|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
2054.8 |
5157.8 |
7806.9 |
10690.9 |
12867.1 |
14338.6 |
15291.7 |
15902.5 |
16308.8 |
16608.6 |
16873.3 |
17150.6 |
17470.6 |
17848.8 |
18296.0 |
18807.3 |
19377.8 |
19999.3 |
20662.1 |
21355.9 |
22068.1 |
22793.2 |
23520.1 |
24242.1 |
24953.6 |
25650.1 |
26330.6 |
26993.5 |
27636.6 |
28259.8 |
28865.0 |
29449.4 |
30017.3 |
30573.3 |
31116.5 |
31651.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
68.5 |
34.9 |
-50.2 |
-110.8 |
-150.3 |
-177.6 |
-196.4 |
-208.2 |
-214.3 |
-215.9 |
-214.3 |
-210.4 |
-205.0 |
-198.9 |
-192.5 |
-186.3 |
-180.3 |
-174.8 |
-169.9 |
-165.6 |
-161.9 |
-158.9 |
-156.3 |
-154.1 |
-152.5 |
-151.1 |
-150.1 |
-149.4 |
-148.9 |
-148.6 |
-148.7 |
-148.9 |
-149.2 |
-149.8 |
-150.8 |
-151.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-3729.6 |
-3274.4 |
3032.8 |
6810.2 |
8618.1 |
9622.5 |
10117.1 |
10264.6 |
10115.3 |
9763.7 |
9282.1 |
8745.5 |
8202.1 |
7689.1 |
7241.1 |
6860.1 |
6551.9 |
6320.6 |
6164.5 |
6066.0 |
6023.4 |
6019.8 |
6048.0 |
6098.4 |
6164.5 |
6241.8 |
6321.8 |
6410.7 |
6495.9 |
6569.1 |
6638.8 |
6698.7 |
6758.9 |
6823.1 |
6879.7 |
6940.1 |
Export |
fE |
7973.6 |
10955.5 |
13889.6 |
16388.6 |
18727.0 |
20701.7 |
22391.3 |
23739.9 |
24789.8 |
25550.6 |
26063.2 |
26358.2 |
26475.4 |
26448.8 |
26312.4 |
26094.6 |
25822.0 |
25517.3 |
25198.0 |
24878.9 |
24571.4 |
24286.1 |
24028.7 |
23804.9 |
23619.0 |
23473.9 |
23370.4 |
23308.7 |
23289.4 |
23312.6 |
23378.8 |
23486.8 |
23634.5 |
23820.8 |
24044.8 |
24303.7 |
Import |
fM |
-7285.9 |
-5187.5 |
-438.5 |
2613.0 |
4305.7 |
5302.8 |
5895.5 |
6196.0 |
6282.0 |
6218.6 |
6063.3 |
5859.8 |
5640.2 |
5423.9 |
5230.5 |
5062.2 |
4921.0 |
4809.2 |
4725.9 |
4664.3 |
4622.1 |
4594.2 |
4576.5 |
4565.3 |
4559.8 |
4558.4 |
4558.3 |
4562.1 |
4566.9 |
4569.0 |
4575.1 |
4580.9 |
4590.5 |
4608.5 |
4629.3 |
4658.9 |
GDP |
fY |
13166.3 |
17442.1 |
24104.3 |
29902.2 |
34313.1 |
37616.8 |
40055.8 |
41790.4 |
42965.5 |
43711.0 |
44148.8 |
44382.9 |
44496.5 |
44553.8 |
44612.3 |
44694.5 |
44825.1 |
45019.8 |
45284.8 |
45614.9 |
46008.4 |
46459.5 |
46959.8 |
47502.9 |
48081.5 |
48691.4 |
49327.0 |
49990.2 |
50670.4 |
51363.2 |
52071.9 |
52791.8 |
53529.8 |
54288.9 |
55061.6 |
55854.6 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-18.883 |
-18.824 |
-13.644 |
-7.118 |
-1.003 |
4.086 |
7.988 |
10.719 |
12.395 |
13.183 |
13.274 |
12.850 |
12.072 |
11.073 |
9.967 |
8.827 |
7.712 |
6.660 |
5.695 |
4.826 |
4.055 |
3.378 |
2.787 |
2.272 |
1.827 |
1.439 |
1.103 |
0.813 |
0.560 |
0.336 |
0.140 |
-0.033 |
-0.182 |
-0.307 |
-0.412 |
-0.495 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
11.267 |
10.448 |
7.346 |
3.673 |
0.299 |
-2.481 |
-4.596 |
-6.061 |
-6.946 |
-7.346 |
-7.368 |
-7.111 |
-6.665 |
-6.101 |
-5.482 |
-4.849 |
-4.231 |
-3.650 |
-3.119 |
-2.640 |
-2.218 |
-1.846 |
-1.521 |
-1.239 |
-0.995 |
-0.782 |
-0.598 |
-0.439 |
-0.300 |
-0.177 |
-0.070 |
0.026 |
0.107 |
0.175 |
0.233 |
0.278 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.212 |
-0.169 |
0.106 |
0.350 |
0.547 |
0.702 |
0.817 |
0.895 |
0.942 |
0.964 |
0.968 |
0.958 |
0.941 |
0.920 |
0.898 |
0.877 |
0.859 |
0.844 |
0.832 |
0.825 |
0.820 |
0.819 |
0.820 |
0.823 |
0.828 |
0.834 |
0.841 |
0.848 |
0.857 |
0.865 |
0.874 |
0.883 |
0.892 |
0.901 |
0.910 |
0.919 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.734 |
0.652 |
0.210 |
-0.118 |
-0.314 |
-0.434 |
-0.495 |
-0.511 |
-0.493 |
-0.452 |
-0.396 |
-0.334 |
-0.271 |
-0.212 |
-0.159 |
-0.114 |
-0.077 |
-0.047 |
-0.025 |
-0.010 |
0.000 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.522 |
0.483 |
0.316 |
0.232 |
0.233 |
0.268 |
0.322 |
0.384 |
0.449 |
0.512 |
0.572 |
0.624 |
0.670 |
0.708 |
0.739 |
0.763 |
0.782 |
0.796 |
0.807 |
0.815 |
0.821 |
0.825 |
0.829 |
0.833 |
0.837 |
0.841 |
0.846 |
0.851 |
0.857 |
0.864 |
0.872 |
0.881 |
0.891 |
0.901 |
0.912 |
0.923 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.918 |
1.511 |
1.692 |
1.767 |
1.852 |
1.977 |
2.158 |
2.402 |
2.710 |
3.078 |
3.499 |
3.963 |
4.462 |
4.986 |
5.526 |
6.075 |
6.627 |
7.176 |
7.720 |
8.255 |
8.779 |
9.292 |
9.792 |
10.280 |
10.757 |
11.222 |
11.678 |
12.124 |
12.561 |
12.992 |
13.416 |
13.835 |
14.249 |
14.660 |
15.068 |
15.478 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.460 |
0.623 |
0.450 |
0.062 |
-0.484 |
-1.146 |
-1.886 |
-2.666 |
-3.456 |
-4.233 |
-4.979 |
-5.686 |
-6.347 |
-6.961 |
-7.530 |
-8.056 |
-8.544 |
-8.997 |
-9.422 |
-9.823 |
-10.203 |
-10.566 |
-10.915 |
-11.253 |
-11.582 |
-11.903 |
-12.217 |
-12.527 |
-12.831 |
-13.132 |
-13.428 |
-13.722 |
-14.012 |
-14.300 |
-14.585 |
-14.867 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.082 |
-0.423 |
-0.764 |
-0.985 |
-1.093 |
-1.123 |
-1.098 |
-1.033 |
-0.943 |
-0.839 |
-0.729 |
-0.621 |
-0.518 |
-0.423 |
-0.338 |
-0.263 |
-0.198 |
-0.142 |
-0.094 |
-0.052 |
-0.017 |
0.014 |
0.041 |
0.065 |
0.087 |
0.106 |
0.124 |
0.140 |
0.154 |
0.168 |
0.180 |
0.190 |
0.200 |
0.208 |
0.215 |
0.221 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.692 |
-0.964 |
-1.173 |
-1.276 |
-1.307 |
-1.304 |
-1.286 |
-1.263 |
-1.241 |
-1.222 |
-1.207 |
-1.196 |
-1.189 |
-1.186 |
-1.185 |
-1.186 |
-1.189 |
-1.193 |
-1.197 |
-1.202 |
-1.206 |
-1.211 |
-1.214 |
-1.218 |
-1.221 |
-1.224 |
-1.227 |
-1.229 |
-1.231 |
-1.233 |
-1.234 |
-1.236 |
-1.237 |
-1.238 |
-1.239 |
-1.240 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.982 |
-1.158 |
-1.288 |
-1.359 |
-1.389 |
-1.391 |
-1.369 |
-1.331 |
-1.281 |
-1.223 |
-1.161 |
-1.098 |
-1.036 |
-0.977 |
-0.922 |
-0.871 |
-0.825 |
-0.783 |
-0.746 |
-0.713 |
-0.684 |
-0.659 |
-0.638 |
-0.619 |
-0.603 |
-0.590 |
-0.579 |
-0.570 |
-0.563 |
-0.558 |
-0.554 |
-0.552 |
-0.550 |
-0.550 |
-0.551 |
-0.553 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.656 |
-1.033 |
-1.327 |
-1.519 |
-1.598 |
-1.580 |
-1.485 |
-1.332 |
-1.141 |
-0.928 |
-0.707 |
-0.487 |
-0.276 |
-0.078 |
0.102 |
0.264 |
0.407 |
0.532 |
0.641 |
0.734 |
0.812 |
0.879 |
0.935 |
0.981 |
1.018 |
1.048 |
1.072 |
1.090 |
1.103 |
1.112 |
1.117 |
1.119 |
1.117 |
1.113 |
1.107 |
1.099 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.961 |
-1.221 |
-1.402 |
-1.544 |
-1.645 |
-1.706 |
-1.733 |
-1.732 |
-1.709 |
-1.670 |
-1.619 |
-1.561 |
-1.500 |
-1.438 |
-1.376 |
-1.317 |
-1.261 |
-1.210 |
-1.162 |
-1.118 |
-1.078 |
-1.042 |
-1.010 |
-0.982 |
-0.956 |
-0.934 |
-0.915 |
-0.898 |
-0.884 |
-0.872 |
-0.862 |
-0.854 |
-0.848 |
-0.843 |
-0.840 |
-0.839 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.825 |
-0.964 |
-1.061 |
-1.130 |
-1.170 |
-1.184 |
-1.178 |
-1.155 |
-1.121 |
-1.080 |
-1.034 |
-0.987 |
-0.940 |
-0.894 |
-0.852 |
-0.812 |
-0.776 |
-0.744 |
-0.715 |
-0.690 |
-0.668 |
-0.648 |
-0.632 |
-0.618 |
-0.606 |
-0.596 |
-0.588 |
-0.581 |
-0.576 |
-0.572 |
-0.570 |
-0.568 |
-0.567 |
-0.568 |
-0.568 |
-0.570 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.368 |
-0.283 |
-0.147 |
0.028 |
0.170 |
0.264 |
0.315 |
0.333 |
0.326 |
0.305 |
0.275 |
0.241 |
0.209 |
0.179 |
0.153 |
0.133 |
0.119 |
0.110 |
0.105 |
0.105 |
0.108 |
0.113 |
0.120 |
0.128 |
0.137 |
0.146 |
0.155 |
0.163 |
0.170 |
0.177 |
0.183 |
0.188 |
0.192 |
0.195 |
0.197 |
0.198 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.401 |
-0.595 |
-0.727 |
-0.767 |
-0.739 |
-0.674 |
-0.591 |
-0.501 |
-0.414 |
-0.332 |
-0.260 |
-0.199 |
-0.148 |
-0.106 |
-0.074 |
-0.050 |
-0.032 |
-0.019 |
-0.011 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.022 |
-0.027 |
-0.032 |
-0.038 |
-0.044 |
-0.050 |
-0.055 |
-0.061 |
-0.067 |
-0.072 |
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