|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-970.2 |
-1180.4 |
-1572.5 |
-1936.6 |
-2175.8 |
-2303.7 |
-2337.8 |
-2302.9 |
-2215.5 |
-2091.2 |
-1940.6 |
-1773.3 |
-1596.0 |
-1415.2 |
-1230.9 |
-1050.3 |
-875.6 |
-708.2 |
-549.4 |
-400.5 |
-263.9 |
-136.8 |
-22.4 |
79.4 |
168.3 |
244.2 |
309.0 |
363.1 |
405.6 |
436.3 |
457.7 |
466.3 |
464.6 |
456.9 |
440.4 |
418.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-22.2 |
-25.9 |
-24.2 |
-20.9 |
-18.5 |
-17.0 |
-15.8 |
-15.0 |
-14.3 |
-13.7 |
-13.2 |
-12.8 |
-12.3 |
-11.7 |
-11.1 |
-10.4 |
-9.4 |
-8.3 |
-7.1 |
-5.8 |
-4.5 |
-3.2 |
-1.7 |
-0.2 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
8.0 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
11.2 |
12.1 |
12.9 |
13.5 |
Investment |
fI |
531.2 |
846.7 |
345.9 |
-32.5 |
-301.2 |
-447.4 |
-539.0 |
-575.5 |
-571.7 |
-536.1 |
-479.0 |
-404.6 |
-321.7 |
-237.6 |
-146.6 |
-64.6 |
6.5 |
69.7 |
128.1 |
172.1 |
209.3 |
234.0 |
249.1 |
255.0 |
253.8 |
248.2 |
235.7 |
227.1 |
213.3 |
188.8 |
162.9 |
130.2 |
101.0 |
78.7 |
51.5 |
29.7 |
Export |
fE |
2264.0 |
2808.9 |
3209.3 |
3414.4 |
3554.2 |
3600.9 |
3597.6 |
3541.3 |
3448.8 |
3324.4 |
3176.0 |
3006.9 |
2822.0 |
2624.0 |
2416.1 |
2200.4 |
1979.5 |
1756.8 |
1533.6 |
1312.0 |
1093.6 |
881.8 |
677.2 |
481.8 |
297.8 |
126.8 |
-30.8 |
-174.5 |
-303.6 |
-417.0 |
-513.6 |
-593.4 |
-657.7 |
-706.5 |
-739.5 |
-758.7 |
Import |
fM |
348.5 |
573.6 |
340.1 |
147.2 |
53.4 |
29.4 |
42.8 |
77.7 |
126.2 |
180.3 |
235.5 |
287.9 |
334.8 |
372.4 |
405.2 |
427.1 |
437.0 |
437.8 |
431.4 |
415.2 |
392.3 |
362.7 |
327.0 |
285.7 |
241.7 |
196.3 |
148.8 |
103.3 |
57.9 |
9.2 |
-35.9 |
-81.8 |
-125.1 |
-161.3 |
-196.9 |
-226.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1378.6 |
1741.5 |
1426.7 |
1063.8 |
779.7 |
572.1 |
427.7 |
333.8 |
283.1 |
263.1 |
265.8 |
284.2 |
310.5 |
337.8 |
370.5 |
393.5 |
407.2 |
413.3 |
412.7 |
399.9 |
378.0 |
347.5 |
308.4 |
262.6 |
210.7 |
155.7 |
98.2 |
45.0 |
-10.2 |
-69.1 |
-126.2 |
-185.2 |
-238.8 |
-283.6 |
-327.6 |
-364.5 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.180 |
3.435 |
3.720 |
3.615 |
3.392 |
3.134 |
2.885 |
2.666 |
2.484 |
2.335 |
2.215 |
2.115 |
2.028 |
1.943 |
1.863 |
1.777 |
1.680 |
1.575 |
1.461 |
1.336 |
1.205 |
1.067 |
0.923 |
0.777 |
0.632 |
0.489 |
0.352 |
0.224 |
0.104 |
-0.010 |
-0.113 |
-0.208 |
-0.291 |
-0.360 |
-0.418 |
-0.462 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.301 |
-1.959 |
-2.076 |
-2.001 |
-1.872 |
-1.728 |
-1.590 |
-1.470 |
-1.371 |
-1.289 |
-1.224 |
-1.169 |
-1.121 |
-1.075 |
-1.030 |
-0.982 |
-0.928 |
-0.869 |
-0.806 |
-0.736 |
-0.663 |
-0.586 |
-0.506 |
-0.425 |
-0.344 |
-0.265 |
-0.189 |
-0.119 |
-0.053 |
0.010 |
0.067 |
0.119 |
0.165 |
0.202 |
0.234 |
0.258 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.075 |
0.119 |
0.110 |
0.095 |
0.082 |
0.071 |
0.063 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.061 |
0.064 |
0.068 |
0.071 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.131 |
-0.135 |
-0.082 |
-0.033 |
0.004 |
0.030 |
0.047 |
0.058 |
0.062 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.053 |
0.046 |
0.038 |
0.030 |
0.022 |
0.015 |
0.008 |
0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.057 |
-0.015 |
0.028 |
0.061 |
0.086 |
0.101 |
0.111 |
0.116 |
0.118 |
0.117 |
0.115 |
0.112 |
0.107 |
0.103 |
0.098 |
0.093 |
0.088 |
0.083 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.183 |
-0.296 |
-0.298 |
-0.256 |
-0.186 |
-0.101 |
-0.007 |
0.090 |
0.187 |
0.281 |
0.371 |
0.455 |
0.534 |
0.607 |
0.673 |
0.733 |
0.788 |
0.837 |
0.881 |
0.920 |
0.955 |
0.986 |
1.012 |
1.036 |
1.056 |
1.073 |
1.087 |
1.099 |
1.109 |
1.116 |
1.123 |
1.128 |
1.131 |
1.134 |
1.137 |
1.139 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.151 |
-0.289 |
-0.386 |
-0.464 |
-0.526 |
-0.575 |
-0.614 |
-0.645 |
-0.671 |
-0.694 |
-0.716 |
-0.737 |
-0.758 |
-0.780 |
-0.802 |
-0.824 |
-0.846 |
-0.868 |
-0.889 |
-0.908 |
-0.925 |
-0.941 |
-0.954 |
-0.964 |
-0.972 |
-0.977 |
-0.979 |
-0.978 |
-0.975 |
-0.970 |
-0.963 |
-0.953 |
-0.942 |
-0.929 |
-0.915 |
-0.899 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.140 |
-0.150 |
-0.130 |
-0.114 |
-0.105 |
-0.101 |
-0.100 |
-0.102 |
-0.105 |
-0.109 |
-0.112 |
-0.114 |
-0.115 |
-0.114 |
-0.112 |
-0.108 |
-0.103 |
-0.096 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.072 |
-0.062 |
-0.053 |
-0.044 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.067 |
-0.040 |
-0.014 |
0.000 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
User cost |
uim |
0.586 |
0.627 |
0.659 |
0.689 |
0.716 |
0.740 |
0.762 |
0.783 |
0.802 |
0.820 |
0.838 |
0.854 |
0.870 |
0.885 |
0.900 |
0.913 |
0.927 |
0.939 |
0.950 |
0.961 |
0.971 |
0.980 |
0.987 |
0.994 |
1.000 |
1.005 |
1.009 |
1.012 |
1.014 |
1.016 |
1.016 |
1.016 |
1.015 |
1.014 |
1.012 |
1.010 |
Wage |
lna |
0.084 |
0.150 |
0.220 |
0.290 |
0.356 |
0.417 |
0.474 |
0.526 |
0.575 |
0.620 |
0.663 |
0.704 |
0.743 |
0.781 |
0.817 |
0.851 |
0.884 |
0.914 |
0.943 |
0.970 |
0.994 |
1.016 |
1.035 |
1.051 |
1.065 |
1.076 |
1.084 |
1.090 |
1.094 |
1.096 |
1.096 |
1.093 |
1.090 |
1.084 |
1.078 |
1.071 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.361 |
0.430 |
0.470 |
0.510 |
0.547 |
0.582 |
0.615 |
0.645 |
0.674 |
0.702 |
0.728 |
0.753 |
0.777 |
0.800 |
0.822 |
0.843 |
0.864 |
0.883 |
0.902 |
0.920 |
0.936 |
0.951 |
0.965 |
0.978 |
0.989 |
0.999 |
1.008 |
1.016 |
1.022 |
1.027 |
1.031 |
1.034 |
1.036 |
1.037 |
1.037 |
1.036 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.331 |
-0.287 |
-0.261 |
-0.236 |
-0.214 |
-0.194 |
-0.176 |
-0.159 |
-0.144 |
-0.129 |
-0.116 |
-0.103 |
-0.091 |
-0.080 |
-0.069 |
-0.059 |
-0.049 |
-0.040 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.016 |
-0.009 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.056 |
0.044 |
0.012 |
-0.023 |
-0.051 |
-0.071 |
-0.083 |
-0.090 |
-0.093 |
-0.092 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.075 |
-0.067 |
-0.059 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.035 |
-0.027 |
-0.020 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.057 |
-0.047 |
-0.025 |
-0.011 |
-0.001 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
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