|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1225.9 |
-2884.2 |
-4224.8 |
-5294.6 |
-6156.1 |
-6867.7 |
-7476.1 |
-8018.5 |
-8517.9 |
-8993.1 |
-9454.5 |
-9908.8 |
-10358.7 |
-10805.3 |
-11242.8 |
-11672.9 |
-12092.3 |
-12497.6 |
-12886.0 |
-13254.8 |
-13604.4 |
-13930.2 |
-14234.6 |
-14517.3 |
-14779.0 |
-15020.7 |
-15241.9 |
-15444.3 |
-15630.9 |
-15804.2 |
-15964.4 |
-16117.9 |
-16265.0 |
-16404.5 |
-16542.2 |
-16677.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
15.3 |
36.1 |
50.9 |
60.2 |
66.4 |
69.7 |
70.8 |
69.8 |
67.3 |
63.8 |
59.4 |
54.4 |
49.2 |
43.9 |
38.6 |
33.4 |
28.6 |
24.0 |
19.7 |
15.8 |
12.1 |
8.6 |
5.7 |
3.1 |
0.7 |
-1.3 |
-3.0 |
-4.4 |
-5.5 |
-6.2 |
-6.8 |
-7.0 |
-6.9 |
-6.6 |
-6.2 |
-5.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-555.2 |
-1886.7 |
-2660.4 |
-3136.6 |
-3511.6 |
-3774.7 |
-3922.3 |
-3975.8 |
-3954.6 |
-3888.1 |
-3793.7 |
-3684.4 |
-3571.9 |
-3465.9 |
-3360.3 |
-3270.3 |
-3195.9 |
-3131.9 |
-3073.2 |
-3027.3 |
-2984.8 |
-2950.5 |
-2920.5 |
-2894.3 |
-2869.6 |
-2844.1 |
-2820.7 |
-2789.9 |
-2761.4 |
-2741.7 |
-2722.6 |
-2710.9 |
-2697.0 |
-2678.9 |
-2669.2 |
-2658.5 |
Export |
fE |
-759.8 |
-977.4 |
-1147.0 |
-1179.2 |
-1125.7 |
-946.6 |
-664.6 |
-279.3 |
188.8 |
729.3 |
1323.8 |
1958.1 |
2616.9 |
3287.4 |
3957.4 |
4616.4 |
5255.8 |
5869.4 |
6450.6 |
6995.1 |
7499.0 |
7961.9 |
8381.0 |
8756.7 |
9089.7 |
9381.4 |
9632.5 |
9844.3 |
10019.2 |
10160.2 |
10271.1 |
10354.3 |
10412.1 |
10447.6 |
10464.8 |
10465.7 |
Import |
fM |
-1532.3 |
-3049.7 |
-3788.4 |
-4159.3 |
-4440.6 |
-4606.8 |
-4685.0 |
-4691.4 |
-4646.4 |
-4567.2 |
-4466.5 |
-4353.2 |
-4234.2 |
-4116.4 |
-3997.3 |
-3884.3 |
-3779.7 |
-3681.6 |
-3588.8 |
-3504.7 |
-3427.0 |
-3357.1 |
-3295.4 |
-3242.4 |
-3196.5 |
-3157.4 |
-3126.9 |
-3101.9 |
-3085.5 |
-3081.6 |
-3084.1 |
-3098.0 |
-3120.2 |
-3146.8 |
-3184.3 |
-3227.1 |
GDP |
fY |
-999.1 |
-2668.8 |
-4261.8 |
-5481.4 |
-6394.1 |
-7031.9 |
-7437.9 |
-7655.1 |
-7725.4 |
-7690.2 |
-7581.6 |
-7425.0 |
-7242.0 |
-7049.3 |
-6849.7 |
-6662.5 |
-6490.4 |
-6333.0 |
-6190.7 |
-6068.4 |
-5963.6 |
-5875.9 |
-5805.6 |
-5751.2 |
-5712.3 |
-5686.6 |
-5673.8 |
-5668.1 |
-5676.4 |
-5700.7 |
-5736.2 |
-5787.3 |
-5846.9 |
-5912.0 |
-5990.8 |
-6077.0 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-0.843 |
-2.618 |
-4.452 |
-6.012 |
-7.200 |
-7.992 |
-8.405 |
-8.481 |
-8.280 |
-7.866 |
-7.297 |
-6.626 |
-5.896 |
-5.146 |
-4.395 |
-3.669 |
-2.984 |
-2.346 |
-1.760 |
-1.230 |
-0.754 |
-0.334 |
0.032 |
0.349 |
0.619 |
0.845 |
1.032 |
1.184 |
1.302 |
1.386 |
1.442 |
1.469 |
1.473 |
1.460 |
1.427 |
1.382 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.503 |
1.527 |
2.547 |
3.401 |
4.044 |
4.467 |
4.680 |
4.708 |
4.585 |
4.346 |
4.024 |
3.648 |
3.240 |
2.823 |
2.406 |
2.005 |
1.627 |
1.275 |
0.951 |
0.660 |
0.398 |
0.168 |
-0.033 |
-0.207 |
-0.355 |
-0.479 |
-0.580 |
-0.664 |
-0.728 |
-0.773 |
-0.802 |
-0.816 |
-0.817 |
-0.809 |
-0.791 |
-0.765 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.064 |
0.025 |
-0.047 |
-0.105 |
-0.147 |
-0.177 |
-0.194 |
-0.201 |
-0.199 |
-0.191 |
-0.179 |
-0.163 |
-0.146 |
-0.129 |
-0.111 |
-0.094 |
-0.078 |
-0.063 |
-0.048 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.012 |
-0.002 |
0.008 |
0.016 |
0.024 |
0.032 |
0.038 |
0.045 |
0.051 |
0.056 |
0.061 |
0.065 |
0.070 |
0.073 |
0.077 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.149 |
-0.081 |
0.005 |
0.065 |
0.107 |
0.134 |
0.149 |
0.153 |
0.149 |
0.141 |
0.130 |
0.118 |
0.106 |
0.095 |
0.086 |
0.078 |
0.071 |
0.066 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.045 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.086 |
-0.056 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.048 |
-0.050 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.040 |
-0.033 |
-0.025 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.004 |
0.014 |
0.024 |
0.033 |
0.042 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.071 |
0.076 |
0.081 |
0.084 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.044 |
-0.006 |
0.027 |
0.050 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.057 |
0.044 |
0.026 |
0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.023 |
-0.032 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.019 |
0.000 |
0.028 |
0.062 |
0.103 |
0.151 |
0.204 |
0.262 |
0.324 |
0.390 |
0.458 |
0.527 |
0.598 |
0.669 |
0.740 |
0.811 |
0.881 |
0.949 |
1.016 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.067 |
-0.055 |
0.030 |
0.160 |
0.320 |
0.495 |
0.675 |
0.850 |
1.011 |
1.154 |
1.276 |
1.375 |
1.450 |
1.503 |
1.533 |
1.544 |
1.536 |
1.512 |
1.472 |
1.420 |
1.356 |
1.283 |
1.201 |
1.112 |
1.017 |
0.917 |
0.813 |
0.705 |
0.595 |
0.482 |
0.369 |
0.254 |
0.139 |
0.025 |
-0.090 |
-0.203 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.098 |
0.186 |
0.228 |
0.239 |
0.227 |
0.197 |
0.154 |
0.102 |
0.045 |
-0.014 |
-0.073 |
-0.129 |
-0.183 |
-0.234 |
-0.280 |
-0.322 |
-0.361 |
-0.395 |
-0.425 |
-0.452 |
-0.476 |
-0.497 |
-0.514 |
-0.529 |
-0.542 |
-0.553 |
-0.561 |
-0.568 |
-0.572 |
-0.575 |
-0.576 |
-0.576 |
-0.575 |
-0.573 |
-0.569 |
-0.565 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.076 |
0.129 |
0.146 |
0.149 |
0.145 |
0.139 |
0.131 |
0.125 |
0.120 |
0.116 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.116 |
0.118 |
0.121 |
0.124 |
0.127 |
0.130 |
0.133 |
0.136 |
0.138 |
0.141 |
0.143 |
0.146 |
0.148 |
0.149 |
0.151 |
0.152 |
0.153 |
0.154 |
0.155 |
0.156 |
0.156 |
0.156 |
0.157 |
User cost |
uim |
0.199 |
0.243 |
0.222 |
0.192 |
0.154 |
0.110 |
0.064 |
0.016 |
-0.032 |
-0.079 |
-0.123 |
-0.164 |
-0.202 |
-0.236 |
-0.266 |
-0.292 |
-0.314 |
-0.333 |
-0.348 |
-0.360 |
-0.369 |
-0.375 |
-0.379 |
-0.380 |
-0.380 |
-0.378 |
-0.374 |
-0.369 |
-0.363 |
-0.356 |
-0.348 |
-0.340 |
-0.332 |
-0.324 |
-0.315 |
-0.307 |
Wage |
lna |
0.030 |
0.010 |
-0.054 |
-0.146 |
-0.263 |
-0.396 |
-0.540 |
-0.688 |
-0.834 |
-0.976 |
-1.108 |
-1.230 |
-1.340 |
-1.437 |
-1.521 |
-1.593 |
-1.652 |
-1.700 |
-1.738 |
-1.766 |
-1.785 |
-1.796 |
-1.800 |
-1.799 |
-1.792 |
-1.781 |
-1.766 |
-1.747 |
-1.727 |
-1.704 |
-1.680 |
-1.656 |
-1.630 |
-1.605 |
-1.580 |
-1.556 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.272 |
0.356 |
0.351 |
0.329 |
0.296 |
0.254 |
0.204 |
0.150 |
0.093 |
0.036 |
-0.022 |
-0.077 |
-0.129 |
-0.179 |
-0.224 |
-0.265 |
-0.301 |
-0.334 |
-0.362 |
-0.385 |
-0.405 |
-0.422 |
-0.434 |
-0.444 |
-0.451 |
-0.455 |
-0.456 |
-0.455 |
-0.453 |
-0.449 |
-0.443 |
-0.436 |
-0.429 |
-0.420 |
-0.412 |
-0.402 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.265 |
-0.362 |
-0.382 |
-0.406 |
-0.435 |
-0.467 |
-0.502 |
-0.538 |
-0.574 |
-0.609 |
-0.643 |
-0.674 |
-0.703 |
-0.729 |
-0.753 |
-0.773 |
-0.790 |
-0.804 |
-0.816 |
-0.825 |
-0.831 |
-0.836 |
-0.839 |
-0.840 |
-0.839 |
-0.838 |
-0.835 |
-0.831 |
-0.826 |
-0.821 |
-0.815 |
-0.809 |
-0.803 |
-0.796 |
-0.790 |
-0.783 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.156 |
0.144 |
0.073 |
0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.045 |
-0.062 |
-0.074 |
-0.081 |
-0.085 |
-0.088 |
-0.091 |
-0.094 |
-0.098 |
-0.102 |
-0.107 |
-0.113 |
-0.119 |
-0.125 |
-0.131 |
-0.137 |
-0.142 |
-0.147 |
-0.151 |
-0.155 |
-0.158 |
-0.160 |
-0.162 |
-0.162 |
-0.162 |
-0.162 |
-0.161 |
-0.159 |
-0.157 |
-0.155 |
-0.153 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.022 |
-0.046 |
-0.079 |
-0.115 |
-0.152 |
-0.187 |
-0.218 |
-0.245 |
-0.267 |
-0.284 |
-0.297 |
-0.305 |
-0.311 |
-0.313 |
-0.312 |
-0.309 |
-0.304 |
-0.298 |
-0.291 |
-0.283 |
-0.275 |
-0.266 |
-0.257 |
-0.247 |
-0.238 |
-0.230 |
-0.221 |
-0.213 |
-0.205 |
-0.197 |
-0.191 |
-0.184 |
-0.179 |
-0.174 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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