|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
712.5 |
1425.5 |
3106.9 |
3983.5 |
4232.9 |
4086.7 |
3675.7 |
3101.2 |
2438.3 |
1734.8 |
1025.4 |
333.2 |
-326.3 |
-943.6 |
-1508.3 |
-2020.9 |
-2479.7 |
-2884.1 |
-3235.0 |
-3533.4 |
-3783.7 |
-3984.8 |
-4142.2 |
-4258.3 |
-4336.1 |
-4378.3 |
-4385.9 |
-4361.7 |
-4309.8 |
-4233.1 |
-4132.8 |
-4015.8 |
-3882.5 |
-3732.5 |
-3572.1 |
-3401.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-66.1 |
-86.5 |
-114.8 |
-139.4 |
-156.2 |
-168.8 |
-179.0 |
-187.6 |
-194.9 |
-201.5 |
-207.7 |
-213.9 |
-220.2 |
-226.6 |
-233.5 |
-240.7 |
-248.3 |
-256.1 |
-264.2 |
-272.5 |
-281.0 |
-289.6 |
-298.1 |
-306.4 |
-314.7 |
-322.8 |
-330.6 |
-338.2 |
-345.5 |
-352.3 |
-358.9 |
-365.2 |
-371.1 |
-376.7 |
-382.1 |
-387.3 |
Investment |
fI |
450.5 |
1338.0 |
2606.7 |
3730.7 |
4247.8 |
4403.2 |
4376.3 |
4221.8 |
3971.6 |
3657.7 |
3314.5 |
2972.8 |
2652.0 |
2364.6 |
2129.9 |
1939.7 |
1795.3 |
1700.1 |
1654.3 |
1644.5 |
1673.4 |
1729.2 |
1809.1 |
1907.8 |
2022.2 |
2150.2 |
2285.1 |
2433.8 |
2583.9 |
2727.1 |
2870.7 |
3007.2 |
3145.4 |
3287.0 |
3419.3 |
3551.5 |
Export |
fE |
699.9 |
1749.4 |
2930.8 |
4116.6 |
5372.7 |
6661.5 |
7958.0 |
9243.0 |
10506.5 |
11744.2 |
12953.5 |
14133.4 |
15284.0 |
16405.0 |
17495.9 |
18555.2 |
19581.6 |
20574.2 |
21529.6 |
22445.8 |
23319.4 |
24149.8 |
24933.6 |
25669.8 |
26357.9 |
26997.6 |
27588.2 |
28129.9 |
28624.0 |
29072.8 |
29479.7 |
29847.0 |
30176.9 |
30473.2 |
30740.4 |
30981.2 |
Import |
fM |
626.7 |
1503.4 |
2946.2 |
3934.6 |
4402.8 |
4609.9 |
4700.7 |
4727.4 |
4720.0 |
4701.0 |
4689.7 |
4699.7 |
4739.0 |
4809.8 |
4918.9 |
5059.9 |
5228.9 |
5425.3 |
5646.2 |
5884.2 |
6137.0 |
6399.1 |
6666.3 |
6934.7 |
7203.0 |
7469.0 |
7729.1 |
7984.8 |
8231.8 |
8465.4 |
8691.1 |
8903.7 |
9106.1 |
9302.1 |
9485.3 |
9661.6 |
GDP |
fY |
1144.8 |
2841.6 |
5406.4 |
7495.5 |
8965.1 |
9994.1 |
10715.0 |
11209.0 |
11540.7 |
11760.0 |
11912.2 |
12034.2 |
12152.2 |
12284.5 |
12452.6 |
12652.6 |
12890.2 |
13168.8 |
13487.1 |
13836.7 |
14214.8 |
14615.6 |
15032.4 |
15460.6 |
15894.6 |
16331.7 |
16767.6 |
17204.7 |
17632.9 |
18048.1 |
18453.4 |
18843.3 |
19224.3 |
19598.8 |
19958.6 |
20310.1 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.058 |
-23.688 |
-20.235 |
-16.754 |
-13.743 |
-11.291 |
-9.362 |
-7.882 |
-6.767 |
-5.933 |
-5.302 |
-4.805 |
-4.390 |
-4.019 |
-3.655 |
-3.287 |
-2.907 |
-2.509 |
-2.093 |
-1.666 |
-1.234 |
-0.805 |
-0.389 |
0.010 |
0.385 |
0.729 |
1.041 |
1.318 |
1.557 |
1.753 |
1.910 |
2.026 |
2.106 |
2.154 |
2.169 |
2.159 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.548 |
13.052 |
11.073 |
9.148 |
7.497 |
6.161 |
5.113 |
4.310 |
3.707 |
3.257 |
2.915 |
2.645 |
2.418 |
2.214 |
2.012 |
1.808 |
1.597 |
1.375 |
1.143 |
0.907 |
0.666 |
0.429 |
0.198 |
-0.022 |
-0.229 |
-0.419 |
-0.590 |
-0.743 |
-0.874 |
-0.981 |
-1.066 |
-1.129 |
-1.172 |
-1.197 |
-1.204 |
-1.197 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.149 |
-0.129 |
-0.211 |
-0.082 |
0.018 |
0.087 |
0.138 |
0.173 |
0.195 |
0.209 |
0.217 |
0.221 |
0.224 |
0.226 |
0.230 |
0.236 |
0.243 |
0.252 |
0.263 |
0.276 |
0.290 |
0.305 |
0.322 |
0.338 |
0.356 |
0.373 |
0.390 |
0.406 |
0.423 |
0.439 |
0.454 |
0.468 |
0.482 |
0.496 |
0.508 |
0.520 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.113 |
0.047 |
0.055 |
-0.111 |
-0.210 |
-0.258 |
-0.276 |
-0.272 |
-0.253 |
-0.224 |
-0.189 |
-0.152 |
-0.115 |
-0.081 |
-0.051 |
-0.024 |
-0.002 |
0.016 |
0.030 |
0.040 |
0.048 |
0.052 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.049 |
0.045 |
0.041 |
0.037 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.023 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.037 |
-0.082 |
-0.156 |
-0.193 |
-0.192 |
-0.170 |
-0.138 |
-0.099 |
-0.058 |
-0.015 |
0.028 |
0.069 |
0.108 |
0.145 |
0.179 |
0.211 |
0.241 |
0.268 |
0.293 |
0.316 |
0.338 |
0.358 |
0.376 |
0.394 |
0.410 |
0.425 |
0.439 |
0.452 |
0.464 |
0.476 |
0.486 |
0.496 |
0.506 |
0.514 |
0.522 |
0.530 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.061 |
0.086 |
-0.007 |
-0.154 |
-0.287 |
-0.392 |
-0.462 |
-0.494 |
-0.485 |
-0.437 |
-0.352 |
-0.233 |
-0.082 |
0.096 |
0.298 |
0.520 |
0.761 |
1.018 |
1.288 |
1.569 |
1.860 |
2.159 |
2.465 |
2.777 |
3.094 |
3.415 |
3.738 |
4.064 |
4.391 |
4.718 |
5.046 |
5.373 |
5.698 |
6.022 |
6.343 |
6.662 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.195 |
0.364 |
0.573 |
0.647 |
0.629 |
0.547 |
0.419 |
0.261 |
0.084 |
-0.104 |
-0.296 |
-0.489 |
-0.682 |
-0.876 |
-1.070 |
-1.267 |
-1.467 |
-1.673 |
-1.885 |
-2.104 |
-2.332 |
-2.569 |
-2.814 |
-3.068 |
-3.330 |
-3.600 |
-3.878 |
-4.162 |
-4.452 |
-4.746 |
-5.045 |
-5.346 |
-5.650 |
-5.955 |
-6.261 |
-6.567 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.071 |
-0.170 |
-0.292 |
-0.372 |
-0.412 |
-0.427 |
-0.428 |
-0.421 |
-0.410 |
-0.400 |
-0.393 |
-0.390 |
-0.393 |
-0.402 |
-0.415 |
-0.433 |
-0.454 |
-0.478 |
-0.503 |
-0.529 |
-0.556 |
-0.581 |
-0.605 |
-0.627 |
-0.646 |
-0.664 |
-0.679 |
-0.691 |
-0.701 |
-0.708 |
-0.713 |
-0.716 |
-0.716 |
-0.715 |
-0.711 |
-0.707 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.034 |
-0.067 |
-0.102 |
-0.113 |
-0.105 |
-0.090 |
-0.075 |
-0.061 |
-0.050 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.121 |
-0.264 |
-0.389 |
-0.482 |
-0.561 |
-0.630 |
-0.691 |
-0.746 |
-0.795 |
-0.840 |
-0.882 |
-0.920 |
-0.955 |
-0.988 |
-1.018 |
-1.045 |
-1.070 |
-1.092 |
-1.111 |
-1.127 |
-1.140 |
-1.150 |
-1.157 |
-1.162 |
-1.164 |
-1.164 |
-1.161 |
-1.156 |
-1.150 |
-1.142 |
-1.132 |
-1.122 |
-1.110 |
-1.098 |
-1.086 |
-1.074 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.266 |
-0.760 |
-1.170 |
-1.481 |
-1.739 |
-1.954 |
-2.132 |
-2.283 |
-2.413 |
-2.526 |
-2.628 |
-2.720 |
-2.804 |
-2.881 |
-2.952 |
-3.017 |
-3.074 |
-3.125 |
-3.169 |
-3.205 |
-3.233 |
-3.254 |
-3.267 |
-3.273 |
-3.273 |
-3.266 |
-3.253 |
-3.235 |
-3.212 |
-3.186 |
-3.156 |
-3.124 |
-3.090 |
-3.055 |
-3.019 |
-2.982 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.127 |
-0.284 |
-0.433 |
-0.553 |
-0.660 |
-0.757 |
-0.844 |
-0.922 |
-0.994 |
-1.060 |
-1.122 |
-1.180 |
-1.235 |
-1.286 |
-1.335 |
-1.380 |
-1.422 |
-1.461 |
-1.497 |
-1.528 |
-1.556 |
-1.580 |
-1.600 |
-1.617 |
-1.629 |
-1.638 |
-1.644 |
-1.646 |
-1.646 |
-1.643 |
-1.637 |
-1.629 |
-1.620 |
-1.609 |
-1.597 |
-1.584 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.090 |
-0.198 |
-0.294 |
-0.367 |
-0.431 |
-0.487 |
-0.536 |
-0.579 |
-0.617 |
-0.651 |
-0.682 |
-0.711 |
-0.737 |
-0.761 |
-0.784 |
-0.804 |
-0.822 |
-0.838 |
-0.852 |
-0.864 |
-0.873 |
-0.881 |
-0.886 |
-0.890 |
-0.891 |
-0.890 |
-0.888 |
-0.884 |
-0.879 |
-0.873 |
-0.866 |
-0.858 |
-0.849 |
-0.840 |
-0.830 |
-0.821 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.104 |
-0.077 |
-0.115 |
0.009 |
0.086 |
0.124 |
0.136 |
0.130 |
0.112 |
0.085 |
0.054 |
0.021 |
-0.012 |
-0.044 |
-0.074 |
-0.101 |
-0.125 |
-0.146 |
-0.165 |
-0.180 |
-0.194 |
-0.205 |
-0.213 |
-0.220 |
-0.226 |
-0.229 |
-0.232 |
-0.233 |
-0.234 |
-0.233 |
-0.231 |
-0.229 |
-0.227 |
-0.223 |
-0.220 |
-0.216 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.087 |
-0.222 |
-0.331 |
-0.392 |
-0.423 |
-0.440 |
-0.448 |
-0.452 |
-0.455 |
-0.457 |
-0.460 |
-0.462 |
-0.465 |
-0.467 |
-0.470 |
-0.471 |
-0.471 |
-0.470 |
-0.468 |
-0.465 |
-0.460 |
-0.454 |
-0.446 |
-0.438 |
-0.429 |
-0.419 |
-0.408 |
-0.397 |
-0.386 |
-0.375 |
-0.365 |
-0.354 |
-0.344 |
-0.334 |
-0.325 |
-0.317 |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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