|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
901.1 |
1780.3 |
2350.3 |
2419.8 |
2152.0 |
1655.4 |
1010.6 |
274.4 |
-508.9 |
-1309.7 |
-2104.5 |
-2877.0 |
-3615.2 |
-4311.4 |
-4955.8 |
-5548.5 |
-6087.0 |
-6570.0 |
-6997.3 |
-7369.0 |
-7689.0 |
-7955.8 |
-8174.6 |
-8347.8 |
-8478.3 |
-8569.4 |
-8622.5 |
-8640.6 |
-8628.6 |
-8590.0 |
-8526.7 |
-8446.2 |
-8349.6 |
-8237.2 |
-8115.7 |
-7985.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-13.9 |
-33.7 |
-51.5 |
-65.2 |
-75.8 |
-85.0 |
-93.0 |
-100.4 |
-107.3 |
-114.0 |
-120.6 |
-127.4 |
-134.4 |
-141.7 |
-149.2 |
-157.1 |
-165.1 |
-173.2 |
-181.4 |
-189.6 |
-197.9 |
-206.1 |
-214.0 |
-221.6 |
-229.1 |
-236.1 |
-242.8 |
-249.1 |
-255.0 |
-260.4 |
-265.5 |
-270.1 |
-274.2 |
-278.0 |
-281.6 |
-284.9 |
Investment |
fI |
511.2 |
1470.0 |
2291.1 |
2738.2 |
2910.0 |
2921.1 |
2819.9 |
2635.8 |
2396.9 |
2125.8 |
1846.2 |
1579.1 |
1336.7 |
1125.9 |
962.5 |
836.1 |
747.3 |
699.0 |
692.1 |
714.0 |
768.2 |
843.8 |
939.1 |
1049.6 |
1172.8 |
1307.3 |
1446.8 |
1598.5 |
1750.0 |
1893.5 |
2036.2 |
2170.4 |
2305.0 |
2441.8 |
2567.8 |
2692.4 |
Export |
fE |
638.7 |
1544.5 |
2571.7 |
3702.8 |
4925.7 |
6206.4 |
7524.5 |
8862.5 |
10207.7 |
11552.0 |
12887.8 |
14208.9 |
15509.8 |
16785.6 |
18031.4 |
19242.0 |
20412.9 |
21540.8 |
22620.5 |
23648.6 |
24621.0 |
25536.6 |
26392.1 |
27186.6 |
27920.2 |
28593.2 |
29205.9 |
29759.2 |
30255.7 |
30698.6 |
31092.3 |
31440.4 |
31746.3 |
32014.6 |
32250.9 |
32459.1 |
Import |
fM |
723.6 |
1656.6 |
2389.9 |
2782.1 |
2976.0 |
3075.3 |
3126.6 |
3153.8 |
3175.8 |
3205.6 |
3254.1 |
3328.6 |
3432.8 |
3565.9 |
3732.9 |
3926.3 |
4141.9 |
4378.9 |
4634.6 |
4902.0 |
5178.9 |
5460.5 |
5742.7 |
6022.0 |
6297.4 |
6566.9 |
6827.2 |
7079.7 |
7320.4 |
7544.9 |
7758.6 |
7956.4 |
8141.4 |
8317.6 |
8478.7 |
8630.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1291.4 |
3028.6 |
4614.8 |
5792.4 |
6660.6 |
7305.9 |
7786.6 |
8145.1 |
8420.6 |
8641.9 |
8836.4 |
9026.0 |
9225.3 |
9444.0 |
9697.1 |
9976.4 |
10285.0 |
10624.4 |
10992.9 |
11382.2 |
11789.6 |
12210.1 |
12637.6 |
13068.3 |
13497.4 |
13923.0 |
14341.4 |
14755.5 |
15155.6 |
15538.3 |
15906.8 |
16256.0 |
16592.7 |
16919.3 |
17228.3 |
17525.9 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.365 |
3.746 |
6.402 |
8.862 |
10.999 |
12.803 |
14.303 |
15.547 |
16.585 |
17.465 |
18.235 |
18.932 |
19.585 |
20.212 |
20.834 |
21.452 |
22.067 |
22.679 |
23.286 |
23.880 |
24.457 |
25.006 |
25.523 |
26.002 |
26.439 |
26.831 |
27.175 |
27.473 |
27.721 |
27.918 |
28.067 |
28.168 |
28.227 |
28.250 |
28.236 |
28.193 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.664 |
13.153 |
11.650 |
10.301 |
9.129 |
8.142 |
7.323 |
6.644 |
6.077 |
5.595 |
5.172 |
4.789 |
4.428 |
4.081 |
3.736 |
3.394 |
3.053 |
2.713 |
2.377 |
2.048 |
1.729 |
1.425 |
1.140 |
0.876 |
0.635 |
0.420 |
0.231 |
0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.175 |
-0.256 |
-0.310 |
-0.341 |
-0.352 |
-0.343 |
-0.318 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.173 |
-0.145 |
-0.084 |
0.002 |
0.066 |
0.115 |
0.153 |
0.181 |
0.203 |
0.219 |
0.232 |
0.244 |
0.255 |
0.267 |
0.280 |
0.294 |
0.309 |
0.326 |
0.345 |
0.364 |
0.384 |
0.405 |
0.427 |
0.448 |
0.469 |
0.490 |
0.511 |
0.531 |
0.551 |
0.570 |
0.588 |
0.606 |
0.622 |
0.638 |
0.653 |
0.668 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.130 |
0.051 |
-0.043 |
-0.131 |
-0.179 |
-0.201 |
-0.204 |
-0.193 |
-0.173 |
-0.146 |
-0.116 |
-0.086 |
-0.057 |
-0.030 |
-0.006 |
0.014 |
0.032 |
0.046 |
0.056 |
0.064 |
0.069 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.060 |
0.055 |
0.050 |
0.045 |
0.040 |
0.035 |
0.029 |
0.024 |
0.019 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.094 |
-0.127 |
-0.129 |
-0.113 |
-0.085 |
-0.051 |
-0.012 |
0.030 |
0.073 |
0.116 |
0.157 |
0.198 |
0.237 |
0.273 |
0.308 |
0.341 |
0.372 |
0.401 |
0.428 |
0.454 |
0.478 |
0.500 |
0.521 |
0.541 |
0.559 |
0.576 |
0.592 |
0.606 |
0.620 |
0.633 |
0.646 |
0.657 |
0.668 |
0.678 |
0.687 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.040 |
0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.074 |
-0.107 |
-0.113 |
-0.089 |
-0.031 |
0.062 |
0.188 |
0.348 |
0.539 |
0.758 |
1.002 |
1.270 |
1.559 |
1.866 |
2.190 |
2.528 |
2.879 |
3.241 |
3.612 |
3.992 |
4.378 |
4.770 |
5.166 |
5.566 |
5.968 |
6.371 |
6.775 |
7.178 |
7.581 |
7.982 |
8.380 |
8.776 |
9.168 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.210 |
0.382 |
0.483 |
0.501 |
0.458 |
0.367 |
0.240 |
0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.275 |
-0.473 |
-0.681 |
-0.898 |
-1.123 |
-1.357 |
-1.600 |
-1.854 |
-2.119 |
-2.396 |
-2.684 |
-2.983 |
-3.294 |
-3.616 |
-3.948 |
-4.290 |
-4.640 |
-4.998 |
-5.363 |
-5.734 |
-6.109 |
-6.488 |
-6.870 |
-7.253 |
-7.637 |
-8.022 |
-8.405 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.076 |
-0.171 |
-0.245 |
-0.292 |
-0.321 |
-0.339 |
-0.351 |
-0.360 |
-0.370 |
-0.381 |
-0.396 |
-0.415 |
-0.438 |
-0.465 |
-0.494 |
-0.526 |
-0.560 |
-0.594 |
-0.628 |
-0.661 |
-0.692 |
-0.722 |
-0.749 |
-0.774 |
-0.795 |
-0.814 |
-0.829 |
-0.842 |
-0.851 |
-0.857 |
-0.861 |
-0.862 |
-0.861 |
-0.857 |
-0.852 |
-0.846 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.034 |
-0.066 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
-0.059 |
-0.050 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.112 |
-0.234 |
-0.339 |
-0.431 |
-0.516 |
-0.594 |
-0.666 |
-0.732 |
-0.794 |
-0.851 |
-0.904 |
-0.953 |
-0.998 |
-1.040 |
-1.077 |
-1.111 |
-1.140 |
-1.166 |
-1.188 |
-1.205 |
-1.219 |
-1.229 |
-1.236 |
-1.240 |
-1.240 |
-1.238 |
-1.233 |
-1.226 |
-1.216 |
-1.206 |
-1.194 |
-1.180 |
-1.167 |
-1.152 |
-1.137 |
-1.123 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.247 |
-0.674 |
-1.026 |
-1.330 |
-1.597 |
-1.833 |
-2.041 |
-2.227 |
-2.395 |
-2.547 |
-2.684 |
-2.810 |
-2.924 |
-3.027 |
-3.119 |
-3.201 |
-3.272 |
-3.332 |
-3.382 |
-3.421 |
-3.450 |
-3.470 |
-3.480 |
-3.482 |
-3.475 |
-3.462 |
-3.442 |
-3.416 |
-3.385 |
-3.351 |
-3.313 |
-3.273 |
-3.232 |
-3.189 |
-3.146 |
-3.104 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.117 |
-0.253 |
-0.379 |
-0.494 |
-0.603 |
-0.705 |
-0.801 |
-0.891 |
-0.976 |
-1.057 |
-1.133 |
-1.206 |
-1.274 |
-1.338 |
-1.397 |
-1.452 |
-1.503 |
-1.549 |
-1.590 |
-1.625 |
-1.656 |
-1.682 |
-1.704 |
-1.720 |
-1.732 |
-1.740 |
-1.744 |
-1.745 |
-1.742 |
-1.736 |
-1.728 |
-1.717 |
-1.705 |
-1.691 |
-1.676 |
-1.660 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.083 |
-0.176 |
-0.257 |
-0.329 |
-0.396 |
-0.457 |
-0.513 |
-0.564 |
-0.612 |
-0.655 |
-0.695 |
-0.733 |
-0.767 |
-0.798 |
-0.826 |
-0.851 |
-0.873 |
-0.892 |
-0.908 |
-0.921 |
-0.931 |
-0.939 |
-0.944 |
-0.946 |
-0.946 |
-0.944 |
-0.940 |
-0.934 |
-0.927 |
-0.919 |
-0.910 |
-0.900 |
-0.889 |
-0.878 |
-0.867 |
-0.855 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.120 |
-0.083 |
-0.019 |
0.047 |
0.083 |
0.095 |
0.092 |
0.077 |
0.055 |
0.027 |
-0.004 |
-0.035 |
-0.066 |
-0.097 |
-0.125 |
-0.151 |
-0.175 |
-0.196 |
-0.215 |
-0.231 |
-0.244 |
-0.256 |
-0.265 |
-0.272 |
-0.278 |
-0.282 |
-0.284 |
-0.286 |
-0.286 |
-0.285 |
-0.283 |
-0.280 |
-0.277 |
-0.273 |
-0.269 |
-0.264 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.081 |
-0.200 |
-0.280 |
-0.333 |
-0.370 |
-0.398 |
-0.419 |
-0.437 |
-0.451 |
-0.463 |
-0.474 |
-0.482 |
-0.489 |
-0.494 |
-0.498 |
-0.499 |
-0.499 |
-0.496 |
-0.492 |
-0.486 |
-0.478 |
-0.469 |
-0.459 |
-0.448 |
-0.435 |
-0.423 |
-0.409 |
-0.396 |
-0.383 |
-0.370 |
-0.357 |
-0.344 |
-0.333 |
-0.322 |
-0.312 |
-0.303 |
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