.668 |
1.652 |
1.638 |
1.626 |
1.616 |
1.608 |
1.602 |
1.598 |
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